FuckyWucky

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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 7 points 8 hours ago

Newsom far-left 07

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 9 points 21 hours ago

He was un-gayed deeper-sadness

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 3 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 20 hours ago)

Govt debt should be seen as having two sides. As Kalecki's profit equation showed

Profit = Capitalist Investment + Govt Deficit + Foreign Surplus - Worker Saving

So, Govt Deficit increases profits and financial wealth of the capitalists as long as it's not going to Workers (which it isn't mostly). And this can keep going despite rising Govt 'Debt' (keep in mind money itself is debt, and what people call Govt 'Debt' i.e. Treasuries is basically just interest bearing cash) because Govt accommodates hoarding demands of capitalists.

There is a way to eliminate this debt, by destroying the financial wealth hoards of capitalists. Govt's unwillingness to do that will result in them accumulating more and more of it. And whether it causes problems depends on where the money is going, it can result in over-investments like in AI right now, or it could flow to asset prices (like stocks) and prop those markets up. But US Gov can always keep increasing its debt to accommodate capitalist desire to hoard.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 16 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Eh, I think she's a grifter who didn't really care about anything but money, like most conservatives (regardless of gender) are. I mean wouldn't most people at least go for a one-two week leave after the death of a family member? Even if she did care, it's bad optics for a public figure.

Regardless, it's not often you get such a absolute-cinema moment to laugh about. I was laughing so much when I watched the leak, about how they sold so many hats.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 8 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (4 children)

I do not know about bailout for AI corps. But GFC straight up affected banks and insurance companies, that's the base of capitalism, credit market and hedging. True, instead of bailout these companies should've been kept under state control.

The same cannot be said about AI corps, when that pops the big ones will take over smaller ones real assets, as you are saying wrt Google.

The current spending by private sector with AI is inflationary and excessive, that's how you have overpriced RAM, GPUs etc. Complete waste of resources for future demand that won't be realized, but keeps current demand afloat via spending. When that pops, it'll be gone (though existing stock of AI infra will remain)

Bailouts are in many ways just moving electronic entries (reshuffling balance sheets) around to make sure debts can be repaid, it doesn't change the real capacity of the economy much, unused capacity may be higher as private spending collapses from bubble popping. So, the Govt can choose to not cut back on spending in the real economy, by running a larger deficit.

In fact the same large deficit is what's contributing to inequality. The Govt tries to keep the economy afloat while billionaires hoard and profits aren't realized. This results in them accumulating financial wealth which isn't taken out by a wealth tax.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 42 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

Very funny how Trump Accounts thing is just a way for the Government to prop up the stock market.

The funds in Trump Accounts must be invested in certain mutual funds or exchange-traded funds that track the S&P 500 or another index of primarily American equities.

https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/treasury-irs-issue-guidance-on-trump-accounts-established-under-the-working-families-tax-cuts-notice-announces-upcoming-regulations

So you can't even set it to buy some Treasury etf as a "fuck you" to the Government for forcefully buying equities on your behalf.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Nope, modern China doesn't. USSR and Eastern Bloc countries did, I think present day Cuba and DPRK do too.

But China now is so productive and industrialized that it can displace other countries production and exports. Hence why I think it'll be less affected compared to others.

In the post WW2, Cold War era, Australia had an explicit full employment policy. Other western capitalist countries did have implicit but weaker policy of full employment.

A full employment policy would mean that anyone who wants a job for money can work at least at minimum wage. In such a scenario, exports are no longer required to prop up employment and loss of exports or displacement of production due to imports only has balance of payments effects.

There may be some loss of money wages if exports are displaced in a mixed economy, since the government guaranteed job pays less than existing job. But it prevents the devastating effect of complete loss of income on the economy.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

I think REER is the measure used for competitiveness against other currencies.

That said its difficult to tell end effects because export elasticities are different and since countries can also do internal devaluation (which results in lower prices internally) to maintain exports, usually at the expense of their own economy.

Since depreciation is unlikely to improve local income of Americans, I think Japanese profits and hence employment and future investments would be squeezed.

Also, if Japan and EU had a full employment policy, the USD depreciation would increase their absorption ie EU and Japan will get more American goods and lose less of theirs to Americans, Americans lose in real sense.

But these countries don't have such policies, so it can be said that unemployment will rise, especially without aggressive Gov spending.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marshall%E2%80%93Lerner_condition

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 13 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

He has been doing this regularly. Most countries earn their source of foreign currency in Dollars, so even if China is letting exchange rate appreciate, these countries will be strangled and have to pay more to get same goods from China. So, they'll work harder, try to export more to the U.S.

It's good that he is talking about capital losses though, with dumping Treasuries or Dollar. So, there's no dumping, only slowly going off it, even by his logic.

Despite all the claims, I believe most of these countries are buying up gold as a speculative asset, they buy it using Dollars which they earn, with the option of dumping it on others (preferably foreign speculators) for more Dollars. I don't think there is a very deep market for Gold outside the Dollar one.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 6 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Yep the last problem shows how important a strong wage floor is, using a job guarantee. If the informal sector pays workers like shit, they can work under Government jobs program for minimum wage. India used to have a weaker version of this, limited days and only for rural workers. In the early years when the program wasn't strangled fiscally, it increased rural wages and provided a true wage floor.

Capitalists ofc hated it because they like workers being more desperate and it was recently repealed.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 6 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

Issue is much of the economy is informal or uses Dollars/foreign currencies. The state is able to spend freely (oil revenues or otherwise) but unable to take it back easily. Oil revenues aren't revenues in the same way taxes are. Oil revenues are closer to a greater ability to spend (due to forex inflows) than taking back money in circulation.

Like, I recently saw a Twitter post on how Zimbabwe eliminated inflation by supposedly backing their currency with gold. But at that point, you aren't spending using your own economy for taxes, you are spending gold/forex. The currency is credible only because of expectations of stable exchange rate (because Govt may intervene in market using reserves), not because the country has a tax base.

 

ARTICLE

The disruption stirred by the US president’s visit is nothing new for Ford. The carmaker last month took a $19.5bn writedown as it scrapped production of its flagship F-150 all-electric pick-up truck after Trump’s crackdown on the green initiatives championed by his predecessor, Joe Biden.

Since returning to the White House last year, Trump has upended entire industries without warning, as he takes the most interventionist approach to business of any president in recent history, executives say.

Trump’s announcement just after 2026 began that the US would take control of Venezuela’s oil industry sent shares in American refiners soaring on the prospect of a flood of fresh crude. But it also stung executives in the US shale patch, who were already worrying about low crude prices.

Even comments on social media can shake corporate behemoths: a Truth Social threat last week to ban large investors from buying single-family homes sent homebuilder shares tumbling, while a proposed cap on credit card rates knocked Visa, American Express and shares in some big banks.

Trump’s reach also extended to the $11tn mortgage bond market: he nudged borrowing costs lower earlier this month with a post announcing plans for a $200bn asset purchase programme.

“Maga has gone Maoist. It is state capitalism. It is not remotely conservative,” said Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, a Yale professor and author of Trump’s Ten Commandments, a book on how executives can manage the president’s diktats.

Conscious of the risks in provoking the president’s wrath, only a few executives at America’s biggest corporations have dared defy him.

ExxonMobil boss Darren Woods last week shrugged off Trump’s calls for drillers to pump billions of dollars into Venezuela, calling the country “uninvestable” at a White House meeting featuring the president, other senior officials and more than a dozen oil executives.

JPMorgan Chase chief executive Jamie Dimon similarly hit Trump with a barb this week, when he said attacks on Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell could raise interest rates and inflation.

Both Dimon and Woods faced swift rebukes from a president who has shown a strong willingness to express his views about corporate America.

Industry leaders say the events of recent weeks are a taste of what is to come, with Trump’s increasingly imperious approach likely to intensify in 2026 — with enormous consequences for US business.

“This year is going to be a very turbulent one until the [November] midterms,” said the chief executive of a Wall Street bank. “We are going to have the most activist year of his presidency and we are all ready for it.”

Executives say the list of flashpoints is likely to widen. After Venezuela, advisers point to Greenland, long coveted by Trump for its strategic location and mineral resources, as a possible next target, a prospect that has already drawn the attention of energy and mining companies.

For corporate bosses, much often comes down to their ability to build personal relationships with Trump or woo him with splashy commitments.

“Trump is a president like no other,” said a lobbyist with decades of experience advising chief executives dealing with US administrations. “Some see a fascist or an autocrat, others a benevolent dictator or even a genius. Whatever the view, a blunt lesson has taken hold in boardrooms: standing up to Trump is usually a losing strategy.”

Privately, several executives concede they have little appetite for kowtowing to Trump. But advisers say a pragmatic playbook has emerged: show up, make a promise grand enough to flatter the president, and then do as little as possible until his attention shifts elsewhere.

A senior banker, who said Trump officials disliked him for his political views, admitted many CEOs preferred to stay silent because, despite the administration’s disruptive approach, the economy remained strong and stock prices broadly rallied across sectors to record levels after an initial sell-off triggered by the president’s trade war, which was later scaled back.

The president’s “One, Big Beautiful Bill Act”, which was passed late last year, has also delivered a tax windfall for many companies.

A template for courting Trump emerged at a White House dinner in September where tech chiefs, including Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Google’s Sundar Pichai and Apple’s Tim Cook, vied to pledge tens of billions of dollars in US investment.

Zuckerberg went furthest, telling Trump he would spend “something like, at least $600bn” through 2028, drawing praise from the president — before later being caught on a hot mic apologising that he “wasn’t sure what number you wanted to go with”.

The episode, executives and advisers said, underscored a lesson many had since internalised: under Trump, optics matter more than precision, and public deference often counts for more than binding commitments.

That approach, however, has not always worked.

Korean auto giant Hyundai’s chair, Chung Eui-sun, was appearing with Trump in the White House in March last year to announce an increase in the group’s total investment in the US to $21bn between 2025 and 2028.

The gesture was praised by Trump but it failed to protect Hyundai or South Korea from steep auto tariffs of 25 per cent imposed by the president two days later, while a battery plant being built by Hyundai and LG in the state of Georgia was raided by US immigration officials in September.

A top adviser to CEOs of America’s largest corporations said that despite the risk of a backlash, some of his clients felt it was their duty to country as well as shareholders and employees to use their company’s clout to push back on some of Trump’s policies that they believed risked harming national interests.

“The key is how you do it,” said the PR specialist. “You have to find a smart way to act as a corporate leader, defending your company’s and industry’s interest without alienating the president.”

Even talking about small changes in not allowing corps to capture as much rents is now Maoism.

 

Oops YouTube removed it. Backup:

https://youtu.be/8uc1hVmtzEk

 

thonk-cri

 

article for freeBulgaria became the 21st member of the Eurozone on Thursday, completing a long-sought step in its European integration despite years of political instability and pro-Russian campaigning against the move.

Sofia has failed to form a stable government for nearly five years. Large protests in November led to the collapse of the latest cabinet and raised the prospect of an eighth election in as many years. Allegations of corruption and mismanagement, the absence of a 2026 budget and sustained fear-mongering by pro-Russian forces have all tainted the moment of euro adoption.

“I warmly welcome Bulgaria to the euro family,” said European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde.

“The euro is a powerful symbol of what Europe can achieve when we work together, and of the shared values and collective strength that we can leverage to confront the global geopolitical uncertainty that we face at the moment.”

What might otherwise have been a celebration of European values has proved more divisive in the Balkan country. Support for the euro stands at about 40 per cent, while opposition exceeds half the population, according to two Eurobarometer surveys conducted in 2025.

Public scepticism is driven in part by fears that retailers will round up prices during the currency conversion, as occurred in other countries after euro entry. The prolonged absence of a stable government has also undermined official efforts to defend the changeover.

Disinformation watchdogs say opposition has been amplified by a sustained campaign from pro-Russian political forces and co-ordinated messaging on social media. Parties such as the far-right Revival, along with Bulgaria’s pro-Russian president Rumen Radev, have called for a referendum on the euro.

Anti-euro activism has been led chiefly by Revival, which has organised protests across Bulgaria, some featuring Russian flags and clashes with police outside EU institutions. During one demonstration in Sofia, supporters attempted to set fire to part of the European Commission’s delegation, chanting slogans such as “No to the euro” and “We want to keep the lev”. The messaging centres on claims that joining the euro would erode national sovereignty, undermine Bulgarian identity and benefit political elites.

Goran Georgiev, an expert on Russian disinformation at the Centre for the Study of Democracy in Sofia, points to a “decades-long push by the Kremlin and its proxies to block Bulgaria’s accession first to the EU and Nato, and later to Schengen and the Eurozone.

“Bulgaria’s euro-Atlantic integration succeeded despite this, and despite systemic problems such as corruption and the lack of an independent justice system,” he said. “The reforms pledged at EU accession in 2007 are still the ones the country struggles to deliver.”

Outgoing prime minister Rosen Zhelyazkov acknowledged “challenges” ahead but said the euro would have a “long-term positive effect” on the economy. Bulgaria’s inflation rate of 5.2 per cent in November “had nothing to do with the euro”, he added.

The switch from the lev to the euro is expected to have limited immediate economic impact, as the national currency has been pegged to the Deutsche mark and later the euro since the 1990s to guard against hyperinflation.

Eurozone membership, however, gives Bulgaria a seat on the European Central Bank’s governing council for the first time, granting it a direct voice in monetary policy.

Now Bulgaria is locked in, no more option to break the currency board.

Don't like what Troika did to Greece and PIIGS? You are spreading pro-Russia propaganda.

You don't like that Eurozone member country debt have credit risk and are closer to American states than actual countries? Russian propagandist.

 

Chinese phones are doing so well battery wise unlike Apple, Samsung, Google etc.

 

In Shreve, Crump & Low, a jewellery store in Greenwich, Connecticut, a Laurent Ferrier “Grand Sport Tourbillon” watch can set you back as much as $210,000. Business is brisk.

“We’re very blessed in Greenwich,” said managing partner Bradford Walker. The Swiss luxury watches, natural diamonds, sapphires and emeralds the shop specialises in are all selling well. “Demand has actually increased over the past six months.”

In the city of Bridgeport, a 30-minute drive away, demand is also rising — but for a different kind of product. People here are flocking to the city’s food pantries and soup kitchens as the high cost of living bears down on lower-income families. 

“I’m living day by day,” said Jamaica-born Roselyn Macdonald, as she picked up eggs from a food bank in The Hollow, a poor immigrant neighbourhood of Bridgeport. Macdonald is unemployed and struggling to pay her bills.

A man in a suit stands smiling behind a jewelry display counter at Shreve, Crump & Low in Greenwich, surrounded by luxury jewelry and a chandelier overhead.

‘We’re very blessed in Greenwich,’ says Bradford Walker, managing partner of a jewellery store © Pascal Perich/FT

Volunteers prepare and distribute bagged lunches while people wait and eat inside the Thomas Merton Center soup kitchen.

Volunteers prepare food for people in need in Bridgeport © Pascal Perich/FT

This is the tale of two cities — a pair of communities just 30 miles apart that have experienced such contrasting fortunes they could be in different countries.

Together, they symbolise America’s K-shaped economy — a split screen where asset-owning classes have become ever wealthier while lower-income households have seen their living standards stagnate or decline.

This bifurcation has pushed the issue of affordability to the top of the US political agenda, threatening the Republican party’s prospects in next year’s midterm elections and weighing on Donald Trump’s presidency.

Fairfield County, where Greenwich and Bridgeport are situated, is one of the most K-shaped regions in America. In Greenwich, home to hedge funds including AQR, Viking Global Investors and Lone Pine Capital, the average gross income per tax return was $687,000 in 2023. In Bridgeport it was a tenth of that — just $70,500.

A person walks past the Saks Fifth Avenue storefront decorated with garlands and lights in downtown Greenwich, Connecticut.

In Greenwich, the average gross income per tax return was $687,000 in 2023 © Pascal Perich/FT

Those disparities have got worse in recent years. “The gap is widening, not narrowing,” said David Rabin, head of Greenwich United Way, a local non-profit organisation.

The Republicans’ signature legislative achievement this year, the “big beautiful bill”, has in some cases made families’ situations worse. The legislation, which Trump signed in July, has delivered tax cuts for the rich while reducing federal funding for Medicaid, the taxpayer-funded health insurance programme for low-income Americans, and food stamps known as Snap.

According to the Congressional Budget Office, a non-partisan agency, households in the bottom decile of income distribution will lose about $1,600 per year as a result of the law, while those in the top 10 per cent will see a $12,000 annual gain.

National surveys underscore the divergence. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index shows that people with investment portfolios feel significantly better about the economy than those who do not own stocks, with sentiment among non-stockholders sinking to its lowest point since the university began collecting such data in 1998.

This split is on show in Fairfield County. In Greenwich and other rich enclaves such as Darien and New Canaan, “people’s net worth and wealth has been increasing as home prices and the stock market have gone up”, said Mark Abraham, head of DataHaven, a Connecticut-based non-profit research organisation that studies social trends and public data.

“But the majority, people who are just starting out in their career or don’t own a home or don’t have a stock portfolio, they’re kind of treading water,” Abraham added.

Mendi Blue Paca, head of Fairfield County’s Communities Foundation, which awards grants to local charities, said chronic homelessness had been virtually eliminated in the area about six years ago, but since the coronavirus pandemic it had been “going gangbusters”.

“The shelters are overflowing, the pantries are overwhelmed,” she said. “And it’s not just people below the poverty line showing up for handouts — it’s the working poor, as well, who are now food insecure.”

With its waterside mansions, private beaches and Lamborghini dealerships, Greenwich — where the median sale price for a single-family home rose to $3.5mn in July from $3.1mn the previous year — is largely insulated from such problems.

The town has benefited from a stock market that hit near record highs this year: the HFRI fund-weighted composite index, a barometer of the global hedge fund industry’s health, was up more than 11 per cent by November, close to its best performance since 2016.

“There are lots of people making lots of money,” said Bruce McGuire, head of the Connecticut Hedge Fund Association. “The shops and restaurants up and down Greenwich Avenue all seem to be doing very well.”

But even in Greenwich, where 9 per cent of people live below the federal poverty line, the stresses are growing. Rabin said low- and middle-income families often struggled to come up with the $151,000 a year needed for rent, food and child care in the town. “Almost a third of the population here are one missed pay cheque away from disaster,” he said.

Rabin also noted that as a result of Trump’s tax and spending bill, about a quarter of the 850 people in Greenwich who usually receive food stamps were no longer eligible for them.

In Bridgeport, the effect of the bill will be far greater. A large share of the population depends on Snap and Medicaid, said Rhonda Neal, head of Bridgeport Rescue Mission, a charity. “If you cut [them], you’re affecting the working poor, the elderly and kids.”

Several volunteers serve lunch to guests at a soup kitchen counter, with trays of food and bagged meals visible.

Lunch is served at the Thomas Merton Center in Bridgeport © Pascal Perich/FT

The increased need is obvious at the Thomas Merton Family Center in Bridgeport, where a soup kitchen doles out plates of meatballs and pasta to a snaking queue of single men and married couples.

“Every day we have new faces coming here,” said the head chef, Kelemen. Four years ago, 125-150 people showed up for lunch: “Now it’s 200-250.”

Juan Cardona is a typical guest, a homeless ex-convict who lives in a tent. “Bridgeport is rough,” he said. “But the only way is up.”

Trump has described “affordability” as the “greatest con job”. But he has also stressed his administration is working hard to lower prices. In a speech from the White House on December 17, he blamed the high cost of living on his predecessor, Joe Biden, and claimed that inflation was being “crushed”.

People in Bridgeport are unconvinced. “Trump is the biggest liar,” said Robert Walsh, a homeless man who works as a pantry co-ordinator at the Thomas Merton Family Center. “He said he was going to bring prices down on his first day in office. Instead they’ve gone way up.”

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