this post was submitted on 29 Apr 2024
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chapotraphouse

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The 45+ crowd will vote for him because they support isn'treal and are afraid of Drumpf but I think we're going to see a massive drop out of young voters. Probably too with the people who already don't vote to begin with, namely service workers who are fucked over either way with D's and R's.

And here I thought Biden was going to win in November, time to eat crow.

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[–] sub_ubi@lemmy.ml 54 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (2 children)

Biden's still favored to win on all the betting markets.

I'm guessing Dems will laser-focus on women's health, pretending they weren't responsible for anything lost while they controlled all 3 branches of federal government. Of course they won't mention the hospitals where their bombs are dropping nor the arab women who are giving birth while literally dead in the street. But the advertisements will be convincing!

[–] john_browns_beard@hexbear.net 40 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Biden's still favored to win on all the betting markets.

Literally how is this possible lol. I just checked and Trump is at 29.4%, seems like easy money to me. You'd think they would have learned after 2016.

[–] emizeko@hexbear.net 19 points 6 months ago

Biden 54 cents - Trump 45 cents on predictit (pres winner pays $1)

[–] edge@hexbear.net 34 points 6 months ago (2 children)

lmao betting markets.

Biden is going to lose, it’s that simple. The genocide alone is enough to make him lose Michigan, Georgia was a razor thin margin that won’t happen again, and Trump leads in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Arizona.

The first two plus any one of the last three is enough for Trump to win.

He’s done next to nothing to actually help people while instead sending hundreds of billions to Ukraine and Israel. We are closer to WW3 now than at any other point this century, and he bears much of the blame.

[–] ClimateChangeAnxiety@hexbear.net 29 points 6 months ago

Not that polls are perfect but the last one I saw Trump was winning in every single swing state

[–] sub_ubi@lemmy.ml 13 points 6 months ago (2 children)

I wouldn't underestimate the pro choice movement, nor the flood of boomers that were unleashed in 2020.

Also, the average American does not consider Arabs human.

[–] edge@hexbear.net 13 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (1 children)

What has Biden done to protect abortion rights?

Also, the average American does not consider Arabs human.

With the margins we're talking about, enough do to matter. Also there are more eligible Arab American voters in Michigan than Biden's 2020 margin. They turned out for Biden in 2020, they likely won't now, they even loudly said so in the primary. I did the math for the other swing states a while ago, and the number of Arab Americans in each state is enough to make a big dent in his margins, with non-Arab Palestine supporters and otherwise disappointed voters most likely making up the rest.

[–] sub_ubi@lemmy.ml 3 points 6 months ago (2 children)

Democrats haven't had to follow through on abortion before, I don't know why that would be a requirement now.

[–] edge@hexbear.net 12 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Because it's actually affecting people now, they don't have Roe v Wade to hide behind.

[–] sub_ubi@lemmy.ml 2 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (1 children)

Yes, it's affecting people now. So they'll go to the polls and have a choice between a guy saying he'll do something about it and orange man bad.

They're not going to drop Biden for not pulling a FDR on the supreme court, just like they didn't blame RBG for being a megalomaniac, or Obama for (“The first thing I’d do as president is sign the Freedom of Choice Act.”) lol

Part of me would love to see them eat shit for genocide, but I don't see it.

[–] edge@hexbear.net 4 points 6 months ago

So they'll go to the polls and have a choice between a guy saying he'll do something about it and orange man bad.

You’re missing the choice that comes before that: whether they’ll go to the polls or not.

The guy saying he’ll do something about it is already in power and has done nothing about it, so there’s no point in voting for him.

[–] ElChapoDeChapo@hexbear.net 7 points 6 months ago

Maybe because they let Roe die on their watch? Why should they get credit for doing nothing?

[–] AOCapitulator@hexbear.net 7 points 6 months ago

Flood of boomers that were unleashed in 2020? Unleashed where, into their graves?