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So, what are your predictions for WW3?
(hexbear.net)
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We're not fully sure of the number, but somewhere between 3 and 20 modern day nukes will be enough to start a global winter where everyone dies anyway. If any kind of nuclear war starts out, even a teeny tiny one, most-to-all of humanity is fucked.
Somebody more knowledgeable correct me, but wasn't the whole nuclear winter thing debunked already?
Not necessarily. The issue is that we don't know what a modern nuclear bomb does to a city and n=2 (where only one was a direct hit) is a terrible dataset to extrapolate from. It all depends on if cities form firestorms if hit with a nuclear bomb. Atmospheric modeling of firestorms from forest fires is unreliable; there are hundreds of thousands of data points of forest fires and very few on nuclear bombs.
I’m not saying we won’t get our hair mussed