Don't know if what I'm feeling is grounded in reality since I just had a particularly productive therapy session but I think I was feeling this beforehand too when I was scrolling this morning.
From what I'm seeing in the shift in posture, Stephen Miller blew his load and I assume Capital is getting antsy and is trying to cut off the Infinite Vice-Signal Machine. In a dark way, Alex Pretti was the perfect victim for the American public, and his execution was so blatantly appalling that it seems that that, alongside the general strike, is shocking the bourgeoisie into realignment with social liberalism for the first time since 2025's "mandate".
If it is the case that the leash is being pulled, expect to see the internal contradictions between the accelerationist cadre (ICE, Miller, Noem, Bovino, Thiel) and the thermostatics (Trump, Cruz, Vance) start to heighten. (EDIT: it, at least rhetorically, begins) The state-integrated Proud Boys and Oathkeepers on the ground are going to try to hit the gas on the tension pedal now that the leash for Unlimited GTA LARP might be tugged. They want to provoke the race war as much as they possibly can before the party ends. Miller, if competent, will take an L, fall into the background, and bide his time until we approach US midterms for another ramping up of domestic repression. They seem to want to make Noem and/or Bovino the fall guys for this, though I'd laugh if they somehow take Miller down with them.
If you are in the USA and my vibe meter holds (meaning the admin takes the L on this and retreats), you should be operating as if this is an armistice that will last, reasonably, at most until midterm elections. Even if they fold on their aura-farming about 'canceling the elections', treat it like they won't and immediately seek to organize with cool people within your area. gather the tools, strategies and general means to defend against and disrupt militant repression.
If I'm wrong (the admin doubles down), then we are truly in the Decades Week, agitate as much as possible to the laymen and rally for shows of worker power, as well as linking up with your local socialists and workers, of course. The former path's goals are worthwhile too if you and your comrades can muster them in time.
The best time to get offline and talk to the people in your area was when you first gained political consciousness. The second best time is now.
Has the admin taken any Ls yet? Is it even an L if they're getting exactly what they want? This will ramp things up even more, giving them an even greater excuse to continue to ramp things up. This feels like their objective. Do violence to get a response, and then respond more violently to that response to get a bigger response. Rinse and repeat.
I'm not trying to doomer on this because I don't think they can ramp up the violence forever without public pushback that tears the whole thing down, but I don't think they have any intention of backing off. They want the battle.
all the signals are firing retreat for the moment. Bovino is allegedly vacating Minneapolis, Leavitt is shying away from fully backing Miller's claims that Pretti was a terrorist, Trump is trying to find a tension off-ramp that frames it as his win.
At some point they're going to have to leave Minneapolis, it's not like they'll stay there for years just to prove a point, it's unsustainable. When they leave, they'll try to spin it as a victory - they left because they succeeded, not because they were despised. And then they'll go somewhere else (Maine supposedly?) and the same process will repeat. If they're feeling weak, they might look for a weaker target, which might be part of the reasoning for Maine.
Depends on how you define Ls? He is polling terribly, with just 30% of Americans supporting him. Of those 30%, the party is having an meltdown because their average supporter thinks Hitler did nothing wrong, while the intelligentsia is adamant they should be still be allowed in their social circles and an anti-semitic party portends the end of support to Israel. The Epstein files are now synonymous with Donald Trump. He got extremely lucky that their Venezuelan operation went through without a hitch, but it raises a bunch of legal questions as Maduro makes his way through the justice system.
Within the justice system itself, they keep losing almost lay-up like cases. Recently a jury voted not guilty on a "death threat" social media case. The evidence is quite literally saved and archived for everyone to see. They keep failing to clear grand juries. And judges keep demanding more and more accountability. Whatever remains of the justice department is made up of officials too dumb to clear a case, let alone censor documents effectively.
Whatever euphoria they had from having won the election and hitting people with shock and awe during the first year. The tactic is losing steam.