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I mean they are litterally breaking a momentum for a blue wave which has never ever been at the scale this one the potential for.
With good leadership Dems could be heading into something so big the Republicans wouldn't be able to to come back.
But instead weve got these two
I thought they couldn't top their failures of 2010, but here we are
Every sitting Democrat is lining up to pull an Andrew Cuomo when most races are lucky to have someone like Curtis Sliwa on the other side of the ballot line.
At least the primaries aren't over yet. This might be what candidates like Talarico and Abughazaleh need to squeeze over the line... so they can join a rump majority of progressives in a legislature that's green lighting another $50B to bomb Cuba in 2027.
Be careful putting all your hope on this campaign. Kat's tied for second, not a distant second, but a solid second. She's well ahead (90%+) with 18-35's. But I do think she's a long shot after looking into the polling (the only polling on this race). I'd put the probability of Kat victory at 20%.
Poll was conducted via
It was about 22% land line, 77% text to web. Now I'm always a bit dubious of "polls of likely voters", because they almost exclusively rely on whatever cohort voted last election. But we work with the data we've got, not the data we want.
Something striking is that Biss is not as far ahead as we might expect them to be. I think its going to be tight on election day, tighter than what this poll suggests.
If you look at the cross tabs, Basically, Biss voters split between Kat and Fine as second choice, and all Fine voters break to Biss, and all Kat voters also break to Biss.
Basically, the least popular candidate to Fine voters is Kat, and the least popular candidate to Kat voters is fine. The electorate is very split in this race, and Biss is the benefactor of this. Likewise, there is substantial splitting on the DSA vote. Bushra got the DSA endorsement, not Kat, and that might have been the killer. There is clearly some local infighting happening here, where DSA leadership didn't like Kat or some such (maybe they view her as a primadonna). Regardless, almost all Bushra voters break to Kat, and they are one of the only candidates where most of their voters break in such a specific way.
If this were typical times and typical campaigns, i'd say Kats done and Biss is going to win this. However, key issue I identified early: this is a poll of "likely voters". Polling based on this kind of sampling suffers from a "the past is the future" assumption. One thing has been clear about Kat's campaign is that its not traditional. If Kat has been focusing on building votership into the primary, as in, recruiting unlikely voters to engage, then these results are actually very positive for her, because polling will always underestimate that strategy.
https://evanstonroundtable.com/2026/02/24/roundtable-poll-biss-leads-by-single-digits-over-abughazaleh-fine-in-congressional-primary/
No no. She's an outside long shot on a good day. I've seen the polls. But the Iran War puts some of her most popular issues at the forefront of the race.
With some enormous undecides floating in the wind. It's absolutely Biss's race to lose. But as Fine gets more money and support to challenge Kat and Biss, she's defining herself more strictly as a pro-Hasbara candidate. And she's doing it in a race where Israel is a highly polarizing issue.
Like with Mamdani, a big turnout spike would favor the more progressive primary challengers simply because the high profile issues favor Kat's campaign.
But also, it's Chicago Politics and that shit's cutthroat. Rahm Emanuel could jump out from behind a bush and just stab a bunch of candidates, idfk.
Yeah I'd need to look closely at the districts demographics and citing characteristics. Seeing Kat on stage for the debate, I think she came across as a little green. Which doesn't bother me, but there was a defensiveness in their tone that neither of the other top candidates had.
I might dig into the district a bit further later to look at the districts demographics. Ill ping you if I get around to that.
It's hard not to look at them as controlled opposition.
They said they don’t want to be opposition. They’re literally a right-wing party. Any of their policies would be considered conservative anywhere else.
They’re on the same team (capital).
What the US call left-wing and right-wing, a sane political spectrum calls center-right and extreme-far-right
More like (not so) good cop, and (psychopatically) bad cop.
Its no where near center right, center on the scale doesn't move, just the parties. Dems haven't been center right in decades
Edit sp
Nah, Bernie and AOC are center-right. The average dem is far-right. It’s a conservative party.
In which country are you imagining Bernie and AOC fitting right in with a self proclaimed center-right party?
This may come as a shock to you, but things like universal healthcare aren’t far left policies in normal countries.
Liberals in the US would be conservatives anywhere else. AOC and Bernie are just normal liberals. They wouldn’t even be considered progressive in most NATO countries. The US has a skewed political system because it has always been a right-wing government that, at the very best of times, bordered on fascist.
This is not the best of times.
I live in such a country, and have no problem with imagining Bernie and AOC joining our leftist parties. The Socialist Left Party, the Green Party and the Red Party have policies and visions similar that match what Bernie and AOC is pushing. There are parts of the parties that could be described to the left of Bernie and AOC, but to claim that they belong in the Conservative Party is pretty silly, even if the Conservative Party is pro universal health care.
I didn’t say Bernie and AOC belong in the conservative party. You didn’t understand what I wrote. I would encourage you to read it again.
I had a typo, Dems haven't been center right for decades. They've been far right for years
The man on the right says to the man of the left, "Take a step towards me and we will meet in the middle"
The man on the left says "In the spirit of bipartisanship, of course I will" and takes a step towards the man on the right.
The man on the right takes a step back, smiles and says "Take a step towards me and we will meet in the middle."
Israel and capitalism
Kamala Harris (before the election): Iran is America's greatest adversary.
Also Kamala Harris (before the election): She wants America to have the most "lethal" military. Not the most powerful, effective, advanced, or strongest. Specifically "lethal."
Absolutely. I'm really at my limit of the whole blue no matter who bullshit after this round of elections and capitulation.
No point in harm reduction of you can't even stand up to war crimes when it matters.
You should still vote blue if all else was equal but you should probably try and get people out in the primaries so your choice of blue is actually useful.
I think Americans should be way more interested in their primaries than the actual election but they don't seem to be.
Local and representative primaries sure. What happened to Bernie Sanders in 2016 severely damaged the credibility of presidential "Democratic" Party primaries.
They still haven't had a real primary since then. Its been coin flips and appointments since then.
I agree. That’s where they make the biggest mistakes; not participating in the primaries and the elections which appoint local and state officials.
Its the same for both the centrists and the further left; they have this pitched battle with each other and whine about the final candidate who isn’t changing, but they did nothing about that earlier.
They’ll tell you the system is rigged, yet they’ll watch droves of Republicans do just this and get their horrible people in.
They’ve been doing this shit for years too, that and elect lunatics.
Literally, not figuratively?