this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] GnastyGnuts@hexbear.net 46 points 4 months ago (2 children)

Man, you really do gotta ruthlessly purge all the compradors and dumbass moderates from positions of power, huh? stalin-pipe

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[–] Lisitsyn@hexbear.net 46 points 4 months ago (8 children)

Prisons Business Center in Estonia wants to open an e-shop to sell items made by inmates

The Prisons Business Center is preparing to launch an online store to market handicrafts and custom-made products created by inmates. To streamline the process, they are asking the Ministry of Justice to allow them to enter into smaller contracts without the need for public procurement procedures.

The Prisons Business Center is seeking to open an online store to market handicrafts and custom-made products. In a letter sent to the Ministry of Justice and Digital Affairs, Tallinn Prison noted that there are already examples of good practice — under the Stoveman brand, quality metal products made by inmates are currently being sold.

Aaro Nursi, a member of the Tallinn Prison Commission, informed the ministry that prisons — particularly the Prisons Business Center — need more flexible conditions for finding partners. This would help increase inmate employment and better utilize prison production capacity.

"Current public procurement procedures limit Tallinn Prison's ability to respond quickly to smaller orders and to collaborate with local businesses and municipalities," Nursi said.

He pointed out that, for example, laundry and sewing services could be used more frequently by state institutions, but there are no clear guidelines for allowing internal transactions. Smaller or seasonal orders are often missed because potential partners lack the resources to participate in procurement procedures.

Additionally, prisons cover all production costs themselves — from materials to equipment — and therefore need steady and flexible orders to operate production in a sustainable and cost-effective way.

As a result, the Tallinn Prison Commission proposed that small-scale direct contracts be allowed without the standard public procurement process. They also suggested clarifying the rules for internal transactions between state agencies in order to encourage the purchase of services from prisons.

The prison commission also called on the Ministry of Justice to support the marketing and e-commerce development of prisons, including online sales, and to involve inmates in pilot projects aimed at testing more flexible cooperation models.

"We believe this would increase inmate engagement, support reintegration into society and make prisons more visible and trustworthy partners," Nursi said, asking the ministry to initiate discussions on changing public procurement regulations.

The Ministry of Justice, however, was in no hurry to commit. Deputy Secretary General Rait Kuuse responded to Nursi that the proposal would be taken into account in planning the future activities and direction of the Prisons Business Center, but the ministry currently has no plans to amend procurement regulations.

"The purpose of creating the business center was to boost inmate employment and production capacity — goals that align with the strategic aims of the prison service. Today, we can say the business center has been successful in increasing employment and has launched several new cooperation projects with various partners," Kuuse noted.

The Prisons Business Center was established last year, replacing the former state-owned company AS Eesti Vanglatööstus, and operates across all three of Estonia's prisons.

At Tallinn Prison, inmates produce textiles, metal and wood products; the facility also operates an industrial-scale laundry and handles product assembly and packaging. Examples of inmate-made goods include fireplaces, outdoor grills, fireplace accessories, sauna stoves, metal structures and a variety of custom wood products.

Viru Prison's laundry offers a full range of laundry services. It also produces sauna stoves sold under the Stoveman brand and performs various woodworking tasks.

Tartu Prison provides shot blasting and powder coating services.

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[–] iie@hexbear.net 46 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (7 children)

So is this more of an oil thing or more of a belt and road initiative thing? (Referring to the war on Iran)

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[–] cinnaa42@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Weird shit going on in Iraq rn. Reports of drone attacks on a couple of airbases but not clear who's targeting and who's being targeted.

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[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago

May every liberal on earth meet their earned fate

[–] S4ck@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago (4 children)

Lol nobody knows anything.

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[–] glimmer_twin@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

Did the Israelis start letting settlers leave the country again yet, lol?

[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago
[–] Lemmygradwontallowme@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (2 children)

Slow news aside, you know how J.D Vance made a tweet now

Apparently that tweet was about U.S being involved with:

DR Congo, Rwanda sign peace deal in ‘turning point’ after years of conflict - Al Jazeera

Analysts see the deal as a major turning point but do not believe it will quickly end the fighting that has killed millions of people since the 1990s.

As much as there might be a caveat, I'm pretty sure ipso facto this is some nice thing on its own

Hexbear post

[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago

The DRC-Rwanda deal will also help the US government and American companies gain access to critical minerals like tantalum, gold, cobalt, copper and lithium needed for much of the world’s technology at a time when the US and China are actively competing for influence in Africa.

Ahead of the signing on Friday, US President Donald Trump said, “We’re getting, for the United States, a lot of the mineral rights from the Congo as part of it. They’re so honoured to be here. They never thought they’d be coming.”

mission-accomplished-1 mission-accomplished-2

mission-accomplished

Now US tech companies can buy the rare earth minerals they were already buying illegally from Rwanda without the extra legal risk.

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[–] Salem@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago (5 children)

A few days ago I asked about that zwei_squirell post and other heterodox questions that were amounted to dooming in this site.

I appreciated the feedback, analysis, and insight.

However, I certainly don't want to read a "trust the plan" comment. It comes off as a very adolescent, juvenile, and dismissive response; it comes off as hopecasting and political lethargy.

[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

This conflict has taught me: do not "trust the plans" of countries/territories that aren't controlled by Marxists (Ansarallah and Hamas get an exception, you don't survive that long under those conditions without your government having great competence). Every time I've been like "Well, they wouldn't be stupid enough to do THAT" it turns out they are, indeed, stupid enough to do that

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 45 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Brazil is negotiating with Russia over floating nuclear power plants for the Amazon The government is evaluating a proposal from Russian state-owned Rosatom to install small reactors in the northern region and strengthen its alliance with Moscow. According to Rosatom's director for Latin America, Ivan Dibov, the state-owned company intends to expand its partnership with Brazil, which began in March with the joint exploration of uranium at the Caetité mine in Bahia. “We are very interested in expanding our cooperation,” said the executive.

Rosatom is one of the world's leading companies in the nuclear sector, with around US$ 100 billion in external revenues by 2024 - 20% coming from countries considered to be Russia's adversaries in the context of the Ukraine war, such as the United States. The state-owned company is a pioneer in the production of small modular reactors, known as SMRs (Small Modular Reactors), which have a capacity of between 10% and 50% of traditional plants, but with the advantage of taking up less space.

In May, during a visit to Russia, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Workers' Party) had already signaled Brazil's interest in expanding the partnership in the energy sector. "We are interested in discussing the energy sector in particular. We are very interested in establishing a relationship with Russia on small nuclear power plants," said Lula at the opening of a bilateral meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow.

According to the Russian company, the Amazon region could be home to up to 12 reactors by 2035, with a generating capacity of 0.6 GW. Another ten floating reactors would be installed off the coast of the Northeast, increasing the supply by 0.5 GW. Together, these projects would represent around half of the current installed capacity of the Brazilian nuclear matrix.

The nuclear sector has experienced a renaissance since the Fukushima disaster in 2011. Last week, the World Bank lifted its veto on funding for nuclear projects, including modular reactors, like the ones Brazil is now considering taking to the Amazon.

  • Telegram
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[–] la_tasalana_intissari_mata@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago (2 children)

Liberals and reformists trying to make agreements or peace with the U.S.A. is like an actor trying to tell a director to change his scene.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago

US airbase at Al-Udeid in Qatar is hit by Iranian missiles. US military bases in Iraq, Bahrain and Kuwait go on high alert. US leader Trump is taken to the Situation Room in Washington. Iraq, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates close their airspace

Government of Qatar: "The attack on the Al Udeid airbase is a flagrant violation of Qatar's sovereignty and its airspace. Qatar reserves the right to respond directly, in a manner proportionate to the nature and gravity of the attack, and in accordance with international law."

Government of Iran: "Our operations are free of any threat to brother Qatar and his people. The attack is a response in accordance with international law and the right to self-defense. Our message to the White House and its allies is clear: Iran will not let any attack go unanswered."

Iran's Defense Minister: “We are determined to punish the aggressor, we reject peace imposed by force and we consider Washington a source of crisis and instability in the region.”

  • Telegram
[–] PorkrollPosadist@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

In other news, I was checking netblocks to see if there were any changes with the Iranian Internet situation and it appears that there is an outage in Panama attributed to a crackdown on the banana workers union. Democracy Now has a SHORT article about it: Panama Declares State of Emergency Over Worker Rebellion.

The government of Panama has declared a state of emergency, suspending constitutional protections in the Bocas del Toro province after two months of worker-led protests and road blockades in opposition to a contested social security reform. The province is a major banana-producing region where workers have spoken out against exploitative conditions by banana giant Chiquita. The corporation, formerly known as United Fruit Company, fired thousands of striking workers last month.

Curiously, I was at the grocery story yesterday and the bananas were all fucking green. Not ripe at all. I guess this is related. 🤔

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[–] cinnaa42@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago

this might age poorly but kinda feels like what's happening?

[–] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago (9 children)

Reza Pahlavi - Spoiler alert: "Victory is in our hands."

My fellow compatriots,

We are now moving to the final phase of our struggle. It will be hard. But the regime is weak. It is near collapse. Only we, the Iranian people, can end it.

To the military—as you’re given orders to lash out at the people—stand down. This is your final chance. You are being watched. We will remember who stood with the people and who committed crimes against them.

To the world—do not save this corrupt, crumbling, terrorist regime. At this historic moment, stand with the Iranian people. Shield them from the regime’s desperate backlash. Do not prop up a regime that will, soon again, turn its guns, missiles, and terror toward you.

Do not fear. Be bold. Victory is in our hands.

[The message in Persian.]

https://xcancel.com/PahlaviReza/status/1937487862133354625#m

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[–] sisatici@hexbear.net 44 points 4 months ago

Ukraine loses another f16. Ukraine has managed to destroy even more f16 than Russia. I guess that is what happens when you operate Soviet Air defence. One second you don't hold the leash and wedding bomber is gone. Pilot could not manage to eject in time

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