It's based on a thoughtful, rigorous analysis, but that 3.5% number is full of caveats. The fact that anyone regards it as a hard threshold is a sign of how easily nuance is lost on social media.
phutatorius
joined 1 week ago
And Trump is an uncurable liar. So how many actually attended?
They don't use words to convey meaning or to express thought. Their words are chaff that they emit as one of many tactics to get what they want. So there's no reason to reason with them. It's not a debate, it's a power grab.
OK, you carry on attempting to deal with fascism using sweet reason and compliance in advance. Let us know how that goes.
Regarding the Troubles, it was a low-level civil war with the military involved with very limited rules of engagement. The UK military essentially served a police function, though it was institutionally biased in favor of the Unionists. There was no bombing, no artillery fire, none of that (though there were targeted assassinations, largely done by the UVF based on intel fed to them by the UK military). The UK establishment's goal was to contain the problem, not to eliminate it. The Good Friday accord came after a generation-long stalemate. So that's probably not a meaningful model of what might happen in the US.
And people-power revolutions have occurred in many countries in the world, often without much violence (except for some perpetrated by the authoritarian states against their citizens, and even those tend to be limited). Many have succeeded. On the other hand, there have also been popular movements that have failed (for example, most of the Arab Spring revolutions). Even so, there is no reason to assume that resistance would inevitably lead to a Civil War 2.0 scenario. That would be a worst case; and considering that the pro-dictatorship faction is at most 40% of the population, and largely from the most economically irrelevant parts of the country, the most they could reasonably achieve would be unstable minority rule.
Yeah, funny that they all have the same crazy set of ideas...
Or trad media is doing what it always does, minimizing progressive turnout and exaggerating right-wing numbers.
The Isles of Scilly, off the coast of Cornwall, are also car-free.
But even in destinations where cars are allowed, you seldom need a car if you're a tourist.
It'll be disappointed when it gets here.
"Will no one think of the chinless wonders?" wasn't a headline likely to elicit empathy.
"Oh my gourd, Tristan! We might have to defer upgrading one of the sailboats!"
This is a tough one for me: I'm opposed to femicide, but I only wish the absolute worst on influencers.
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Because Trump is a megalomaniac surrounded by toadies, and nobody was willing to tell him that his turnout expectations were bullshit.