this post was submitted on 12 Nov 2025
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Let’s first turn to the obvious negatives. The Trump idea is an admission that he and pretty much everyone are unserious about addressing the housing unaffordability problem because too many powerful players benefit from it. The most obvious remedy is to build more middle/lower middle class residences in high cost areas. But right away, that runs hard into NIMBYism: all those well off with their tony houses don’t want the servant classes or even dull normals living nearby and possibly harming their property prices.

... the popular freely-refinancable (as in no prepayment penalty) 30 year fixed rate mortgage is a very unnatural product and is found in comparatively few advanced. economies. On paper, it puts the interest rate risk on the lender. If rates drop, borrowers refinance, taking the loan away from creditors just when taking the risk of longer-dated loans is paying off. There are many ways to better share the interest rate risk, such as barring refis for the first five to seven years of a mortgage, or having interest rates float subject to a floor and ceiling. I had that sort of product in the early 1980s and was very happy with it. You can pencil out what your worst-case mortgage costs might be and benefit with no expenditure of effort if interest rates fall.

So why is this supposedly borrower-favoring feature, of the “freely refinancable” fixed rate mortgage, actually not good for borrowers? Because that option is NOT free! Not only do borrowers pay fees when they refinanace, but lenders have succeeded in structuring refis so that roughly 2/3 of the economic benefit of the refi is captured by financiers, not by the homeowner.

A related bad feature of the refinancable 30 year mortgage is that it increases systemic risk. Mortgage guarantors Fannie and Freddie have to hedge the refi risk. That hedging is pro-cyclical on a systemically disrupting scale.

...

50 year mortgages, compared to a 30 year obligation have more of their payments over their life in interest. That means in a refi more total interest savings. That means even more in fee extraction by middlemen! More critically, it also means much greater pro-cyclical hedging action, and thus an even bigger increase in systemic risk, assuming that there actually was consumer receptivity to this bad idea...

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[–] altphoto@lemmy.today 1 points 2 hours ago

Again... Some of us people don't have enough life left or departed too early to pay a 50 year mortgage.

Its insanely ridiculous that I, in my 30's or 40's could eventually one day pay off a loan like that.

[–] zod000@lemmy.dbzer0.com 6 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

WTF is with this articles shit talking of fixed rate rate mortgages that let you refinance without penalty? That is literally the only half-way consumer friendly thing we even have in our current scheme. They talk about how in the early 80s (one of the worst times ever to get a mortgage) they had a way shittier mortgage and how "happy" they were with it. That's bullshit and their reasoning doesn't pass muster. I suspect this was written by some finance ghoul trying to astroturf getting people onto more awful systems.

[–] jacksilver@lemmy.world 4 points 7 hours ago (3 children)

They make it sound like lenders game the system to make the fixed rate loans not super beneficial (refinance costs/etc.). I have no idea how true that is, but even if it is, having a fixed amount you owe each month is so much easier for the everyday person.

I can't imagine having a variable rate loan and then finding out due to the Fed raising rates that I know owe another couple hundred per month.

[–] halowpeano@lemmy.world 1 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

Other countries don't have 30 year fixed like we do so there are systems to deal with this. Usually there's no set repayment timeline, but rate is fixed for some period. Then it goes variable, or you negotiate a new fixed rate for another 5 or 10 years or whatever. The amount you contribute after interest is up to you and determines your payoff time.

[–] aesthelete@lemmy.world 1 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

I can’t imagine having a variable rate loan and then finding out due to the Fed raising rates that I know owe another couple hundred per month.

Mortgage products like this were in the causal mixture for the 2008 crisis. People could own three or four different homes, maximally leveraged, and then get ARMs on them. This house of cards "works" as long as the interest rate stays low and prices go up. Then there was a rate adjustment upwards and all hell broke loose.

[–] zod000@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

Been there and it sucks, I have also been stuck in a mortgage that had restrictions on refinancing and it also sucked. Anyone thinking they wouldn't get gouged just as hard after giving up their fixed rate and refi ability are delusional or in on the grift.

[–] jacksilver@lemmy.world 2 points 6 hours ago

Yeah, I was thinking that too. Of course they're going to try to get the most money out of you, it feels like fixed rate mortgages though at least give the buyer some leverage.

[–] kryptonianCodeMonkey@lemmy.world 3 points 7 hours ago (2 children)

The simple fact of that matter is that homes are too fucking expensive. Yes, a 50 year mortgage will drop your monthly payments by a significant margin (maybe 15ish percent) increasing affordability for the long term. However, this will only serve to prop up already inflated housing prices. The problems with that should be readily apparent.

A) if your house is twice as expensive as it should be, your payments will be twice as expensive at it should be. Thanks for the extra 15% off a month, but that still doesn't get payments to anywhere near as affordable as it would be if housing was more available and, thus, cheaper. It would be better to forgo that 15% monthly payment decrease by extending your mortgage (and massively increasing interest), and instead see a 10% market price decrease and keep your 30 year mortgage and end up still paying less overall.

B) The biggest hurdle for any prospective home buyer is the initial hurdle, the down payment. You have to be able to pay for your current housing (be it mortgage or rent or whatever) and other necessities while also setting aside money on the order of tens of thousands to afford just the down payment on a house to even qualify for the loan. For even a modest home in my area, the lowest on market currently is asking ~175,000 for under 900 sq ft. 20% down for that would be 35k that you need to have saved before even considering buying the cheapest home in town. Extending the mortgage not only doesnt help you on this, it actually makes this hurdle worse. It makes mortgages easier to get for current home owner, in turn proping up the housing prices making it prohibitively expensive for renters and first time home buyers that dont have the equity in property to sell off to cover this down payment. And as the housing prices continue to inflate that 35k goal post just keeps moving further away every year while your money is sunk into your landlord's pocket, who also increases rent as the market increases.

Prices needed to come down. Rents need to stop rising. And corporate real-estate investors need to be outlawed, or at least heavily regulated to prevent this absurd inflation. First time home buyers should be the first priority in real-estate and housing policies, not the last. We used to actively support them, but now we are more worried about boomers' resale value and squeezing renters for every dime. It has to stop. Build more housing, more homes, more dense housing. Make competition for the landlords and give first time home buyers every advantage over investment buyers, particularly corporate investment buyers. Fund it with the American tax dollar and see the middle class rise back up. It's really that easy, but they just wont do it becuase Daddy Warbucks wouldn't like it.

[–] halowpeano@lemmy.world 1 points 1 hour ago (1 children)

There should be a progressive tax on anyone that owns a home but doesn't live there. First home is nominal tax. Second home is double that. Third is quadruple. That'd fix housing and rent prices overnight.

And before anyone asks, yes same with apartment complexes. If the owner is forced to live in the complex, there's an excellent incentive to keep it clean and maintained. And I'm specifically talking people, if a corporation owns a complex the top shareholder needs to be living there.

[–] kryptonianCodeMonkey@lemmy.world 1 points 20 minutes ago

home is nominal tax. Second home is double that. Third is quadruple. That'd fix housing and rent prices overnight.

I dont think that would fix rents necessarily unless the taxes were particularly prohibitively. They'd just be incentivized and have an excuse to raise taxes more, seems like.

[–] aesthelete@lemmy.world 1 points 1 hour ago

Yes, a 50 year mortgage will drop your monthly payments by a significant margin (maybe 15ish percent) increasing affordability for the long term.

The actual numbers will likely not bear that out. Some back of the envelope math in this article and others has the payments dropping as little as $150 or $200 on a $2000 mortgage.

The problem is that rates for longer mortgages are naturally going to be higher as they are today. Most of the "gain" of stretching out the loan is eaten up by interest.

What does never seem to catch anyone's eye though in general is...you can pay more than the minimum on your mortgage just like any other type of debt. If these products were available, I'd be slightly tempted to use one to lower my required monthly payments slightly while I saved up the principle to repay the loan in full.

[–] UltraMagnus0001@lemmy.world 3 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago) (2 children)

Explain the 50 year mortgage in layman's, I mean idiot term for me please.

[–] kryptonianCodeMonkey@lemmy.world 5 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 5 hours ago)

Put simply, it decreases your monthly payments but extends how long you will make those payments. So compared to a 30 year mortgage, you'll pay something like 85% as much per month on your mortgage (15% less), but for 167% as long (20 years longer)

0.85 × 1.67 = 1.42, meaning you will end up paying 42% more for the same house in the end. That means you will just about double, give or take, the interest paid to your loaner. And the house wont be yours until 50 years is up, meaning you paid 42% more for a 20 year older house, by the time you could sell it for full equity (i.e. didnt have to pay anything to the loaner). And that is IF you even live for the full 50 year, which most people wont. The average first time home buyer now is already in their 30s, meaning they will be in their 80s by the end of their mortgage. 71-72 is average life expectancy. So instead of inheriting your home, you kids will more than likely inherit an ongoing mortgage, or lose the house to foreclosure.

[–] thatKamGuy@sh.itjust.works 12 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

It’s beyond bad, it’s outright dumb as fuck.

As it stands, a 30yr mortgage at current interest rates means that you end up paying ~$1.20 in interest for every $1 borrowed.

A 50yr mortgage at current interest rates would have you pay $2.50 in interest for every $1 borrowed.

You would end up literally paying 3.5x the value of the mortgage - it’s outright criminal.

[–] UltraMagnus0001@lemmy.world 3 points 8 hours ago* (last edited 8 hours ago) (1 children)

I was reading up on it. Apparently a fannymae chairman came up with it and Trump went with it. What a fucking joke, a bank responsible for the last financial crisis is running the govt now.

Thanks for breaking it down. The articles were saying double the mortgage and it seemed unbelievable. I think you usually pay the interest first on a mortgage also.

[–] Hugin@lemmy.world 3 points 7 hours ago

A portion of the payment goes to interest and a portion goes to the principal. The first payment is almost all interest and a tiny bit of principal. The last is almost all principal and a tiny bit of interest.

As you reduce the principal you are paying less in interest each payment and more principal.

One way to greatly reduce your loan time is to pay one extra payment each year year having it go all to principal. That can cut 4-6 years of a 30 year mortgage.

[–] tomkatt@lemmy.world 22 points 17 hours ago (2 children)

A 50 year mortgage is just renting with extra steps and additional responsibility.

[–] SaveTheTuaHawk@lemmy.ca 1 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

When you rent the landlord has to pay taxes and maintainance.

[–] arrow74@lemmy.zip 3 points 4 hours ago

What do you think they meant by "extra steps and responsibilities?"

[–] phutatorius@lemmy.zip 8 points 13 hours ago

In a recent interview, Trump made it clear that he thought that the standard mortgage now is 40 years.

[–] Ancalagon@lemmy.world 55 points 1 day ago (6 children)

Yeah but I'll pay $200 less a month! /s

[–] EndlessNightmare@reddthat.com 1 points 6 hours ago

Yeah, the decrease in monthly payments simply isn't that much. Going from 15 years to 30 is a big decrease. 30 to 50, not so much.

[–] Briguy@lemmy.world 1 points 9 hours ago

Just think about how many extra streaming services I can pay for now!

[–] lemming741@lemmy.world 2 points 12 hours ago

Yeah and your $800/mo new car with leather seats gets 6 miles per gallon more than the paid off base model. ExxonMobile is practically paying you now!

[–] ceenote@lemmy.world 35 points 1 day ago (1 children)

For only 240 extra months!

As long as we can keep this ponzi scheme going it doesn’t matter you’ll make it back.

[–] 4grams@awful.systems 5 points 1 day ago

But 89% more in total.

[–] SpermHowitzer@sh.itjust.works 3 points 23 hours ago* (last edited 23 hours ago) (1 children)

While I fully agree this doesn’t solve any affordability concerns, for those with no affordability concerns that $200/month is better served in a portfolio, which will inevitably have a higher return than a secured interest rate. This does help, but it only helps people with no issues with affording a home in the first place, and can use the system to make further gains (albeit fairly minor).

[–] xyzzy@lemmy.today 1 points 8 hours ago

Assuming a higher interest rate than a 30-year fixed and assuming a generous 10% return on your investments, that's like $5 per month...

[–] lando55@lemmy.zip 14 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Soooo... is 100-year fixed rate out of the question? Asking for a (very young) friend

[–] bstix@feddit.dk 1 points 6 hours ago

Look, it's an 80 year old diaper shitting grifter talking about 50 year loans. Gee. I wonder if he cares how that plays out..

I don't see why the banks don't offer that. It's just borrowing from the future like they are already doing.

Anyone who benefits from it doesn't have to wait that long; they can easily sell the debt right now, cash in and retire.

I wish they would. Retire, that is.

I'd rather they be allowed to fuck everyone over right now if only they'd retire. At least they'd be dead in ten years and we can maybe piss on their graves and introduce an inheritance and wealth tax in the meantime to grab back what they stole from the future.

[–] definitemaybe@lemmy.ca 5 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

You're joking, but the reverse of that is essentially how early retirement works. Finding a 30-year retirement costs almost the same as an infinite retirement, due to the effects of compound interest. So, if you can increase your income while keeping your spending low, you can afford to retire very early and live off investment income forever.

[–] tomkatt@lemmy.world 2 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago) (1 children)

Working on this now. Not sure if I'll make early retirement, but I plan to have my house paid off inside the next 2-3 years. I'm in my early 40s, and the house is my last debt. Everything else is paid off other than monthly revolving spend. And the house is a new build, was constructed in 2021, so shouldn't have any major issues for quite some years. Also have a fully paid off solar and battery setup to keep electric costs low (I pretty much just pay the grid tie connection fee monthly, no usage billing).

Hoping I'll be able to retire by 55 since I'm tired of the grind, but if it doesn't happen, it won't be the end of the world.

[–] phutatorius@lemmy.zip 3 points 13 hours ago (2 children)

And the house is a new build, was constructed in 2021, so shouldn’t have any major issues

Where I live, the opposite is true. Buying a new-build is like buying a Tesla: expect to spend the first few years fixing quality problems, with a residual risk that some can't be fixed at all. And look at the neighborhood closely: it's not unusual for new-bulid property to be far from useful infrastructure and services. In my Victorian neighborhood, there are shops, cafes, pubs, good schools, medical clinics. In far-flung new-build land, you might have to drive into my neighborhood to access any of those. And don't bother taking the bus, because there are probably no bus routes either.

[–] tomkatt@lemmy.world 1 points 7 hours ago

In far-flung new-build land, you might have to drive into my neighborhood to access any of those. And don't bother taking the bus, because there are probably no bus routes either.

That was actually a positive to me, I had it built in a semi-rural ex-urb. Nearest city is about 30 miles away.

Can’t speak for the quality of the build, other than it’s been four years, and the only issues are ones I expected (the floating floor is cheap and I’ll have to replace it in the next few years, and the exterior stain is peeling on trim bits and needs a touch up due to Colorado sun and weather extremes).

[–] lemming741@lemmy.world 1 points 12 hours ago

And all of the appliances and fixtures are "builder grade" which means they last 10 years and 1 week. Dripping faucets, fiddley light switches, stuck heat pump reversing valves, leaking water heaters.

It's not like a new car where teething problems are resolved in the first year. You won't know that your foundation is going to settle for several years, or that the vent boots on the roof leak a little bit until the sheathing rots enough for the drips to hit sheetrock.

[–] Blackfeathr@lemmy.world 14 points 1 day ago (1 children)

So it's likely the middlemen corps that have told Trump to attempt to implement this, isn't it?

[–] phutatorius@lemmy.zip 3 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

The parasitic health-denial companies (jokingly called insurance companies) want to return to their previous business model of taking your premiums, then denying any kind of useful coverage.

[–] Blackfeathr@lemmy.world 2 points 12 hours ago

Can confirm. I keep getting charged exorbitant amounts for the terrible crime of daring to go to the doctor because I had a constant headache for a month straight. Fuck UHC and fuck all health insurance companies. Same shit, just different flavors.

[–] lung@lemmy.world 12 points 1 day ago (1 children)

And so the gap between the classes widens again. 1.2m in interest on a 420k asset, paid over your entire adult life. Imagine being stuck paying >2000$/month for life to a bank, BUT with the additional costs of maintenance & probably an HOA & rising property taxes. At that point, renting is the only option, but the prices of that will rise too. So GG capitalism, it's time to tape leaves to a tent and live in the middle of a roundabout with your 4 cats and a handgun

[–] ReallyActuallyFrankenstein@lemmynsfw.com 10 points 1 day ago (2 children)
[–] lonefighter@sh.itjust.works 4 points 1 day ago

I have 2 cats that both need prescription food or else they get UTIs and urinary crystals and I'm not exaggerating when I say that I spend more monthly on their food than mine. Last week I was putting on my boots getting ready to go off to work another 16 hr OT shift and they were both sitting at my feet crying and I was like hey this is your fault you two are expensive I would prefer to be playing video games right now.

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[–] ArbitraryValue@sh.itjust.works 8 points 1 day ago (5 children)

I'm not sure why this is a better argument against a 50 year mortgage than against 15 or 30 year mortgages. The author does say that 50 years gives more opportunities to refinance, but many people who buy homes don't intend to live there 50, 30, or even 15 years. For these people, the only thing that matters is the monthly payment and the choice of a lower payment but with more of that payment going towards interest can be a rational one.

[–] phutatorius@lemmy.zip 1 points 13 hours ago

Differences in degree are still differences. Longer is worse.

[–] JakenVeina@midwest.social 11 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

I think maybe you misunderstand how selling a home with a mortgage works? To be fair, it's possible I don't fully understand as well, but as my understanding goes...

The buyer doesn't just assume ownership of the loan, and start making the same payments as you.° They have to get approved for their own mortgage for the sale price of the house (or buy it outright), and then you use that money to pay off your mortgage's remaining principle.

So, if you have a $400,000 house where you've only paid $50,000 towards the principal over 10 years, out of a 50-year mortgage, and you want to sell it, The buyer pays you $400,000, then you use that to pay the remaining $350,000 of principal, leaving you with $50,000 to go buy a new house. Likely you'll need another mortgage of your own, but you can probably use that $50,000 as a downpayment, to knock down the monthly, or take a shorter term.

So, that's 10 years of mortgage payments, totaling say $250,000, and you only have $50,000 worth of value to show for it. Contrast that with a 15 or 30 year term, and you'd be getting a MUCH larger chunk of your payments back in value.

Having a mortgage isn't the same as renting (it's starting to get pretty comparable with this 50-year shit, though), you are actually building value for yourself as you make payments, no matter how long you live there.

° Technically, Mortgage Assumptions are a thing, but they're EXTREMELY rare. It has to be an option written into the mortgage agreement, from the beginning. In the US, it basically only exists for military personnel and veterans, as a perk that the government mandated to make it easier for military families to move across the country at a moment's notice. Also, it's really just about keeping the interest rate, the buyer still has to come to an agreement with the seller to buy out their accumulated value.

[–] ReallyActuallyFrankenstein@lemmynsfw.com 8 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

The issue isn't about ownership, per se. It's about acquisition of principle value which you carry with you when you sell the house.

The example halfway down the post of a $400K loan fixed at 6% is a good example: A 15-year loan would have a $3,375.74 monthly payment but pay off $305,364 principle after 12 years. A 30-year would have a $2,398.20 monthly payment, but have only $134,978 paid off. A 50-year has a $2,063.74 payment only pays off $66,251 principle.

This is why it's a particularly bad debt trap. The 15 or 30-year mortgage allows the homeowner to move and have acquired significant principle value, which makes the costs of moving much lower.

And the monthly payment in substance are costlier when you add "interest" (rent into a black hole) and lower "principle" (long-term loan to the bank which is repaid back at sale). When the house is sold, the principle value returns to the seller via the sale and remaining loan payoff. So when you are paying off, say, $1,000 a month, if $600 is principle and $400 is interest, your true (final, after-the-sale-returns-principle-to-you) payment is $400. If you lower the total to $900 a month, but it breaks down as $400 principle and $500 interest, the true payment is $500.

So again, debt trap.

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[–] CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world 4 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

If the regressive dumbasses in this country don't succeed in their (apparent) project of completely ruining science and medicine in this country, I would not be surprised to see the average lifespan/healthspan go up.

Even so, I still think 50 year mortgages are rather stupid. But with dipshits running things, it would not be surprising to see the combination of the worst kind of outcomes even in the face of breakthroughs in age extension/reversal - people still being forced into retirement early, but coming up with schemes like 50 year mortgages at the same time....barf.

[–] troed@fedia.io 4 points 1 day ago (2 children)

No one in the us ever looks at how things work in other countries, right?

While we don't have the exact same mortgages setup in the EU, it's not in any way uncommon for our house loans to not be realistically paid down during one's life time. Yeah, we indeed refer to it as renting from the banks.

I looked it up and France is 20 as the most common with generally up to 25. Spain is 20 average with 25-30 and max of 40. Italy, Germany and even the UK are in that range with UK being the longest now with 31-32 capping out at 40 generally. 50 is not normal for comparable countries. Are you suggesting that in your country 50 is normal?

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[–] SeeMarkFly@lemmy.ml 4 points 1 day ago

Financial slavery is just another name for slavery.

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