FuckyWucky

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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 14 points 18 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago)

Also it was disputed even before 2022. This is objectively good for Ukraine (territory wise).

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 13 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

I agree that debt trap diplomacy is bullshit. But there is special irony with regards to the U.S, all the Dollars that Chinese banks and companies lent to American private sector came from the U.S. itself. Whether by export surplus, remittances, capital flows etc. If the Chinese companies can create employment and output instead of lending to parasitic and capital intensive sectors, then it's still a win for the U.S.

I mean it only makes sense, U.S. Dollars are easiest to recycle in the U.S. Most of China's Dollars are held in financial assets, putting some of it into real assets is good for the U.S. It's unfortunate since third world countries could use the Dollars better. Most of them are stuck in foreign currency debt with currency markets that aren't very deep, China should offer them a window to exchange their local currencies for Yuan/Dollars up to a limit. Such a shame this is considered as giving 'free money', there is a hierarchy where China is unwilling to accumulate third world currencies but is perfectly fine with accumulating Dollars, Euros etc. The claim that it's because first world currencies are more liquid or because of political instability is ridiculous since first world currencies in electronic entries in books don't do much either any way.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 13 points 2 days ago

Wolf Among Us 2 kitty-birthday-sad

 

Twitter picard

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 2 days ago (1 children)

This will go on forever, I'm just describing reality. Please read the book.

Regards.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (3 children)

Interest rates exist. It's set by the central bank.

Please read the book to understand more. This has been a long thread.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (5 children)

I'm not proposing anything this is how all economies work. This is just the accounting reality.

Gov can't take a loan when people don't have money. Spending will always come before income. That part is just standard Keynesian economics. Keynes limited it to private sector but it's exact same for Government.

Please tell me, a new country is formed on another planet. The newly formed state wants to spend, it imposes tax obligations. How will people pay taxes when money hasn't been spent yet?

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (7 children)

No I am saying all money that exists comes from Government or Government authorised commercial banks.

Also economy is circular. Money goes round. Money is only deleted when you pay your debts whether tax debts or commercial bank debt.

Not to mention people are going to be using that money for foreign products where parts of it flow outward and not back to government coffers.

Nope. Money never goes out of the country. All money exists as electronic entries at banks or Central bank. When you exchange say Euro for Dollars, you are giving Euros to a bank who then gets the Euros and gives you Dollars from the market. The amount of Euros doesn't change.

But yes imports are a drain on demand, which is exactly why any leakage from imports must be countered to prevent drop in output and employment.

This is why US Govt must run fiscal deficits to counter Trade Deficits given rest of the world's desire to accumulate US dollar assets. Otherwise the local private sector will be indebted.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (9 children)

Where do you think the Government gets any money in general? You may say taxes. But where do people get the money to pay taxes? The Government itself.

That's what I'm saying, spending creates income. Spending logically comes before taxation because if Gov doesn't spend people won't have money to pay taxes. The two sources of widely used money are

  1. Government spending

  2. Bank lending

Banks make their own money ie your deposits at bank convertible to Government money, to prevent bank runs, the Central Bank provides reserves on demand. By managing reserves, the interest rate is maintained at target set by the CB.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 48 points 3 days ago (2 children)

Crypto hoarders dump tokens as shares tumble

articleCrypto-hoarding companies are ditching their holdings in a bid to prop up their sinking share prices, as the craze for “digital asset treasury” businesses unravels in the face of a $1tn cryptocurrency rout.

Shares in Michael Saylor-led Strategy, the world’s biggest corporate bitcoin holder, have tumbled 50 per cent over the past three months, dragging down scores of copycat companies.

About $77bn has been wiped from the stock market value of these companies, which raise debt and equity to fund purchases of crypto, since their peak of $176bn in July, according to industry data publication The Block.

With Saylor’s company now worth less than the bitcoin it holds, investors worry that a business model that relied on a virtuous circle of rising crypto prices and massive share and debt issuance is now unravelling.

“There’s going to be a fire sale at these companies; it’s going to get worse,” said Adam Morgan McCarthy, senior research analyst at crypto data firm Kaiko. “It’s a vicious cycle. As soon as the prices start tanking, it’s a race to the bottom.” Line chart of $ showing Strategy's falling share price

Saylor’s software business inspired a raft of copycats in industries including film production, vaping and electric vehicles, after its pivot to a “bitcoin treasury” strategy drove a huge increase in its share price. Purchases by such companies have been a big driver of bitcoin hitting a record high last month.

But the craze has soured as cryptocurrencies bore the brunt of a sell-off in speculative assets this autumn, in a sharp reversal for a sector that had been buoyed by President Donald Trump’s pledge last year to turn the US into a “bitcoin superpower”.

Shares in Japan’s biggest bitcoin holder Metaplanet have plunged 80 per cent since their June peak. The company on Tuesday raised a $130mn loan backed by its bitcoin, which it said would be used for purposes including buying back stock. The Smarter Web Company, the UK’s biggest bitcoin buyer, has experienced a 44 per cent stock price drop this year. It is valued at £132mn while the bitcoin it holds is worth about $232mn.

“It was inevitable,” said Jake Ostrovskis, head of OTC trading at Wintermute, referring to the sell-off in digital asset treasury stocks. “It got to the point where there’s too many of them.”

Several companies have begun selling their crypto stockpiles in an effort to fund share buybacks and shore up their stock prices, in effect putting the crypto treasury model into reverse.

North Carolina-based ether holder FG Nexus sold about $41.5mn of its tokens recently to fund its share buyback programme. Its market cap is $104mn while the crypto it holds is worth $116mn. Florida-based life sciences company turned ether buyer ETHZilla recently sold about $40mn worth of its tokens, also to fund its share buyback programme.

Sequans Communications, a French semiconductor company, sold about $100mn of its bitcoin this month in order to service its debt, in a sign of how some companies that borrowed to fund crypto purchases are now struggling. Sequans’ market capitalisation is $87mn while the bitcoin it holds is worth $198mn.

Georges Karam, chief executive of Sequans, said the sale was a “tactical decision aimed at unlocking shareholder value given current market conditions”.

While bitcoin and ether sellers can find buyers, companies with more niche tokens will find it more difficult to raise money from their holdings, according to Morgan McCarthy. “When you’ve got a medical device company buying some long-tail asset in crypto, a niche in a niche market, it is not going to end well,” he said, adding that 95 per cent of digital asset treasuries “will go to zero”.

Strategy, meanwhile, has doubled down and bought even more bitcoin as the price of the token has fallen to $87,000, from $115,000 a month ago. The firm also faces the looming possibility of being cut from some major equity indices, which could heap even more selling pressure on the stock.

But Saylor has brushed off any concerns. “Volatility is Satoshi’s gift to the faithful,” he said this week, referring to the pseudonymous creator of bitcoin.

https://www.ft.com/content/53473a9f-e801-4280-a78b-8e6e00bcac78

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (11 children)

There are no loans. All money you have came from the Government. what I'm suggesting ie the Government replacing lost spending with its own does NOT raise aggregate demand in any significant way, it's a stabilizing policy.

Government deficit in this case keeps income of workers and employment unchanged relative to before.

It may be inflationary if the Govt decides to build new industries as that Increases aggregate demand. But keeping existing production doesn't do that.

I think it was Abba Lerner who said that imports cause unemployment and output losses only if there is no full employment policy in place by the Government.

You can read the book I linked if you want to.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 42 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (4 children)

The polls showing crazy high % approval for Modi tend to have bias towards upper-caste, higher income, urban Hindus. And I think even among higher income top 10%ers, there may be a shift soon as tariff shock and U.S. recession squeezes the Indian economy.

Edit: Indian Rupee has been depreciating a bit recently, and all the wealthy rent seeking treatlers who love imported goods and vacations abroad are whining about it even though they are totally fine with the workers being paid like $100/month working 6-7 (matt) days a week.

 

U.S. hasn't won a war since WW2 and even then it barely played a role.

Article

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