this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 63 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

Article from 2019 that covers stealth aircraft and cruise missiles, the possibility of detecting them, the possible kill chain, the differing Russian reaction in academic and public spheres, covers the F-117 shootdown, China building and heavily investing in stealth technologies, etc

Quite long, but worth a read given the events over the past few weeks given how influential it has been. It's an extensive overview. At least China is doing the right thing and heavily investing in stealth technologies to counter the NATO/western advantage here, other nations should follow. The article is written by "pro NATO" analysts, so ignore the political commentary (which is thankfully minimal). But it is a good overview and summary from a factual perspective. Provides arguments, addresses the common counter arguments, etc.

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[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 63 points 4 months ago (7 children)

Not sure if we discussed this, but a suicide bomber blew up a church in Damascus and killed a couple dozen people. I’m sure HTS is tracking down the perpetrators as we speak

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 63 points 4 months ago (1 children)

The Supreme Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Khamenei, addressed the nation:

– I offer my congratulations to the great nation of Iran; first, congratulations on the victory over the fake Zionist regime, and secondly, the victory over the American regime.

– The Americans entered the war directly because Israel would have completely lost and become hopeless otherwise.

– The U.S. gained nothing from this intervention, Trump greatly exaggerated what happened, and our nuclear sites remain unaffected.

– The enemies don't seek an end to Iran's missile or nuclear program, they seek an unconditional surrender, which our powerful nation will never accept.

– The U.S. needed to put on a show, and that's what they did. But Iran remains steadfast, and our progress continues.

  • Telegram
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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 63 points 4 months ago (7 children)

Iranian authorities announce the confiscation of a truck carrying a large number of drones and the arrest of a Mossad agent west of Tehran.

(Tasnim)

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[–] duderium@hexbear.net 62 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (38 children)

(Could be a false alarm but) Telegram channels I’m following announced five minutes ago that Tehran, Shiraz, and Hamadan just activated their air defenses. The entity can’t help bombing brown folks, even when it would clearly help them a great deal to take a break for at least a day or two.

The game theory academic who became famous on youtube a day or two ago is predicting that the USA is going to do a (suicidal) ground invasion of Iran. I can also hear Justin Podur saying that all this shit with Trump getting angry at Netanyahu is just for show.

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[–] newacctidk@hexbear.net 62 points 4 months ago (3 children)

Who the fuck put electoralism in my news mega? Thank you @carpoftruth@hexbear.net for diverting it. chavez-salute

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[–] Assian_Candor@hexbear.net 62 points 4 months ago (17 children)
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[–] Assian_Candor@hexbear.net 62 points 4 months ago (2 children)

Media now really pushing the attack failure narrative. Which would be fine I guess since it is true... but clearly angling for another strike

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[–] dougfir@hexbear.net 62 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (16 children)

some bizarre news:

Armenian PM Pashinyan offers to show his penis to head of Church

a priest accused Pashinyan of being circumcised and so this was Pashinyan's response.

the article also talks about some interesting tensions between Church and State in Armenia recently, with the PM accusing priests (including the head of the church) of breaking their vows of celibacy, and a ruling-party aligned paper published a document about coup plans from the opposition with the support of the church, some business tycoons, and Armenians from Nagorno-Karabakh.

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[–] LoveWitch@hexbear.net 62 points 4 months ago (1 children)

https://en.mehrnews.com/news/233551/US-base-in-Syria-comes-under-attack

Mortar attack on US base in Syria.

US base in Syria comes under attack

TEHRAN, Jun. 23 (MNA) – News sources reported a mortar attack on a US base in Syria. Informed sources announced on Monday that an American military base in Syria has been attacked.

The sources stated that the American military base in an area in western Hasakah province of Syria was targeted.

These sources announced that following the attack strict security measures were taken at the main entrance.

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 61 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (27 children)

apologies Xi, I will now trust the plan

edit: this is in response to my (and others', but definitely my) pessimism and lack of understanding about why China isn't helping out Iran, but now I understand: it genuinely wasn't China's fault

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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 61 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (5 children)

Something I missed yesterday, to do with this, the entombment of underground nuclear facilities in Iran. Israeli public broadcaster Kan News is now reporting that there is an unofficial agreement/understanding that Iran can't excavate their underground nuclear facilities, otherwise they'll face US military action. The facilities have to remain entombed, at least for now. Israeli state media source so of course remain highly skeptical, but it does line up with the events of the past few days. It also shows that Israel at the very least is pushing hard to keep these facilities entombed. The only thing Iran have done so far is fill up the two craters at Natanz from the two GBU-57 MOP strikes there with lots of soil. Good idea to prevent any potential radiation leakage.

The US warned Iran to stay away from nuclear sites bombed in recent strikes, to prevent Tehran from recovering enriched uranium possibly buried beneath the rubble.

American and Israeli intelligence are closely monitoring the Fordow and Isfahan facilities, where uranium stockpiles may have been stored prior to the attacks, Kan News reports.

A senior Israeli official told Kan that if Iran attempts to extract the uranium, “it’s up to the US” to decide how to respond.

English translation of the Kan News report

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[–] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 61 points 4 months ago

very good Iran , you waited for the new newsmega.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 61 points 4 months ago (8 children)

Israel is violating the ceasefire and bombing Lebanon at the moment. The area hit is in the south of the country, with reports in Al-Ayshiyah, Wadi Kfar Melki, Al-Mahmoudiya, Ansar, Jbaa and Zrariyeh.

  • Telegram
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[–] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 61 points 4 months ago (4 children)

Two of the special guests present at this year's annual World Economic Forum's "Summer Davos" in Tianjin, China, were Kissinger protégé Graham Allison, and war criminal Tony Blair. kombucha-disgust

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[–] SteamedHamberder@hexbear.net 60 points 4 months ago (22 children)

Get ready for the worst pronounciations of Qatar you’ve ever heard

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[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 60 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (11 children)

“””ceasefires””” and unending aerial bombardment, israel’s fav combo. Anyways nobody on either side have confirmed this so grain of 🧂. Don’t play into the Zionist psywar

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[–] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 60 points 4 months ago (6 children)

nothing ever happens gang in shambles

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[–] CyborgMarx@hexbear.net 60 points 4 months ago (9 children)

Operation Barbarossa lasted 5 months 13 days, the Battle of Stalingard began seven months after Barbarossa ended and itself lasted 6 months 2 weeks 2 days

Just some historical facts for the 'Everything has to happen NOW, NOW, NOW gang'

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[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 60 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Meanwhile in the AES:
https://xcancel.com/peoplesdispatch/status/1937246785199583450

In yet another assertion of sovereignty, the government of Niger announced that it would nationalize the Somaïr uranium venture, wresting control from the multinational nuclear fuel cycle corporation Orano.

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[–] buh@hexbear.net 60 points 4 months ago (1 children)

There’s one way Trump can get Israel to stop dropping bombs and firing missiles

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[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 60 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (11 children)

“DHS Awards $94 Million in Grants to Help Protect 512 Jewish Faith-Based Organizations from Targeted Violence and Terrorism”

https://www.dhs.gov/news/2025/06/27/dhs-awards-94-million-grants-help-protect-512-jewish-faith-based-organizations

Definitely genuine concern about religious bigotry, for sure. Anyone playing into the “spike in antisemitism” smear is covering for Zionist genocide, intentionally or unintentionally

full text

Following the terror attack in Boulder, CO and the murder of two Israeli Embassy staffers, DHS is working to counter the concern rise in antisemitic violence and terrorism

WASHINGTON – Today, the Department of Homeland Security announced it is awarding $94,416,838 to over 512 Jewish faith-based organizations across the United States through its National Security Supplemental (NSGP-NSS).

This money, part of the Nonprofit Security Grant Program, will be used to help these organizations harden their defenses against attacks. This allocation comes after a terrorist attacked demonstrators with a flamethrower and Molotov cocktails at an event in support of hostages in Gaza, and after two Israeli Embassy staffers were murdered in Washington, DC, by a terrorist who shouted, “Free Palestine.” In 2024, the ADL said it recorded a record high of 9,354 antisemitic incidents in the U.S., marking a 344% increase over the past five years.

“DHS is working to put a stop to the deeply disturbing rise in antisemitic attacks across the United States,” said DHS Assistant Secretary Tricia McLaughlin. “That this money is necessary at all is tragic. Antisemitic violence has no place in this country. However, under President Trump and Secretary Noem’s leadership, we are going to do everything in our power to make sure that Jewish people in the United States can live free of the threat of violence and terrorism.”

The program, operated through FEMA, will help protect Jewish faith-based institutions from further attacks, and was advocated for by over 40 plus Jewish organizations. The funding was appropriated by Congress in response to a surge in antisemitic threats linked to the Israel Hamas war. All faith-based institutions were eligible to apply for grant funding to help defend themselves from threats including houses of worship, educational facilities, medical facilities, community centers and other faith-based institutions. More grant disbursements will follow from the NSGP

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[–] HarryLime@hexbear.net 60 points 4 months ago (6 children)
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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 59 points 4 months ago (1 children)

trump-drenched : "EVERYONE, KEEP OIL PRICES DOWN. I'M WATCHING! YOU'RE PLAYING RIGHT INTO THE HANDS OF THE ENEMY. DON'T DO IT! To The Department of Energy: DRILL, BABY, DRILL!!! And I mean NOW!!!"

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[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 59 points 4 months ago (11 children)

So Israel can wipe out all of Iran's senior government whenever it feels like and there's nothing Iran will ever do about it. It is a state without sovereignty

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[–] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 59 points 4 months ago (12 children)

NPR

As Iran and Israel fought, people turned to AI for facts. They didn't find many.

It's unknown what percentage of people use AI for news but it could very roughly be ~7%.

Social media companies and makers of AI chatbots have not shared data about how often people use chatbots to seek out information on current events, but a Reuters Institute report published in June showed that about 7% of users in the dozens of countries the institute surveyed use AI to get news. When asked for comment, X, OpenAI, Google and Anthropic did not respond.

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[–] BigBoyKarlLiebknecht@hexbear.net 59 points 4 months ago (9 children)

CW: Nazi shit

MI6 distances its new chief from Nazi grandfather

yea

I like how MI6 try to make it sound that having a muderous Nazi grandfather is a good thing and an example of diversity in action, actually:

A spokesperson added: "Blaise's ancestry is characterised by conflict and division and, as is the case for many with eastern European heritage, only partially understood.

"It is precisely this complex heritage which has contributed to her commitment to prevent conflict and protect the British public from modern threats from today's hostile states, as the next chief of MI6."

The Daily Mail, which first revealed the family link, reports that it found hundreds of pages of documents in an archive in Freiburg, Germany, which showed Mr Dobrowolski was known as "The Butcher" or "Agent No 30" by Wehrmacht commanders. He reportedly signed off letters to his Nazi superiors with "Heil Hitler" and said he "personally" took part in "the extermination of the Jews".

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[–] cinnaa42@hexbear.net 59 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

Met police acting like the bunch of power-tripping r*pe-defending pig-thugs they are rn in Trafalgar Square, snatching people for peacefully protesting. Scum!

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