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Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.
A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?
And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?
Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
The 5% GDP military spending thing is really insane, probably just trump doing his classic hard-sell tactic again, because at that point you're really just spending money for spending money's sake.
Just note that when Portugal was fighting a 3 front colonial war its military spending peaked at 4.5% in 1968
The 5% GDP figure is insane. I can see countries leaving NATO over it once Europe's economic fallow bites hard.
It's almost as if the plan is to rearm and make sure no one else can develop rather than attempt to keep pace.
In addition to the obvious MIC graft, the US wants Europe to be capable of antagonizing Russia on their own, while the US has their hands full with China.
These NATO countries are heavily reliant on US weapons manufacturers, so it's basically just a protection racket.
and btw, wtf is a spending goal lol? just throwing away money in hopes of reaching some nebulous goal instead of actually making an efficient military
It is telling that they use the metric of "how much money are you spending" especially when the unsaid part is "how much money are you spending on american weapons/grifts"
The goal isn't to have x number of trained soldiers, y number of operational vehicles, logistical capabilities, or any other number of ways to measure military readiness, but to spend a ridiculous amount of money on (mostly American but also French/British/etc) boondoggles that don't actually work
The Prisons Business Center is preparing to launch an online store to market handicrafts and custom-made products created by inmates. To streamline the process, they are asking the Ministry of Justice to allow them to enter into smaller contracts without the need for public procurement procedures.
The Prisons Business Center is seeking to open an online store to market handicrafts and custom-made products. In a letter sent to the Ministry of Justice and Digital Affairs, Tallinn Prison noted that there are already examples of good practice — under the Stoveman brand, quality metal products made by inmates are currently being sold.
Aaro Nursi, a member of the Tallinn Prison Commission, informed the ministry that prisons — particularly the Prisons Business Center — need more flexible conditions for finding partners. This would help increase inmate employment and better utilize prison production capacity.
"Current public procurement procedures limit Tallinn Prison's ability to respond quickly to smaller orders and to collaborate with local businesses and municipalities," Nursi said.
He pointed out that, for example, laundry and sewing services could be used more frequently by state institutions, but there are no clear guidelines for allowing internal transactions. Smaller or seasonal orders are often missed because potential partners lack the resources to participate in procurement procedures.
Additionally, prisons cover all production costs themselves — from materials to equipment — and therefore need steady and flexible orders to operate production in a sustainable and cost-effective way.
As a result, the Tallinn Prison Commission proposed that small-scale direct contracts be allowed without the standard public procurement process. They also suggested clarifying the rules for internal transactions between state agencies in order to encourage the purchase of services from prisons.
The prison commission also called on the Ministry of Justice to support the marketing and e-commerce development of prisons, including online sales, and to involve inmates in pilot projects aimed at testing more flexible cooperation models.
"We believe this would increase inmate engagement, support reintegration into society and make prisons more visible and trustworthy partners," Nursi said, asking the ministry to initiate discussions on changing public procurement regulations.
The Ministry of Justice, however, was in no hurry to commit. Deputy Secretary General Rait Kuuse responded to Nursi that the proposal would be taken into account in planning the future activities and direction of the Prisons Business Center, but the ministry currently has no plans to amend procurement regulations.
"The purpose of creating the business center was to boost inmate employment and production capacity — goals that align with the strategic aims of the prison service. Today, we can say the business center has been successful in increasing employment and has launched several new cooperation projects with various partners," Kuuse noted.
The Prisons Business Center was established last year, replacing the former state-owned company AS Eesti Vanglatööstus, and operates across all three of Estonia's prisons.
At Tallinn Prison, inmates produce textiles, metal and wood products; the facility also operates an industrial-scale laundry and handles product assembly and packaging. Examples of inmate-made goods include fireplaces, outdoor grills, fireplace accessories, sauna stoves, metal structures and a variety of custom wood products.
Viru Prison's laundry offers a full range of laundry services. It also produces sauna stoves sold under the Stoveman brand and performs various woodworking tasks.
Tartu Prison provides shot blasting and powder coating services.
better utilize prison production capacity.
Nazi shit
no but this is totally different and better than the evil gulags in siberia where my ~~gestapo~~ "poliitiline politsei" ™ grandpa was sent!!!! -the median estonian
when he's right, he's right 
IAEA chief Grossi gave an interview on French radio today, link here. What I find most interesting is this statement:
Yes, and the knowledge we have of the facilities and capabilities, for example. I'll give you an example: Fordow, the major underground facility that everyone's talking about. It's almost like a movie script. We've seen the images of the perforations from these high-penetration bombs. Obviously, we can't assess the degree of damage. But given the power of these devices and the technical characteristics of a centrifuge, we already know that these centrifuges are no longer operational, because they are fairly precise machines: there are rotors, the vibrations have completely destroyed them. There couldn't have been any nonsense about significant physical damage. So, we can draw a fairly precise technical conclusion. I know the Fordo facility. It's a network of tunnels where different types of activities took place. I can also tell you that what we saw in the images and analyzed more or less corresponds to the enrichment hall.
So that's all the centrifuges at both Fordow and Natanz gone according to the IAEA. Over 15 000 of them were in active operation, 13 000 at Natanz and 2000 at Fordow, with Fordow being especially costly as the advanced IR-6 centrifuges were located there. So the blast pressure and overpressure through the ventilation shafts directly into the enrichment halls destroyed the centrifuges, according to Grossi. Also pretty clear why Iran no longer want to co operate with the IAEA.
It’s like a movie script!
He can barely contain his glee at that attack. Compare that to the serious condemnations the IAEA issued against Russia for seizing ZNPP
Prior to the most recent aid massacre:
“A source in the resistance security in Gaza: The Arrow unit and a force from the investigation department neutralized 17 flour thieves and distributed all quantities to people for free near Bani Suhaila roundabout, Al-Bahr Street, and Al-Saniya roundabout. The thieves are threatened with a severe punishment.”
Important Statement
🇮🇷 Issued by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)
spoiler
In the Name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful
There is no power and no strength except through Allah, the Most High, the Most Great
To the brave and heroic Iranian people, and to the honored families of the martyrs:
Your sons and servants in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, following the aggression launched by the Zionist army on our skies and its initiation of an imposed war on Islamic Iran—and in response to the call of the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, and with the support of the Iranian people—designed and executed a series of operations under the title "Truthful Promise 3", conducted in 22 intense, continuous, and multi-layered waves. These operations targeted a diverse and expansive bank of military objectives belonging to the enemy in the occupied lands of Al-Quds, once again proving that the brave soldiers of this nation never leave any aggression unanswered. With their reliance on Allah, their high determination, and their powerful blows, they shattered and mocked the foolish illusion that Iran could ever surrender.
We honor the martyrs of this imposed war and salute their pure souls. In the epic of sacred defense that lasted 12 days, martyr commanders such as Lieutenant General Mohammad Bagheri, Lieutenant General Gholam Ali Rashid, Lieutenant General Hossein Salami, Lieutenant General Ali Shadmani, Brigadier General Amir Ali Hajizadeh, along with other martyred commanders, martyred scholars, and our civilian martyrs—women and children—became shining suns and beacons of guidance on this battlefield. They proved that martyrdom in defense of the homeland and the Islamic Revolution is the path and ultimate end of every true servant of Allah.
We express our sincere appreciation and respect to the Iranian people—especially the esteemed families of the martyrs—to the Leader of the Islamic Revolution and Commander-in-Chief, His Eminence Grand Ayatollah Imam Khamenei (may his shadow endure), to the Grand Religious Authorities, scholars, the heads of the three branches of power—especially the president and members of the esteemed government—academic elites, the diplomatic corps, national media, virtual space activists, political parties, and medical and relief teams. All these groups stood alongside the Armed Forces and etched their presence in the pages of bright history.
The Iranian people, continuing the values of the eight-year Sacred Defense, offered in this victorious historical confrontation a radiant image of national dignity, the spirit of resistance, and internal cohesion to the world. The result of this unity and effort was a living embodiment of a powerful Iran and a decisive rejection of the calculations of global arrogance against the Iranian people and the sacred Islamic Republic.
The calm, wisdom, and steadfastness shown by the Leader of the Islamic Revolution from the very first day of this imposed war in mobilizing a nationwide stance against the aggressors represented a growing asset that emphasized the unique role of Imamate in unifying the Islamic system and reminded us all of its value. With such a great nation and under the leadership of such a noble guide, the sons of the Armed Forces gain the courage to embark on a civilization-making historic battle.
The IRGC finds itself unable to fully describe and do justice to the sincere, unique, and historic sacrifices of the Armed Forces—especially the valiant fighters of the Aerospace Force, the missile units, the brave Basij, the anonymous heroes in intelligence, and the defenders in the air defense units. For these sacrifices and these fighters, martyrdom remains the only true recompense.
Among the most prominent achievements in this phase of punishing the aggressors, and clear indicators of the misery of the Zionist terrorist killers and their bloodthirsty backers, are the following:
The entry of the already-defeated, criminal American army into the battlefield to rescue the pitiful soldiers of the Zionist army failed to shift the battlefield dynamics or undermine Iran’s upper hand. The retaliatory missile strike on the American Al-Udeid base in Qatar, as part of Operation “Glad Tidings of Victory”, delivered a fresh message of Iran’s strength—and the enemies understood that message clearly.
It is worth emphasizing that the initiator of the imposed war was the Zionist terrorist army. Yet its end was penned by the valiant sons of the people in the Armed Forces—particularly the IRGC Aerospace Force—in the 22nd wave of Operation "Truthful Promise 3", whose final strike was so devastating that the “cries for a ceasefire” erupted from the throats of the savage Zionist regime and the delusional president of America.
Once again, relying on Allah Almighty, we pledge to the heroic Iranian people and the noble families of the martyrs that we shall never tire nor falter in pursuing the two fixed and strategic goals of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps:
1. The expulsion of occupying America from the region 2. The destruction of the Zionist child-killing entity
True peace and stability in the region depend on the fulfillment of these two blessed objectives. We will not loosen our grip on the enemy’s neck—and we will continue to punish it without pause.
"And victory is only from Allah, the Almighty, the Wise." — Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps June 26, 2025
Reading comprehension check:
What are the two most important strategic objectives of the IRGC?
Seeing several polls saying Polish support for Ukraine joining EU has dropped significantly. Like 85% to 35%. Hungary 95% are opposed to them joining EU
Jesus what a drop. I understand Poland but why Hungary?
Just for clarification, is the Polish drop related to the genocide denial and the recognition spat that happened a while back?
I mean the high support for ukraine joining the EU even though that would have big costs to several EU countries is kinda of a function of the stifling of debate around the issue in said countries. If a country, like hungary, is more open debate about criticizing the EU (obviously not all for the right reasons) then I can see how the population can be more aware of those downsides.
Some Westoid Volunteer in the Ukrainian has been posting selfies of their hidden weapon manufacturing plants and Russians have been geolocating and bombing them. https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1lksr0v/ru_pov_a_former_ukrainian_volunteer_posted_a/
This sort has happened several times already. The Ukrainians really need to confiscate their foreign volunteers phones.
they should confiscate their phones and then send them to the furthest forward trenches to absorb some artillery and drones
Its the Reddit Foreign Legion all over again lmao
Man this is scary. What kind of secret magic Russians are using. I hope west never knows
I hope it's as dumb as exif data on the pictures and they still never figure it out
A Reddit link was detected in your comment. Here are links to the same location on alternative frontends that protect your privacy.
I just now realized the title was Iran not harden your heart lmao I kept wondering what that was supposed to mean
That was last week's thread
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:
The White House has released a video of Trump's visit to the NATO summit in The Hague accompanied by the song Hey Daddy. The footage is accompanied by the caption "Daddy's home" - "daddy is back" or "daddy is home".
Let us recall that at the summit, Secretary General Rutte called Trump "daddy". Although he later stated that he was misunderstood. "I didn't call him 'daddy'. I just said that sometimes in Europe I hear some countries asking: 'Hey Mark, will the US stay with us?' And I said that it sounds a bit like a little kid asking his daddy: 'Hey, are you still staying with your family?' So in that sense I used the word 'daddy' - not that I called President Trump daddy," Rutte said.
I had really hoped that completely deranged Tucker Carlson speech about "Daddy's coming home" was just going to be a one off, but these freaks just keep doing it. Something something all politics is sexual pathology or whatever.
The Supreme Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Khamenei, addressed the nation:
– I offer my congratulations to the great nation of Iran; first, congratulations on the victory over the fake Zionist regime, and secondly, the victory over the American regime.
– The Americans entered the war directly because Israel would have completely lost and become hopeless otherwise.
– The U.S. gained nothing from this intervention, Trump greatly exaggerated what happened, and our nuclear sites remain unaffected.
– The enemies don't seek an end to Iran's missile or nuclear program, they seek an unconditional surrender, which our powerful nation will never accept.
– The U.S. needed to put on a show, and that's what they did. But Iran remains steadfast, and our progress continues.