this post was submitted on 16 Jun 2025
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Image is of destruction and damage inside Israel, sourced from this article.


Iran and Israel have struck each other many times over the last few days. There has been a general focus on military facilities and headquarters by both sides, though Israel has also struck oil facilities, civilian structures and hospitals, and in return for this, Iran has struck major scientific centers and the Haifa oil facilities.

Israel appears to have three main aims. First, to collapse the Iranian state, either through shock and breakdown by killing enough senior officials, or via some sort of internal military coup. Second, to try and destroy Iranian nuclear sites and underground missile cities, or at least to paralyze them long enough to achieve the first and third goals. And third, to bring the US into a direct conflict with Iran. This is because the US better equipped to fight them than Israel is (though victory would still not be guaranteed depending on what Iran chooses to do).

Iranian nuclear facilities are hidden deep underground (800 meters), far beyond the depth range of even the most powerful bunker busters (~70 meters or so), and built such that the visible ground entrances are horizontally far away in an unknown direction from the actual underground chambers. Only an extremely competent full-scale American bombing force all simultaneously using multiple of the most powerful conventional (perhaps even nuclear) bunker busters could even hypothetically hope to breach them (and we have seen how, in practice, American bunker busters have largely failed to impair or deter Ansarallah). There are several analysts on both sides who have concluded that it is entirely impossible to physically prevent Iran from building nukes.

I fully expect the US to join the war. I believe the current ambiguity is a deliberate invention of the US while they work to move their military assets into position, and as soon as they are ready, the US will start bombing Iran. After that, Iran's leadership must - if they haven't already - harden their hearts, and strike back with no fear, or risk following the path of Libya, Syria, and Iraq, either into either surrender, occupation, or annihilation. Every day where they do not possess a nuke is a day where lives are being lost and cities are being bombed.


Last week's thread is here.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Quaxamilliom@hexbear.net 54 points 1 day ago (1 children)

AJ live right now showing videos of Iran hitting a microsoft hq in the zionist regime!

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[–] HarryLime@hexbear.net 52 points 1 day ago (3 children)
[–] RomCom1989@hexbear.net 47 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Victim of Yanqui Imperialism

[–] VILenin@hexbear.net 44 points 1 day ago
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[–] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 71 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

A month ago, I posted about the China-Iran rail corridor being put into operation. As part of the Silk Road Railway, this corridor not only further integrates Iran into the Belt and Road Initiative, but also allows them to export oil to China, and for China to export goods to Europe while having the ability to bypass US Navy blockades. I'd imagine this would have set off alarm bells in the US, as they've been clear about wanting to control shipping routes in their efforts to contain China.

Some people on here were convinced that with this new rail corridor in operation, the next US action would take place in either Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, or Uzbekistan, which are all situated along this railway. What if they decided that with this new development, they couldn't wait any longer, and chose to accelerate their regime change plans for Iran instead?

In March, US intelligence agencies openly admitted that Iran was not building a nuclear weapon, and right up until the moment this rail corridor was put into operation in May, Trump seemed to concur. Now Trump is claiming the total opposite, that Iran has been building nuclear weapons, and that any prior intelligence should be ignored. Of course, this could be considered standard behavior for Trump, but maybe the ghouls in control had to quickly shift gears.

[–] MaoShanDong@hexbear.net 40 points 1 day ago

I completely agree. I've made several comments about just how time sensitive everything is in terms of what both sides of the current conflict would want to achieve. Arguably this applies to American current interests as a whole. It's no coincidence that the 2027 deadline for Xi's imminent invasion of Taiwan keeps being brought up as if its something they PRC has actually ever stated.

There is undoubtedly a sense of urgency within the current western leadership. As much as people have lamented at the quagmire that Ukraine has become for Russia I would say that it is just as much of a quagmire for the US in terms of materiel which is why it has become so eager to throw the issue of Zelensky onto the Europeans.

Likewise the recent development of the BRI especially in Iran's case has twofold implications that I think would have accelerated the US in terms of their decisions. Firstly, with the development of the landbased rail link, the near nuclear option of decimating regional trade through the blockade of the sea of Hormuz and the destruction of regional oil and gas infrastructure has less of an effect on Iran as a whole. Secondly, with more economic linkage between Iran and the East, it would likely be only a matter of time before further reorientation occurred. The US could always attempt some level of soft coup using the entrenched assets but this comes with its own set of risks.

So it makes total sense for them to suddenly understand the risks they were dealing with. In their calculus striking while the rail link is still relatively new and things have yet to establish themselves fully was probably the best course of action. The issue was of course, they heavily underestimated the resolve of the Iranians and so now are forced to go all in.

[–] larrikin99@hexbear.net 48 points 1 day ago (2 children)

what are the pros and cons of an Iranian preemptive strike? for what legality is worth, the hostile positioning of US assets within the theater with the openly stated purpose of a pending decision to attack clearly constitutes an act of aggression. What about the middle path of threatening preemption by giving the US an ultimatum to stop hostile deployments else Iran will decide whether a strike is warranted?

[–] iie@hexbear.net 28 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I feel like both of those options would shift US public opinion toward war

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[–] ffmpreg@hexbear.net 50 points 1 day ago (3 children)

chat is this true? someone get the apology form

[–] LoveYourself@hexbear.net 42 points 1 day ago (4 children)

Why are his old tweets formatted like this? Its strange but endearing.

[–] Dessa@hexbear.net 49 points 1 day ago

Lowwr character limit back then

[–] la_tasalana_intissari_mata@hexbear.net 32 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I guess he was trying to be hip

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[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 22 points 1 day ago (2 children)

How the fuck does he have a 11+ year old Twitter account without catching a ban? I think Maduro and Morales used to have Twitter accounts before they got banned.

[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 18 points 1 day ago

I believe he was banned, and it was scandalous because he's the leader of a nation state. Then Elon bought X and unbanned him

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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 62 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (6 children)

Staging for a potential B-2 Spirit stealth bomber strike on the Fordow underground nuclear facility? Two potential developments in this regard.

As I've said many times, my theory is that if the B-2s do strike Fordow, they'll fly out from Whiteman and over the Pacific and Australia to do so, not over the Atlantic as many suggest. They might also be forward deployed to Diego Garcia as a final public signalling towards Iran. There have been two developments in the last two hours to suggest that the assets for such a plan are being put in place. Mid air refueling aircraft have been moved to California and over the Pacific, and Australia has announced the closure of it's embassy in Tehran.

Two C-17 Globemaster transport in and out of Whiteman, one heading west now.

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[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 53 points 1 day ago (2 children)
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[–] AOCapitulator@hexbear.net 60 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

NBC Reports that Israeli Defenses are Rapidly Becoming Depleted

NBC News reports that only 65% of Iranian missiles were intercepted by Israel’s Iron Dome in the past 24 hours — a sharp drop from nearly 90% the day before, according to a senior Israeli intelligence source.

The official, still receiving government briefings, noted Iran’s newer, faster missiles are cutting Israel’s response time in half, from 10–11 minutes down to just 6–7. These missiles are also more precise, with advanced guidance systems.

Despite Israeli claims of success, the official admitted Iran retains large missile stockpiles and the capability for sustained strikes, warning against underestimating Tehran’s “strategic patience” and resolve.

Talk of Iran’s collapse is premature, the source said: “They have both the will and the means to continue.”

https://www.nbcnews.com/world/middle-east/live-blog/live-updates-israel-iran-reactor-hospital-rcna213904

[–] LemmeAtEm@lemmy.ml 38 points 1 day ago

MSM switching from "the enemy is weak and ineffectual" mode to consent-manufacturing mode.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 81 points 1 day ago (15 children)

Mexico's President has 82.5 percent approval rating - Prensa Latina

Article

Mexico City, Jun 19 (Prensa Latina) Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum has 82.5 percent citizen approval, according to the results of a FactoMétrica poll released today.

According to the survey, carried out from the 14th to the 18th of this month by telephone, only 17.5 percent of those consulted considered the performance of the president, the first woman to hold the office in this country, as bad or very bad.

The opinion poll revealed that 44.9 percent of those surveyed rated the chief executive as very close to the concerns of the people; 28.2 percent as somewhat close; 15.1 percent as not very close and 11.8 percent as not at all close.

Likewise, 79.5 percent defined her as an honest person compared to 20.5 percent who do not perceive her as such.

Meanwhile, 74.8 percent of the citizens considered the dignitary to have the capacity to make the right decisions in times of crisis, nine percent said that it depended on the situation, and 16.2 responded negatively.

When asked about trust in Sheinbaum to adequately represent Mexico in the international arena, 65.3 percent said they trusted her a lot, 13.8 somewhat, 7.7 a little and 13.2 not at all.

Regarding the opinion analysis on the government's work in different areas, 77.6 percent expressed a positive opinion about the fight against poverty and 63.8 expressed the same opinion regarding the work in the area of security.

The study included 1,200 people over 18 years of age and the type of sampling was probabilistic, randomly stratified by geography, gender and age groups, in order to guarantee adequate national representativeness.

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[–] Meltyheartlove@hexbear.net 77 points 1 day ago (6 children)
[–] FALGSConaut@hexbear.net 61 points 1 day ago (4 children)

Have we reached the "selling military ranks" stage of imperial decline?

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 32 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

World's first flying robot took off in Italy - Prensa Latina

Article

Rome, Jun 19 (Prensa Latina) The world's first flying robot, called iRonCub3, took off in Italy, marking a milestone in the country's scientific and technological development, according to a press release.

A note published on the news site of the television channel Rai News points out that this success was the result of a project initiated two years ago by a research team of the Artificial and Mechanical Intelligence Laboratory (AMI) of the Italian Institute of Technology (IIT), based in the northern city of Genoa.

“It was a radically different research from traditional humanoid robotics,” said Daniele Pucci, director of the AMI and main creator of iRonCub3, who indicated that the robot, in this first test, managed to fly at a height of 50 centimeters, which represents a significant advance.

The work also involved experts from the Aerodynamics Laboratory of the Politecnico di Milano, where the wind tunnel tests were carried out, as well as from Stanford University, where deep learning algorithms were used to identify aerodynamic models.

The iRonCub3 robot has a body and face similar to those of a child, weighing about 70 kilograms, and is equipped with four jet engines, two mounted on its arms and two in a backpack on its back.

The incorporation of these motors required additional modifications to the robot's physical structure, including titanium elements that act as a backbone and heat-resistant covers, since the temperature of the exhaust gases can reach 800 degrees.

“Our models include neural networks trained with simulated and experimental data, and are integrated into the robot's control software architecture to ensure stable flight,” said expert Antonello Paolino, one of the main drivers of this project.

In this sense, “it has control systems based on Artificial Intelligence that allow it to fly managing turbulent air flows at high speed and> extreme temperatures”, said Paolino, who considered that “the results of the research can be transferred to other robots with unconventional morphologies”.

These flying robots could be used in the exploration of extreme environments, such as space, deep sea and volcanoes, as well as for monitoring complex infrastructure, including dams, power plants and bridges, and in environmental or industrial crisis intervention,

Among the entities most interested in this equipment are space agencies, energy industries, healthcare systems and law enforcement.

In the coming months, experiments with the prototype will continue in a wider area, thanks to the collaboration with Genoa Airport, which will provide a specific area to be installed and equipped by IIT, in compliance with all safety standards, the source adds.

Cursed Photo

[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 11 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

first flying robot

People have a very weird idea of what a robot is. Drones/UAVs have been a thing for quite some time now.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 55 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

Remember when Bukele asked Grokk who the most popular leader in Latin America was and it said that ~~this has nothing to do with the “white genocide” in South Africa~~ the most popular leader in Latin America was Claudia Sheinbaum?

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[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 77 points 1 day ago (5 children)

https://xcancel.com/MazMHussain/status/1935775987171483652

Israeli officials appear to be editing contrast and angle on images of their airstrikes in Iran and posting them on separate days to appear new. The images below clearly show overlapping details with modifications only to image and resolution. There appear to be many cases this.

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