Burn it all down and end secondary real estate market. The housings price problem started with that.
Usually things crash when enough people capitulate and think it won't crash. Gotta maximize the pain so that those with money can swoop in and gobble up all the assets. Most likely the crash will be combined with mass unemployment so that even people who have bought into a home risk losing it by not being able to make mortgage payments.
Can't wait. If it could happen in isolation and not involve a lot of people losing their jobs, I would love to see prices come down. No downside for homeowners really, the house is the same house independent of market value but taxes will decrease so monthly cost will decrease.
I'm old and know prices don't go up forever. As soon as those "we will buy your house" signs and phone calls start, it's near the end.
but taxes will decrease so monthly cost will decrease.
Doubt. Your local government isn't going to cut spending just because revenue went down. And why should they? It isn't like the workload changed. When housing collapses it isn't like there will be less crime and less homeless and less school age students. All that stuff is going to continue to happen independently. You will either see raised rates or suddenly a lot of homes will be marked as worth more.
I don't know why you think that's going to happen. Supply is down and demand is as strong as ever. Policy to make housing more plentiful is woefully lacking.
What's the mechanism for a housing crash?
Just the fact that no one can afford housing any more, and lots of folks bought property to rent out at this super high rate, so to not lose money they have to rent out homes for like 2k+ for small rentals.
So the most likely way, if it all, is all the rental properties are forced to go on market at the same time, and then they don't get sold so get foreclosed on.
I paid 91k in 2017. Zillow says my place is worth 209k just six years later. I'm more than prepared for it to tank but it won't go lower than I paid.
Not a fellow home owner, in my early 20s and debt free. I feel soo bad for people who sign the dotted line on 400k mortgage and agree to decades of slavery to the economy just to have a poorly made suburbanite 2 story 3 bedroom. My parents tell me its not worth it, and I believe them. The only option for my generation that doesn't involve half a lifetime of mortgage slavery is to either buy land somewhere extremely rural and build atop or get used to the idea vanlife/nomadic living. I refuse to get into debt, period. Would rather live out of my van and pay myself rent while working and save up the money for a little plot of land in the mountains. My sympathies to anyone who goes the 'normal' path and eats 500k in debt in this day and age.
If I hadn't bought my house at what turned out to be a steal at 240k with low interest 4 years ago I would be looking at like 50k middle of nowhere properties. If it has even a broken down house there with plumbing/electricity then it would mean that a trailer would hook up nice.
I hope you are able to save up for a nice tiny home away from cost of living nonsense with good internet!
Wouldn't mind some new neighbors, not planning on selling, not going to contribute to the landlord crisis, I say let it burn.
My house is like 25% paid off, I don't care if it loses 90% of it's "value" I'll keep paying the bills. Rather everyone have affordable housing than some extra cash in my bank account.
It often feels like it doesn't even matter to me. I'm never going to be in a position to get out of massive debt and afford a decent home either way.
I wouldn't hold my breath waiting for any sort of epic crash.
I expect that home ownership is going to become solely for the upper-middle class and up, and that home prices won't make any serious downward movement.
I expect the housing crisis will eventually start to ease as areas become more accepting of high-density housing development, and that will become the sole province of people with finances beneath the home ownership class.
Essentially, the establishment of a much more distinct and explicit two-tier system. Prices in one will have minimal impact on the other, much like how any swing in prices for small passenger boats has no impact on the price of yachts.
I'm trying to fix up a few things then get it re-appraised so I can get PMI taken off my mortgage. After that I don't really care, I plan to live here for awhile so if the value goes down in the short term I'm not too bothered.
I'll believe it when I see it. I think there's low inventory.
My condo is paid off, actually. But I still want to to crash, because the price gap between my little place and a larger home is way too big. I basically can't upgrade unless prices fall.
Not worried in the least, house is < 10 yo and don’t plan on moving anytime soon. I also think my houses “value” is over inflated anyways.
Now if I bought in the last 3 years? Yea I might be sweating a little bit about being under water, depending on price and location.
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