Yes it's a loss, and accepting deals like this, with so many concessions to the enemy, is part of it, it's what a defeat entails.

I'm not trying to weasel around it, this is the reality. It's either accept such deals or fight until everyone is dead. That is the very unfortunate reality. It's why Hezbollah took the deal earlier, it's why talks between Israel and Hamas are so advanced right now.

Insert Kissinger quote about being America's friend here.

This is quite different, the negotiations are in Cairo this time and not Doha (Netanyahu is even set to attend), and there are rumoured clauses that would allow Israel to continue military operations in the south, the IDF would only completely withdraw from the north.

Yes the terms of these ceasefires are quite bad, the situation is quite negative, but what is the alternative, fighting to the last Palestinian, to the last Lebanese, fighting until all supply routes are cut? That's even worse.

The US will not carry out airstrikes against Turkish backed forces. They'll either get Turkey to stop, or abandon the SDF/YPG positions there.

Yes, the situation is not positive. It looks as if the SNA, with Turkish close air support, will attempt to encircle the SDF/YPG positions at Kobani. There are also US forces located in Kobani on the side of the SDF/YPG.

More and more reports incoming about a potential ceasefire agreement/prisoner exchange deal with regards to Gaza. The attitude and media reports are of a very similar tone to the Hezbollah ceasefire in Lebanon. No matter how "bad or good" the ceasefire deal is, a ceasefire is a ceasefire and will bring desperately needed relief to millions under siege in Gaza.

Uhh does Ukraine want to exist?

A Minuteman III ICBM was actually successfully tested (along with it's MIRV component) a few months ago, just to re-establish that it still works and reaffirm deterrence. But that's exactly why the US will modernise their nuclear forces. The Minuteman III ICBMs are so old that they can't effectively be maintained for much longer. So the US will need to build new missiles and warheads to replace them.

yeah...

With the current timeline:

What it really is

americans seeing the sky for the first time under biden regime

Doesn't help that if you do anything resembling OSINT or technical analysis you get accused of being a government/federal agent lol (think it's called fed jacketing). Bit discouraging as a new account to posting. I'll try to take it as a compliment on the perceived accuracy of the information I post (I say perceived as I know that I've made mistakes in the past)

In one way I'm glad some of them aren't on here to see this and having to deal with our stupid arguments, the last few weeks have just been really bad. They're probably feeling the same emotions we are feeling times a hundred, and way more complicated and nuanced, as they actually live there and have a personal attachment to their country. Imagine commenting on and correctly predicting the downfall of you and/or your loved ones' country, for example. And then seeing people, maybe even someone you know being freed from prisions. And then the country gets bombed by a powerful adversary. In another scenario, imagine returning to your homeland after months of bombings, after a ceasefire agreement gets singed (no matter how bad the terms, a ceasefire is a ceasefire). That's extremely emotional. Being on the internet and arguing with a bunch of people (mostly westerners) who didn't even know what the SAA, 1974 agreement, the blue line, South Litani area, HTS, SNA, SDF, etc, were until a few weeks ago is probably not the best course of action in such a scenario.

I'll keep on reporting until the end, no matter how bad it gets, someone has to do it after all. Or good, never give up hope comrades, even in the worst hours, we have to be resilient, there is no other choice.