FuckyWucky

joined 2 years ago
MODERATOR OF
[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 13 points 18 hours ago

FPTP is such shit.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 28 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

All this is just capitalism, the capitalists only care about turning money into more money. They don't care how that money is coming from, asset price inflation, Government, credit whatever. One can call it a different variant, but its just capitalism at core.

I mean, MIC has been a thing for decades, basically getting guaranteed transfers from the US Government. The banks were bailed out with $28T of Gov funds during GFC and Obamna did nothing to those responsible for it. The $28T didn't go into a void, it becomes hoards for the capitalists, which aren't taxed well or at all.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 23 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

Hasan or whoever saying they will vote third party doesn't change the actual reality at all. Will millions of people get out and vote for the corporate Democrat? Why is this so difficult for liberals to understand.

Also, he lives in California, where Democrats have won Presidential elections continously. It makes even less of a difference. Let him vote what he believes rather than stupid harm reduction which doesn't even apply

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 21 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (3 children)

significant amount of the AI investment leaks abroad, all the GPU imports, server stuff and all, and another huge chunk goes to capitalist hoards. very little domestic multipliers, maybe some temporary construction jobs some staff but thats it.

It does hold up some asset prices.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 40 points 3 days ago

"manslaughter"

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 20 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

The Germans and the exporters won't like it.

Whether it's borrowing or spending itself is complicated. Because EU itself making bonds would mean member countries will have to tax more (depending on who are taxed, it'll be bad for members' growth), provide EU with Euros to pay the debt (politically difficult), also will mean high interest rates (considering there is no lender of last resort).

Or ECB could buy the debt instead but then certain members will complain. Neither works well.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 5 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

Invoicing/settlement currency is not the same as source of foreign currency. Net settlement of imbalances have to be done somehow.

And yea, China exported real goods and imported claims on foreigners/foreign assets/

If China sells goods, receives Dollars and then swaps it for gold, or just real assets in Africa then it still means the surplus is settled in foreign assets. If foreigners can't hold CNY assets, then adjustment happens by China holding foreign assets instead. Even if China holds 0 Treasuries, 0 USD assets and only real assets even then a trade surplus country like China is accumulating foreign assets, so the world is not holding financial claims on China, it's still the creditor and Yuan (a financial asset) isn't the asset the world is holding.

And look at what % of total trade is swapped for real assets. I can't find the exact numbers but real assets are more complicated to obtain. Commodities tend to bubble up when you buy too much of it. Keep in mind they have over a trillion dollar trade surplus.

. If China stops recycling its surplus into the US bond market then the US loses its primary source of cheap credit.

Not how credit works, it is rest of the world's demand for US Dollars that results in US having a current account deficit, again rest of the world is willing to accept USD, US fiscal deficits are financed by spending itself. If China and the whole world decides they don't want Treasuries, US domestic holders can buy it instead, and if domestic people don't find yield attractive, the Fed can buy it. Or, Treasury can simply spend without providing free money assets i.e. Treasuries. The real adjustment wouldn't US can't 'finance itself' or whatever but shows up in exchange rates, as I said, Americans will have less foreign goods. And Trump has already done a light version of that with his tariffs.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 3 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (3 children)

trade with China

Pay for the trade how?

You can look at balance of payments data of large countries and it will tell you U.S. and West make up biggest portion of their Trade and Financial Account. Indonesia, Malaysia all these countries earn significant amount of their foreign currencies from the U.S.

China's trade surplus by definition has to be paid for by a capital/financial account surplus, so on the whole it means China (private, public and the central bank) accumulates financial claims on the rest of the world. Since China doesn't supply Yuan in significant amounts (due to capital controls and their policy choices), the large chunk of the claims are in US Dollars, Euros and other first world currencies. In other words, other countries must pay for China's trade surplus somehow.

This can change, for example, if China opens up capital controls, then other countries may borrow from China to buy Chinese goods. What makes Western inflows different is that they purchase some amounts of third world currency assets, like Indonesian Rupiah equities, debt which brings in foreign currencies without debt service risk (at least under a floating currency). If Chinese Government or people were allowed and encouraged to do that this may change.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 22 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (6 children)

Not them, but you can't sell Treasuries without a counterparty. China is only able to sell these because there is a buyer on the other side.

And when China sells Dollars which they obtain from sale of Treasuries for Yuan, the Yuan appreciates in the foreign exchange market. But even here, there is a counterparty, someone must be willing to part with Yuan and accept Dollars, the price moves only.

The thing is, it's still relatively easy even with Trump tariffs to get Dollars, plenty of Americans buying financial and real assets abroad, US runs a trade deficit despite Trump. And countries excluding China have been doing whatever they can to obtain Dollars. Since Yuan appreciates, these countries will have to work harder/get lower goods from China.

Dollar's International dominance will end when countries increase domestic demand and Governments do an export ban, at least some restrictions on the US or if China or some major economy supplies what US is doing currently, which is not happening right now.

Even this doesn't mean the end of the Dollar, USD will continue to be in demand within the US, but US will lose some of the resources, labor extracted from elsewhere (real terms of trade) and prices go up (bad news for Treatlers). But it won't be screwed like Venezuela or Syria. Even lesser tier first world currencies like the British Pound, Polish Zloty etc still have disproportionate privilege.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 18 points 5 days ago (2 children)

Send military ships with them as escort? Isn't that possible?

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 23 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (5 children)

Where's Russia, give them fuel ffs soviet-hmm

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 16 points 5 days ago
 

ARTICLE

The disruption stirred by the US president’s visit is nothing new for Ford. The carmaker last month took a $19.5bn writedown as it scrapped production of its flagship F-150 all-electric pick-up truck after Trump’s crackdown on the green initiatives championed by his predecessor, Joe Biden.

Since returning to the White House last year, Trump has upended entire industries without warning, as he takes the most interventionist approach to business of any president in recent history, executives say.

Trump’s announcement just after 2026 began that the US would take control of Venezuela’s oil industry sent shares in American refiners soaring on the prospect of a flood of fresh crude. But it also stung executives in the US shale patch, who were already worrying about low crude prices.

Even comments on social media can shake corporate behemoths: a Truth Social threat last week to ban large investors from buying single-family homes sent homebuilder shares tumbling, while a proposed cap on credit card rates knocked Visa, American Express and shares in some big banks.

Trump’s reach also extended to the $11tn mortgage bond market: he nudged borrowing costs lower earlier this month with a post announcing plans for a $200bn asset purchase programme.

“Maga has gone Maoist. It is state capitalism. It is not remotely conservative,” said Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, a Yale professor and author of Trump’s Ten Commandments, a book on how executives can manage the president’s diktats.

Conscious of the risks in provoking the president’s wrath, only a few executives at America’s biggest corporations have dared defy him.

ExxonMobil boss Darren Woods last week shrugged off Trump’s calls for drillers to pump billions of dollars into Venezuela, calling the country “uninvestable” at a White House meeting featuring the president, other senior officials and more than a dozen oil executives.

JPMorgan Chase chief executive Jamie Dimon similarly hit Trump with a barb this week, when he said attacks on Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell could raise interest rates and inflation.

Both Dimon and Woods faced swift rebukes from a president who has shown a strong willingness to express his views about corporate America.

Industry leaders say the events of recent weeks are a taste of what is to come, with Trump’s increasingly imperious approach likely to intensify in 2026 — with enormous consequences for US business.

“This year is going to be a very turbulent one until the [November] midterms,” said the chief executive of a Wall Street bank. “We are going to have the most activist year of his presidency and we are all ready for it.”

Executives say the list of flashpoints is likely to widen. After Venezuela, advisers point to Greenland, long coveted by Trump for its strategic location and mineral resources, as a possible next target, a prospect that has already drawn the attention of energy and mining companies.

For corporate bosses, much often comes down to their ability to build personal relationships with Trump or woo him with splashy commitments.

“Trump is a president like no other,” said a lobbyist with decades of experience advising chief executives dealing with US administrations. “Some see a fascist or an autocrat, others a benevolent dictator or even a genius. Whatever the view, a blunt lesson has taken hold in boardrooms: standing up to Trump is usually a losing strategy.”

Privately, several executives concede they have little appetite for kowtowing to Trump. But advisers say a pragmatic playbook has emerged: show up, make a promise grand enough to flatter the president, and then do as little as possible until his attention shifts elsewhere.

A senior banker, who said Trump officials disliked him for his political views, admitted many CEOs preferred to stay silent because, despite the administration’s disruptive approach, the economy remained strong and stock prices broadly rallied across sectors to record levels after an initial sell-off triggered by the president’s trade war, which was later scaled back.

The president’s “One, Big Beautiful Bill Act”, which was passed late last year, has also delivered a tax windfall for many companies.

A template for courting Trump emerged at a White House dinner in September where tech chiefs, including Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Google’s Sundar Pichai and Apple’s Tim Cook, vied to pledge tens of billions of dollars in US investment.

Zuckerberg went furthest, telling Trump he would spend “something like, at least $600bn” through 2028, drawing praise from the president — before later being caught on a hot mic apologising that he “wasn’t sure what number you wanted to go with”.

The episode, executives and advisers said, underscored a lesson many had since internalised: under Trump, optics matter more than precision, and public deference often counts for more than binding commitments.

That approach, however, has not always worked.

Korean auto giant Hyundai’s chair, Chung Eui-sun, was appearing with Trump in the White House in March last year to announce an increase in the group’s total investment in the US to $21bn between 2025 and 2028.

The gesture was praised by Trump but it failed to protect Hyundai or South Korea from steep auto tariffs of 25 per cent imposed by the president two days later, while a battery plant being built by Hyundai and LG in the state of Georgia was raided by US immigration officials in September.

A top adviser to CEOs of America’s largest corporations said that despite the risk of a backlash, some of his clients felt it was their duty to country as well as shareholders and employees to use their company’s clout to push back on some of Trump’s policies that they believed risked harming national interests.

“The key is how you do it,” said the PR specialist. “You have to find a smart way to act as a corporate leader, defending your company’s and industry’s interest without alienating the president.”

Even talking about small changes in not allowing corps to capture as much rents is now Maoism.

 

Oops YouTube removed it. Backup:

https://youtu.be/8uc1hVmtzEk

 

thonk-cri

 

article for freeBulgaria became the 21st member of the Eurozone on Thursday, completing a long-sought step in its European integration despite years of political instability and pro-Russian campaigning against the move.

Sofia has failed to form a stable government for nearly five years. Large protests in November led to the collapse of the latest cabinet and raised the prospect of an eighth election in as many years. Allegations of corruption and mismanagement, the absence of a 2026 budget and sustained fear-mongering by pro-Russian forces have all tainted the moment of euro adoption.

“I warmly welcome Bulgaria to the euro family,” said European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde.

“The euro is a powerful symbol of what Europe can achieve when we work together, and of the shared values and collective strength that we can leverage to confront the global geopolitical uncertainty that we face at the moment.”

What might otherwise have been a celebration of European values has proved more divisive in the Balkan country. Support for the euro stands at about 40 per cent, while opposition exceeds half the population, according to two Eurobarometer surveys conducted in 2025.

Public scepticism is driven in part by fears that retailers will round up prices during the currency conversion, as occurred in other countries after euro entry. The prolonged absence of a stable government has also undermined official efforts to defend the changeover.

Disinformation watchdogs say opposition has been amplified by a sustained campaign from pro-Russian political forces and co-ordinated messaging on social media. Parties such as the far-right Revival, along with Bulgaria’s pro-Russian president Rumen Radev, have called for a referendum on the euro.

Anti-euro activism has been led chiefly by Revival, which has organised protests across Bulgaria, some featuring Russian flags and clashes with police outside EU institutions. During one demonstration in Sofia, supporters attempted to set fire to part of the European Commission’s delegation, chanting slogans such as “No to the euro” and “We want to keep the lev”. The messaging centres on claims that joining the euro would erode national sovereignty, undermine Bulgarian identity and benefit political elites.

Goran Georgiev, an expert on Russian disinformation at the Centre for the Study of Democracy in Sofia, points to a “decades-long push by the Kremlin and its proxies to block Bulgaria’s accession first to the EU and Nato, and later to Schengen and the Eurozone.

“Bulgaria’s euro-Atlantic integration succeeded despite this, and despite systemic problems such as corruption and the lack of an independent justice system,” he said. “The reforms pledged at EU accession in 2007 are still the ones the country struggles to deliver.”

Outgoing prime minister Rosen Zhelyazkov acknowledged “challenges” ahead but said the euro would have a “long-term positive effect” on the economy. Bulgaria’s inflation rate of 5.2 per cent in November “had nothing to do with the euro”, he added.

The switch from the lev to the euro is expected to have limited immediate economic impact, as the national currency has been pegged to the Deutsche mark and later the euro since the 1990s to guard against hyperinflation.

Eurozone membership, however, gives Bulgaria a seat on the European Central Bank’s governing council for the first time, granting it a direct voice in monetary policy.

Now Bulgaria is locked in, no more option to break the currency board.

Don't like what Troika did to Greece and PIIGS? You are spreading pro-Russia propaganda.

You don't like that Eurozone member country debt have credit risk and are closer to American states than actual countries? Russian propagandist.

 

Chinese phones are doing so well battery wise unlike Apple, Samsung, Google etc.

 

In Shreve, Crump & Low, a jewellery store in Greenwich, Connecticut, a Laurent Ferrier “Grand Sport Tourbillon” watch can set you back as much as $210,000. Business is brisk.

“We’re very blessed in Greenwich,” said managing partner Bradford Walker. The Swiss luxury watches, natural diamonds, sapphires and emeralds the shop specialises in are all selling well. “Demand has actually increased over the past six months.”

In the city of Bridgeport, a 30-minute drive away, demand is also rising — but for a different kind of product. People here are flocking to the city’s food pantries and soup kitchens as the high cost of living bears down on lower-income families. 

“I’m living day by day,” said Jamaica-born Roselyn Macdonald, as she picked up eggs from a food bank in The Hollow, a poor immigrant neighbourhood of Bridgeport. Macdonald is unemployed and struggling to pay her bills.

A man in a suit stands smiling behind a jewelry display counter at Shreve, Crump & Low in Greenwich, surrounded by luxury jewelry and a chandelier overhead.

‘We’re very blessed in Greenwich,’ says Bradford Walker, managing partner of a jewellery store © Pascal Perich/FT

Volunteers prepare and distribute bagged lunches while people wait and eat inside the Thomas Merton Center soup kitchen.

Volunteers prepare food for people in need in Bridgeport © Pascal Perich/FT

This is the tale of two cities — a pair of communities just 30 miles apart that have experienced such contrasting fortunes they could be in different countries.

Together, they symbolise America’s K-shaped economy — a split screen where asset-owning classes have become ever wealthier while lower-income households have seen their living standards stagnate or decline.

This bifurcation has pushed the issue of affordability to the top of the US political agenda, threatening the Republican party’s prospects in next year’s midterm elections and weighing on Donald Trump’s presidency.

Fairfield County, where Greenwich and Bridgeport are situated, is one of the most K-shaped regions in America. In Greenwich, home to hedge funds including AQR, Viking Global Investors and Lone Pine Capital, the average gross income per tax return was $687,000 in 2023. In Bridgeport it was a tenth of that — just $70,500.

A person walks past the Saks Fifth Avenue storefront decorated with garlands and lights in downtown Greenwich, Connecticut.

In Greenwich, the average gross income per tax return was $687,000 in 2023 © Pascal Perich/FT

Those disparities have got worse in recent years. “The gap is widening, not narrowing,” said David Rabin, head of Greenwich United Way, a local non-profit organisation.

The Republicans’ signature legislative achievement this year, the “big beautiful bill”, has in some cases made families’ situations worse. The legislation, which Trump signed in July, has delivered tax cuts for the rich while reducing federal funding for Medicaid, the taxpayer-funded health insurance programme for low-income Americans, and food stamps known as Snap.

According to the Congressional Budget Office, a non-partisan agency, households in the bottom decile of income distribution will lose about $1,600 per year as a result of the law, while those in the top 10 per cent will see a $12,000 annual gain.

National surveys underscore the divergence. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index shows that people with investment portfolios feel significantly better about the economy than those who do not own stocks, with sentiment among non-stockholders sinking to its lowest point since the university began collecting such data in 1998.

This split is on show in Fairfield County. In Greenwich and other rich enclaves such as Darien and New Canaan, “people’s net worth and wealth has been increasing as home prices and the stock market have gone up”, said Mark Abraham, head of DataHaven, a Connecticut-based non-profit research organisation that studies social trends and public data.

“But the majority, people who are just starting out in their career or don’t own a home or don’t have a stock portfolio, they’re kind of treading water,” Abraham added.

Mendi Blue Paca, head of Fairfield County’s Communities Foundation, which awards grants to local charities, said chronic homelessness had been virtually eliminated in the area about six years ago, but since the coronavirus pandemic it had been “going gangbusters”.

“The shelters are overflowing, the pantries are overwhelmed,” she said. “And it’s not just people below the poverty line showing up for handouts — it’s the working poor, as well, who are now food insecure.”

With its waterside mansions, private beaches and Lamborghini dealerships, Greenwich — where the median sale price for a single-family home rose to $3.5mn in July from $3.1mn the previous year — is largely insulated from such problems.

The town has benefited from a stock market that hit near record highs this year: the HFRI fund-weighted composite index, a barometer of the global hedge fund industry’s health, was up more than 11 per cent by November, close to its best performance since 2016.

“There are lots of people making lots of money,” said Bruce McGuire, head of the Connecticut Hedge Fund Association. “The shops and restaurants up and down Greenwich Avenue all seem to be doing very well.”

But even in Greenwich, where 9 per cent of people live below the federal poverty line, the stresses are growing. Rabin said low- and middle-income families often struggled to come up with the $151,000 a year needed for rent, food and child care in the town. “Almost a third of the population here are one missed pay cheque away from disaster,” he said.

Rabin also noted that as a result of Trump’s tax and spending bill, about a quarter of the 850 people in Greenwich who usually receive food stamps were no longer eligible for them.

In Bridgeport, the effect of the bill will be far greater. A large share of the population depends on Snap and Medicaid, said Rhonda Neal, head of Bridgeport Rescue Mission, a charity. “If you cut [them], you’re affecting the working poor, the elderly and kids.”

Several volunteers serve lunch to guests at a soup kitchen counter, with trays of food and bagged meals visible.

Lunch is served at the Thomas Merton Center in Bridgeport © Pascal Perich/FT

The increased need is obvious at the Thomas Merton Family Center in Bridgeport, where a soup kitchen doles out plates of meatballs and pasta to a snaking queue of single men and married couples.

“Every day we have new faces coming here,” said the head chef, Kelemen. Four years ago, 125-150 people showed up for lunch: “Now it’s 200-250.”

Juan Cardona is a typical guest, a homeless ex-convict who lives in a tent. “Bridgeport is rough,” he said. “But the only way is up.”

Trump has described “affordability” as the “greatest con job”. But he has also stressed his administration is working hard to lower prices. In a speech from the White House on December 17, he blamed the high cost of living on his predecessor, Joe Biden, and claimed that inflation was being “crushed”.

People in Bridgeport are unconvinced. “Trump is the biggest liar,” said Robert Walsh, a homeless man who works as a pantry co-ordinator at the Thomas Merton Family Center. “He said he was going to bring prices down on his first day in office. Instead they’ve gone way up.”

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