this post was submitted on 09 Jun 2026
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The guys is ~~almost 80~~ 73, he's an old man.
He's been very successful in his tenure, carried out great anti-corruption campaigns, overseen a pivot to green energy, helmed China as it has retaken its place in the sun.
At the same time there's a lot of foreign policy stuff that leaves some wanting. There's still cliques of liberals (as far as I understand, which is very little, which is why I ask) that are working towards something very different (I hear Shanghai is really bad?) not to mention some impending economic doom, according to some China posters here.

Whatever the case is, Xi has been monumental and at the forefront of a great wave of change. One must Imagine he has planned for his retirement, moved things around to ensure some of His Guys are in good positions to take over.
Or maybe not?

So what happens when he goes away? Who is likely to take his spot? What will happen on the world stage?

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[–] Wertheimer@hexbear.net 44 points 2 months ago (1 children)
[–] segfault11@hexbear.net 16 points 2 months ago (3 children)

the follow up to XI is actually XIV

[–] Wertheimer@hexbear.net 9 points 2 months ago

Saudis playing the really long game by starting LIV Golf

[–] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 7 points 2 months ago (2 children)
[–] BaggedEarful@hexbear.net 12 points 2 months ago

I think it's a reference to the hit MMO Final Fantasy XIV being a sequel to Final Fantasy XI.

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[–] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 41 points 2 months ago (1 children)

When he retires, the next general secretary will be elected during a plenary session of the Central Committee, as it always has under a socialist democratic system.

[–] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 26 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

Yes that part I get, but there must be some frontrunners people expect are likely to win, which is what I am curious about.
I figure there are also different camps within the party, and they are likely to make some political play or other. I am curious to hear what people know about the current political landscape of China and what they expect to be happen when Xi some day steps down - since he is so popular it is unlikely he would lose an election.

[–] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 14 points 2 months ago

Insofar as I am aware as an outsider looking in, factionalism has been curbed under Xi's term and the only "faction" that exists" is the standing committee,politburo, and central committee all in agreement with Xi's direction, called the "New Zhijiang Army", or just the "Xi faction"

[–] oliveoil@hexbear.net 33 points 2 months ago (2 children)

The failure of the USA will put a limit on the power and appeal of the liberal factions.

People will push further for the socialism that helped them.

[–] darkcalling@hexbear.net 13 points 2 months ago (1 children)

I'm not so convinced. Liberalism is seductive like a religion. The truth doesn't matter to liberals nor the appeal of liberalism I think. It whispers in your ear begging you to dance. For some amount of people facts, logic, reasoning don't really matter, it's about emotions and the feel of a thing so these are vulnerable to emotional appeals and propaganda.

Many Chinese may also not see it as socialism that helped them but some special Chinese nationalism or believe their people are superior, that they accomplished it in-spite of socialism not because of it. Never under-estimate the human ability for self-deception.

Care should be taken. Given Xi was chosen in the first place there is good reason to be hopeful about the CPC's abilities but danger continues to lurk.

[–] oliveoil@hexbear.net 8 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Have you seen Chinese people speak of racial exeptionalism?

Chinese media phrasing things in terms of "see how our system has made us so successful" and "this system is why we are doing so much better".

Not "We're better because we're Chinese".

Not to insult you, but not listening to "facts, logic, reasoning" seems to me to describe yourself. I say this because you are applying the world of politics you know and are familiar with - outside of it's context.

The world you know is one of racial supremacism, ethnonarcissism, idealism, lack of dialectical materialism.

Are we describing China? Is this how they teach people to think in China? If it is, then what is Chinese socialism?

Do you believe that China is a socialist country? Do you believe that China is a communist country?

[–] darkcalling@hexbear.net 8 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Oh please.

There are people in China who are Chinese nationalists. Not necessarily along some sort of racialized supremacist lines as in the US but who are less communists and more nationalists and who in a hypothetical where a US blockade and missteps led to economic problems and suffering might easily turn on the party just as soon because the economic headwinds have changed and they no longer see the party as benefiting them. And there are a ton of fair weather communists who are so because it's the path of least resistance and because they were educated in such. Such people at times get into various levels of leadership and such people at times also take the path of least resistance in engaging in corruption and taking money as we have seen.

To assert Chinese people are somehow special and the 'white-brain-pan' is the only one that can possibly be vulnerable to the siren song of liberalism is itself a racially reductive and problematic take. There are traitors within China including within the CPC as there were within the USSR and the party there. China has taken steps with lessons learned from the fall of the USSR to attempt to address many of these problems and that is good but given the amount of corruption Xi had to root out, the existence of liberal cliques, etc there are inevitably as part of China's opening up necessary playing with fire economic liberalization and penetration by foreign capital (to secure that capital) those who feel a certain way and have not been necessarily purged but who fester, tolerated so as to not scare off foreign capital and economic partnership and only reigned in as Jack Ma was if they openly go too far against the party. This however says nothing to what some of these traitors may privately think but be smart enough not to give voice to at present. Rot starts small with little concessions. Kruschev did not set out to destroy communism or the USSR and there is more than one way to fell a tree.

What I am saying is it is the mandate of the party, the vanguard to maintain vigilance. To not grow slack, to not assume liberalism can be so easily extinguished as you do. It is a weed and it must be plucked and it must be understood it can sprout up time and again from apparently cleared soil and that the vigilance here will need to be a longer one.

Importantly the USA has not yet failed. It is the strongest empire in history with a lot of cultural hegemony still built in around the globe and seeped into a lot of thinking in ways people don't even realize. It will likely be decades before the danger lessens significantly as that is how long it will take assume the Iran war really does bring US power and image low (a Suez Crisis moment) for this all to really fully manifest in the illusion and its remnants falling away. In that time China will almost certainly transition to a new leader. Like an injured scorpion it isn't wise to count it out but be more cautious than ever in its death throes. Future generations next century may live free of this watchful vigilance if we are successful. But we owe it to all who have struggled not to presume too much too soon. Until the enemy is buried and long dead and discredited the risk remains and so must worry and watchfulness.

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[–] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 7 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Is that something that can be seen occurring at the moment in China?

[–] oliveoil@hexbear.net 12 points 2 months ago (2 children)

"At the moment" is a non-sequitur.

Xi Jinping isn't dead yet. He is 73.

Average life expectancy in China is 79 years. We should adjust this number, since he is not the average person. I would suggest +1 Standard Deviation (SD) - but I can't find that.

Absent of other information we are looking at.

  • 79 + SD - 73 = 6 + SD
  • Current year = 2026
  • 2026 + 6 + SD = 2032 + SD

At the rate things are going, where the world is looking to China rather than the US, where the world is turning away from the US, where we have a midterm election this year, where we have a full election 2 years from now, where Trump faces jail upon losing, where MAGA talks up a civil war, etc - do you think Chinese liberals are going to have an easy time promoting US-style politics?

Power faces many dynamics, and the global trend is away from liberalism.

[–] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 20 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

You make some really good points, but I couldn't help but laugh at:

where Trump faces jail upon losing

michael-laugh That will never happen. Aside from the usual political theatrics between the two parties of capital, the ruling class is not going to set that precedent where one of their own will be tried and convicted.

[–] oliveoil@hexbear.net 5 points 2 months ago (1 children)

The administration would still have that as a fear.

It's part of the reason why Joe Biden preemptively pardoned Hunter.

[–] TreadOnMe@hexbear.net 6 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (4 children)

But no one would go after Joe Biden hinself. It is literally baked into executive privilege as defined by the Supreme Court.

You have to understand, we struggle to bring even basic law enforcement officers to justice here in the states, the executive branch is both de-jure and de-facto off-limits, especially once they are out of office. If Nixon, Obama or H.W. Bush (or hell basically any sitting president in the last 130 years) didn't serve a single day in jail, there is 0% chance that Donald Trump will. He is the Republican Party now and everyone knows it. To arrest him post-presidency is literally to incite civil war, and liberals are far too big on civility to invite that kind of strife.

Trump will issue blanket pardons to his family (well maybe not Eric or Don Jr.) and cronies, but he does not need to issue one for himself, because he is already covered.

As you speak to our ignorance of the Chinese system and ways of thinking, I implore you to understand your own ignorance in terms of how the American system operates, part of the reason it has stood for so long is because the elite political class are completely insulated from all consequences of their governance. They do not truely hold each other accountable, therefore there is no real elite infighting that causes the normal kind of cracks that could be exploited. They are ruthless and cynical, but only to those outside of their class, and in their class, only in so far as it is about internal jockeying for positions.

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[–] TreadOnMe@hexbear.net 8 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Mostly, it is clear that the full liberalized economic model (ala Japan, South Korea, and Singapore) that was the model that the IMF supposedly based their financial progress against, is clearly flawed (in that it doesn't take into account the sheer amount of free money that was pumped into those economies to get them started, and that they are clearly slowing down, while China is continuing to accelerate).

The success of several different versions of Socialism with __ characteristics is extremely compelling.

[–] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 5 points 2 months ago

To be fair, the economy of Japan slowed down in large part due to the Plaza Accords handicapping economic development

[–] jackmaoist@hexbear.net 30 points 2 months ago (1 children)
[–] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 16 points 2 months ago

Points for the extra iis in jinping

[–] miz@hexbear.net 28 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

~~Xii Jinping, obviously. don't you know your roman numerals?~~

god dammit you guys already made five version of this joke

[–] KuroXppi@hexbear.net 22 points 2 months ago (1 children)

god dammit you guys already made V versions of this joke

[–] GrouchyGrouse@hexbear.net 11 points 2 months ago

Boom gottem

[–] Athena5898@hexbear.net 28 points 2 months ago (1 children)

That guy is almost 80!?!? Jesus Christ, looking good dude. Also disproving that older people are naturally shit at politics. Amazing.

[–] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 21 points 2 months ago (2 children)

73, I thought he was 77 for some reason. Whoops.

[–] oliveoil@hexbear.net 10 points 2 months ago (3 children)

Because 73 is too random of a number. 77 is still pretty random, but not as much.

37 would be very very random.

[–] Johnny_Arson@hexbear.net 14 points 2 months ago

Looks closer to 67 to me troll

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[–] Athena5898@hexbear.net 8 points 2 months ago
[–] FnordPrefect@hexbear.net 24 points 2 months ago

Unfortunately, the successor will be an unbelievably unpopular Xi U...

But hoo boy! when the Xi-witch comes along party-sicko

[–] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 22 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Crosspost this to asklemmy if you want some liberals to dunk on I guess

[–] Maeve@kbin.earth 20 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Maybe ask lemmygrad for a detailed analysis by those more informed on the Chinese electoral process, but I would imagine the CPC has potential nominees and the normal electoral process will occur.

[–] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 13 points 2 months ago

I figure that as well, but even within an actual democracy like China a competent politician will have trustworthy successors lined up to ensure the continuation of their political ideals and projects.

[–] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 20 points 2 months ago

Then we get Xii, Xiii and Xiv Jinping i guess

[–] hotspur@hexbear.net 16 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Him and Putin were allegedly talking about living forever via organ transplants (I think on a hot mic at the PRC military parade) so maybe we’ll never have to find out!

[–] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 22 points 2 months ago

They just talked about organ transplants and advances within the field. Not anything specific to them or eternal life

[–] Majestic@lemmy.ml 18 points 2 months ago (1 children)

That’s Putin’s obsession not Xi’s. As a liberal who largely lives for himself and likely believes in great man theory Putin is much more interested in this idea.

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[–] Le_Wokisme@hexbear.net 14 points 2 months ago

everyone saying xii jinping is wrong, it's actually a countdown to communism so it'll be x jinping then ix jinping and viii jinping until i jinping presses the communism button and the jinping withers away

[–] CliffordBigRedDog@hexbear.net 12 points 2 months ago

The Chinese system is very resilient, the entire central committee can disappear and the CPC would keep trucking along

[–] tactical_trans_karen@hexbear.net 12 points 2 months ago (4 children)

China has been one of the most stable and long lived civilizations in all human history. Socialism grafted well onto their already collectivist oriented culture and is wildly improving the lives of its citizens, and the world is now looking back to them to lead. The government is highly educated in Marxism and it's producing nothing but peace and sustainable growth, and they've quietly plugged away at controlling the base of the world's economy. I have no concerns about what happens after Xi, it's going to be the Chinese millennium at this rate.

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[–] WokePalpatine@hexbear.net 8 points 2 months ago (1 children)
[–] WokePalpatine@hexbear.net 4 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (3 children)

After the block jubilee I got mad at everyone except OP on the site and reblocked everyone so if this joke has been made 13 times already I wouldn't know.

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