this post was submitted on 26 Jan 2026
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Chapotraphouse

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Don't know if what I'm feeling is grounded in reality since I just had a particularly productive therapy session but I think I was feeling this beforehand too when I was scrolling this morning.

From what I'm seeing in the shift in posture, Stephen Miller blew his load and I assume Capital is getting antsy and is trying to cut off the Infinite Vice-Signal Machine. In a dark way, Alex Pretti was the perfect victim for the American public, and his execution was so blatantly appalling that it seems that that, alongside the general strike, is shocking the bourgeoisie into realignment with social liberalism for the first time since 2025's "mandate".

If it is the case that the leash is being pulled, expect to see the internal contradictions between the accelerationist cadre (ICE, Miller, Noem, Bovino, Thiel) and the thermostatics (Trump, Cruz, Vance) start to heighten. (EDIT: it, at least rhetorically, begins) The state-integrated Proud Boys and Oathkeepers on the ground are going to try to hit the gas on the tension pedal now that the leash for Unlimited GTA LARP might be tugged. They want to provoke the race war as much as they possibly can before the party ends. Miller, if competent, will take an L, fall into the background, and bide his time until we approach US midterms for another ramping up of domestic repression. They seem to want to make Noem and/or Bovino the fall guys for this, though I'd laugh if they somehow take Miller down with them.

If you are in the USA and my vibe meter holds (meaning the admin takes the L on this and retreats), you should be operating as if this is an armistice that will last, reasonably, at most until midterm elections. Even if they fold on their aura-farming about 'canceling the elections', treat it like they won't and immediately seek to organize with cool people within your area. gather the tools, strategies and general means to defend against and disrupt militant repression.

If I'm wrong (the admin doubles down), then we are truly in the Decades Week, agitate as much as possible to the laymen and rally for shows of worker power, as well as linking up with your local socialists and workers, of course. The former path's goals are worthwhile too if you and your comrades can muster them in time.

The best time to get offline and talk to the people in your area was when you first gained political consciousness. The second best time is now.

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[–] footfaults@lemmygrad.ml 19 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

In general I agree with your analysis, however

Miller, if competent, will take an L, fall into the background, and bide his time until we approach US midterms for another ramping up of domestic repression.

I actually think that this isn't correct. Miller knows that the midterms are approaching, and I think he correctly surmised that he needs to keep escalating, keep attacking. That is Trump's methodology and if Miller were to pull back that would show weakness and would absolutely open room for people to put a stop to this. His succees depends on keeping everyone on the back foot, reacting to his moves. As soon as he gives opponents the room to breathe I think they'll be able to gum up the works and stop him.

After the midterms, the game is either "over" (optimistically) or at least changes significantly where perhaps he will be more constrained, and that's why he's been pushing as hard as he has since Day One.

[–] WhyEssEff@hexbear.net 17 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

Yeah that was the part I was most unsure about when writing this because it was me saying "well what I would do—" and thus it’s ultimately projection and doesn’t line up with how true chuds operate, willing to concede on it

[–] footfaults@lemmygrad.ml 12 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

That's fair. Maybe it says more about me where I can slip on the CHUD mask easily and give some guesses about what they're operating as

[–] juniper@hexbear.net 12 points 2 days ago (1 children)

What exactly could his opponents do that Trump wouldn't just ignore? I think it's a pretty lib take to think midterms have any valence to the long term strategy here. Democrats have shown their ass to be complicit so I'm not sure what your point is.

I agree that applying pressure and keeping everyone on the back foot has been effective, but that doesn't necessarily mean they need to go full accelerationist.

[–] footfaults@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

What exactly could his opponents do that Trump wouldn’t just ignore? I think it’s a pretty lib take to think midterms have any valence to the long term strategy here.

A real opposition party, or a party philosophically opposed to what is being done can absolutely use Congress to slow down and gum up the works.

Do I believe it will happen? I'm not sure. I think it's important to separate out what we expect to happen (the Dems being shit) from what is at least enough to make them think about it and plan around the possibility.

The midterm outcome is at least something that Miller and the rest are concerned about. I think it's influencing how they operate. If they weren't concerned they wouldn't be trying to try and put their thumbs on the scales with all the stuff they're doing about voter rolls and trying to keep the pressure up and widening the war against territories they don't control.

I do absolutely agree that they'll just do whatever they want and dare anyone to stop them? Of course. But if they weren't concerned they would just ignore it completely.

Does this mean that the Democrats will do anything to stop it? Lmao no but perhaps they will just slow down the acceleration like they usually do.

[–] juniper@hexbear.net 18 points 2 days ago (1 children)

A real opposition party, or a party philosophically opposed to what is being done can absolutely use Congress to slow down and gum up the works.

This is so far away from being remotely possible that I don't think it's worth discussing. The conditions that would give rise to such a party actually attaining power in this way are what we should be striving for, not to use bourgeois democracy against our enemies (which isn't possible).

The midterm outcome is at least something that Miller and the rest are concerned about.

The apparent recent ousting of Bovino lends credence to this, however I think it's mostly Trump's sixth sense for public relations ("optics"). The admin has been losing control of both the situation and the narrative and need to back off and regroup. I don't think elections are worth fixating on.

But if they weren't concerned they would just ignore it completely.

Agreed, but I think we are just viewing it differently. They're concerned not because of vote but because operationally they've shit the bed and caused a bunch of people to radicalize in a short time.

[–] footfaults@lemmygrad.ml 14 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

The apparent recent ousting of Bovino lends credence to this, however I think it’s mostly Trump’s sixth sense for public relations (“optics”). The admin has been losing control of both the situation and the narrative and need to back off and regroup. I don’t think elections are worth fixating on.

I think this is a great point. I didn't even consider that.