this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 36 points 2 months ago

Cuba guest of honor at China Fair in Hungary - Prensa Latina

Article

Havana, Jun 28 (Prensa Latina) Cuba's ambassador to Budapest, Guillermo Vázquez, participated as guest of honor at the opening of the China Trade and Industry Fair in Hungary, the Cuban Foreign Ministry announced today.

According to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, during the opening of the event he exchanged with Hungarian and Chinese authorities, to whom he declared the importance for the Caribbean nation of “economic-commercial ties with the Asian region and Eastern European countries”.

He also, the text notes, “extended invitations for the Havana International Fair, FIHAV 2025”.

Vázquez made a “tour of the Fair in the company of the Hungarian delegation headed by the First Vice President of the Hungarian Parliament and founder since the nineties of the Hungary-China Chamber of Commerce”, states the note.

[–] jackmaoist@hexbear.net 36 points 2 months ago (1 children)
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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 36 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Looks like the missile attack on Israel is over for now, Israelis told they can leave shelters. Was only a handful of missiles, if that. All intercepted. Maybe another symbolic attack so that Iran can have the last say or punish Israel for starting the ceasefire half an hour late? Either that or parts of the IRGC and army have gone rouge and decided to continue attacking Israel on their own. Or there's been a communication breakdown.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 36 points 2 months ago

Moldova to terminate treaty on cultural cooperation with Russia - Prensa Latina

Article

Chisinau, Jun 24 (Prensa Latina) Moldovan Foreign Minister Mikhail Popsoi said today that his country will not extend the treaty on cultural exchange and collaboration with Russia, concluded in 1998.

"The treaty on cultural exchange and cooperation with Russia signed in 1998 does not imply unilateral cancellation. We can only not prolong the treaty. And we have already made it clear to the Russian side," Popsoi told TV8 on Tuesday.

The head of state said that the decision of the Moldovan side is final and he “would like, like all the citizens who support this decision, to make it sooner”, but Chisinau is obliged to respect the international law.

At the same time, the chancellor was vague when it came to mentioning a specific date for terminating the validity of the agreement. “Within a couple of months or six months, I don't remember precisely, but it seems to me that before a year,” he commented.

Popsoi stressed that Moldova maintains appreciation for the Russian language and culture, “the good things we had in our history.”

Earlier, the deputy of the Electoral Bloc of Communists and Socialists, Bogdan Tirdea, stated that the Moldovan authorities had initiated the process of termination of the agreement to close the Russian Center of Science and Culture in Chisinau, revealing that the ruling Party of Action and Solidarity had submitted the corresponding initiative to the parliament.

On February 13, the Moldovan Foreign Ministry announced that it had unilaterally terminated the agreement with Russia on the establishment and operation of cultural centers, which meant that the Russian Center for Science and Culture would have to cease its activities.

The decision of the Moldovan authorities to close the Russian cultural center that has been operating for 16 years provoked severe criticism from social organizations that bring together citizens of different nationalities with interest in Russian culture.

Relations between Russia and Moldova began to deteriorate after the current president Maia Sandu, who follows a pro-European policy, came to power in the republic at the end of 2020.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Moldova under the current government aspires to become a hostile country for Russia, while Moscow calls on Chisinau to respect the interests of its own citizens and not to hinder the development of human contacts and interregional ties with the Eurasian giant.

The Russian Foreign Ministry in turn called on the Moldovan authorities to put an end to anti-Russian confrontational rhetoric in the country, stressing that it intends to maintain friendly relations and is against Western attempts to use Moldova for anti-Russian purposes.

[–] cinnaa42@hexbear.net 36 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Fox News reports that there is an imminent threat of an Iranian attack on Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar.

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[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 35 points 2 months ago (2 children)

BREAKING: Reuters reports that a senior Iranian official has confirmed Tehran’s agreement to a U.S.-proposed, Qatar-mediated ceasefire with Israel.

The official said Qatar’s Prime Minister secured Iran’s approval during a phone call with Tehran.

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[–] OttoboyEmpire@hexbear.net 35 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

it wasn't terribly unlikely that Trump would do a big bombing, of irrelevant actual effectiveness, and try to walk off with a win. but an outstanding question was, how would the Americans respond to continued fighting? wouldn't the neocons find a way to force Trump back into the conflict?

isn't this result likely a recognition that, even if Iran could win the attritional war with (just) israel, the probability was prohibitively high that tiny Marco wouldn't sit on his baby hands and let missiles keep crashing into telaviv?

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[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 35 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (4 children)

The only way a ceasefire holds until ~~2024~~ 2028 is if Iran makes Trump put some of his own money up as collateral and it's held by a party that will actually give it to Iran should the ceasefire be broken by the US or Israel.

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[–] Quaxamilliom@hexbear.net 35 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Iran just launched another missile salvo???

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[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 35 points 2 months ago

Within the dark night of nothing ever happens, it appears that something is happening after all. Or not. New launches from Iran towards the Entity, apparently loud explosions, who the fuck knows what's going on.

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