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Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.


The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.

Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.

Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it's notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] LocalOaf@hexbear.net 58 points 2 weeks ago

Listening to the latest Death Is Just Around The Corner really depressed me

Gonna try to donate what I can towards Palestinian aid palestine-heart and I feel obligated to keep up with the atrocities perpetrated by the Zionist entity but I feel like it's self harm and I'm hurting myself more than being as informed as I am is helping anything and idk what to do about that

Any advice from other "watches the world burn and can't look away" heads would be appreciated

pain

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[-] Awoo@hexbear.net 58 points 1 week ago

China is calling all of its citizens in Syria to leave the country as soon as possible

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[-] Coolkidbozzy@hexbear.net 57 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

It appears that yoon isn't going to be impeached today

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2024-12-07/south-korea-president-speech

One ruling party lawmaker entered and voted, and the opposition peers cheered him.

Kim Sang-wook, a ruling party lawmaker who voted, says he didn’t support the impeachment motion against President Yoon Suk Yeol, chilling a crowd that had applauded him until a moment ago. Yet he says Yoon doesn’t deserve to be president, as he tearfully recalled armed forces descending down on the parliament, live footage shows.

[He] adds that his party should pivot and support impeachment against Yoon in the next bid unless the president takes an action that would reassure the public by then. The reason he took part in the vote even though he opposed the impeachment is that it was part of his mandate as a legislator, he said.

lmao

South Korea’s acting defense minister has summoned a meeting of top military commanders, News1 reports. It didn’t give details.

The military meeting is to remind commanders that they should stay ready at all times to protect the people against security risks, Nocut News reports, citing the defense ministry. It appears to be a move by the military to salvage its standing and reputation after being involved in the martial-law debacle.

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[-] ShimmeringKoi@hexbear.net 57 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

The words carved into the casings answer something I was wondering, which is "why didn't this apprent professional just stroll up behind the ghoul, put one in the back of his head and keep walking?" Apparently, the answer is that the plan called for three shots.

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[-] sisatici@hexbear.net 57 points 2 weeks ago

Kevin spacey is in israhell stating his support to the state. Pissrael is not beating the allegations

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[-] companero@hexbear.net 57 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Reminder that this is what Korea looked like before China's intervention. It's not too late if Iran is already preparing to go in balls-to-the-wall, but I have a feeling they aren't.

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[-] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 57 points 1 week ago

Yoav Gallant is in New York City today. Our masked hero has the opportunity to become the stuff of legends…

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[-] Torenico@hexbear.net 57 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Free Syria? More like Syria being freely annexed by "Israel"...

They didn't wait even for one second, it's almost as if they had it all figured out beforehand. That's the way they operate, the most disgusting country in the world..

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[-] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 57 points 1 week ago

Today's MoA is worth reading and certified chud-brainworm free

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2024/12/craig-murray-the-end-of-pluralism-in-the-middle-east-.html#more

A truly seismic change in the Middle East appears to be happening very fast. At its heart is a devil’s bargain – Turkey and the Gulf States accept the annihilation of the Palestinian nation and creation of a Greater Israel, in return for the annihilation of the Shia minorities of Syria and Lebanon and the imposition of Salafism across the Eastern Arab world.

What this all potentially amounts to is the end of pluralism in the Levant and its replacement by supremacism. An ethno-supremacist Greater Israel and a religio-supremacist Salafist Greater Syria.

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 57 points 1 week ago

Hebrew media reports that a group of Israeli soldiers accidentally entered a minefield on the Lebanon border, leading to an explosion that injured eight of them in 'Ras al-Naqoura.'

Wtf?

Israel carried out several airstrikes against buildings in Damascus, including the passport & migration office

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 57 points 1 week ago

Yemen's Ansarullah have announced that, in cooperation with the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, they attacked a 'vital target' in the south of Israel using drones.

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[-] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 56 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tbAjKefPYKY

Excellent analysis by a Syrian living in Germany with sources in Syria, he also shares frustration with the Pezeshkian government and its naivety, along with the Arabic world. This is from shortly before the fall of Aleppo but is still all applicable, and he stated it was a strong possibility. Hezbollah agreed to the ceasefire due to existential issues, it knows another round of fighting is upcoming soon and need to take a breather to regroup. They are fixing issues with their internal security, communications, leadership and securing their position in Lebanon. They are in a dangerous and precarious position. They are not abandoning Palestine, they have depleted their resources and capabilities to dangerous levels and are unwilling to completely commit organizational suicide. They are competent fighters but cannot afford the escalation to wholesale slaughter of civilians by the tens of thousands that Israelis were willing to do, they must rethink their strategy and secure their alliances.

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[-] Voidance@hexbear.net 56 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Like with any collapse, i imagine a critical mass of people decided a corrupt, disintegrating status quo just wasn’t worth trying to save anymore, even despite the alternative. Doesn’t necessarily mean Syria will be a new Afghanistan. Although Afghanistan is an interesting example, because the Taliban did not arise out of the Mujahideen, rather they swept into power once the Mujahideen disintegrated into infighting and warlordism. Probably one of the reasons for this disintegration was that the foreign powers supporting the anti-Soviet fighters ceased to give any fucks about Afghanistan once the Soviets were kicked out. But I dont know enough about Syria to guess what its future will look like, or if theyll be any appetite for continued fighting.

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[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 56 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Tsunami warning for the United States West Coast, in the last half hour:

Also, a tsunami warning has been issued for coastal areas in California and Oregon, including San Francisco. The warning will remain in effect from Davenport, California, to Douglas/Lane Line Oregon, until further notice, the National Tsunami Warning Center said.

Source: ABC News

I know a lot of our users live in that area, so I thought I'd post it.

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[-] Awoo@hexbear.net 56 points 1 week ago

Not sure why all the dooming. Looks like Homs is holding for now.

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[-] Awoo@hexbear.net 56 points 2 weeks ago
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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 55 points 1 week ago

The entire Syrian goverment just collapsed. Wtf was that? Did Assad forces just all agree to surrender to these people without a fight? Did Assad stop paying these people? Is that why he did nothing during the Israeli-Hezbollah war? Did he seriously thought the Iranians and Russians would fight for him? Was General Soleimani the only person who truly cared about the Axis of Resistance?

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[-] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 55 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

The Saudis are probably feeling real stupid about letting Syria back into the Arab League in 2023. MBS should have just held out a little longer and Syria would have indeed collapsed.

Insert here that meme with the two guys digging for diamonds.

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[-] CthulhusIntern@hexbear.net 55 points 1 week ago

Remember that one episode of Drake and Josh where Josh played a criminal in a reenactment in a show based on America's Most Wanted, and then everyone thought he was the criminal and tried to citizens' arrest him? If that guy with the nice chin isn't actually the guy who killed the CEO, I'm imagining his life is like that right now, except everyone loves him.

[-] Parzivus@hexbear.net 55 points 1 week ago

The dooming on Hexbear whenever major geopolitical events happen is crazy i-cant

Forgive me if I don't condemn Russia/China/Iran/etc for not dropping everything to go save Assad of all people

[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 53 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

I mean, lots of people are going to have their lives upended. It’s not something to joke about.

In the face of rampant US imperialism, the Global Majority needs to get their shit together (especially the countries who have the actual means and resources to fight back) or else the empire will continue to wreak havoc on the world.

Most of us here are probably just spectators (at least so far) but there are people who will have to live with the consequences.

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[-] plinky@hexbear.net 54 points 1 week ago

We are entering in another darker period in middle-east, only now without any soviet presence or pretenses of equality sadness-abysmal

Hope i'm the idiot and jubiliant people on twitter are the wise ones

[-] notceps@hexbear.net 54 points 1 week ago

Alright I said I would do a shortish thing about the upcoming german elections so here goes:

There's been ~~3~~ 4 (one new one came in just as I started writing this) polls during the last few days so I'll just go by their numbers:

Party Forsa GMS INSA Yougov
Union (Christian Conservatives) 32% 34% 31.5% 30%
AfD (Nazis) 18% 17% 18.5% 19%
SPD (Center Right Soc Dems) 16% 15% 16% 18%
Greens (Center Right Greens) 12% 13% 13% 13%
BSW (PatSocs) 4% 6% 6% 7%
FDP (Neolib) 3% 4% 4.5% 4%
Die Linke (Soc Dems) 4% 3% 3.5% 3%
Randoms 11% 6% 5.5% 6%

Alright we got numbers now how do they look....

In Germany you got a electoral threshold of 5% meaning if you get below 5% you can't get into parliament, this means that it's not unlikely that there would only be 4 parties represented in parliament after this election with around 20% of the votes being effectively thrown out. Voter participation is around 75% (Last election 76.4% but a few years before that 70.8%). So Parliament represents 60% of all Germans. Now with all of that out of the way we can talk about movements and malaise.

Shouldn't be too hard to tell but SPD during the period where they were able to govern collapsed, this is a trend that is probably just going to continue but it is remarkable just how shitty this iteration of Center Right Soc Dems is because polling at 16-18% is a historic low, my guess is just glancing at past elections that they'll not recover from this and become a 15% political party in the near future because of how colossal the shift to the right under Scholz was. Now to Union, they have recovered from the terrible result last time and are now sitting roughly where they've been the last few election cycles.

AfD looks to almost double their voter percentage from last time, they had their start in 2013 because of the syrian civil war as a 'anti-Merkel' party but they've gone away from that to try and be more chummy with the Union to get into power but kept all the other right wing outright nazi shit. I cannot state that enough they keep doing Nazi dog whistles and it's pretty fucking obvious that they are cryptonazis.

Greens they are down a bit but have been able to grow from their usual 6-7% they used to be at probably because they have a ton of atlantacists and pro-US people in their party I mean Baerbock is literally a former member of the german marshall fund think tank that's funded by the US. So Greens? Funded and supported by the US pass it on.

BSW, Sahra Wagenknecht used to be in Die Linke has made her own party that is the most likely to actually make it into the Bundestag of the small ones. Was able to grab votes by being anti war in ukraine. US scepticism and some literal Pat Soc stuff, media has been talking about her being funded by Putin and her being a Putin shill, unlikely that she'll be able to do anything if her party makes it into parliament.

FDP are more than likely out. It was unlikely that they would've made it but a few days ago an internal memo was leaked that detailed their plans to blow up the coalition and the most opportune time to do it. Worst of all? It had the Title 'D-Day Ablaufszenarien und Maßnahmen' which everyone rightly mocked. They've been getting dragged by civility people for being backstabbers, my guess is they'll not be a factor for a few cycles then go back to their 10% they can reliably grab with their deep pockets.

Die Linke, it's fucking dead it's not coming back it's over.

Most of the movements done so onto the malaise:

'Which party is best suited to deal with the problems of Germany?'

So 3 years ago 45% would've said no party we are now at 55% which has improved a bit compared to the 60% at the start of the year because for some reason thing Union is going to fix it oh well. This number will grow because well things are going to get a lot more shitty.

Because the two big topics for germans are the russian-ukranian war and the economy. Which is why you have Scholz doing photo-ops in ukraine and Merz (Union) saying stuff like 'We are finally going to be strong again and spend money on our military'. For the normal german person how do they see the economy? Well 16% think the economy is going to get better, a number that has gone steadily down, while 60% of germans think it's going to get worse, a number that keeps going up, and 22% think that the situation is shitty but it won't change.

So why malaise? Well this is just going to be my prediction but we will see a repeat of the GroKo (Greater Coalition/Union-SPD) we saw under Merkel, but this time under Merz a incredibly and openly corrupt politician so get ready for this one, Union is going to be able to do whatever because of the looming threat of AfD so SPD 'has to' chose the lesser evil. The coalition will push a huge amount of austerity onto the people during a recession which as we all know from every other country this has been done to, is really good.

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[-] Awoo@hexbear.net 54 points 1 week ago

Al Rastan bridge has been hit by Russian bombs. Presumably to slow HTS advance.

Looks like they want to hold Homs to me.

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[-] newmou@hexbear.net 54 points 2 weeks ago

On the other hand, we don’t really know if this was actually a politically motivated hit. I think it could just as easily be a rival healthcare company or some other shady business dealings that led to a hitman hired to take him out. I’m not sure which I think is more likely tbh

[-] Parzivus@hexbear.net 56 points 2 weeks ago

Rich people don't want to establish shit like this as normal, regardless of the reason. Unless he was secretly dealing with the mob, I don't see it.

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[-] CoolerOpposide@hexbear.net 54 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

yeonmi-park

In communist Korea, the Supreme Leader can enact martial law whenever they want. The only ways to end martial law are by Supreme Leader’s decree or by a National Assembly vote, but under martial law the National Assembly is prohibited from convening.

[-] CyborgMarx@hexbear.net 54 points 1 week ago

I truly believe we could be witnessing the first genuine disintegration of a nation-state in the 21st century, I'm talking something we haven't seen since the Partition of Polish–Lithuania or the various African states during the 1880s, Yugoslavia and the Soviet collapse probably come closest to what's happening from our lived experience, except worse on a per capita basis

It's no different then if ISIS gained full control of Syria in 2015-2016, the inertia and assumptions of the global "anti-terror" machine built up over the last quarter-century guarantees there will be no normalization, no lifting of sanctions, no Taliban style grudging acceptance from the global community

Too many states all over the world bought into the US led war on Terror and al-Qaeda was the face of the enemy for too long and too profoundly for there to be anything other than near universal rejection to an HTS ruled Syria

This is a neocons wet dream, an oil rich advertisement for intervention and annexation by Turkey, the US and Israel

The coming "betrayal" and "scapegoatfication" by NATO will most likely drive the salafists militants into a psychotic religious mania, most likely directed at Iraq as they escape whatever aerial campaigns and Israeli incursions the US has planned

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 54 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Satellite imagery has been made public showing that the Russian Air Force ~~and Navy~~ are evacuating their military bases in Syria, in ~~Tartus and~~ Latakia . It's completely over, we're in full Afghanistan territory now.

Wonder who or what is lucky enough to get lifted out on the Antonov AN-124 (the biggest plane in the second image).

They could also be reinforcing the airbase, but I find such a scenario highly unlikely.

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[-] miz@hexbear.net 53 points 1 week ago

unless I'm missing something there were three casings and three live rounds recovered. so either the police are only telling us some of the words, words were repeated, or some of them had no words.

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 53 points 2 weeks ago

South Korean Parliament may vote immediately to impeach the President following his declaration of martial law.

[-] newsmega_enjoyer@hexbear.net 53 points 2 weeks ago

Remarks at a UN Security Council Briefing on Syria

Ambassador Robert Wood

I shall now make a statement in my capacity as the representative of the United States.

Let me first thank Special Envoy Pedersen and Mr. Salah for your briefings. I wish to especially thank Mr. Salah, for his and the White Helmets’ efforts to bring to the attention of the world, the repeated use of chemical weapons by the Syrian regime against its own people. It is essential that you are here today.

At the same time, the recent rebel offensive – which the United States had nothing to do with – is led by a group, Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, otherwise known as HTS, that is a U.S. and UN designated terrorist organization. We obviously have concerns about this group.

We will continue to fully defend and protect U.S. personnel and U.S. military positions, which remain essential to ensuring that ISIS can never again resurge in Syria.

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[-] sexywheat@hexbear.net 53 points 1 week ago

For what it's worth, Greg Stoker doesn't think that the terrorist rebellion in Syria will succeed. I've never seem him be wrong before, but who knows.

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[-] MuinteoirSaoirse@hexbear.net 53 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Canada is banning a bunch of firearms, and they're shipping them to Ukraine.

Defence Minister Bill Blair said some of the guns the government plans to collect will be sent to Ukraine as part of Canada's ongoing donations of military aid to that country.

"The Department of National Defence will begin working with the Canadian companies that have weapons that Ukraine needs … in order to get these weapons out of Canada and into the hands of the Ukrainians," he said.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/liberal-gun-control-announcement-1.7402187

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Some Syria news for today.

A joint Russian-Syrian military operation rescued a group of Syrian army cadets and officers that Washington’s al-Queda proxies had surrounded at the Assad Military Engineering Academy near Aleppo: https://www.rt.com/news/608712-officers-rescued-jihadists-syria-russia/

The Syrian army repelled more Western-backed terrorist attacks on Hama and cleared the nearby town of Tuba: https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/12/04/738464/Syria-army-purges-terrorists-Hama-countryside

Allied forces eliminated another 300 terrorists and shot down another 25 drones today alone (around 2,000 total terrorists have been eliminated over the past week of fighting): https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/12/05/738505/Syria-2000-terrorists-killed-Russia-Takfiris

Surprise, surprise, surprise – the Western-backed terrorists have started killing each other yet again: https://thecradle.co/articles/old-feuds-reignite-between-turkish-backed-extremists-attacking-syrias-aleppo

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[-] LargePenis@hexbear.net 53 points 1 week ago

It will be the greatest day of my life if we see these scenes in Cairo and Amman one day

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[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 53 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

A few months ago I thought it was surprising how stable Syria is considering the shitty economic situation. Things turn around fast :|

Similar case with Bangladesh as well, when this year started, I thought how solid Bangladesh appeared.

What's next? Egypt? They've an extremely repressive 'dictator', who unlike Syria and to lesser extent Bangladesh is backed by the west. But their economy is not doing so great and the Government hasn't provided any solutions.

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this post was submitted on 02 Dec 2024
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