this post was submitted on 29 Jun 2026
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A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of rescue efforts at a damaged residential complex in Caracas on June 25th.


Weekly preamble in spoiler tags below.

preambleThe situation regarding both Iran and global oil markets is getting even more complicated, and that's without even including the regular injections of disinformation from people like Barak Ravid and Trump himself. In my current estimation, the negotiations are proceeding as if both sides would rather see a deal than not. At the very least, there have certainly been enough blatant violations of the MoU articles that Iran would be fully justified to end negotiations altogether, and yet they are not, which must mean that they really do want a deal. Until a few days ago, these were mainly issues that Iran has been prepared to show... "flexibility" on (others might say "cowardice"), such as Zionist aggression against southern Lebanon. Both at the start of the April ceasefire and at the start of the MoU, they made Lebanon out to be a red line issue, but ultimately seemed convinced by the US saying to them, via backchannels, that they'll yank the leash back on their mangy, rabid dog. Therefore, it's safe to conclude that Iran, in practice, either only symbolically cares about Lebanon as the number of buildings destroyed by the Zionists is now climbing into the tens of thousands, or is confident in Hezbollah's ability to withstand assaults and eventually push back the Zionists to the border.

However, very recently, the fighting has once again come closer to home for Iran, with renewed, albeit limited, exchanges of fire in the general area of Hormuz. This all stems from an unfortunate contradiction that Iran has wandered into with regard to Oman. In short: their legal argument for why they should be able to extract tolls/service fees from shipping through Hormuz relies on the concept of Hormuz being part of their territorial waters and not international waters, which is literally true. However, it is also possible to transit Hormuz entirely through Oman's territorial waters too, and, critically, Oman has not shown any serious interest in charging a toll, and is letting shipping pass freely. Oman is also much less able to seriously withstand foreign assaults than Iran, meaning their position is precarious - side with Iran, and risk a Western military assault that destroys them; side with the US, and risk Hormuz never truly reopening because the IRGC will not tolerate ships bypassing their authority. So, Iran is now legally stuck: to have a toll, it must find a way to argue that territorial waters are important when it applies to them, but aren't important when it applies to Oman. Or, of course, to somehow convince Oman to set up their own toll, in face of the dangers.

So far, the result of this has been Iran asserting, both verbally and through drones and missiles, that transit through the Oman channels is, at least during the period of the MoU, illegitimate. This has squashed hopes by many analysts that Hormuz flows would return to normal very soon - after a very brief peak, these numbers now seem to be descending to near-wartime levels. This is happening as the US's reserves continue to drain at a frightening rate. That being said, Iranian oil tankers are getting out in large numbers and reaching foreign markets, so it's not as if Iran is solely being disadvantaged by the current situation. It's even possible that Iran is waiting for enough of these ships to reach Eastern Asia before they plan to restart the war. I'm unsure if this is actually likely, but I've seen several others suggest it, and it does make sense to at least make the most of the current lack of blockade while you figure out if the US is actually going to give in to any of your demands.

Over in Ukraine, the situation seems to be slowly heating up. It's always hard for me personally to figure out the seriousness of the statements of the Ukrainians and the Russians - you'll look back on a year of exaggerated threats and bold statements and promises of grand offensives and threats of nuclear war and yet, on the battlefield, all you see is fairly standard attrition and positional warfare. Anyway: there's been much ado about Ukrainian attacks into Russia proper over the last few months and whether it's having an impact on their economy (not particularly), wartime production (not at all), and social fabric (kinda). However, the rumors of Belarus getting more directly involved in the war - whether they want to or not - are increasing in intensity, with Ukraine threatening that they'll fire on Belarusian border military equipment if it isn't withdrawn. Also, the Russian hardliners seem to really want to start attacking European military production supplying Ukraine, though Putin appears to have squashed those desires. But at the end of the day, the attrition and territorial advancements continue to convincingly favor Russia.

And lastly, the numbers of the aftermath of the recent earthquakes in Venezuela are rolling in, with ~1500 dead, ~750 buildings damaged and collapsed, and many thousands of people affected and being assisted by the government. From the footage I've seen, it's quite disturbing, and obviously not coming at a great time for Venezuela geopolitically either.


Last week's thread is here.
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Please check out the RedAtlas!

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The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 89 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (7 children)

EDIT: It's now news. my rant is officially binding

https://www.newsweek.com/americas-wheat-harvest-set-to-fall-to-lowest-level-in-150-years-12150306

I know it's not news, so delete if you must, but can I say it fucks me off how libs are now realizing the wheat harvest is gonna be super low in the US this year, like dust bowl levels, and their conclusion is exclusively rooted in climate change.

Motherfucker, your government bombed the country next to the chokepoint that was about to finish loading the fertilizer your farmers needed for this year's harvest!!! Hundreds if not thousands of farms left fallow because farmers decided it wouldn't be profitable to fuel their equipment and fertilize the fields!!!

I know there's a climate change element, of course there is, but the impacts of this self-inflicted disaster are being memory holed by the libs at breakneck speed, because at least climate change is this insurmountable catastrophe that they can whine about but never do shit to change, but politics is far too actionable for someone who is pissed that their bread is $8 a loaf come winter.

NB: The libs in question were on tiktok™ but even the USDA report fails to mention anything to do with Iran, hmm!

[–] Self_Sealing_Stem_Bolt@hexbear.net 49 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

but the impacts of this self-inflicted disaster are being memory holed by the libs at breakneck speed

Cause deep down they support bombing Iran too.

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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 72 points 2 weeks ago (11 children)

I made the mistake of watching the news on Danish state broadcaster TV2 yesterday. They had sent their star correspondent to Cuba to report on the dire situation there. He didn't seem to speak Spanish, but Danish journalists who speak other languages than high school English are hard to find and I suppose his status as their top journalist somehow makes up for the lack of communication skills.

It was a bizarre reportage. Cuba is indeed in a desperate situation but he didn't do anything to explain to viewers why that is the case. Not once did he mention the words "USA", "America" or "blockade", nor did he mention anything about the Cuban government's and civil society's response to the crisis. It was all human interest and no context.

Instead he spent half of the reportage telling viewers how he couldn't find anyone who said they wanted regime change which he boldly asserted was because they were too afraid of speaking out. Then he went on to ask the woman he was interviewing whether she wanted a new government, something she didn't seem to be the least bit afraid of saying that she did if the situation didn't improve. The reporter explained this lack of fear with the situation being so bad that jail was no longer any worse than the curve state of affairs.

So, to recap: Cuba is in crisis due to vague, unspecified government malfeasance, the American blockade is completely irrelevant and the only solution is total regime change. Cubans are too afraid to ask for it, except when they actually explicitly do, at which point it is proof that the situation is so catastrophic and the government so illegitimate that fear has evaporated.

This is the unfalsifiable anti-communist orthodoxy in action. If Cubans stay silent, it proves the regime is repressive. If they speak out, it proves the regime is incompetent. Viewers are actively being made dumber by this bullshit.

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[–] Hestia@hexbear.net 68 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

Israeli court says comptroller overstepped authority in 7 Oct attack probes

The Times of Israel reported that the court found Englman had no jurisdiction to investigate four areas: Israel's transfer of Qatari funds to Hamas before the attack, Gaza border defences, the conduct of intelligence agencies and government in response to information about a possible Hamas assault, and the response of the government, intelligence agency Shin Bet and the military during the attack.

The court said the state comptroller's role is to review government actions against prevailing norms, not conduct investigations to establish the factual reality of events.

I wonder why they don't want any investigation on these matters contextphobic

[–] Parzivus@hexbear.net 56 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

The court said the state comptroller's role is to review government actions against prevailing norms, not conduct investigations to establish the factual reality of events.

come on lol

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[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 63 points 2 weeks ago (5 children)

https://xcancel.com/ripplebrain/status/2073388541615231389

The Pentagon is paying up to $985 million to a think tank that simulates wars on paper, hoping to find weaknesses before any real fighting starts. https://archive.ph/eutVZ

Idk what I thought they were paying RAND but a cool billion dollars to sit there and think about what might happen in various hypothetical wars is more than that

god I wish I got paid a billion dollars to play Hearts of Iron sicko-wistful

some excerpts from the full article

The Pentagon has put up to $985 million on the table to keep fighting wars that have not happened yet, all inside conference rooms and computer simulations rather than on any actual battlefield.

This contract sits within a research relationship between RAND and the Pentagon that has run continuously for more than seven decades, producing analysis that has directly informed decisions ranging from nuclear strategy during the Cold War to more recent Pentagon planning around great-power competition with China and Russia. The scale of this particular award, with a ceiling approaching a billion dollars, underscores how central RAND’s wargaming and analytic work has remained even as the character of potential conflicts has shifted dramatically ...

RAND’s China and Taiwan wargaming in particular has produced some of the institute’s most consequential and uncomfortable findings for Pentagon leadership over the past decade. David Ochmanek, a senior RAND international defense researcher and former deputy assistant secretary of defense for force development, has spent years running and analyzing simulations of a potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan, and one widely cited public assessment he offered of what those exercises repeatedly show became one of the most quoted lines in recent defense policy debate. “In our games, when we fight Russia and China, [the United States] gets its ass handed to it,” Ochmanek said.

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[–] AlHouthi4President@lemmy.ml 63 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

American bombs killed almost 4500 Lebanese since March 2nd of this year. Lebanese "government" is worms

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[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 62 points 3 weeks ago (18 children)

Interesting commentary (alongside the dude just ranting):
https://xcancel.com/DavidHundeyin/status/2071760347799683534

3 days after Traoré is all over the news for breaking off diplomatic relations with France, which gets a good reception, some obscure christian zionist Twitter handle puts out a bullshit tweet portraying a routine change of an accredited Israeli ambassador (based in Cote d'Ivoire) as "Traoré developing closer ties with Israel" and you bunch supposedly "anti-imperialist" dumbasses fall for the headfake instantly without making any attempt to even understand what you are looking at.

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[–] AlHouthi4President@lemmy.ml 61 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (7 children)

Sayed Ali's funeral

(Photo from Tehran Times)

A World leader whose funeral draws millions of people to come together yelling "Marg bar Amrika!" (Death to america) Video

Video

In the subways

More than 10 million mourners expected in Tehran according to IRNA, with Iranian officials estimating that attendance over the six-day funeral period could exceed 20 million. (Cradle)

In case you are wondering why they have extended it over multiple days, this was the chaotic scenes that occurred during Ayatollah Khomeini's funeral. Video

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[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 61 points 2 weeks ago (9 children)

https://xcancel.com/rybar_mena/status/2071972899129311263

Iran hit Israel’s Haifa oil refinery harder than authorities initially admitted. The strike completely destroyed the main gasoline reservoir, disabled the internal power plant supplying steam and electricity, and damaged gas turbines, boilers, and control rooms with shrapnel. The attack eliminated around 60% of Israel’s domestic oil product production, leading to a sharp gasoline shortage that was offset by ramping up imports and maximizing output at the Ashdod refinery. To speed up repairs, the government allowed work to bypass normal environmental and construction regulations, with full restoration now expected only in 2028. The true scale of the damage surfaced after Haifa’s municipality and environmental groups sued over the regulatory shortcuts, raising the possibility that Israel may be downplaying the impact of other Iranian strikes on critical infrastructure.

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[–] WilsonWilson@hexbear.net 60 points 2 weeks ago (6 children)

Dave Weigel interviewed Michigan 2026 US Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed earlier today:

Dave Weigel: “When Fox News is booking you and covering you, might that be for the same reason Republican PACs spend to help progressive candidates? That they see you as easier to beat?”

Abdul El-Sayed: “It’s amazing to me how deeply they’re misjudging this. I’m like: You have never fought a counterpuncher. The number of times I’m gonna define and redefine Mike Rogers! We’re talking about an anti-charismatic old school politician who doesn’t even know what he believes, except for he wants to make himself rich off of the rest of us. You know what I’m gonna do to that man? By the time I’m done, his best friends are gonna look at him and think what I think, say what I say. I’m gonna define him into eternity. Good, help me beat the crap out of you. Little parts of your vestiges — politically — are gonna be scattered all over the state of Michigan, never to be seen again. You say “Mike Rogers,” it’ll be like: “Remember when Abdul just completely demolished that man’s political future?” By the time I’m done with him, people are going to be calling him Five Dollar Rogers.”

Weigel: “Why five dollars?” El-Sayed: “Because of $5 gas and how he’ll do whatever you want him to do for five bucks.”

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[–] Socialism_Is_The_Alternative@hexbear.net 60 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Belarus is celebrating Independence Day. Note, the holiday commemorates Belarus' liberation from Nazi occupation and not the destruction of the USSR:

During the Belarusian offensive operation codenamed Bagration (the largest strategic operation of the Great Patriotic War of 1941-1945), assisted by partisans, the 1st Belarusian Front and the 3rd Belarusian Front liberated the capital of Belarus from the Nazi invaders on 3 July 1944. The offensive Operation Bagration was of exceptional importance for Belarusians, this is why it is no coincidence that the day of liberation of the capital city of our republic was chosen as the date of independence. 3 July is an eternal symbol of freedom and love for the Motherland, for which Belarusians gave the most precious thing they had: their lives.

https://eng.belta.by/society/view/belarusians-celebrate-independence-day-today-182777-2026/

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[–] SickSemper@hexbear.net 59 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (4 children)

Specific Quranic verses were recited for each nation’s delegation as they bid farewell to the martyr

Cuba: Do not falter or grieve, for you will have the upper hand, if you are ˹true˺ believers.

Quran.com/3/139

Russia: That home of the Hereafter We assign to those who do not desire exaltedness upon the earth or corruption. And the [best] outcome is for the righteous."

Quran.com/28/83

Saudi Arabia: Already there has been for you a sign in the two armies which met - one fighting in the cause of Allah and another of disbelievers. They saw them [to be] twice their [own] number by [their] eyesight. But Allah supports with His victory whom He wills. Indeed in that is a lesson for those of vision.

Quran.com/3/13

the following are paraphrased:

Iraqi tribal sheikhs delegation - Surah Al-Ahzab 33:1

Commands the Prophet to remain God-fearing and not obey disbelievers or hypocrites.

Turkey delegation - Surah An-Nisa 4:95

States that those who strive/fight with wealth and life are ranked above those who stay behind, though God promises good to both.

Lebanese government delegation - Surah An-Nisa 4:66

Speaks about that if people had been commanded to kill themselves or leave their homes, only a few would have done it.

Hezbollah delegation - Surah Al Imran 3:139

Tells believers not to weaken or grieve, for they will have the upper hand if they are truly faithful.

Hamas delegation - Surah Al-Ahzab 33:23

Describes believing men who were true to their covenant with God, some fulfilled it through death, others still waiting, unwavering.

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[–] Keld@hexbear.net 58 points 2 weeks ago (7 children)

The Danish supreme court recently ruled that not shaking hands due to religious considerations is not a justified cause for firing.
As a result the bourgeois bloc, the right wing parties, have decided to propose a hand-shake law that says failing to shake hands is specifically a firable offence. The Social Democrats have commented that they are waiting for legal commentary before taking a stance on the issue.

https://www.altinget.dk/artikel/hoejesteretsdom-udloeser-vaerdikamp-i-folketinget-blaa-partier-vil-stille-krav-om-haandtryk

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[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 58 points 2 weeks ago (6 children)

Normal people: Jews controlling the media is just some dumb conspiracy theory.

Average Zionist:

https://www.thecanary.co/skwawkbox/2026/06/30/norm-coleman-jews/

The masters of the universe are Jews. We have Zuckerberg from Facebook, we have Sergey Brin from Google, we have Jan Koum, the founder of WhatsApp… it’s all us. We must control the digital world and social media.

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[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 56 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

https://xcancel.com/Alex_Oloyede2/status/2072998360357781733

🇷🇺⚡Just this morning, the Russian Geran drones have destroyed 8 gas stations and an oil distribution facility. This week, 100+ fuel stations across Sumy, Kharkov, Dnepropetrovsk and Kherson were destroyed. With major oil facilities in Kiev, Chernigov hit too.

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[–] Andrzej3K@hexbear.net 56 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (5 children)

In Spain, 900 people died from the heat in June

https://elpais.com/clima-y-medio-ambiente/2026-07-01/la-ola-de-calor-dispara-a-900-las-muertes-ligadas-a-las-altas-temperaturas-en-espana-en-junio.html

This is high, but not unusual, which I guess is why the media focus has been on much lower death tolls elsewhere in Europe. That said, I do wonder if the real tolls in these places would have been higher if they were using the same methodology. Idk, it sucks man

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[–] cosmosaucer@hexbear.net 56 points 2 weeks ago (5 children)

🇮🇷🇺🇸🇴🇲| Iran has completely closed the US-Omani designated maritime corridor that was used to bypass Iran’s authority over the Strait of Hormoz.

The constant USAF aerial presence did not stop Iran it seems.

@FotrosResistancee

not sure what to make of this or how credible it is but news worthy i think?

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[–] SickSemper@hexbear.net 55 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (9 children)

[please don’t reply to this post with hypotheticals about attacks on the funeral proceedings. there is enough grief without imagining a brutal future terrorist bombing.]

International delegations have begun to arrive in Tehran to pay respects to the martyred Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family

PFLP delegation

Ansarallah representatives

another Palestinian delegation

International visitors

Lebanese Amal Movement

Iraqi PMF

Russian (Medvedev & co.) and Chinese (vice chair of NPC He Wai) representatives

Delegations from Hamas and PIJ, including men marked for death by the imperialists

both Taliban and Northern Resistance officials [technically still at war]

Indian and Pakistani delegations (pakistan’s led by Asim Munir)

Representatives of 100+ nations per IRIB

while some european groups paid their respects, European leaders were not invited due to their role in the attack on Iran. eastern european countries (belarus) were represented by official government delegations

Lebanese Hezbollah, IRGC, and Quds Force officers were present but did not appear on camera

a large quantity of Iranian military officers including Major General Ali Abdollahi, Commander of Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters; Major General Hatami, Commander of the Army; Brigadier General Radan, Commander of the National Police; Brigadier General Ibn al-Reza, First Deputy Minister of Defense; Rear Admiral Sayyari, Chief of Staff and Deputy Commander for Coordination of the Army among other senior military commanders

the delegation from the DPRK has arrived in tehran

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[–] companero@hexbear.net 55 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

TASS: Putin’s military appearance signals determination to 'finish off neo-Nazi threat' — MFA

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s appearance at a meeting on the liberation of Konstantinovka in military uniform is a signal that the "terrorist neo-Nazi threat" will be pursued till the very end and across all fronts, Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said.

She drew attention to reports by British politician and journalist Jim Ferguson, who described the Russian leader’s appearance in military uniform at the meeting as an intentional signal.

"I think he is right. There have been more than enough signals of an intention to resolve issues peacefully. All of them were ignored by the Western relay system, which has broken down. The current signal is clear: we will finish off the terrorist neo-Nazi threat to the end and across all fronts. We are not abandoning peace, but the methodology of persuasion has changed," the diplomat wrote on her Telegram channel.

Unusually harsh and direct words from Putin's spokeswoman, though I wouldn't be surprised if they do a 180 as soon as Trump starts acting dovish again.

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[–] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 55 points 2 weeks ago (12 children)

PlayStation is ending production of physical game discs for all new games, starting January 2028.

From that date, new games will be available in digital formats only.

https://qz.com/playstation-physical-disc-production-ending-2028-070126

Boil All Gaming Executives

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[–] Socialism_Is_The_Alternative@hexbear.net 55 points 2 weeks ago (6 children)

Russian Federation Council Deputy Speaker Konstantin Kosachev pointed out that Israel lost the war:

"Israel is the only clear loser in this conflict. First of all, Israel is not participating in the negotiation process. Discussions about Israel’s actions - what it can and cannot do - are taking place without it."

"Second, Israel is under time pressure: it needs to achieve some kind of result before the fall elections. For Mr. Netanyahu, the outcome of these elections is a matter of survival as he is facing criminal prosecution, and the loss of his immunity would mean prison time."

"Israel is currently in what is known in chess as zugzwang, a situation in which every subsequent move leads to a worsening of the situation."

https://tass.com/politics/2154241

[–] jack@hexbear.net 50 points 2 weeks ago

Israel is currently in what is known in chess as zugzwang, a situation in which every subsequent move leads to a worsening of the situation."

A News Mega reader, I see

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[–] jack@hexbear.net 53 points 2 weeks ago

China adds over a dozen Japanese companies to its export control list, warning against re-militarization efforts

China argues that Japanese remilitarization and revivalism would threaten peace in the region, calling for immediate international intervention against it.On Monday, June 29, China’s Ministry of Commerce added 20 Japanese entities, including its National Institute of Defense Studies and multiple Mitsubishi-affiliated defense contractors to its export control list in its latest step to stop its move towards re-militarization. The ministry claimed the move is to “safeguard national security and interest and fulfill international obligations such as non-proliferation,” Xinhua reported. The prohibition is aimed to stop the export of all dual-use items of Chinese origin to the entities in the list. It prevents any overseas companies or individuals from transferring such items to the listed entities. All existing contracts or transactions are also halted with immediate effect. Dual-use items are goods, technologies, and materials, such as rare earth minerals, which can be used for both civilian and military purposes. In addition, the ministry also listed 20 more entities, including multiple companies affiliated with Mitsui, on a watch list for their alleged links to the Japanese military and the potential of using Chinese items to enhance Japan’s military capabilities.

“It is fully justified, legitimate and lawful for China to take these measures which aim to contain Japan’s reckless moves to neo-militarism,” said Guo Jiakun, official spokesperson of the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, in a press conference on Monday. He further assured that China’s “lawful” action “only targets a small number of Japanese entities. The relevant measures target only dual-use items, and will not affect the normal business exchanges” between both the countries. The motive of the move is to warn Japan “to turn back from the wrong path, correct its wrong doings, do serious soul-searching and go back to the right track,” Guo underlined. China had initiated similar export control moves against 20 Japanese entities first in February this year. The list had included Mitsubishi’s shipbuilding arm as well.

Japan reacted to the Chinese move on Monday, calling it unacceptable and regrettable.

The Chinese Ministry of Commerce noted that, despite repeated warnings in the past, Japan has refused to correct its ways and continued with the militarization and deployment of offensive weapons inside and outside its borders. Experts have warned that Japan has become a central part of the US “new cold war against China.”

This has been accelerated by the surge of the right wing’s popularity in the country, which talks about the revival of the same national glory widely held responsible for the colonial period of Japanese history and the atrocities during World War II. In the last few years, successive Japanese administrations have pushed the idea of national revival and vowed to increase defense spending, invest in weapons and development programs, and have actively participated in mammoth US-led multinational military exercises in the region. For the first time in its history, Japan deployed long-range missiles in March this year. It fired its first surface-to-ship missile while participating in this year’s Balikatan exercise in the Philippines. The nationalist right wing in Japan has also been pushing for the development of nuclear weapons by the country, which remains the sole victim in the world of such weapons.

China maintains that Japan’s aggressive attempts to militarize threaten the post-World War II arrangements and destabilizes the region. Japanese re-armament will also lead to an arms race in the region, China has claimed, demanding an immediate international intervention in the matter.

Relations between the two countries further deteriorated after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, immediately after assuming office, threatened China with military action if it used force to reintegrate Taiwan. Despite Japan officially recognizing it as a part of China, Takaichi claimed that any Chinese military action in Taiwan would be considered an “existential crisis” for her country. China demanded an apology and the retraction of the statement, calling it a violation of the One-China policy and an interference in its internal affairs. However, despite her statement causing prolonged diplomatic tension and economic hurdles for the country, Takaichi refused to apologize or retract the statement, merely saying that she would not repeat it in the future.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 53 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Iran Warns of Decisive Response to Any U.S. Interference in Hormuz - Telesur English

Article

The Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters declares the strait a ‘red line.’ On Thursday, Iran’s main military command, the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters (KCHQ), warned that any U.S. interference in the Strait of Hormuz will be met with the Iranian armed forces’ “decisive and swift” response.

The KCHQ stressed that the strait is not the “aggressive U.S. playground,” but the territory of Iran’s “undisputed sovereignty,” with its security and stability considered a red line for the Iranian military.

It confirmed that all oil tankers and commercial vessels seeking to pass through the strait must use routes designated by Iran, warning that any non-compliance and use of other routes, or disregard for Iran’s navigation protocols, will be met with the Iranian armed forces’ “immediate and decisive” response, and endanger the violating vessels’ safety.

The Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters said that Iran considers any U.S. attempt to interfere in security affairs or cause disruption in the Strait of Hormuz as a threat against its national security, and will respond to it “swiftly and decisively.”

It emphasized that the continued presence of U.S. manned and unmanned fighter aircraft over the waterway will cause insecurity, adding that Iran will not hesitate to take the necessary actions to “crush any aggression” by the U.S. forces and their supporters to protect its sovereignty over the strait.

Iran has tightened its grip on the strait since Feb. 28, when it barred safe passage of vessels belonging to or affiliated with Israel and the United States following their joint strikes on Iranian territory.

On Thursday, Kazem Gharibabadi, Iran’s deputy foreign minister for Legal and International Affairs, underlined in a post on social media platform X that the Strait of Hormuz “is defined under Iran’s command, not the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM).”

His remarks came a day after CENTCOM led a “security dialogue” in Bahrain with military officials from 12 countries. The meeting discussed regional security, expanding defense collaboration across the region, and underscored their commitment to the free flow of commerce through the Strait of Hormuz.

Gharibabadi said the Bahrain meeting cannot “create legal order and security” for the Gulf, noting that security in West Asia will be ensured “not under the U.S. military umbrella,” but after the U.S. stops its interventions, withdraws from the region, respects countries’ national sovereignty, and accepts new geopolitical realities.

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[–] InexplicableLunchFiend@hexbear.net 53 points 2 weeks ago (14 children)

🇮🇷🇺🇸| Status of the end-of-war MoU — Day 13

• Iran’s oil sanction relief has been implemented, and part of the money from oil sales has been transferred to Iran’s central banks.

• Iranian ships are passing through the naval blockade.

• None of Iran’s frozen funds have been released so far. (Violation of clause 11)

• The Omani-US corridor in the Strait of Hormoz is active. (Violation of clause 5)

• US forces & equipment in the region are increasing, and the USS Boxer has also been sent toward West Asia. (Violation of clauses 2 and 9)

• US officials continue to threaten Iran. (Violation of clauses 1 and 2)

• War & occupation in Lebanon are continuing intensely. (Violation of clauses 1 and 13)

• The US Vice President (JD Vance) described the goal of the MoU not as ending the war, but as preparing for what will happen next (war). (Violation of clauses 1, 2, 13, and 14)

• The Persian Gulf Cooperation Council denied any investment for Iran’s reconstruction. (Violation of clause 6)

@FotrosResistancee

Iran is allowing the strait to be opened for this? This is what victory looks like? Iranian negotiators are still in indirect negotiations with the Americans despite the ongoing fighting in Lebanon and multiple breaches of the agreement.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 52 points 2 weeks ago

On July 1, 2026, Jorge Rodríguez provided his daily update following the earthquake tragedy in Venezuela:

-Today marks 7 days since the earthquakes occurred.

  • 2,295 people have died.
  • 11,267 people have been injured.
  • 6,461 people have been rescued, including a girl rescued yesterday.
  • 4,000 personnel and international rescue workers remain in the area searching for survivors.
  • There are 153 search dogs from the international brigades and 49 support vehicles.
  • 26,000 personnel are in the disaster zones.

-18,000 volunteers are assisting.

  • 12,841 people affected
  • 26,403 people impacted, including those who lost their homes or whose homes were seriously damaged
  • 81,589 families assisted
  • 8,893,000 kilos of food distributed
  • 27,614 food bags distributed
  • 17,026 patients seen in triage areas
  • 4,565 patients hospitalized
  • 13,942 patients discharged due to improvement
  • 25 active camps, of which 13 are in La Guaira, 8 in the Capital District, 2 in Miranda, 1 in Carabobo, and 1 in Yaracuy
  • Call doctors, nurses, bioanalysts, stretcher bearers, healthcare personnel, firefighters, members of the National Bolivarian Armed Forces (FANB), and police officers whose homes have been affected; notify them immediately through the Patria System to resolve their housing problem. They will be taken to hotels until their problem is resolved.
  • There have been 782 aftershocks, which are becoming less frequent and of lesser magnitude. Although that doesn't mean we are out of the woods yet, these are positive numbers.

Jorge Rodríguez states that 707,063 tons of international aid have arrived in Venezuela. The provision of temporary camps is being accelerated. These will be short-term camps, with the most dignified conditions, and there will be an accelerated process of housing construction. He pointed out that this is not the time for political maneuvering or fake news, and that lies like the supposed tsunami on the second day of the tragedy only delayed the rescue efforts.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 52 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Israel bombs southern Lebanon despite agreement with Beirut - Prensa Latina

Article

Beirut, June 30 (Prensa Latina) Israeli aircraft and artillery attacked several areas of southern Lebanon today, in a new violation of the framework agreement recently signed between Beirut and Tel Aviv under US mediation.

According to Lebanon's National News Agency (NNA), Israeli fighter jets bombed the area between the towns of Qantara and Deir Siryan in the Marjayoun district, following an intense artillery attack on the outskirts of Deir Siryan near the Litani River.

The source added that the town of Haddatha, in the Bint Jbeil district, was also hit by Israeli bombing.

Last Friday, Lebanon and Israel signed a framework agreement in Washington that envisions a gradual withdrawal of Israeli forces from all Lebanese territory, starting with two pilot zones.

However, hostilities have continued since the signing of the agreement. Lebanese authorities reported that between Friday and Saturday, three people were killed and three others wounded in Israeli attacks on towns in the south of the country.

Also on Sunday, a new air raid reached the vicinity of Deir Siryan and Taybeh, with no casualties reported.

The recent bombings add to a series of military actions attributed to Israel since the agreement came into effect, while Israeli troops maintain their occupation of areas in southern Lebanon and, according to Lebanese sources, have extended their incursions in some places to more than 10 kilometers inside Lebanese territory.

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[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 52 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

https://xcancel.com/bonzerbarry/status/2072394880047861789

Reuters: One U.S. service member was missing and three others ​were wounded but in stable condition ‌after their MH-60S Seahawk helicopter made an emergency landing in the Arabian Sea ​on Wednesday, the U.S. military ​said, adding there was no indication ⁠the crash was caused by ​hostile action. "U.S. Navy assets in the ​region are currently searching for other aircrewman still missing. The cause of incident is ​under investigation," the U.S. Navy's 5th ​Fleet said in a statement, adding that ‌the ⁠helicopter was deployed to the region on the USS George H.W. Bush aircraft carrier.

https://xcancel.com/Emmanue61585479/status/2072401885420810674

Lol right on cue, soldiers missing and wounded on training missions, getting lost on hikes, falling into quicksand, falling overboard, the list goes on and on. Dying empiremaxxing

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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 52 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

All the discourse surrounding USAID on twitter shows how selfish some Americans are.

I do think USAID is a weapon for US influence but I also understand the funding sustains many lives.

However, the right wingers are saying it's bad because "muh tax dollars". All me me me bullshit.

The US and the West obtains cheap resources from the rest of the world, especially the global south and the world at best gets financial claims and/or the prices on third world output are forced down for extraction purposes.

The US doesn't deserve third world output.

[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 52 points 2 weeks ago (15 children)

Real decaying empire hours:
https://july4thparade.com/

The organizers of America ‘s National Independence Day Parade, scheduled for July 4, 2026, at 10:30 AM, have regretfully canceled the parade due to extreme heat in the Washington, DC, region.

The National Weather Service has an Extreme Heat Warning for the District of Columbia, with heat index values expected to reach between 110°F and 115°F.

This decision was made after extensive consultation with the National Park Service, the District of Columbia City Government, and Freedom 250, and careful consideration of the safety of our participants, spectators, and staff as the top priority.

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[–] Socialism_Is_The_Alternative@hexbear.net 51 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Russian forces have fully liberated the important Donetsk People's Republic city of Konstantinovka:

https://sputnikglobe.com/20260703/russian-army-fully-liberates-konstantinovka--kremlin-1124392028.html

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[–] SickSemper@hexbear.net 51 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (10 children)

The public mourning ceremonies have begun, with a mix of sadness at the loss and anger at those who caused it. the live broadcast can be viewed here: https://en.khamenei.ir/martyred-leader

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 51 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Firefighters in Miranda state located a parrot alive after it was trapped in the rubble. "Panchito" was the sole survivor of apartment 8 in the Opp033 building in La Guaira, Venezuela

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[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 51 points 2 weeks ago (20 children)

Pope Leo just excommunicated a couple thousand of the most insane trad-Caths in the Church.

The Vatican has excommunicated a rebel group of ultra-conservative Catholics who defied Pope Leo by ordaining bishops without his consent, creating a schism in the Roman Catholic church. The Vatican went further than expected and said all priests of the SSPX and all Catholics who “adhere formally” to the group were in schism and excommunicated. The Vatican also reversed concessions on sacraments made to the society by the late Pope Francis, meaning confessions and marriages administered by its priests are invalid.

The society rejects ​central changes that emerged from the second Vatican council – a landmark gathering of cardinals, patriarchs, bishops, theological experts and others between 1962 and 1965 – including allowing mass to be celebrated in local languages. Until then it had been said only in Latin. It also rejects dialogue with other religions and does not recognise other Christian churches.

“It’s a very minor group but they are very loud and very ultra-right,” said Vreede. The clash is the first between the Vatican and the SSPX since 1988, when Archbishop ​Marcel Lefebvre, the society’s founder, and four bishops he had ordained without the permission of the then pope, John Paul II, were excommunicated, including a British bishop, Richard Williamson. In 2009, the conservative Pope Benedict [German Pope who was in Hitler Youth!!!] lifted the excommunications. Shortly before, Williamson had caused uproar by denying the Holocaust.

Per https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/02/vatican-excommunicates-all-members-of-ultra-conservative-rebels-sspx

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 51 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

No, Burkina Faso Didn’t Just Become Pro-Israel - The Kulture

A routine diplomatic ceremony turned into a viral narrative of betrayal. The truth is much less dramatic.

Article

On June 26th, Burkina Faso’s Minister of Communications Pingdwendé Gilbert Ouédraogo appeared on state television to announce the end of diplomatic relations with France, effective immediately. According to Ouédraogo, Paris maintained “neo-colonial ambitions” and were known to support the “subversive networks and the terrorists” bleeding the Sahel through endless waves of attacks on both military and civilian targets.

The buildup to this diplomatic severance was three years in the making. Only months after the military coup that put Burkinabé president Ibrahim Traoré in power, French troops were ordered out in early 2023, and the French ambassador recalled soon after. Then, in 2024, Burkina Faso expelled French diplomats. When Burkina Faso ended the Burkinabé-French military accord in 2023, the government insisted it was “not the end of diplomatic relations” between the two countries. But after two years of worsening relations and endless fighting against terror groups across the Sahel, Burkina Faso finally ended relations definitively in June 2026. For many who lionized Traoré, as well as the allied Sahel movement for self-determination, it came as a mortal blow against the former colonial master that had inflicted well over a century of bloodshed, suffering, and instability across the region.

And then, only days later, a photograph circulated across X (formerly Twitter) that nearly overshadowed this story. In the picture, Traoré could be seen shaking hands with Simon-Clément Seroussi, Israel’s ambassador to Côte d’Ivoire (and accredited ambassador to Benin, Togo, and Burkina Faso). The image in itself was proof of betrayal: the defiant country whose young leader had just faced down France, and become a folk hero to Africans dedicated to sovereign power over their own futures, had allegedly turned heel and embraced Israel. According to Seroussi’s own LinkedIn account, the handshake symbolized a continuance of the “longstanding ties” between Israel and Burkina Faso, and spoke of an “enduring friendship” between those countries.

What could possibly explain this?

Well, what happened in Koulouba was a credentials ceremony, the most routine event on the calendar of any newly-assigned ambassador. Burkina Faso did not sign any pacts with Israel, establish any new agreements, or commit to changing their consistent record of UN voting against Israel. It was a photographed handshake, much as another handshake was photographed with another Israeli ambassador in 2023. Unfortunately, for westerners who know next to nothing about the region or its history beyond Thomas Sankara’s martyrdom, developing countries who’ve committed to a revolutionary path exist as little more than action figurines who can be discarded the moment the sheen of novelty wears off, and once they begin doing the unpleasant things that states struggling for sovereignty must inevitably do.

Simon-Clément Seroussi is not posted to Ouagadougou. He resides in Abidjan, the commercial capital of Côte d’Ivoire, and, again, is accredited to four countries at once: Côte d’Ivoire, Togo, Benin and Burkina Faso, according to Israel’s own foreign ministry. This is not a new relationship. Burkina Faso’s diplomatic history with Israel goes back to 1961, not long after Upper Volta (Burkina Faso’s predecessor state) became independent from France. Relations were severed in 1973 under Sangoulé Lamizana, after the October War destroyed relations between not only Israel and the Arab nations of the Middle East, but almost every African nation save for Mauritius, Swaziland (now Eswatini), Lesotho, and Malawi. But in 1993, relations between Burkina Faso and Israel were restored after the Oslo agreement. In fact, 2008-dated Wikileaks documents show that former president Blaise Compaoré attempted to win favour with the US, by courting a closer relationship with Israel during the Zionist entity’s 60th anniversary celebrations.

Burkina Faso’s relationship with Israel is, of course, much different from its partner states Mali and Niger. Mali followed suit with the vast majority of Africa in 1973, and broke diplomatic relations with Israel. It has never restored them, given Mali and the US have historically enjoyed a strong relationship, especially in the post-9/11 period where Mali became a US partner in counterterrorism, and subsequently received aid and military training. Former Malian president Boubacar Keïta did meet briefly with Benjamin Netanyahu in Liberia, during a 2017 regional summit (and Netanyahu spoke of “warming” the relationship between their respective countries), but nothing of substance materialized from there.

Niger’s history with Israel is somewhat uneven: it cut ties in 1973, restored them after the Oslo agreement, then severed them again in 2002 during the Second Intifada. So while the other AES bloc nations have mostly maintained their distance from Israel, Burkina Faso’s current government inherited a diplomatic relationship from previous leadership that, like all too many African nations at the time, had sold out their national interests to the west in exchange for maintaining their grasp on power.

As things stand today, all of Burkina Faso’s non-AES neighbours (and members of broader ECOWAS economic bloc) have diplomatic relations with Israel. Côte d’Ivoire hosts an Israeli embassy in Abidjan, Togo and Benin are covered by Seroussi’s diplomatic assignment and Ghana has its own Israeli embassy in Accra. Relations with Côte d’Ivoire were re-established in 1980 (not long after the Egypt-Israel treaty of 1979), Togo in 1987 (amidst then-president Gnassingbé Eyadéma’s domestic economic crisis), Benin in 1992 (after the collapse of Kérékou’s government, and the country’s decisive break from socialist policy), and Ghana in 1994, after the Oslo agreement. Israel’s embassy reopened in Accra, in 2011.

Seroussi was not dispatched to Ouagadougou for a trade or military agreement, or any realignment of Burkina Faso’s foreign policy at all. Seroussi was one of a batch of 8 new envoys received in the same accreditation round, much as his predecessor Rony Yedidia Clein presented hers in 2023 along with 12 other envoys.

Incidentally, Clein’s handshake with Traoré also set off speculation about Burkina Faso’s secret pact with Israel, much later in 2025.

Seroussi’s diplomatic cohort represented Saudi Arabia, Angola, Somalia, the Sovereign Order of Malta, Indonesia, Tanzania and Bangladesh. Before any of these ambassadors shook Traoré’s hand, they first handed working copies of their diplomatic letters to Burkina Faso’s foreign minister Karamoko Jean Marie Traoré on the 25th of June. The originals were then presented to the head of state, who posed for routine ceremonial photographs – one of which would later become raw material for outrage-farming online.

Missing in all of this, is the fact that working copies were delivered the day before Burkina Faso cut diplomatic relations with France. In other words, the accreditation of Israeli ambassador Seroussi was already moving through the ordinary diplomatic machinery before the France announcement was made. Based on the online narrative pushed by a small US-based account calling itself the “Institute for Black Solidarity with Israel,” many seemed to believe that Burkina Faso had kicked out Paris, only to welcome in Tel Aviv immediately afterwards.

Receiving an ambassador’s letters of credence simply means recognizing that person as another state’s official representative. It does not mean friendship, ideological alignment, economic cooperation, military procurement, or combat training. It does not mean support for Israel’s genocide in Gaza. States routinely receive ambassadors from countries they sanction, condemn, vote against, negotiate with, spy on, and in some cases engage in mutual combat with. Traoré’s photo with Seroussi was not followed by any announcement of a public security pact, trade agreement, or even a shift in Burkina Faso’s United Nations voting record. The complete extent of the scandal was a non-resident Israeli envoy presenting his paperwork to the head of state, in the same week as seven other diplomats, followed by diplomatic boilerplate on LinkedIn about “longstanding ties” and “enduring friendship.”

Seroussi’s words, mind you, not a Burkinabé statement of policy.

None of this means that all of Burkina Faso’s policies are clean, consistent, or above criticism. Many commentators and publications have already drawn attention to its crackdowns on journalists, Traoré’s public skepticism towards liberal democracy (whether justified or not), and anti-LGBT policies encoded into criminal law. But to many foreigners commenting on these matters, the AES states are not so much “states” as they are symbolic representations of their own fantasies of a perfect revolution. They should be unblemished proof that Africa has finally cast off its fetters, and are ready to pull down the US, Europe, and Israel from their imperialist thrones.

The reality is, the AES bloc are landlocked, poor, heavily sanctioned, diplomatically isolated, and bogged down in fighting longtime insurgencies highly suspected of being backed by France. They need functioning infrastructure, economic redevelopment, and a broader range of trade partners, in addition to weapons, intelligence, and breathing room. They are bordered by militarized, pro-western countries which would gladly accept any pretext to intervene with western backing, and crush their sovereignist project. A diplomatic photo opportunity does not make Burkina Faso pro-Israel; it is an acknowledgment that Burkina Faso is a state: weak in some ways, defiant in others

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[–] daniyeg@hexbear.net 51 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (13 children)

Trita Parsi on his substack (link):

Why Iran believes Israel will attack again before October

The recent Israeli-Lebanese agreement and Hezbollah's unreported role in the previous war is leading Tehran to this conclusion

some excerpts:

From Tehran’s perspective, the agreement hands Israel a significant advantage in any renewed war with Iran—one it lacked in February. By allowing Israeli forces to remain in parts of southern Lebanon, the deal appears to contravene the MOU while fundamentally reshaping the military balance. Israel’s continued presence in these strategic positions would make it far more difficult for Hezbollah to mount the kind of offensive operations that proved critical during the previous round of fighting.

That matters because, in February and March, the Iranians say they used only about 40 percent of their offensive capabilities against Israel, because Hezbollah carried much of the remaining burden. ...

From Tehran’s perspective, there are three plausible scenarios. The first is that the White House is aware of Israel’s plans and helped broker the Lebanese agreement in part to facilitate them. The second is that Washington is unaware of Netanyahu’s intentions but would nonetheless come to Israel’s defense—and perhaps even join the offensive—once Netanyahu resumes the war. The third is that the administration is caught by surprise, chooses not to restrain Israel, but also refrains from direct military involvement in the conflict.

Tehran does not believe Israel’s advantage in Lebanon will prove decisive. Iranian officials remain confident they can impose severe costs on Israel and deny it its broader strategic objectives. But a renewed war could still achieve Netanyahu’s most immediate aim: killing the MOU. Given his mounting political and legal pressures, Netanyahu may be desperate enough to be willing to challenge Trump directly to ensure precisely that outcome.

full textWhy Iran believes Israel will attack again before October

The recent Israeli-Lebanese agreement and Hezbollah's unreported role in the previous war is leading Tehran to this conclusion

Will Israel restart the war with Iran before the October elections? This is the consensus view emerging within Iran’s internal national security debate over the past week.

Several factors are driving Tehran to this conclusion. Beyond its deep—and not entirely unwarranted—suspicion of President Donald Trump’s intentions, heightened by Vice President JD Vance’s recent remark that Trump wants to use the MOU to replenish global oil reserves and then “see where the hand is,” two developments stand out: the recent Israeli-Lebanese agreement and its impact on Hezbollah’s military posture over the coming months.

From Tehran’s perspective, the agreement hands Israel a significant advantage in any renewed war with Iran—one it lacked in February. By allowing Israeli forces to remain in parts of southern Lebanon, the deal appears to contravene the MOU while fundamentally reshaping the military balance. Israel’s continued presence in these strategic positions would make it far more difficult for Hezbollah to mount the kind of offensive operations that proved critical during the previous round of fighting.

That matters because, in February and March, the Iranians say they used only about 40 percent of their offensive capabilities against Israel, because Hezbollah carried much of the remaining burden. At the time, pundits in the West were debating why Tehran hit the UAE harder than it did Israel.

Part of it was because of Israel’s much higher pain tolerance compared to the GCC states. Tehran was aiming to reach the most accessible pain threshold to pressure the US to end the war. But part of it was the critical role Hezbollah played in the war, contrary to much of the press coverage at the time. It played a critical role in stretching Israel’s defenses, complicating its targeting decisions, and forcing it to divide resources across multiple fronts.

That role, however, was poorly understood because Israel imposed near-total military censorship during the war—far stricter than the censorship regime in June 2025—which sharply limited public visibility into Hezbollah’s operations and their impact. As a result, the degree to which Hezbollah shaped the course of the war has been significantly underestimated.

Unlike the MOU, the current Israeli-Lebanese agreement does not require Israel to withdraw from Lebanese territory until Hezbollah has been disarmed. Since that outcome is highly unlikely in the foreseeable future, Israel is poised to retain its positions inside Lebanon, enabling it to renew the war with Iran without facing the same pressure from its northern front that constrained it during the previous conflict.

Netanyahu’s motivations are clear. Beyond his long-standing desire to use American force to subjugate Iran to Israeli domination and achieve a regional balance favourable to Israel, he now also has stark political and personal reasons to restart the war.

The MOU has come at a steep political cost for Netanyahu. His prospects for reelection in October are weaker than they have been in months. Once seen as the Israeli leader uniquely capable of delivering President Trump, he now confronts the prospect that both the war and the ensuing diplomacy will leave Israel in a strategically weaker position—undermining the very case he has made for his leadership.

And of course, if he loses the elections, he will likely spend the next few years in jail, as he will lose his immunity as Prime Minister and face trial over corruption charges.

Whether the Trump administration is coordinating with Israel on such a strategy remains unclear to Tehran. But suspicions surrounding Secretary of State Marco Rubio run particularly deep, given his role in brokering the Israeli-Lebanese agreement, his support for the war, and his perceived opposition to the MOU.

From Tehran’s perspective, there are three plausible scenarios. The first is that the White House is aware of Israel’s plans and helped broker the Lebanese agreement in part to facilitate them. The second is that Washington is unaware of Netanyahu’s intentions but would nonetheless come to Israel’s defense—and perhaps even join the offensive—once Netanyahu resumes the war. The third is that the administration is caught by surprise, chooses not to restrain Israel, but also refrains from direct military involvement in the conflict.

Tehran does not believe Israel’s advantage in Lebanon will prove decisive. Iranian officials remain confident they can impose severe costs on Israel and deny it its broader strategic objectives. But a renewed war could still achieve Netanyahu’s most immediate aim: killing the MOU. Given his mounting political and legal pressures, Netanyahu may be desperate enough to be willing to challenge Trump directly to ensure precisely that outcome.

The question is, once again, not how Trump will react, but if Trump will prevent Netanyahu from deliberately shaping and limiting Trump’s options. This is the test Trump has repeatedly failed.

EDIT: i removed my original take on this as it did not add anything, contained speculation, misremembering and wildly inaccurate statements while being needlessly alarmist. read at your own peril.

original commentat the time the MoU was signed there was a short interview with one of the members of the parliament on the national security commission about the MoU and his answer to the question "what is the plausible outcome of the MoU?" was something along the lines of "we do not believe the enemy intends to honor the agreement however we will get a small portion of our unfrozen funds plus some temporary sanctions relief." (i can't find the original reporting, it might've been fake and/or i am misremembering, it was very unofficial too).

the point is that iranian leaders and diplomats can see the writing on the wall. the iranian response (denying or even condemning negotiations while actively negotiating) makes sense when you realize they believe these negotiations will fail and want to abdicate responsibility, while still pursuing these negotiations because a. hard nosed pragmatism and wanting peace, b. trump is erratic and might take the US out of the equation and c. (rightly) blame israel on why the MoU failed which gives the military much more operational freedom in the same way that the diplomatic fallout of the Ramadan war was contained due to US being perceived as the primary aggressor.

that being said however, get ready to be disappointed and horrified from all the death and destruction. as much as hexbears are confident about a new conflict bringing total humiliation for the US, there has been no significant development or increase in preparedness on the iranian side while the US has been aggressively building up anti-drone infrastructure, cement bunkers and even tunneling all around the GCC, while actively increasing its forces preparing for a ground invasion. i think the biggest flaw of the US military was severe underestimation of iranian capabilities and accuracy of its weapons (which was forcefully corrected) and i don't think it will make the same mistakes again.

i still believe a mission to take the uranium out is suicide, but something like capturing important points on the iranian coastline and the islands are far more plausible and achievable. on top of this trump is still actively maintaining the posture that he will do a genocide and blow out the entire grid/road network if a new war happens, which the US military is more than capable enough to do. the situation does not look good at all.

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[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 50 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

https://xcancel.com/m7mdkurd/status/2071305701524406285

The Board of Directors at the Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ) will formally change its definition of who qualifies as a journalist, to broadly exclude slain Palestinian and Lebanese journalists who worked for government-funded media outlets. Israeli, American, and Ukrainian journalists who work for state-funded outlets or are embedded with the military will remain recognized as journalists, of course. The move was catalyzed to appease the right-wing Zionist rag The Free Beacon, which has repeatedly accused Palestinian and Lebanese journalists of being undercover militants or used their political opinions or affiliations as justification for their killing by the IOF. This is a racist scandal of massive proportions for everyone involved, and it makes a mockery of the purported mission of the organization. It is absolutely abhorrent that the organization’s resources are wasted on this cowardly witch-hunt, at a moment in history that is the deadliest for journalists, especially in Palestine and Lebanon.

Sources say that CPJ has put together a “special task force” to “reexamine the question of ‘Who is a Journalist?’” (direct language). The main objective of the task force is to explore excluding journalists working for “state-backed propaganda outlets and terror-affiliated organizations” from their database, as well as journalists who exhibit actions and behaviors that the organization finds to be discrediting. Essentially, CPJ is saying you’re not a journalist unless you’re politically aligned with us.

https://xcancel.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/2071520144308715725

Use of the word "genocide" in first 30 days of conflict on CNN and MSNBC, Ukraine vs. Gaza.

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[–] Ozzy66@hexbear.net 50 points 2 weeks ago (11 children)

Sorry for the rubbish source but this Reddit thread has me seething

Source: Health Activist Proposes Menstrual Leave That Would Allow Workers to Take Off 36 Days a Year

United Kingdom Reddit thread

As if anyone in that thread gives a shit about women's "employability", they're all just angry sexist removed

Maybe the wrong thread, but the proposal is news at least

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[–] Keld@hexbear.net 50 points 2 weeks ago (5 children)

Danish director and prominent supoorter of the right do die Ebbe Presler died one year ago today, having taken his own life. He had attempted suicide before, the first time immediately following euthenising his wife a year before (So two years ago), an action over which he was accused of murder. She had Parkinsons, he had cancer.

His daughter and her husband were charged with murder because they did not call 911 (Well, 112) to attempt to.have him revived after they heard he had attempted suicide again. Something they found out because he had set up an automatic email to alert them that he had died. Now the pool of accused has expanded to all his children, their spouses, and his grandchildren

https://www.dr.dk/nyheder/indland/familie-sigtet-efter-farens-selvmord-det-kaerligste-var-lade-ham-doe

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[–] StillNoLeftLeft@hexbear.net 49 points 2 weeks ago (8 children)

A small update on what's going on in Finnish national news these days. It's all cringe and typically embarassing, extremely propagandistic. So I've not really bothered with posting much. We have had everything from alleged shady Chinese spies to Chinese busses spying on people to countless Russia bad & Ukraine great-things.

Today we have a panic article on how the Russian border closures probably mean mobilization in Russia and a big hero article on some ukrainian nazi war criminal. This is pretty typical.

But today there was also reporting on possible vandalism on the privatized national railway that has been suffering from electric cable breakages. I found it particularly funny that they had managed to put "hybrid operations can't be ruled out" even into the headline. This is code for Russian interference.

And the funniest bit is that looking at the same headline a few hours later they have removed the conspiracy theory bit as this time it only took an hour or so to admit that it's just shitty maintenance.

Everyday there is something dumb like this, then it turns out that the anchor or whatever the latest thing is was just capitalism and neoliberalism doing what it does.

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[–] THEPH0NECOMPANY@hexbear.net 49 points 2 weeks ago (13 children)

Drop Site xcancel

US is once again in the bargaining stage of loss acceptance.

⭕️ According to Axios, the Trump administration is urging Iran to drop plans for shipping tolls, arguing sanctions relief under a broader nuclear deal would be far more valuable.

spoiler

🔸 Axios, which often channels US and Israeli official leaks, said Washington told Iran to “think bigger,” claiming a full sanctions-lifting deal would be worth “100 times more” than charging tolls.

🔸 US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Qatari mediators and the emir in Doha this week. Iran’s Kazem Gharibabadi said there were no direct US-Iran contact, and all talks ran through Qatari and Pakistani mediators. The main topics, per Axios’ sources: the strait, Iran’s frozen assets, and the ceasefire in Lebanon.

🔸 Gharibabadi said the sides agreed to establish an “emergency communication channel” by tomorrow, for MOU violations, and that Iran’s frozen Qatari funds would be used to buy goods “based on Iran’s stated needs.”

🔸Al-Arabiya reported the US and Iran agreed to release a first $3 billion tranche for humanitarian purchases, though US officials denied any such deal and said no funds had been freed.

🔸 The report says US negotiators told Iran they intend to keep restraining Israel and ensure it abides by the Lebanon ceasefire

🔸FM Araghchi struck a defiant note on X: “POTUS has committed the U.S. to muzzling its pets in Tel Aviv. If they ignore their master, Iran will school them.”

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Russian Deputy Security Council Chairman Dmitry Medvedev stated that the Iranian people will win the fight against the US:

"Grief has united the people of Iran, who did not succumb to the pressure that was organized by the United States of America and other countries that joined them, stood firm in this struggle and, I am confident, will ultimately win," Medvedev wrote on social media after taking part in the farewell ceremony for former Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran.

Russia mourns together with the Iranian people in connection with the martyrdom of Khamenei, Medvedev added.

https://sputnikglobe.com/20260703/iranian-people-will-prevails-over-us-medvedev-1124391857.html

[–] tocopherol@hexbear.net 49 points 2 weeks ago (7 children)

(IMPERIALIST MOUTHPIECE WARNING) According to the Wall Street Journal, this is what "aid" from the US looks like: Photo of the newspaper Wall Street Journal, showing an image of US mercenaries on the back of a truck, looking like gung-ho and fit jerks. Caption reads "ON GUARD: US soldiers patrolled  Caraballeda, Venezuela on Monday as part of an extraordinary effort to help the nation's new US aligned government respond to twin earthquakes

ON GUARD: US soldiers patrolled Caraballeda, Venezuela, on Monday as part of an extraordinary effort to help the nation's new US-aligned government respond to twin earthquakes

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[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 49 points 2 weeks ago (5 children)

https://archive.ph/xoraM

World's Largest Data Center Project On Verge Of Collapse After Blackstone Unexpectedly Pulls Out

Up until now, when it comes to real estate, Blackstone was best known in recent years for dumping many of its trophy office properties - which in the aftermath of work from home never recovered their projected cash flow potential - at a huge discount. Now, it may be pulling a page from its old, pre-Lehman playbook by calling the top in yet another commercial real estate segment: data centers.

more

Two days ago we reported that Blackstone was selling its stakes in a trio of data centers across Northern Virginia for $3.5 billion, cashing out of part of a bet it made less than three years ago. According to Bloomberg, Digital Realty Trust would pay $1.2 billion of cash and offer $2.3 billion of its shares (which the PE giant has largely cashed in by now) to Blackstone funds; in exchange, the data center company will acquire Blackstone’s 80% interest in two 96-megawatt data centers in Manassas, Virginia, and a 50% interest in a 96-megawatt center in nearby Sterling. We said that "the question is why did Blackstone decide to pull the cord now, just as fresh doubts are creeping whether the Mag 7s will continue funding the AI expansion with virtually unlimited capex." Two days later we have an answer.

The digital ink is barely dry on its Virginia data center sales, and we learn that Blackstone’s QTS (QTS Realty Trust) is again quietly fading its AI exposure by walking away from plans to build its portion (which at this point is the only portion left after its partner already pulled out days ago) of a 2,100-acre data center campus in Virginia - also known as Prince William Digital Gateway which would house as many as 37 data-center buildings - handing a win to residents who fought for years to topple the project. The data center developer had planned to transform more than 800 acres in Northern Virginia’s Prince William County, a project that would have spanned 22 million square feet, making it the largest data center campus in the world. Located on the edge of an historic Civil War battlefield and on what used to be land protected from development, the project ignited strong pushback from homeowners and has been stalled by lawsuits.

As part of Wall Street’s broader push into data centers, investment has poured into Northern Virginia, which is considered the country’s largest data center market, and is better known as "Data Center Alley". But in a strategic U-turn, in recent days QTS executives decided that it isn’t worth pressing forward in court, the Bloomberg sources said. The firm’s attorneys plan to inform the court of their decision as soon as this week, the people said, asking not to be named discussing non-public information. QTS’s rapid growth has made it a poster child of how private equity has fueled the data center industry’s breakneck expansion. Those ambitions are colliding with public anxiety over strains to electricity grids and home prices from AI data centers. The retreat may be the final blow to Virginia’s “Digital Gateway” project, a mega site roughly twice the size of New York’s Central Park with city-sized power needs. The initiative was supposed to bring in some $100 billion in spending and create one of the world’s largest technology corridors. Not any more. The project had sparked contentious, drawn-out public hearings. A clerical blunder related to a key zoning meeting created setbacks for developers. Already, Brookfield-backed Compass Datacenters, which was supposed to build on more than 800 acres at the site, had pulled out in May.

The U-turns by both firms, Bloomberg writes, amount to one of the most dramatic retreats by developers from a data center project. It’s a reminder of how tech firms’ race for the computing infrastructure to support AI advances is increasingly facing the same bottlenecks, from power shortages to supply crunches, we have been warning about for the past two years and which Citadel Securities warned about just yesterday. Organized opposition is mounting, forcing firms and developers to be more deliberate about where they choose to build. This is precisely what we warned one year ago would happen as more grassroots organizations pushed back against the relentless data center rollout. At least we haven't gotten to the arson stage (yet).

sicko-wistful

To account for the costs of such build outs, Virginia recently passed a budget with an energy consumption tax on data centers, and more states are threatening moratoriums on new development. Data centers - and how their costs and benefits are shared - are now emerging a major swing issue in the lead up to the US midterm elections. These hurdles raise questions for investors over whether the AI build out can keep going at this pace. For community organizers and residents that spent the last five years opposing the Digital Gateway, QTS’s pullout will now validate a playbook that involved pressure campaigns on local politicians and legal attacks. It will also unleash even more powerful blowback nationwide against these unwanted developments. As Bloomberg recalls, hundreds of proponents and critics showed up at a 27-hour zoning hearing in 2023 to lobby authorities on the project. After county officials narrowly voted to approve the conversion of agricultural and semi-rural land for data centers, community organizers and residents pursued lawsuits. The outcome of the meeting - and whether the county properly advertised the event - was at the center of legal challenges. The lawsuits hinged on one detail: The first two newspaper notices publicizing the hearing weren’t separated by at least six days, as state and local codes required at that time. While it is unclear if Blackstone agents had tried to "grease" the zoning board's palms to quietly fast-track the data center, in the end the outcome was catastrophic to the builders.

In March, Virginia courts upheld an earlier ruling that the zoning approvals were invalid because the public notices for the meeting fell short of rules. “While we still believe this project offered significant benefits for the region and our neighbors, recent legal actions and compounding regulatory hurdles have effectively closed a viable path forward,” Compass Datacenters President AJ Byers said in a statement following the ruling. After Compass bailed on the project, that left QTS as the lone developer. It was the only party that petitioned for an appeal of the case in Virginia’s Supreme Court. Originally, the firm’s executives were concerned about the prospect of setting a legal precedent on the back of an administrative oversight. After Compass’s retreat, QTS lost a partner who would share the costs of upgrading various utilities needed for the massive developments, said one of the people familiar with the matter. QTS decided it was not worth proceeding with the project.

Blackstone, which acquired QTS in 2021, is a major financier of data centers, with a portfolio of more than $150 billion of such assets around the world. The increasingly bitter political and grassroots pushback against new data center construction explains why Blackstone has been getting cold feet just as the AI bubble is peaking, first selling existing data centers and now walking away from upcoming projects. A recent Gallup poll found that 7 in 10 Americans oppose constructing data centers for artificial intelligence in their local area, including nearly half, 48%, who are strongly opposed. Barely a quarter favor these projects, with 7% strongly in favor. Half of opponents mention data centers’ excessive use of resources, including 18% each mentioning their use of water and energy. Sixteen percent mention a related environmental concern of pollution, including noise pollution and air and water pollution. About one in five opponents are concerned with the impact on local quality of life, including increased population, increased traffic and preferring that the land be used for other purposes. A similar share mention potentially negative economic consequences, including higher utility bills, cost-of-living increases, and the cost of building the data centers (which could involve the use of taxpayer funds). Most of the remaining opposition stems from general or specific concerns about artificial intelligence.

Blackstone, which manages more than $1.3 trillion, bills itself as the largest global provider of data centers, and also owns some of the utilities that power them. It acquired QTS in 2021 and bought Australian computing provider AirTrunk in 2024. In May, the firm held an initial public offering for Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc., its data center acquisition vehicle, which aims to buy already built and leased properties benefiting from the artificial intelligence boom. And now that the protest movement knows how to push back against uninvited Wall Street occupants, thanks to the BlackStone capitulation, expect an exponential increase in legal (and other) attempts to hinder the rollout of data centers across the US, assuring that the AI supercycle, which is already years behind schedule with just half of the data centers meant to be built in progress and on time, will expect to see an avalanche of delays and cancellations assuring that the return on debt-funded capex will be even less as eventual launch dates gradually move ever further into the unknown future.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 48 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

“Only Lebanese traitors—who, coincidentally, are all pro-Zionist and vehemently anti-Iranian—rejoice in the infamous agreement (equivalent to the Versailles Treaty) signed by the puppet government in Beirut.”

The text below reads: “Najah Wakim, former MP and leader of the Popular Movement, declared: ‘The framework agreement approved by the Lebanese authorities is invalid from the outset. Those who signed it must fall with it, or even before. Joseph Aoun must fall. Nawaf Salam must fall’.”

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[–] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 48 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (19 children)

Lol

the Match between Brazil and Norway is currently 0-0 at minute 40

also the USA got Fifa to cancel the red card the US player got, in a classic case of corruption

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[–] SickSemper@hexbear.net 47 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (3 children)

The delegation from Ansarallah has entered the Imam Khomenei prayer room in Tehran, the funeral prayers begin in about 10 minutes

https://t.me/naya_foriraq/81013

better photo than my screenshot

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[–] jack@hexbear.net 47 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Israel shells southern Syria after Al-Sharaa refuses to intervene in Lebanon

The move was perceived by observers as an attempt to pressure Syria’s interim government, after Al-Sharaa demonstrated openness to dialogue with Hezbollah.On Monday, June 29, the IOF launched an offensive on the village of Abidin in western Daraa, with artillery shells and gunfire from helicopters. Although no casualties or material damage were reported, the violent attack triggered panic among the residents of Abidin, forcing a number of families to flee to other areas. The past week saw an escalation in the IOF’s ground incursions into the villages of the southern governorates of Daraa and Quneitra, with Israeli military checkpoints being set up and Syrian civilians being searched. Despite engaging in talks with Tel Aviv for over a year, the Israeli Occupation Forces (IOF) have continued to violate Syria’s sovereignty with repeated assaults.

In early 2026, negotiations between Tel Aviv and Damascus resulted in signing a trilateral agreement in Paris to establish a communication cell under US supervision, referred to as the Joint Fusion Mechanism. Yet, the mechanism only resulted in a reduction in Israeli military incursions in southern Syria. Talks have been stalled ever since, as Syria’s interim government insists on a total Israeli military withdrawal as a primary condition for any advancement toward a security pact or normalization.

For many, the Israeli escalation constitutes an attempt to blackmail Syria’s interim government after Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa dismissed a proposal from US President Donald Trump to intervene in Lebanon in order to dismantle Hezbollah. Al-Sharaa also demonstrated his openness to dialogue with Hezbollah after years of hostile rhetoric against the Lebanese resistance group in particular and the Iran-led Axis of Resistance in general.

The abrupt change in Al-Sharaa’s declared position towards Hezbollah has undoubtedly deepened Israel’s fears of losing its security grip over its neighboring countries. Moreover, the shift in the Syrian president’s stance indicates that the Axis of Resistance, the only anti-imperialist power in West Asia, is growing stronger. This in turn represents an existential threat to the Israeli occupation state and its expansionist ambitions in the region.

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