this post was submitted on 25 Jun 2025
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chapotraphouse

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[–] FourteenEyes@hexbear.net 38 points 1 week ago

When you are correct exactly once and then significantly wrong on a number of things in a conspicuous manner on a regular basis for the remainder of your career

[–] Llituro@hexbear.net 21 points 1 week ago (1 children)
[–] FourteenEyes@hexbear.net 18 points 1 week ago (1 children)
[–] Barabas@hexbear.net 10 points 1 week ago

Nate Sawdust

[–] keepcarrot@hexbear.net 13 points 1 week ago

Nate "It's probably foolish to think" Silver

[–] ClathrateG@hexbear.net 13 points 1 week ago (1 children)

so the only thing this bozo ever got right was trump winning 2016, and even then he didn't fully commit?

[–] barrbaric@hexbear.net 13 points 1 week ago (2 children)

He got famous initially because his model predicted 49/50 states in 2008.

[–] Owl@hexbear.net 9 points 1 week ago

It'd be so easy to replicate that now with AI spam bots. Just make up like 50 guys covering the top 50 most likely results.

[–] Thordros@hexbear.net 9 points 1 week ago

And he was only slightly less wrong than other pollsters in 2016. He was predicting something like a 75% chance of a Clinton win, while everybody else had her in the 90% range.

[–] RiotDoll@hexbear.net 9 points 1 week ago

common nate bronze l