this post was submitted on 16 Jun 2025
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Image is of destruction and damage inside Israel, sourced from this article.


Iran and Israel have struck each other many times over the last few days. There has been a general focus on military facilities and headquarters by both sides, though Israel has also struck oil facilities, civilian structures and hospitals, and in return for this, Iran has struck major scientific centers and the Haifa oil facilities.

Israel appears to have three main aims. First, to collapse the Iranian state, either through shock and breakdown by killing enough senior officials, or via some sort of internal military coup. Second, to try and destroy Iranian nuclear sites and underground missile cities, or at least to paralyze them long enough to achieve the first and third goals. And third, to bring the US into a direct conflict with Iran. This is because the US better equipped to fight them than Israel is (though victory would still not be guaranteed depending on what Iran chooses to do).

Iranian nuclear facilities are hidden deep underground (800 meters), far beyond the depth range of even the most powerful bunker busters (~70 meters or so), and built such that the visible ground entrances are horizontally far away in an unknown direction from the actual underground chambers. Only an extremely competent full-scale American bombing force all simultaneously using multiple of the most powerful conventional (perhaps even nuclear) bunker busters could even hypothetically hope to breach them (and we have seen how, in practice, American bunker busters have largely failed to impair or deter Ansarallah). There are several analysts on both sides who have concluded that it is entirely impossible to physically prevent Iran from building nukes.

I fully expect the US to join the war. I believe the current ambiguity is a deliberate invention of the US while they work to move their military assets into position, and as soon as they are ready, the US will start bombing Iran. After that, Iran's leadership must - if they haven't already - harden their hearts, and strike back with no fear, or risk following the path of Libya, Syria, and Iraq, either into either surrender, occupation, or annihilation. Every day where they do not possess a nuke is a day where lives are being lost and cities are being bombed.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

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Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

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Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 47 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (9 children)

Analysis of the US attack on the Fordow nuclear facility in Iran. 6x direct impacts on the main enrichment halls, in 2 groups of 3. 6 large holes in the mountain. Likely targeted these halls at or near weak spots/ventilation shafts. The Fordow site is now covered in a large plume of blue/greyish ash, which was visible from space on meteorological satellites at the time of the strike. Damage underground is obviously unknown, but these were GBU-57 MOPs directly targeting the enrichment halls, not hitting entrances or exits, it looks like Iran already tried to block those before the attack. This wasn't cruise missiles or smaller bombs.

Raw high resolution images:

Before:

After:

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[–] catonkatonk@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Seeing posts sourced from Telegram claiming that the Iranian parliament has decided to close the strait. Any official confirmation?

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[–] ballistics1293@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago (2 children)
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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (3 children)

Emad rocket motor ended up landing in Tel Aviv

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[–] Meltyheartlove@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (7 children)
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[–] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 46 points 3 months ago (2 children)

NYT

Early on Tuesday morning in Israel, just after midnight, the Israeli police said that officers in Haifa were investigating after several people on the balcony of a hotel in the city were seen with cameras aimed in the direction of the city’s port. The equipment was confiscated and the photographers were summoned for questioning, the police said.

The police statement was notable because the Israeli military has been warning residents not to publish the locations of sites where Iranian missiles have struck in recent days, citing security concerns and warning that Iran uses the publicly posted information to refine its targeting. Early on Monday, Iranian missiles hit Israel’s largest oil refinery, in Haifa Bay in northern Israel, according to footage verified by The New York Times.

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 46 points 3 months ago (2 children)

United States Indo-Pacific Command (USINDOPACOM) has raised the Force Protection Condition (FPCON) from Alpha to Bravo for all bases across its Area-of-Responsibility.

I'm rate limited so here's an imgur link:

https://i.imgur.com/8HjzmXx.png

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[–] Salem@hexbear.net 46 points 3 months ago (2 children)

Is that Samson Doctrine publication post from Iran have any weight of truth to it? I know that Israel has it but I just thought it was a boogeyman that Israel let circulate

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[–] Wakmrow@hexbear.net 46 points 3 months ago (15 children)

Does anyone have knowledge about how long it takes the Iranians to make a missile? What capacity do they have to keep this up?

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[–] geikei@hexbear.net 46 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

Can we treat Iran as a big boy regional power with remotely competent leadership and long historical consiousness and agency, look at their choices and approachments regarding military partenerships and buildup and factor that in on the where China or russia are currently, regarding capability and willlingness to directly intervene in iran. As well as where Iran currently stands militarily. Instead of treating it like some big baby that is being let down by its bigger "anti-imperialist" daddies?

Sure China's willingness to intervene in military material, manpower and economic ways can be judged on its own but for that to even be possible we have to know the answer to some questions regarding Iran. Was iran ever open and ever attempted any level of meaningful military alliance with China? Even thought of hosting any military power or bases? Ever tried purchasing en mass any relevant Chinese systems and weapons? After the UN weapons sanctions/ limits or whatever ended in 2020?? iranian army and irgc generals and politcians visited China and Pakistan in official and unoffical capacities multiple times and inspected j-10c and JF-17s. Pakistan itself only procured them a couple of years before. After dragging their feet they made a su-35 deal with Russia AFTER the ukraine war started and have gotten ass as of yet. You cant actualy convince me with certainty that if they really wanted and were desperate for it that they couldnt have made some deals. We cant know details so its no use making accusations but its something to consider. Maybe it was distrust towards china and a pakistan like china dependency and "we got this" delusion, maybe to prioritize their proxies (keeping that bum assad in power and that state working probably cost them more than 100 j-10cs) in the region and domestic assymetric drone and missile capabilities. Maybe China said no no we cant cause US and israel said so but who knows.

What we do know is that Iran had its own views regarding own sovereignty, its military power and what and where it wanted to focus on and spend money and capital within its military strategism. And the urgency and type of approachments or proccurements it made regarding china and russia were a function of that as much as they were of what russia and china itself wanted or didnt want to do or give iran. Iran's view of itself, the west and russia or china along with the internal factions pushing in different directions forged today's Iran-Russia and Iran-China relations and relative standing just as much as China's and Russians foreign policies did. Even for non military, strategic partnership cooperation agreements like the one Iran fast tracked and signed today with Russia. They were literally dragging their feet until they were getting bombed and US tanker aircraft are flying over the Atlantic toward the Middle East. Who's to say irans government and strategism where not as much of a roadblock to some alt universe closer chinese relationship and cooperation that could have made a big difference in this scenario as China's non interverntion or do nothing brainworms or whatever we are calling them.

Even right now as we speak, should China be more desperate to provide militarily help to Iran than Iran is desperate to seek that very same help from China. Are people really sure that the latter condition exists right now, let alone 2 or 5 years ago to a sufficient degree and that the former condition was the issue? What exactly people think Iran's outlook and trust and effort for closer military and political alliance was towards China in recent years ? Their strategy and willingness to use and accept Chinece force and influence for their protection and regional aspirations?

And i repeat this should be judged irrispectively of China's willingness or strategy to do the regional moves or alliances or sell the things iran did or did not, would or would not ask? And where one side stands is directly related to where the other choses to, it goes both ways

[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 46 points 3 months ago (2 children)

USS Nimitz still near Malaysia, do we think US will strike before their third carrier group arrives?

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[–] fever@hexbear.net 46 points 3 months ago (8 children)

An Iranian official have claimed another F-35 have been shot down over Tabriz and more details will emerge. (Source)

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 46 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)
The Cradle: Iran’s ballistic missiles cause extensive destruction across Israel

The latest barrage of ballistic missiles fired by Iran at Israel early on 16 June caused widespread destruction in Tel Aviv, Haifa, and elsewhere, video footage and images from after the strikes revealed. Entire buildings have been destroyed, while others have been severely damaged by the Iranian strikes. One video shows a house in Petah Tikvah, east of Tel Aviv, almost completely destroyed from the Iranian missile attack on Monday morning. A fortified room in another building in Petah Tikvah, serving as a shelter, was destroyed by one of the missiles, resulting in the deaths of five Israelis who were hiding inside.

Three were killed in Haifa and one was killed in Bnei Brak near Tel Aviv. In total, nine Israelis were killed during the overnight Iranian strikes, bringing the total number of settler casualties up to 24 since the start of Operation True Promise 3. Nearly 600 have been injured.

“Our operation proved that the Zionist enemy's calculations regarding Iran were completely wrong,” Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said early on Monday after the latest barrage of around 100 missiles. “Our missiles successfully hit their targets despite US support and the enemy's possession of modern defense technologies,” the IRGC added.

In Tel Aviv, multiple sites were hit, including a sensitive strategic building and several residential towers.

The Haifa power station was also struck by hypersonic missiles, as well as other major electricity and oil infrastructure, the Bazan Chemicals Complex, and the Haifa refinery. Power outages in the center of Israel were reported. Nevatim airbase in the Negev desert was also hit, as well as an army camp in the Galilee and other military installations. Strict Israeli military censorship has been imposed.

“We are still exercising restraint and have not deployed all our capabilities to avoid global chaos. However, we may reach a point where we use new weapons,” Iranian Major General Mohsen Rezaei told Iranian media on Sunday night.

Tehran’s morning strikes came after barrages on Sunday evening and afternoon, and coincided with the continuation of Israel’s massive war on Iran. Israeli strikes have hit both Iranian military sites and civilian infrastructure, including ports, airports, hospitals, and a civil defense site. At least 224 Iranians have been killed and around 1,000 injured since Israel launched the US-backed war against Iran.

[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 46 points 3 months ago (2 children)

UK Maritime Agency 'Ambrey' Confirms: 'We are aware of an incident occurring 22 nautical miles East of Khor Fakkan in the United Arab Emirates in the Gulf of Oman'

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[–] CyborgMarx@hexbear.net 46 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (9 children)

Trump is about to severely miscalculate, the dumb fuck

May they sink a fuckin whole ass carrier

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[–] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago (8 children)

So no American involvement yet?

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[–] PalestinianDream@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

trump said they hit iranian nuclear sites? reported by barak ravid

ok he posted it on his truth social

[–] joaomarrom@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago (6 children)

I recently saw a person who's very much on our side, another member of the LGBT (Let's Go Bomb Tel Aviv) movement, and he was talking about how bombing the Dimona plant would actually be a very bad idea for everyone, not just for pissrael. It's an outdated facility where isn'treal does a lot of uranium enrichment and exploding it might lead to the equivalent of dropping like half a dozen dirty bombs, which would contaminate not only Israel, but a huge region around the plant.

Is there any truth to that?

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[–] seaposting@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago (7 children)

Malaysia’s current geopolitical trajectory

Sitting at one of the most important waterways in the world - the strait of Melaka, the country hosts the 2nd largest Chinese diaspora, 3rd largest Indian diaspora and largest Indonesian, Bangladeshi and Nepali diaspora. One thing to know is that Malaysian foreign policy never strays too far from home.

It has now been a few years since the 2022 General Election, where a lot of the foreign alternative media was highlighting US influence in the opposition coalition and a potential westward turn. But unfortunately to them, lacking in dialectical materialism and influenced by Eurocentrism, they never actually understood the material and historical contexts that shape Malaysian politics.

remainder

To be clear, there is clear evidence of US involvement in aspects of the opposition. This is inevitable, Malaysia has a large professional English educated middle class owing to British colonization and many who aspire to be professional activists in the NGO industrial complex. The government’s continuation of colonial-era policies of unions and radical political organization meant that in modern-day Malaysian society there are really two avenues for those that want to be politically active: fall under the bureaucracy of parliamentary parties or go through ‘independent’ NGOs in “civil society”. However, this also implies that the past ruling coalition of nearly 50 years as somehow the anti-imperialist or atleast anti-US position. This isn’t the case.

Brief background on Malaysian Foreign Policy

Malaysian foreign policy has stayed remarkably consistent despite changes of government. This is due to the position of Malaysia in the global world economy, where through it’s colonial history and subsequent independence through build-up of native industries, it anchors Malaysian foreign policy and dissuades large changes. As such a lot of the country’s foreign policy hedges on free trade and ensuring domestic political stability and openness to foreign investment. This status-quo remains comfortable for most of the national bourgeoisie. That said, continual pressure from the diverse masses and popular classes ensure that the government could never take an outwardly pro-West position.

In practical terms this means broad alignment with Global South and Islamic interests, despite the prevalence of comprador classes. This means a firm anti-Zionist stance, extensive economic and cultural co-operation with China, close historical and cultural ties with Indonesia and India, and engagements with internationalism through the Non-Aligned Movement and others. It has one of the most progressive foreign policies in Southeast Asia, or at-least in the ASEAN-5, especially concerning China.

Back to the present

The government is now in the process of drafting the 13th Malaysia Plan - the next 5-year plan for 2026-2030, which is when Malaysia is finally forecasted to reach high-income status according to World Bank classifications. This economic development is what I attribute to as the cause of the fracturing and instability of the Malaysian political scene - the fall of Barisan Nasional and rise of Pakatan Harapan and Perikatan Nasional. It represents a shift of power from the old ruling classes to the aspiring and modern national bourgeoise and petite-bourgeoisie, represented by the new or rising political parties, who grew and responded to an environment nearing the end of the Cold War, at the midst of neoliberalism’s establishment. The “radical change” as hoped and expected by the NGOs, Western and Alternative media never happened - which was to no one’s surprise except the liberals.

The current government is currently pursuing a lot of fiscal reforms, while echoing neoliberal phrases that has become all too common. This isn’t especially new - this is merely a continuation of neoliberal policies since the 1990s, before any large changes within the Malaysian parliamentary scene. Generally, neoliberalism in the country has never taken a fully radical turn like that found in Argentina. For parts of the national bourgeoisie, privatization means a loss of their own class’s accumulation, and so neoliberalism trickles in targeting particular industries that maximizes their own racial-class gain. The so-called “third position” found in many semi-peripheral global south countries.

The current Prime Minister does have more of an assimilationist foreign policy rhetorically, especially when compared to some of the previous prime ministers. It falls quite well in line to the coalition’s class base of “sensible” and “smart” (read “business friendly”) policymaking, but again this falls quite in line with past precedent of telling the West what it wants to hear but never actually acting on everything said. The “liberal reformer” seemingly is not much of a reformer after all - but he definitely fits the liberal bill though.

To give another example, he echoes decades old refrains from neighbouring Singapore - whereby the Palestinian cause is “divisive” that threatens “social harmony”. The context of this is that there have been continuous protests and mobilizations for Palestine, especially after October 7th, with demonstrations infront of the US embassy in particular. Sometimes organized by left-wing organizations, sometimes by mainstream political parties - often by the new opposition after the liberals gained power (especially that of Parti Islam Se-Malaysia).

This binary understanding of the role of religion and race is part and parcel of the government’s liberal minded coalition when it comes to racial relations - too simple, sometimes naive. Don’t mistake this rhetoric as being pro-Zionist though, for that is an untenable position in Malaysia. Just recently the Prime Minister emphasized the need to speak against Israeli aggression and crimes in Gaza and Iran and maintaining “centrality” (neutrality), not relying on any one country too much.

What holds for the future?

The so-called rise of “protectionism” has put Southeast Asian economies in a somewhat lucrative position through the China+1 strategy and others. This in effect has risen the trade and foreign investment with the US but it remains to be seen if this foreign investment can be sustained or will actually yield long-term benefits. Malaysia will continue straddling this neutral position, but for a majority of Malaysian policymakers, dealing with the US is merely an economic necessity, but does not hold any of the cultural, political or historical significance like it does with China. Over the longer term, Asian trade and investments will only continue to increase in relevance, with the flagship BRI project, the East Coast Rail Link, on track to finish by next year, bringing needed development to deprived east coast communities and enabling another potential rail link to Thailand.

The Malaysian establishment’s continual acquiescence to Western Capital and unwillingness to be at the forefront of a Global South alternative will undoubtedly continue to roadblock further prosperity and harm the country when the middle-ground becomes impossible, giving further ammunition to those outside the current ruling coalition.

To reiterate what I have wrote in the past, this means that Malaysia can only lean more East as time goes on. It is simply unfeasible for Malaysia to shift West. Economically, politically, culturally, and historically. Do not believe the “analysis” of those that have only stepped foot in this country to visit the beaches. All signs are leading to greater Eurasian and especially ASEAN integration.

And to connect it to current events, having never recognized the Zionist Entity, the country has called the “Israeli Zionist regime” strikes on Iran a “flagrant violation of international law” but falls short of naming the key supporter of “Israeli” aggression, the US of A. Furthermore, Malaysia-Iran relations are friendly although minuscule. In the long-term, I do see growth as the US empire weakens due to both being Islamic countries and high potential for co-operation in many industries, but especially in oil and gas.

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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 46 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

US airforce just conducted an evacuation flight from Basra, Iraq; to Amman, Jordan. 350 people on board a single C-17 transport aircraft, possibly including third country nationals.

Source

Iraq to Jordan sorry I'm super tired

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