this post was submitted on 30 Dec 2024
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Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
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Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Kieselguhr@hexbear.net 113 points 1 year ago (5 children)

It's actually really uncivil to learn details about treasonous activities of your political rivals

[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 65 points 1 year ago (6 children)

Him and LBJ are such fucking losers for having their GOP competitors dead to rights committing treason and doing fuck all about it.

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[–] Maturin@hexbear.net 59 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Maybe he already knew all that and was just bored

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[–] DeathToBritain@hexbear.net 88 points 1 year ago (11 children)

not seen anybody mention the news of China banning the export of gallium, germanium, and antimony to all but a few trusted known civillian sources that they will be keeping tabs on to stop it flowing to military uses; it's a small market where everybody knows everybody so it's easy to trace back illicit trading of these materials from verified civillian contractors to millitary ones. they have also banned sales to known European traders that resell during times of high demand. these materials are very key for modern military assets and Washington has not found a new source of them. China produces well over half of the worlds germanium and almost alll of the gallium, there are not just alternatives that can fill that demand. lots of big names on the ban list like boeing, lockhead, raytheon, BAE ect

https://kdwalmsley.substack.com/p/panic-in-global-metals-markets-as?triedRedirect=true substack article I read on it https://www.ft.com/content/85c875f7-f7c7-41d6-b635-fd7a51074a34 FT copium about how they can totally solve this

knowing the luck of the US, they'll stumble upon a massive reserve of the metals somewhere in Idaho or some shit under a farm in 2 weeks

[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 57 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Rare earth metals are not rare, they are present all over and are even often in other mine wastes (such as bauxite red mud, as noted elsewhere in the thread). The bottlenecks aren't availability in the ground, it's 1) extractive metallurgical know how for how to recover and purify these metals into high grade, saleable and usable product and 2) timeline and economic willpower to develop and implement suitable processes at what are often remote mine sites, and 3) integrating all of the above so that everyone knows what actual spec metal refiners need to reach and what spec metal buyers can expect for using in production of other goods.

All of these are significant, but especially 1 imo. The west has lost its knowhow as rare earths generally haven't been produced in the west in reasonable quantities for 30 years - that is a generation or more of technical staff that have aged out, retired, or died. Further, the west doesn't really value material science like China, so there isn't a class of suitable technologists waiting in the wings.

A further issue is that any rare earth mine that does look promising will absolutely not be economically feasible against the mass economy of scale of established Chinese production, so it will require government subsidy or ownership. Neither the mining ecosystem or governments in the west are set up for government ownership of mines. And private capital is not a fan of R&D to solve 1 - it would be hard for them, and in the 10 years it could take to figure out 1, relations with China could thaw and then western rare earth projects would be financially stranded.

The pollution aspects of rare earth production is overblown. It's a high intensity industry that generates waste, but it's not so different from other mining projects. The "Chinese environmental laws are weaker so that's why people do REE processing in China instead of the west" is chauvinistic cope, not based on logic.

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[–] WashedAnus@hexbear.net 54 points 1 year ago (5 children)

Our Supreme Poster 72T made an effortpost some years back about rare earth minerals. IIRC, there is already a rare earth minerals mine in California that could fulfill America's needs (and then some), but it's not economical to use. The last time America invested heavily there and started producing, China flooded the market and destroyed the investors.

So, America could easily get around this if its government could stop being a neoliberal monster for five seconds. However, that will never happen.

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 85 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (9 children)

Hey everybody, I'm back from sitting atop a mountain and meditating on the meaning of life, reality, and the goddamn news for a few weeks. I'll be getting back into the swing of posting here over the next few days.

I don't have anything to announce, but I do want to gauge interest on a "bookclub" here in the news megathread, the idea being to go through a book like Super Imperialism and other geopolitically relevant books as a community. It would give us something to do other than doomscroll, and get us all on the same theoretical grounding (from which we can then argue with each other at a more enlightened level).

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[–] WilsonWilson@hexbear.net 81 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Cryptocurrency miners in Chechnya will be treated as terrorists, Adam Delimkhanov, a State Duma deputy and advisor to the head of the republic, said in comments reported by Grozny-Inform. Delimkhanov said that “cases of illegal mining” have already been uncovered in Chechnya. He noted that “many involve people working in various organizations,” though he did not specify which ones.
“Our leader, Ramzan Kadyrov, has asked us to inform all residents that if such cases are uncovered — which also cause electricity issues across entire districts, villages, or cities — the perpetrators will face severe punishment. We will equate them with terrorists because their actions harm society as a whole,” Delimkhanov said

[–] Seasonal_Peace@hexbear.net 62 points 1 year ago
[–] volcel_olive_oil@hexbear.net 56 points 1 year ago

I've been waiting for this type of thing to start sicko-peepin

[–] companero@hexbear.net 81 points 1 year ago (3 children)

China claims Taiwan as its territory despite never having controlled it

It's so obvious that the State Department forces the media to put this line in all their articles about China and Taiwan. I love the unhinged Ship of Theseus energy it brings.

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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 81 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

Google Earth has updated satellite view upto November 2023 now for Gaza.

Coords: 31.5588, 34.5211

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[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 80 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (4 children)

Theo Von aka Zoomer Joe Rogan says on his podcast that he believes TikTok is being banned in the US because the government doesn't want people seeing the truth about the genocide in Gaza and that TikTok is one of the only places where you can see the truth about what's happening:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Global_News_Hub/comments/1hrwtna/theo_von_on_tiktok_ban_they_dont_want_you_to_see/

This dude interviewed Trump in August, btw.

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[–] VILenin@hexbear.net 78 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (6 children)

Now feels like a good time to link the disgusting NYT coverage of a vehicle attack in Zhuhai, China, in November. (In case you were wondering, yes, they are lying through their teeth about the “cover-up”) (Cover up means the lack of wild speculation and hysterical media coverage shoving cameras in the faces of bereaved relatives and blurring out mutilated corpses)

Also lol at 1984 removing memorial flowers. They do have to go at some point, you know that right, NYT “journalist”? I guess the concept of not leaving shit to rot on the street is foreign to Americans.

When a lot of Americans die, it is the worst thing to ever happen. When a lot of Chinese people die, the main story is that life is cheap in the orient and the Chinese brainpan is programmed to accept death and censorship

God knows why China keeps letting these “journalist” snakes into their country.

Muh brutal authoritarian crackdowns in Hong Kong clearly missed a spot if some professor of Chinese propaganda at a HK university gets to run his mouth about the mainland brainpan for a NYT hit piece. Seems like nativist and supremacist ideologies in HK haven’t yet been entirely uprooted.

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 77 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (6 children)

Geopolitical Economy Hour: Did Israel and the US win in Syria?


An interesting discussion by Mohammad Marandi and Radhika Desai which, via a sober analysis, seeks to dispel a lot of the triumphalism from those on the pro-genocide side, and bitter resignation from those on the left. I shall summarize the video below:

  • First, we start from a quote from Responsible Statecraft which more-or-less concludes that Israel is (at least at the current moment) triumphant in the Middle East. A key part of their assessment is that the Shia movement has been crippled, which is the first sign that things are amiss in their conclusion (much of the Resistance is Sunni). What else is wrong?
  • Marandi remarks that the events in Syria are a tactical victory for the US, Israel, and Erdogan (not Turkiye as a whole), but this victory is unstable and likely to disintegrate over time, for the following reasons.
  • The question for the US is: should they stay or go? If they go, this presents issues for maintaining this instability for Israel's benefit. If they stay, this presents an issue for Jolani, because the US's purpose inside Syria is explicitly to weaken it (they are stealing Syria's oil to ensure that pro-Resistance forces have less resources to work with).
  • The question for Erdogan is: can he continue to exert leverage over Jolani now that he has performed a successful uprising and has western diplomats knocking on his door?
  • The question for Jolani is: how much humiliation can he - and Syria - take from Israel stealing their territory and bombing their weapons stockpiles? This will naturally cause resistance to once again rise up against HTS and Jolani. Additionally, Syria still has plenty of groups that are internally vying for power and has plenty of economic problems that cannot be fixed quickly. In fact, there could be a new civil war between the different factions inside Syria and even between groups in HTS. This is on top of the returning refugee groups from Turkiye.

  • The key mistake for Israel is the delegitimization of their new pet regime in Syria. What Netanyahu should have done instead is not undermine Jolani and held off on the annexations, and instead done all they could to stabilize and strengthen them (like with Jordan and Egypt). This is on top of the obvious problems for the IDF trying to occupy territory with an increasingly dysfunctional and degraded army after their continued defeats against Hezbollah and Hamas.
  • Iran and Russia did the right thing in a bad situation by pulling out without further commitment of resources, as Assad or his generals seemed unwilling to fight for themselves to maintain control of their section of the country. It would be too much to say that this was part of Iran's grand plan or anything like that, but by not holding desperately onto Assad and instead deciding to let them go once, say, Aleppo or Homs had fallen, Iran has avoided falling into an unnecessary trap.

  • The timing of dangerous gambles/events in Ukraine and the Middle East do appear to be a ploy by the Biden administration to create fait accomplis for Trump's administration; either to ensure they keep the project going, or at least to complicate and delay an eventual resolution on the side of Russia and the Resistance.
  • Iran is a stronger country than 8 years ago in terms of foreign relations with non-Western countries, and will be harder to isolate than before. Western sanctions will still present many difficulties, but not as existential as before (so long as China and Russia are in their court).
  • Iran is also a stronger country militarily than 8 years ago, and will set the world on fire if Trump (or, indeed, Biden, with a couple weeks to go) tries anything too stupid. It will be too dangerous for the US and especially Israel to start a war against Iran, and Iran's position as the "hub" and suppliers of weapons and expertise means that the Resistance will continue to function relatively well (and has not been "defeated" or anything like that).
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[–] sisatici@hexbear.net 76 points 1 year ago (1 children)

first baby of 2025 in turkiye is deniz mahir lol. named after deniz gezmiş and mahir çayan, 2 prominent leftist figures. I hope this is a sign of good things to come. I will not wish for small things anymore. I wish to dance in the ashes of white house this year

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[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 75 points 1 year ago

sankara-shining xi-gun-2 france-cool stalin-gun-1 nkrumah-baffled
https://xcancel.com/AP/status/1874304739938025575

Ivory Coast asks French troops to leave, the latest African country to do so

[–] companero@hexbear.net 74 points 1 year ago (31 children)

The Trump Tower Tesla bomber was a Slava Ukraini guy, who "served" (as a trainer?) in Ukraine and Georgia, and his wife was a libbed-up cheeto-hater.

Signs are pointing to Trump derangement syndrome?

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[–] sempersigh@hexbear.net 73 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (10 children)

Nytimes is now confirming the flag found on the truck killer is an IS flag so strap in folks

Edit: multiple people involved which is pretty uncommon with these “isis inspired” kind of attacks since it usually involves a single person getting radicalized online(by Feds or otherwise) rather than a group like this that even included a woman which I’m pretty sure actual daesh would deem to be an apostate thing to do.

It’s possible the flag was meant to just be more of an edgy thing and something else motivated him but idk this is strange to me

Not enough info for me to go full 👁️ but between this and US military/tech connection this is pretty odd.

Edit 2: Surveillance video was nothing apparently

Probably more likely a case of cops being stupid thinking maintenance people watering plants or something was sus

[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 76 points 1 year ago (7 children)

waving an ISIS flag while killing a bunch of civilians proves that you can take a person out of the US military but you can't take the US military out of a person

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[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 67 points 1 year ago

Ex-US soldier and US citizen. Can’t blame this one on immigrants or foreigners, it’s a home grown terrorist who probably trained with ISIS-types while in the army.

This type of blowback is inevitable when you share a bed with ISIS

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[–] Torenico@hexbear.net 73 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

The new syrian government had almost the entire Syrian Air Force and Navy destroyed and chunks of it's southern territories occupied by "israel" and all they have done thus far is attack Alawites and Christians. How about you attack some "israelis" instead?

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[–] sempersigh@hexbear.net 71 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (4 children)

No I am NOT reading this article

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 71 points 1 year ago (8 children)
China donates 70 tons of equipment to Cuba to restore its electric system

The People’s Republic of China has donated almost 70 tons of power generator parts and accessories to Cuba, aiming to contribute to the recovery of the Caribbean island’s electricity system.

The materials arrived in the country on Sunday (29) and were received by China’s ambassador to Cuba, Hua Xin, and Cuba’s deputy ministers of Foreign Trade and Investment, Déborah Rivas, and Energy and Mining, Tatiana Amarán.

According to Ambassador Xin, the shipment is part of China’s second assistance package in 2024 to help restore Cuba’s electricity generation capacity to around 400 megawatts (MW). As part of an “emergency project list,” the donations were included to provide Cuba with effective and rapid aid according to what the Chinese government calls “convenience for the most urgent.”

...

The donations come as the Caribbean country is facing a serious energy crisis that has worsened in recent months. This year, Cuba has suffered three total blackouts in the national electricity system, leaving the country completely in the dark. Currently, power cuts are becoming more and more constant, affecting over 40% of the population daily. The situation has seriously damaged economic activity and the population’s quality of life.

Even with this and the photovoltaic donations, it feels like China is very squeamish about helping Cuba that much. Quite disappointing. Perhaps as the US keeps driving forward on sanctions on China, they'll increasingly not care about potential consequences, but until then, Cuba suffers.

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[–] GayTuckerCarlson@hexbear.net 70 points 1 year ago

Uplifting photos from 2024. A reminder of the ability of the human spirit to find joy and togetherness in all situations. Compilied from the Associate Press top 100 photos of the year and Reuters 2024 pictures of the year

Democratic Republic of Congo - Children shake hands before a chess game

::: spoiler spoiler

Paris Paraolympic Games - Paralympic athlete Santos Araujo, of Brazil, celebrates after winning the men’s 200 m Freestyle

Haiti - Children playing jump rope

Brazil - Rescue team saves 4 year old child from house destroyed by flood

Gaza - Wedding dress for sale

Kenya - Wildlife management team release Rhino from an animal sanctuary back into the wild

Venezuela - Supermoon surrounded by Christmas lights

Happy new year

[–] miz@hexbear.net 69 points 1 year ago

babies are freezing to death in Gaza

death to america, death to the zionist project

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 67 points 1 year ago (4 children)

One dead and seven injured in the cybertruck explosion outside the Trump International hotel. The fatal victim is still inside the car and firefighters are trying to pull him out. Authorities have yet to say what caused the fire that led to the explosion.

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[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 67 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

The FBI let a NY Post reporter and unofficial Israeli PR team member into the home of the New Orleans suspect to do a video tour, in which she found a keffiyeh, a Quran open to a verse about martyrdom, and bomb-making materials:

The interesting thing in the replies/quote tweets is that even the chuds, who I would assume are the NY Posts primary audience, generally seem to think this looks like an op.

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[–] ClathrateG@hexbear.net 67 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (11 children)

Biden plans to send $8bn arms shipment to Israel

The move comes just over a fortnight before President Joe Biden leaves office. Washington has rejected calls to suspend military backing for Israel because of the number of civilians killed during the war in Gaza.

In August, the US approved the sale of $20bn in fighter jets and other military equipment to Israel.

The latest planned shipment contains air-to-air missiles, Hellfire missiles, artillery shells and bombs, the US official said

doggirl-gloom

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[–] bbnh69420@hexbear.net 66 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)
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[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 63 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Jolansky appeasing the watermelon seller by deleting Ottoman atrocities from Syrian history textbooks (CW: hanged victims):
https://xcancel.com/RaniaKhalek/status/1874621498327265681

Erasing history to please their neo-Ottoman sponsors.

Turkish soft power has been quite successful in romanticizing the Ottoman Empire among certain Arabs for at least a decade now. But that power isn’t so soft anymore.

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Biden's address of the New Orleans attack was classico. He stumbled and slurred his way through the teleprompter before walking off the stage the second he was done talking like he pooped his pants.

[–] GayTuckerCarlson@hexbear.net 62 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Reuters best photos of 2024. New mega compilation part 2

Philippines - Man takes a smoke break during flood recovery efforts

spoiler

Brazil - Climate change protest art

Iran - Celebrating the shoot down of an Israeli rocket

Argentina - Protestor cries after Milei shoots down pension reform

Russia - Woman watches Putin's address to parliament in a Moscow movie theater

I will be posting a compilation of Gaza photos later

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[–] sempersigh@hexbear.net 62 points 1 year ago (2 children)

The ROK is entering a period of time known as “The cool zone”

Also fucking LOL at this

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[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 62 points 1 year ago (4 children)

First India, now Japan. China is tying up loose ends:
https://xcancel.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1875224303819723142

This is big: China and Japan have agreed on an unprecedented (at least since WW2) list of initiatives to warm their respective public opinions to each other.

This is "manufacturing consent" but for peace and mutual respect, not for war this time. Which is frankly much more constructive and will no doubt displease quite a few folks in Washington who thrive on "divide and conquer"...

The initiatives include:

  1. promote youth exchange visits and encourage and support studies and tours between the two countries.

  2. deepen cooperation in the field of education, strengthen the mutual exchange of students, and support the establishment of sister school relationships between primary and secondary schools, as well as inter-institutional cooperation between higher education institutions of both countries.

  3. support cooperation in the tourism industry and introduce more facilitation measures to promote mutual visits between tourists from both countries.

  4. build more bridges for exchange between friendly cities, and actively utilize mechanisms and platforms such as the China-Japan Governors Forum, China-Japan-Korea Cultural Exchange Year, and East Asian City of Culture to expand friendly exchanges between local and civil society in both countries.

  5. strengthen sports exchange and cooperation, and mutually support the successful hosting of important sporting events such as the 2025 Harbin Asian Winter Games and the 2026 Aichi-Nagoya Asian Games.

  6. support continued cooperation in entertainment industries including film and television, music, publishing, animation, and gaming. Facilitate mutual visits of high-level artistic groups and support the translation and publication of classic works from both countries.

  7. enhance exchange and cooperation between media outlets and think tanks, playing a positive role in bilateral relations, and focus on improving public opinion and the media environment. Support both sides in developing exchange and cooperation in new media circles, and encourage positive content creators from both countries to interact with each other

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[–] miz@hexbear.net 61 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (8 children)

cybertruck bomber and NO attacker served at the same base according to LE, and they both used the Turo app to rent their vehicle

News station Denver 7 cited law enforcement sources on Thursday that Livelsberger and Jabbar had served at the same military base – a possible connection the US army has not independently confirmed to the Guardian.

from https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jan/02/cybertruck-explosion-driver-las-vegas

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 61 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (22 children)

Hey everyone, was gonna post this like five hours ago but the site was down lol.

To continue on the idea of a reading club: If anybody has any recommendations for broad books on geopolitics then I'd be down to hear them. I've been told that Super Imperialism is a tricky read right off the bat, so we could instead:

a) start with something that starts from a more basic level like Lenin's Imperialism, albeit perhaps less applicable to the specificities of the current moment b) start with a book that's actually more recent than Super Imperialism, like Desai's Geopolitical Economy, which I have read and I can say requires only the prior knowledge that somebody who frequents this site would likely have c) start with something else entirely, if there's any suggestions. d) just stick with Super Imperialism, like @xiaohongshu@hexbear.net is urging us to do all the time.

I recognize that book clubs are one of those things where you have like a hundred people join in and then by the time you're halfway through the book, there's like five people left. I'm the kind of loser who takes summarized notes on the books he reads, so my plan would be to release my chapter summaries as we go so that even if you cannot be assed to actually read a book, you can still benefit from the gist of it. Starting with b) would be advantageous because I'd only have to clean up my current notes.

I will actually start posting again soon lmao, just getting my sources back together again and catching up with what's been going on

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 61 points 1 year ago (2 children)

China's gonna reach 50,000 kilometers of high speed rail this year.

As of 2024, high-speed lines accounted for 30 per cent of the national railway operating mileage of 162,000km, a significant increase from the 20 per cent proportion reported in 2017.

With the first high-speed passenger line only opening in 2008, achieving the milestone in 2025 would indicate an extraordinary pace of expansion.

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[–] sempersigh@hexbear.net 60 points 1 year ago (13 children)

via FT December 30th 2024

US credit card defaults jump to highest level since 2010

Consumers are ‘tapped out’ after years of high inflation and as pandemic-era savings have evaporated

Defaults on US credit card loans have hit the highest level since the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, in a sign that lower-income consumers’ financial health is waning after years of high inflation. Credit card lenders wrote-off $46bn in seriously delinquent loan balances in the first nine months of 2024, up 50 per cent from the same period in the year prior and the highest level in 14 years, according to industry data collated by BankRegData. Write-offs, which occur when lenders decide it is unlikely a borrower will make good on their debts, are a closely watched measure of significant loan distress. “High-income households are fine, but the bottom third of US consumers are tapped out,” said Mark Zandi, the head of Moody’s Analytics. “Their savings rate right now is zero.” The sharp rise in defaults is a sign of how consumers’ personal finances are becoming increasingly stretched after years of high inflation, and as the Federal Reserve has left borrowing costs at elevated levels. Banks have yet to report their fourth-quarter numbers but the early signs are that more consumers are falling significantly behind on what they owe. Capital One, the US’s third-largest credit card lender, after JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup, recently said that as of November its annualised credit card write-off rate, which is the percentage of its overall loans that are marked as unrecoverable, hit 6.1 per cent, up from 5.2 per cent a year ago.

“Consumer spending power has been diminished,” said Odysseas Papadimitriou, head of consumer credit research firm WalletHub. US consumers exited pandemic-era lockdowns flush with cash and ready to spend. Credit card lenders were happy to help, signing up customers who might not have qualified in the past based on income, but looked like safe debtors because their bank accounts were flush with cash. Credit card balances soared, rising a combined $270bn in 2022 and 2023, and pushing the total US consumers owed on credit cards above $1tn for the first time in mid-2023. That spending along with coronavirus-induced supply chain bottlenecks led to a burst of inflation, something that prompted the Fed to boost borrowing costs starting in 2022. Higher balances and interest rates have left Americans who cannot pay off their credit card bills in full paying $170bn in interest in the past 12 months ending in September. That sucked up a portion of the excess cash that was in consumers’ bank accounts, particularly those of low-income consumers, and as a result, more of those borrowers are struggling to pay back their credit card debts. Hopes that the US central bank will rapidly slash interest rates in 2025 after cuts this year were dashed last week, when officials predicted only half a percentage point of rate cuts next year, compared with a forecast of 1 percentage point three months earlier. In a sign of how consumers are struggling, even after writing-off nearly $60bn in consumer credit card debt in the past year, another $37bn remains in consumers’ cards that is at least one month overdue. Credit card delinquency rates, which are seen as a precursor to write-offs, peaked in July, according to data from Moody’s, but have only fallen slightly and remain nearly a percentage point higher than they were on average in the year before the pandemic. “Delinquencies are pointing to more pain ahead,” said WalletHub’s Papadimitriou. Donald Trump’s threat of wide-ranging tariffs, which could increase inflation and interest rates, would be “two problematic things for the consumer in 2025”, he added.

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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 59 points 1 year ago (5 children)

The Pantomime King's Great Speech: Denmark Celebrates The Cult Of Mediocrity

Denmark, January 1st, 2025

Under the oppressive gloom of a grey, windy and rainy Danish winter, last night the nation’s eyes turned toward the imposing Amalienborg compound, a strictly laid-out collection of opulent rococo palaces in the heart of Copenhagen funded by the blood and sweat of enslaved Africans in the West Indies. Last night, this bastion of inherited privilege set the stage for the most sacred spectacle in Nordic hermit kingdom's official cult of personality, the monarch's annual new years eve speech.

The occasion was particularly historic—or farcical, depending on one’s perspective. Nearly a year ago, the nation's aging ceremonial figurehead, Queen Margrethe Glücksburg, abdicated in favor of her son and hand-picked successor, Frederik Montpezat, in a bloodless but wholly undemocratic transition of power. Last night, Frederik, a man born into power and spared the inconvenience of earning it, addressed his subjects for the first time in this annual exercise of carefully choreographed worship.

Countdown to Conformity

Across Denmark, millions huddled in their homes, tuning into state television’s relentless pre-speech coverage. For hours, anchors speculated breathlessly about a speech they had not yet heard, as if deciphering holy scripture. Leading up to the address, viewers were treated to the Changing of the Guard—a bizarrely choreographed act of conscripts in 19th century costume goose-stepping to commands barked by NCOs adorned with heaps of medals of dubious origin. The pageantry was as polished as it was pointless, an overture to the banality yet to come.

The Stage Is Set for Mediocrity

When the speech finally began, the aesthetic was an affront to both tradition and taste. Gone was Queen Margrethe’s cluttered, knick-knack-filled office, replaced by a barren room awash in garish blue lighting — more befitting a teenage gamer’s Twitch stream than the gravitas of a head of state.

At the center of this barren tableau stood a desk and chair, as unremarkable as the man who would soon occupy them. Through an open doorway, viewers could glimpse generic black-and-white family photos that wouldn’t look out of place in a bland and beige living room in an IKEA catalogue. “This is the king showing personality,” we were meant to believe.

Enter Frederik Montpezat, a slim bearded man wearing a dark suit and round glasses, his movements stiff and mechanical despite hours of rehearsal. There's only so much that even the finest walking lessons in the kingdom can do. The king's deer-in-the-headlights expression as he looked into the camera was pure amateur theater, and every nervous tap on the desk was amplified by state television’s hapless sound engineers. If this was Denmark’s sovereign, one could only assume the nation was in more dire straits than it realized.

A Puppet King, Reading from a Script

The speech itself was a work of the Nordic hermit kingdom's true seat of power, the Social Democrat-controlled Prime Minister’s Office, with the king only being trusted to add a few anecdotes and phrases for a personal touch. It was a symphony of centrist clichés. Frederik began with syrupy platitudes about Denmark’s youth, hollow gratitudes for public displays of loyalty surrounding the recent transition of power, and obligatory nods to the police and military.

Adhering to royal tradition, Frederik eschewed a teleprompter, instead fumbling with loose papers like a nervous student in a high school debate. In a moment of forced gravitas he mentioned Greenland and stared into the camera exclaiming that "we belong together!"—a veiled jab at his soon-to-be overlord, incoming American supreme leader Donald Trump.

Polarization Bad, NATO Good

The king lamented the dangers of so-called “polarization,” offering a trite endorsement of centrist complacency as the antidote to ideological passion. A convenient point of view for a man whose privilege depends on the status quo. Yet, no sooner had he decried division than he launched into uncritical praise of Ukraine’s disastrous war effort, describing their catastrophic and futile human sacrifices as a noble fight for European freedom. His silence on the Palestinian struggle for liberation spoke volumes; only conflicts convenient to NATO narratives are exempt from the king's call for nuance and restraint.

Predictably, the king heaped praise on the American military organisation NATO, portraying the alliance as a benevolent force for peace rather than the instrument of imperialist violence and terror the rest of the world sees it as.

The Comedic Climate King

In a particularly galling display of hypocrisy, Frederik pontificated about green responsibility. This echoes similar sentiments expressed in a manifesto he released shortly after last year's tradition of power, leading regime-loyal media to brand him as "the climate king".

However, his saccharine green drivel had a comedic timing given how reports on the royal family's extensive investments in fossil fuels, mining and companies abetting zionist apartheid had surfaced mere days before the speech. In the King's own words "Nobody own the skies or the sea. The forests or the valleys. The meadows or the stars" — but somebody owns the oil wells, the refineries and the strip mines and Frederik Montpezat is one of those people. His words were not so much inspirational as they were a masterclass in unintentional self-parody.

Frederik’s grand finale was as unremarkable as the man himself. Clenching his fists on the desk as if bracing for an earthquake, he stared into the camera with a frozen, panicked expression and declared, “God save Denmark!” It was less a rallying cry than a plea for deliverance.

A Kingdom In Denial

No sooner had the screen faded to black than state television launched into a frenzy of uncritical adulation, displaying all the journalistic integrity of trained seals clapping at feeding-time, working hard to convince the public that the display of amateurism they had just witnessed was indeed an inspiring oratory performance.

Interviews with rain-soaked royalists outside the palace revealed a cult-like devotion, with supporters gushing about the honor of being in proximity to a man whose sole achievement was being born into the right family.

Frederik Montpezat’s debut was less a display of leadership than a grim reminder of the monarchy’s irrelevance. Yet, the Danish state continues to celebrate this mediocrity, perpetuating a cult of personality that blinds its people to the monarchy’s archaic absurdity.

As fireworks illuminated Copenhagen’s skies and the nation raised glasses to its king, one question lingered: does Denmark truly believe that the emperor is wearing his new clothes, or is it simply too invested in the fantasy to admit otherwise?

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[–] bbnh69420@hexbear.net 59 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

Well, the cradle knows more about these guys than we did https://thecradle.co/articles/hts-appoints-foreign-extremists-to-top-positions-in-new-syrian-army

“Abd al-Aziz Daud Khudaberdi, also known as Abu Mohammed Turkistani, is a native of Turkistan and has been promoted to lieutenant.

Omar Mohammed Ciftci, also known as Mukhtar Turki, is a Turkish national who has become a lieutenant.

Abdel Samriz Bishari, an Albanian, has been promoted to colonel.

Maulana Tirson Abdul Samad, a native of Tajikistan, became a colonel.

Ala Mohamed Abdul Baqi, an Egyptian, was promoted to colonel.

Ibn Ahmad Hariri, a Jordanian, became a colonel.”

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[–] ClathrateG@hexbear.net 58 points 1 year ago (1 children)

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2w51gjxpro Drunken Zambian policeman freed 13 suspects to celebrate New Year

lol

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 57 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Happy New Year everyone, I want to wish everyone a good 2025 meow-hug

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 57 points 1 year ago

In Croatia, the incumbent president, Zoran Milanovic, won the presidential elections. He was noted for his constant criticism of arms supplies and spending money on Ukraine. He is considered to be close in views to Orban and Fico. But unlike them, in Croatia he has far fewer real powers.

In December 2021, Milanović criticised prime minister Plenković's visit to Ukraine made at the start of a new escalation of the crisis over Ukraine calling it "plain charlatanism". The prime minister responded by saying that the government sought to maintain good relations with Russia too.

Harsh reaction from Ukraine's government followed Milanović's statements made on 25 January 2022 about Ukraine not being fit to join NATO, as well the country being corrupt and Russia deserving to be given a way to have its security demands met. Milanović also referred to the 2014 Maidan Revolution in Ukraine as a "coup d'état".

Milanović supported the expansion of same-sex couples' rights and introduced the Life Partnership Act. During 2012, a Law on medically assisted fertilization was enacted, health education was introduced in all elementary and high schools, and Milanović announced further expansion of rights for same-sex couples. The referendum, organized by the citizen initiative For the family of Željka Markić, proposed an amendment that would define marriage as a union between a man and a woman, thus creating a constitutional prohibition against same-sex marriage. Milanović opposed the proposal and told HRT that he would vote against it.

In October 2023, Milanović criticized Israel's retaliatory strikes on the Gaza Strip, saying: "I condemned [Hamas'] murders, I even expressed disgust and abhorrence, but the right to defense does not include the right to revenge and the killing of civilians." In October 2024, he compared "Netanyahu's regime" to Putin and said that for him: "both Netanyahu and Putin are defendants on International Criminal Court"

Some news agencies say he won and others say there will be a second round. It seems that this Zoran Milanović is like the social-liberal version of Robert Fico. He's a socdem, critical of Ukraine, but he doesn't seem to openly support homophobia or xenophobia against other Slavs. I'd also like to say that it really annoys me when you go to Wikipedia or news outlets and they report that a presidential/executive candidate is “independent”. They are not even independent, they literally have parties supporting them and openly say that these people are their candidates.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 54 points 1 year ago (10 children)

In another possible terrorist attack in the USA, a Tesla Cybertruck filled with fireworks and explosives was blown up at the entrance to Trump Hotel in Las Vegas, apparently injuring 7 people.

Video of the explosion on twitter

Xcancel mirror

[–] WilsonWilson@hexbear.net 59 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Police are investigating the Incident, to determine if it was caused by the Vehicle itself, or a Device within the Vehicle.

still luv the truck tho

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[–] sempersigh@hexbear.net 54 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Apparently its illegal to have fun in worst Korea. What’s the point of being president if you can’t have a little martial law as a treat? What happened to guys being dudes?

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