To be fair, the key word is "full". They are calling it a "limited" invasion to soften the narrative just like with Rafah. But we all know there will be nothing "limited" about it.

There are reports of large numbers of troops and tanks moving to the border, so it seems like they are really going to do it.

On paper, Hezbollah still has everything they need to defeat such an invasion. Either the Israeli leadership is fully detached from reality, or they have more cards up their sleeve.

Also, from what I've heard, it sounds like Israel will invade through Syria in an attempt to bypass defenses in Lebanon. But both Hezbollah and Syria have probably been preparing for that for a while now.

Well, he's a "reformer", so it wouldn't be surprising if his end goal is to weaken the Axis of Resistance until it collapses and Iran becomes pro-West and liberal.

I kind of assume this level of supposed naivete could be a cover for malicious intent. No leader of a country hostile to the US should ever trust an unwritten backroom deal with them.

https://xcancel.com/fresh_sadegh/status/1840511947839619357#m

Protests outside the Supreme National Security Council of Iran. There is reportedly a meeting underway there, presumably relating to Pezeshkian's failed sellout deal.

Not sure what the original source is for this, but accounts I trust are posting it:

https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/10284

NEW: The United States reportedly offered Iran significant sanctions relief and a guaranteed permanent ceasefire in Gaza based on Hamas' proposed terms (and Hamas was informed of this), in exchange for the Islamic Republic delaying its retaliation against Israel for Ismael Haniyeh; not a single sanction was lifted, nor was a ceasefire reached in Gaza

Embarrassing if true. If history teaches us anything, it's to never accept a deal like this from the US.

President Alexander Van der Bellen, who oversees the formation of governments, has voiced reservations about the FPO because of its criticism of the EU and its failure to condemn Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

"Fascism is fine as long as you are pro-EU and anti-Russia"

If Hezbollah focuses their strikes on the Israeli electrical grid, they could benefit from the West's shortage of electrical equipment (that Ukraine also urgently needs).

If they do it slowly and methodically, they can possibly avoid giving the US a reason to intervene.

https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/124402

https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/124403

A Hezbollah missile seemingly destroyed some electrical infrastructure near Jerusalem (lights go out).

After an embarrassing 2022/2023, I have finally entered my "correct predictions" era.

Limited Kursk counteroffensive: https://hexbear.net/comment/5369093

Vuhledar falls "within a few weeks": https://hexbear.net/comment/5361926

Or China is preparing to take Taiwan and is taking all the free Westoid money they can get before doing so

(I don't know enough about economics to say if this actually makes sense)