FuckyWucky

joined 2 years ago
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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 54 points 17 hours ago (1 children)

Two day holiday lets-fucking-go

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 23 points 19 hours ago* (last edited 19 hours ago)

https://x.com/YanLian31677392/status/2025714779227402689

There is no such thing as a "balance of payments (bop) deficit" that would require tariffs as exchange rate is flexible (and stable on top). Yet, no one cares Trump is doing it. I know it's "only" 150 days but come on if IEEPA tariffs are illegal then this should be too.

At least with IEEPA the President can pretend there is an emergency, you can't pretend there is a BoP deficit since it doesn't even apply.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 10 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Fake news fake news trump-moist , it's hallucinating

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 29 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (3 children)

67 still triggers me smh speed-dont-laugh

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 24 points 3 days ago (1 children)

so did all the countries which signed trade agreement with higher tariffs get cooked since the method by which Trump applied tariffs is no longer legal (so, where it should be zero or similar right now is double digit)?

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 24 points 3 days ago

i think difference will be the amount, we will see in coming months.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 3 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Reserves are what are used by banks when you transfer money from one bank to another, when Treasury tells you to give certain account money (social security, Gov payments in general) or when you withdraw cash (since cash is a Government liability, not bank liability).

The clearing balances (aka reserves) are held at the Fed, it's Government's liability. Banks can only clear debts between one another using a higher up liability (and that's Gov).

Banks don't need reserves, they need what is known as HQLA (High Quality Liquid Assets) which includes Treasuries. These can then be presented to the Fed or in the interbank market for reserves if needed.

But since they shoved so much reserves, maintaining interest rate by paying interest on reserves, these windows had been very quiet.

See https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=13078

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 2 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (2 children)

Treasuries, particularly short term ones are considered near monies, they are highly liquid and the Fed accepts it as collateral (routine monetary policy). That's how they manage the interest rate they set, called open market operations.

Why could this be happening right now? Maybe some bank needs reserves (clearing balances, used for settling accounts between banks), non bank institutions also have access to the window I think.

Post 2008, the Fed shoved billions of Dollars of clearing balances into the system think it'll increase lending (it didn't as lending isn't reserve constrained but supply-demand constrained ie ppl must be willing to take loans), that's what kept these windows so quiet for long, people called it money printing but whether that's the case depends on what they accept as collateral. If they accept junk private debt then yes it's "quasi fiscal", if its Treasuries, then no.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 18 points 4 days ago (1 children)

The most sad part is the cheap dollar isn't sustainable. Foreign currency reserves are finite and I believe much of Argentina's sources for reserves is fragile ie built on foreign debt.

So it'll break, imports will become unaffordable while local production goes away too. Reminds me of Sri Lanka in 2020-2022 except trade and capital flows are even more liberalized.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 10 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (4 children)

Asset swaps (reserves for Treasuries) of equivalent value which are reversed the following day (hence, temporary and overnight)

 

God, capitalism is so stupid.

 

ARTICLE

The disruption stirred by the US president’s visit is nothing new for Ford. The carmaker last month took a $19.5bn writedown as it scrapped production of its flagship F-150 all-electric pick-up truck after Trump’s crackdown on the green initiatives championed by his predecessor, Joe Biden.

Since returning to the White House last year, Trump has upended entire industries without warning, as he takes the most interventionist approach to business of any president in recent history, executives say.

Trump’s announcement just after 2026 began that the US would take control of Venezuela’s oil industry sent shares in American refiners soaring on the prospect of a flood of fresh crude. But it also stung executives in the US shale patch, who were already worrying about low crude prices.

Even comments on social media can shake corporate behemoths: a Truth Social threat last week to ban large investors from buying single-family homes sent homebuilder shares tumbling, while a proposed cap on credit card rates knocked Visa, American Express and shares in some big banks.

Trump’s reach also extended to the $11tn mortgage bond market: he nudged borrowing costs lower earlier this month with a post announcing plans for a $200bn asset purchase programme.

“Maga has gone Maoist. It is state capitalism. It is not remotely conservative,” said Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, a Yale professor and author of Trump’s Ten Commandments, a book on how executives can manage the president’s diktats.

Conscious of the risks in provoking the president’s wrath, only a few executives at America’s biggest corporations have dared defy him.

ExxonMobil boss Darren Woods last week shrugged off Trump’s calls for drillers to pump billions of dollars into Venezuela, calling the country “uninvestable” at a White House meeting featuring the president, other senior officials and more than a dozen oil executives.

JPMorgan Chase chief executive Jamie Dimon similarly hit Trump with a barb this week, when he said attacks on Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell could raise interest rates and inflation.

Both Dimon and Woods faced swift rebukes from a president who has shown a strong willingness to express his views about corporate America.

Industry leaders say the events of recent weeks are a taste of what is to come, with Trump’s increasingly imperious approach likely to intensify in 2026 — with enormous consequences for US business.

“This year is going to be a very turbulent one until the [November] midterms,” said the chief executive of a Wall Street bank. “We are going to have the most activist year of his presidency and we are all ready for it.”

Executives say the list of flashpoints is likely to widen. After Venezuela, advisers point to Greenland, long coveted by Trump for its strategic location and mineral resources, as a possible next target, a prospect that has already drawn the attention of energy and mining companies.

For corporate bosses, much often comes down to their ability to build personal relationships with Trump or woo him with splashy commitments.

“Trump is a president like no other,” said a lobbyist with decades of experience advising chief executives dealing with US administrations. “Some see a fascist or an autocrat, others a benevolent dictator or even a genius. Whatever the view, a blunt lesson has taken hold in boardrooms: standing up to Trump is usually a losing strategy.”

Privately, several executives concede they have little appetite for kowtowing to Trump. But advisers say a pragmatic playbook has emerged: show up, make a promise grand enough to flatter the president, and then do as little as possible until his attention shifts elsewhere.

A senior banker, who said Trump officials disliked him for his political views, admitted many CEOs preferred to stay silent because, despite the administration’s disruptive approach, the economy remained strong and stock prices broadly rallied across sectors to record levels after an initial sell-off triggered by the president’s trade war, which was later scaled back.

The president’s “One, Big Beautiful Bill Act”, which was passed late last year, has also delivered a tax windfall for many companies.

A template for courting Trump emerged at a White House dinner in September where tech chiefs, including Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Google’s Sundar Pichai and Apple’s Tim Cook, vied to pledge tens of billions of dollars in US investment.

Zuckerberg went furthest, telling Trump he would spend “something like, at least $600bn” through 2028, drawing praise from the president — before later being caught on a hot mic apologising that he “wasn’t sure what number you wanted to go with”.

The episode, executives and advisers said, underscored a lesson many had since internalised: under Trump, optics matter more than precision, and public deference often counts for more than binding commitments.

That approach, however, has not always worked.

Korean auto giant Hyundai’s chair, Chung Eui-sun, was appearing with Trump in the White House in March last year to announce an increase in the group’s total investment in the US to $21bn between 2025 and 2028.

The gesture was praised by Trump but it failed to protect Hyundai or South Korea from steep auto tariffs of 25 per cent imposed by the president two days later, while a battery plant being built by Hyundai and LG in the state of Georgia was raided by US immigration officials in September.

A top adviser to CEOs of America’s largest corporations said that despite the risk of a backlash, some of his clients felt it was their duty to country as well as shareholders and employees to use their company’s clout to push back on some of Trump’s policies that they believed risked harming national interests.

“The key is how you do it,” said the PR specialist. “You have to find a smart way to act as a corporate leader, defending your company’s and industry’s interest without alienating the president.”

Even talking about small changes in not allowing corps to capture as much rents is now Maoism.

 

Oops YouTube removed it. Backup:

https://youtu.be/8uc1hVmtzEk

 

thonk-cri

 

article for freeBulgaria became the 21st member of the Eurozone on Thursday, completing a long-sought step in its European integration despite years of political instability and pro-Russian campaigning against the move.

Sofia has failed to form a stable government for nearly five years. Large protests in November led to the collapse of the latest cabinet and raised the prospect of an eighth election in as many years. Allegations of corruption and mismanagement, the absence of a 2026 budget and sustained fear-mongering by pro-Russian forces have all tainted the moment of euro adoption.

“I warmly welcome Bulgaria to the euro family,” said European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde.

“The euro is a powerful symbol of what Europe can achieve when we work together, and of the shared values and collective strength that we can leverage to confront the global geopolitical uncertainty that we face at the moment.”

What might otherwise have been a celebration of European values has proved more divisive in the Balkan country. Support for the euro stands at about 40 per cent, while opposition exceeds half the population, according to two Eurobarometer surveys conducted in 2025.

Public scepticism is driven in part by fears that retailers will round up prices during the currency conversion, as occurred in other countries after euro entry. The prolonged absence of a stable government has also undermined official efforts to defend the changeover.

Disinformation watchdogs say opposition has been amplified by a sustained campaign from pro-Russian political forces and co-ordinated messaging on social media. Parties such as the far-right Revival, along with Bulgaria’s pro-Russian president Rumen Radev, have called for a referendum on the euro.

Anti-euro activism has been led chiefly by Revival, which has organised protests across Bulgaria, some featuring Russian flags and clashes with police outside EU institutions. During one demonstration in Sofia, supporters attempted to set fire to part of the European Commission’s delegation, chanting slogans such as “No to the euro” and “We want to keep the lev”. The messaging centres on claims that joining the euro would erode national sovereignty, undermine Bulgarian identity and benefit political elites.

Goran Georgiev, an expert on Russian disinformation at the Centre for the Study of Democracy in Sofia, points to a “decades-long push by the Kremlin and its proxies to block Bulgaria’s accession first to the EU and Nato, and later to Schengen and the Eurozone.

“Bulgaria’s euro-Atlantic integration succeeded despite this, and despite systemic problems such as corruption and the lack of an independent justice system,” he said. “The reforms pledged at EU accession in 2007 are still the ones the country struggles to deliver.”

Outgoing prime minister Rosen Zhelyazkov acknowledged “challenges” ahead but said the euro would have a “long-term positive effect” on the economy. Bulgaria’s inflation rate of 5.2 per cent in November “had nothing to do with the euro”, he added.

The switch from the lev to the euro is expected to have limited immediate economic impact, as the national currency has been pegged to the Deutsche mark and later the euro since the 1990s to guard against hyperinflation.

Eurozone membership, however, gives Bulgaria a seat on the European Central Bank’s governing council for the first time, granting it a direct voice in monetary policy.

Now Bulgaria is locked in, no more option to break the currency board.

Don't like what Troika did to Greece and PIIGS? You are spreading pro-Russia propaganda.

You don't like that Eurozone member country debt have credit risk and are closer to American states than actual countries? Russian propagandist.

 

Chinese phones are doing so well battery wise unlike Apple, Samsung, Google etc.

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