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“There is genuine fear that indeed ICE’s heavy handedness and the rhetoric from Washington is more creating a condition where the officers’ lives are in danger rather than the other way around.”

The names of ~4,500 ICE employees has allegedly been leaked by a DHS whistleblower according to The Daily Beast. Oops.
Trump cancels meetings with Iranian officials and tells protesters 'help is on its way' https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/trump-cancel-meetings-iranian-officials-tells-protesters-129165750 https://archive.is/H8j0Q Here we go again
If I was a protestor I’d certainly be glad that the guy who shipped the IOF the missiles that leveled my grandma’s condo had my back, they’re gonna get so much popular legitimacy from this 
No significant movement of military assets tho. So what, they are planning random strikes of civilian infrastructure from submarines?
I'd say the 'civil liberties' groups they've been funding and arming for decades have hijacked a grassroots movement, and are putting some of those resources to use to further their own goals and those of the empire
Just my own speculation, but imo CENTCOM didn't create the whole movement from whole cloth and isn't directly orchestrating every single protest and protestor, but rather like during other colour revolutions there's a nucleus of legitimate grassroots oppositions that is then astroturfed and commandeered and directed towards seizing opportunities and inflaming situations that would benefit the empire
Yeah Iran vibes are very bad right now
US attacking Iran would really be a watershed moment.
This is not like the charade after the 12 day war, this has really the potential to get REALLY bad.
And my only cope is exactly that, the US does not want to get bogged down in any conflict, that's why they did the relatively symbolic attacks in Iran with it's subsequent Iranian response. And also why the US didn't go for a full invasion of Venezuela: They don't want another forever war.
This has the potential to become exactly that.
Has Syria Assad fall vibes, tbh
IIRC, Syria had every general, commander, and much more bribed to stand down. They tried to take them down for decades and the operation that finally did it took a lot of preparation - and everything fell quickly.
They already had US troops on the ground, and the force that took over already held territory for years.
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This Iran stuff is very ad-hoc and desperate. The starlink stuff left them with sharing tips over Twitter (the internet) as a last ditch effort to get their commands through.
Nah not even close.
This is more great power war vibes.
The internet is still shut down in Iran, over 120 hours now. So it is very difficult to say what's happening in Iran right now.

An interesting artifact of the Iranian internet shutdown has been the tenfold decline in engagement and views on Reza Pahlavi's (exiled crown prince/Shah, main opposition figure) social media profiles (Instagram, Twitter/X, etc). On Instagram, his videos have gone from receiving 30-50 million views (with a peak of 90 million on his pinned video), to 3-5 million. Likes have similarly decreased, from 2-3 million likes per video, to 200-300 thousand likes. Twitter/X shows similar figure, his January 6th video has 8 million views, his latest video around 800 thousand. This shows that the vast majority of his engagement (90%), was from Iranians within Iran itself. Also shows that support for monarchist figures has been severely underestimated. I absolutely did not expect such a decline in engagement due to the Iranian internet shutdown, I thought monarchist/Shah support was mainly an Iranian diaspora phenomenon.
In general, I like having Marmite's analyses over the years. But I notice that their sources are primarily western.
Even for something as simple as internet tracking, I use CloudFlare - which is a western company.
https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir
However, our friend here uses NETBLOCKS Tracking Internet FREEDOM bald eagle caws in the background.
Your knowledge on technical capabilities is quite something. But I'm sorry to say, I have been taking any conclusions you have reached over the last few years I've heard from you with a massive grain of salt. Like a spoonful.
To be clear, this is because I don't trust your inputs, no problem with you.
Nah this is false. His numbers were artificially inflated and then at the start of this shut down they stopped inflating his numbers. It's an op.
I'm surprised to see that they are competent enough to do this op (reducing numbers after internet shutdown). But yea I agree with Awoo.
In a lot of protest videos (even ones shared by Western outlets) there were like 300 people in view protesting and at most 2 chanting "Javid Shah, Javid Shah, Javid Shahhhh".
Also shows that support for monarchist figures has been severely underestimated.
This "fact" brought to you by Langley...
At the beginning of shutoff his posts still had millions of engagement and internet pointed it out so they probably turned the bot farm off.
90 million views to 3 million views, Iran has a population of 92 million people, this makes 0 sense, is 97% of all Iranians watching Pahlavi on instagram what the fuck
Agreed, absurdly irresponsible to be acting like this is somehow conclusive. @MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net, give a time line with views and likes over time with the dates of the internet outages and shutdown of starlink to get a full picture. I'll believe it once I see that. But these 2 static numbers at 2 separate times do not make a good argument.
Where are you getting this from? Second time in less than a week repeating these psyops about Islamic Republic. Its very irresponsible
Scroll down on his timeline. His current engagement on his most recent posts is in-line with his engagement from 1+ months ago. It seems that his posts either got more exposure or botted over the past month and then that stopped for whatever reason, be it he's not getting reposted/shared by the right people, or a bot farm was shutdown.
2 weeks ago, 3.9M views
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DSxk9Bmib4h
4 weeks ago, 4.2M views
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DSNgoDkDSCa
5 weeks ago, 4.1M views
i dont think you can draw any absolute conclusions from this, couldnt it just be that cia was running bot farms in Iran to try and make this activity look more legit ?
This shows that the vast majority of his engagement (90%), was from Iranians within Iran itself. Also shows that support for monarchist figures has been severely underestimated.
I don't think this is necessarily true: engagement does not equal support, plenty of anti-monarchists(those in the 'opposition' and otherwise) and supporters of the current state, or those who at the least oppose whatever grassroots movement really exists(I don't disagree there is some level of real Shah/anti-current-state support, just that I don't think those engagement numbers can be used to directly infer how much there is) and/or the US backed colour revolution attempt built around it, would want to watch what the 'opposition' leaders have to say.
May not be the best analogy but take a look at the front page of hexbear: the amount of posts of content from fash/libs and other right-wingers being dunked on/discussed by users often significantly outnumbers the amount of content posted from leftists that our userbase generally agrees with

Situation in MN is a powder keg where ICE is shoving more and more powder in and everyone is sitting around with lit matches. I'm genuinely surprised it hasn't blown yet. Check the state subreddit if you want they are one of the better sources for this. r/Minnesota
ICE and other Border Control departments such as BORTAC, are now openly doing warrantless raids in minority neighborhoods and going to retail businesses such as target and Walmart to kidnap people. School is out in areas where ICE is active as a response to them busting into schools, walkouts in solidarity in other parts of the state.
They are also kidnapping kids and parents with young children on the street. One of the videos posted is of ICE grabbing a 17 year old target employee and beating him and dumping him at a Walmart.
The state has taken a hands off approach to the situation and seems to be content to sit by and observe, including simply observing protests, ICE seems to be the ones crushing protests. The only response from the state seems to be the AG filing a lawsuit (lol), this is not lost on the average person, they are noticing the inaction.
Bovino ( the guy in charge of these ICE raids) is just openly strutting about completely unafraid to show his face everywhere he goes. And why not? The administration has shown they will back ICE no matter what, and Dems have shown themselves to be toothless. Him doing this is also a message to the rank and file brownshirts that they have nothing to fear.
The average person I see at these protests is fucking pissed. We have random vote blue no matter who types giving interviews where they are openly talking about needing guns to square off with ICE, and former "apolitical" cop bootlicker types are saying they would support someone taking an ICE squad out.
ICE is so outnumbered in some of these cases that they might just get stampeded by an angry mob. One of the videos I've seen , if ICE hadn't retreated when they did they would have faced mob justice. I don't see any situation where something doesn't give in the next day or two, max by the weekend.
One of the videos I've seen , if ICE hadn't retreated when they did they would have faced mob justice.
I saw one where they were frantically calling for backup while getting pelted with snowballs, that was fun. hope there were rocks in them
Whats the mood in rural minnesota? I guess more pro-ICE?
The cynic in me says that the reason libs have begun realizing the true extent of the threat is because a white lady was killed
I don't think it's all that cynical, although things already weren't great before.
We can wish that everyone was just on the same page from the beginning, but if that sort of incident is what brings people to the streets, we need to continue to welcome and encourage it. There are better reasons to be out, but in itself its not like it's a bad reason.
The admin standing behind the blatant execution of a white woman isn't just a threat to white liberals, marginalized communities are looking at this and seeing that if they will execute a white woman like this, they sure as shit will do it to them and there isnt even the usual thin veil of justifications to stop them anymore.
That's part of it, but of course that's not all there is to it. The US state has been killing white people - at random and as political targets - since the very beginning.
John Brown was right. White blood has to be shed.
Saw a Ken Klippenstein post that for the people they're sending atp are volunteers since a lot of the recruits are pissing themselves in fear.
Thing is that means it's bastards that want to jump into this powder keg going.
I have seen some heated libs the last couple years, but it's this week I've seen for the first time multiple posts with thousands of likes on Bluesky saying something like "make sure your gun is clean and you have ammunition, get ready for the worst, no one is coming to save us."
yeah even
is reading like a Black Panther newsletter in Minnesota/Twin Cities subs
it's weird to see
it's weird to see
Shouldn't be. We know that repression breeds resistance and that Americans have historically been soft because they have rarely felt the boot of the state in the way the rest of the world has. The boomerang is landing hard. The resistance is as inevitable as the fascism.
mostly weird because I didn't know there were that many real people left on reddit
lmao fair, but they congregate there when real shit is happening
Sooner or later the ice agents are going to get popped. Make sure everyone you know is as ready as to they can be for the response.
I'm not in MN, but outside of a massive community response to show up and back people up I don't see what the average person can do, you can't even hide in your home without them just busting the door down with long rifles.
You basically need a 24/7 community surveillance and response team and they need to be armed enough and have the guts to stand toe to toe with ICE at a moments notice.
And you gotta do this knowing the federal government is gonna come down on you hard and the state government at best is gonna leave you about to dry, that is if you don't get shot by ICE.
The alternative to this is to resist by going on the offensive and hitting ICE where they organize and sleep etc. Either option is frankly terrifying for the average person
Ice is going to knock on the wrong door eventually. And they're not trained. And there's no real good way to enter a building and not get fucked if the people inside don't want you coming in.