this post was submitted on 29 Sep 2024
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chapotraphouse
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Honestly I've just resigned myself to Copmala being the functioning president. I think she's going to win since Trump lost his mojo and nobody outside of the diehard ride or die MAGA are still with him, I think at least.
Libs like to say it's hard for Trump to appeal to new voters. But the opposite of that is that he has a certain percentage of voters absolutely locked in. Kamala doesn't have that. Also - the GOP has been working really hard to give themselves the ability to cause chaos leading up to election and more chaos beyond up until January 6th.
I think there are two reasons Trump isn't campaigning. One, he's scared of getting assassinated. Two, he expects the GOP justices on the supreme court will hand him an illegimate victory. Estimations of the vote on or after election day could show Kamala clearly won because she got the most Electoral College votes. But in the meanwhile GOP in one or more swing states contest the results and take the issue to court because... reasons. If a state case goes to the supreme court that means they'll side with Trump and he wins.
For example Trump totally controls the electoral board in Georgia and they are going out of their way to create post-election chaos. Pro-Trump Georgia election board votes to require hand counts of ballots.
:i-love-democracy:
lmfao
by radical neoliberal extremists too
I think she'll win the popular vote and lose the electoral vote. Georgia especially is looking like a Republican steal with their new election interference laws.
2016 all over again lol
if Kamala loses Hillary would have the hardest time not smiling during her post-election interview. "I GUESS America's just NOT ready, and that's TERRIBLE" as she grins from ear to ear
This does not seem to be what the polls suggest at all. If she wins, it looks like it's going to be closer than 2020. He's beating his numbers with most non-white demographics already.
I get that.
Either way it's probably going to be close, which is the maddening part of it all, the burgers want this.
worth remembering 35-50% of the eligible population straight up doesn't vote. Not for either the fascist nor the vampire in the fascist-and-vampire-show of US elections. It's all the petty bourgeois suburbanites, yuppie gentrifiers, and small business tyrants, and the big bourgeois donors that both candidates are fighting over. That is to say, a quarter to half of the 'burgers' are too disenfranchised and disillusioned to give any kind of a fuck about this, as has been the case for a number of years; and no one can in good faith blame them.
Maybe, but we've seen this before. No one thought he'd win the first time but pollsters strongly undercounted his supporters, who didn't respond to polls to begin with. Liberal arrogance played its role too, of course, as it usually does.