On the upside, homelabs are going to have a glut of high capacity, barely used server hard drives to choose from then this AI/data centre bubble eventually bursts?
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If it bursts, that is. I have a fear that people behind AI have grown so savvy of the bubbles, that they have a complicated plan to avoid it, and artificially uphold it with the help of bribed/blackmailed politicians.
As every industry before them did.
I was able to update 2 of 3 devices early last year, but couldn’t upgrade my old custom build. I did that due to possible tariffs; didn’t even think about this “AI” BS. Thought may as well just buy a custom build now. Wanted to wait another year, but I won’t be upset no matter what happens with prices if I get it now. I’m not sure my old girl can outlive the return of easily available PC parts. At least I also bought some extra storage over a year ago.
I'm glad I bought an 8 TB HDD about a year ago as an investment, it's now $50 more expensive a year later. I don't plan on ever filling it up, but it's been helpful, and good insurance to have if I ever create a project that requires that space.
Welp, I guess I'm all out of money for new tech. Time to travel or find a new hobby.
These sound like great ideas. Additionally, I find that making the most of the hardware I already have can be really satisfying, too.
I bought a 22tb hdd from serverpartdeals in late December of 2025. Its now $100 more expensive, I'm glad I read the tea leaves in time but this sucks.
Same. Scored two 16TB drives and a 4GB in summer of 2025 (by pure chance though). They're now 150%-200% the original price. Cannot wait to see this bubble pop.
I got a 16TB HDD for 300€, yesterday I looked at it and it was 800€ (apparently discounted from 1000€ lol)
so much wrong with this title.
- it's not AI, it's LLM slop bullshit
- it's not the software at guilt here, it's the sacks of shit running those companies who plan such data centers
- blamed? No, those shitheads are totally and absolutely responsible for this clusterfuck.
They've gone so far as to claim responsibility.
You mean brag about it?
I was trying to use the same language the news uses when a political group claims resposibilty for a bombing.
It's nice how AI datacenters step by step swallow virtually all available hardware resources to provide digital services to users who won't be able to use those services due to the lack of available hardware.
Hardware will be available, silly. ^†^
You will have the "freedom" ^‡^ to choose from the hardware vendor* you want. Like always! ^‡‡^
^†^ ^For^ ^$49.95^ ^per^ ^month.^
^Terms and conditions and government social score apply.^
^‡‡^ ^Authorized and approved by the department of national security and intelligence gathering agencies and the billionaire technofascist bros clubh^
I doubt offering AI services to the public is their goal.
that's okay they will replace users with AI. it's going to be AI all the way down
The irony is as they bid up the price of all the hardware, they are probably making their AI platforms more likely to fail due to being more expensive than their value.
We can only hope that their businesses crash hard before any of these deals come to fruition and then when the hardware has nowhere to go we can all "buy the dip" so to speak.
To be clear, I know most of this stuff will be specialized server hardware, but hopefully it all crashing down will help get more people into self-hosting and working on community resources and networks instead of having everything live in the cloud.
I know most of this stuff will be specialized server hardware
it actually won't be, at least not for the hard drives. the prevailing strategy these days is just use the cheapest possible disks and deal with the failures on the software level. those disks will ultimately fail anyway and the increased price for some super-duper enterprise reliability server disk is not really worth it.
Western Digital chief Tiang Yew Tan told analysts "We're pretty much sold out for calendar '26. We have firm purchase orders with our top seven customers."
the dow is 50k and 37% of the market is made up of those seven
freaking financial human centipede
I can't wait for it to crash and burn, this bubble is getting so ridiculous.
These companies are publicly traded...
The people who run/own the AI companies would have been complete idiots to not invest in the hardware companies they were going to make these purchases from before making those purchases.
But 100 million in Seagate stock, then announce you just signed a contract buying up supply.
Your company may overpay, but you personally just made a shit ton of money. Which is the why you want your company to succeed
As a bonus, the news that you're overpaying to buy up all the hard drives, doesn't hurt your company it helps it.
There's no way to monetize it anyways, the product is the stock price. And this move makes the company seem confident, which raises stock price.
That's not even getting into the long term problem that even if AI fails, were seeing a huge migration in computing power from individuals to private corporations. That's a big deal even if AI dies tomorrow. And they have a lot of motivation to never let us get it back.
no wonder they need so much power/rare earths. ssds next
SSDs were first, actually, with HDDs now following suit.
I get paid on the 27th, I need two more 8TB drives to complete my NAS, my local retailer had 50+ in stock earlier this week, and now the drives are no longer even listed.
Fuck sake...
Go Toshiba. If American companies got us into this mess in the first place, fuck American companies!
I will if I can, as it stands I have four 8TB seagate drives, enough for my actual storage need, but I want to have two parity drives for extra protection.
I am planning on running ZFS with Zraid2, the drives are the final piece of the puzzle to at least get it working.
When I planned the build, I planned to get another controller card and run two SSDs as well, one for cache (I can add that later), and one for VM/App storage, I also planned on getting an Intel GPU for transcoding video, and a 10Gig NIC, mainly just to say I have it, as my network isn't more than normal gigabit.
It is getting more important to complete the build as I need to move my media from single, non raided hard drives in my computer to a well raided server that I can configure for bitrot protection.
I bought 2 8TB drives last week and had to check if they were still in stock at the same retailer and they are, but the price have gone up with 23%...
Fuck AI
shit dude I'll move my storage to S3 and retire on what I can get from my 16tb array and 20tb backup.
I recently checked on the price of the used 12TB server drive I bought a couple years ago. It was 80 then. It's 260 now. Same seller.
I'm guessing you got similar drives to the ones I got. I paid ~$72 each (4x 12TB), and now the same HGST DC drives from the same seller are $220. Just glad I got them when I did, even though now I have to continually prune the data so it all fits within this forever limit.
Good idea. I just looked at a drive I bought six months ago and it's up 40% or so. Wish I'd have got two now.
I’ve two countem two 500gb HDD by WD, starting price is 2500$. And I’ll throw in external cases for 100$ (the cables are blue meaning usb 3.0 a which are 250$)
I will absolutely remember the companies that are saying “fuck the consumer” when I go to purchase anything going forward.
Honestly which companies does that leave?
I think it has to be considered by degree of consumer-fucking. Some companies, like Micron, are outright discontinuing their consumer brands while others are 'just' deprioritizing consumers to chase the AI bandwagon.
It's those companies' prerogative to chase profits, but I'll never buy another Micron product again if they ever decide to come crawling back.
So with all the news on hardware shortages...someone is building skynet..and we just don't know about it.
Less skynet and more a surveillance state thats gonna put England and even CCP to shame.
They need the hard drives because they're storing everything about us. Every time we drive by a camera, gps paths of our cell phones constant travel, every bank transaction including small purchases, every social media comment, page we view from WiFi or cellphone, all our connections to everyone else, tags for various groups.
Not even just the people we know we know, they'll know who's usually next to us in traffic on commutes and when, who makes our sandwich from the deli we go to every other Tuesday, what cops would be most likely to respond to a call to our house at a certain time...
Like, "skynet" is useful because everyone knows the term.
The real danger is what humans will do with access to that much information on everyone, and what a normal human would do to/for a stranger to protect all their darkest secrets.
Imagine if tech was 20 years ahead right now with trump in office, do you think someone like him would hesitate to start wide scale blackmail?
You think they're above telling a couple thousand people in highly targeted districts that they had to vote a certain a way or else?
It's not the AI we need to be scared of, it's the data.
It's extremely unhealthy for a free society, to have too much power imbalance between the ruling classes and the people.