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submitted 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

Image is of one of Ireland's only manned navy ships, the Samuel Beckett. Image sourced from this BBC article.


Putler has been HUMILIATED by the Kursk offensive and this proves that Russia's army is in tatters and unable even to defend its own territory. However, it is simultaneously true that Russia poses an existential threat to countries thousands of miles away, as this recent Politico article demonstrates. Ireland - a country that immediately springs to mind as one surrounded by enemies - is being bullied due to its lack of military.

Despite bearing responsibility for 16 percent of the EU’s territorial waters, and the fact that 75 percent of transatlantic undersea cables pass through or near Irish waters, Ireland is totally defenseless. And I mean completely unable to protect critical infrastructure, or even pretend to secure its own borders. [...] Ireland’s “navy” of six patrol vessels is currently operating with one operational ship due to chronic staff shortages. [...] Ireland simply has no undersea capabilities. How could it, when it barely spends 0.2 percent of GDP on security and defense? And it has, in effect, abdicated responsibility for protecting the Europe’s northwestern borders.

For all we know, the dreaded sea-people from the Bronze Age Collapse could soon emerge from the North Atlantic.

Unfortunately, things are even worse up in the skies. Ireland has no combat jets, and it’s the only country in Europe that can’t monitor its own airspace due to the lack of primary radar systems. Instead, the country has outsourced its security to Britain in a technically secret agreement between Dublin and London, which effectively cedes control over Irish air space to the Royal Air Force. This must be the luck of the Irish — smile and get someone else to protect you for free.

While this is very silly, rearmament has long been a part of US imperial strategy on an economic level. Desai, discussing the US imperial strategy in the WW2 period:

By 1947 [...] the domestic postwar consumer boom was nearing its end. While financing exports became more urgent, the 1946 elections returned a Congress unlikely to approve further loans. Now the Truman Administration concocted the ‘red menace’ to ‘scare the hell out of the country’, enunciated the Truman Doctrine of US support for armed resistance to ‘subjugation’ which launched the cold war, and Congress granted $400 million to prevent left-wing triumphs in Greece and Turkey in 1947.

One reading of history states that the US was so intimidated by the USSR that this forced a policy of massive arms production even outside of official wartime. Why this arms production is not occurring today can be puzzling, and (very reasonably) explained by neoliberals exporting industrial production overseas. However, a different historical reading can explain both the first Cold War, and the ongoing situation in which American weaponry is being almost purposefully given in insufficient numbers to give Ukraine a chance of victory and thus only prolonging their suffering (while generating massive profit for the military-industrial complex):

In this sense the Cold War was not the cause of US imperial policy but its effect. It combined financing exports with fighting combined development by national capitalisms as well as communism. When such ‘totalitarian regimes’ threatened ‘free peoples’, ‘America’s world economic responsibilities’ included aid to countries battling them.

By selling massively expensive weapons to Europe, America could simultaneously guarantee export markets for its industries, trap Europe into reliance on American industries at the expense of their own, and divert European funds away from constructing factories which could compete with American ones. Providing a way to defend against Soviet communism (and now Russian "imperialism") is merely a happy side-effect, and so the lack of effectiveness of American weaponry is causing no great panic among the military-industrial complex, nor an urgent plan to quintuple artillery shell production or Patriot missile production - the deals for F-35s and such are still there, and they are what matter.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is Ireland! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] bbnh69420@hexbear.net 53 points 4 months ago

John, I was mostly with you up till this point. 50/50 ig

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[-] JohnBrownsBussy2@hexbear.net 53 points 4 months ago

Trump as reverse Guaido is becoming more real by the day:

"If something happens with this election, which would be a horror show, we'll meet the next time in Venezuela, because it'll be a far safer place to meet than our country," Trump said to Musk. "OK, so we'll go. You and I will go, and we'll have a meeting and dinner in Venezuela."

Trump had alleged that Venezuela has released violent criminals from its jails and sent them to the United States to reduce its own crime rate.

"Their crime rate is coming down and our crime rate is going through the roof. And it's so simple. And you haven't seen anything yet because these people have come into our country and they're just getting acclimated and they don't know about being politically correct, law enforcement or lack of law enforcement and our police. I have to just end with this. We have great police," he said.

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-flee-venezuela-loses-election-elon-musk-interview-1938321

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[-] kittin@hexbear.net 53 points 4 months ago

https://responsiblestatecraft.org/ukraine-kursk-incursion/

Symposium: What does Ukraine's incursion into Russia really mean?

Ten experts gauge the short and long term effects of Kyiv’s bold invasion on the war

Jasen J. Castillo, Co-Director, Albritton Center for Grand Strategy, George H.W. Bush School of Government, Texas A&M University

Ukraine's attack reminds me of Germany's audacious Western offensive in 1944 that surprised the Allies, made gains, and ended with a defeat at the Battle of the Bulge, which then wasted manpower and equipment it needed months later on the Eastern Front.

Monica Duffy Toft, Professor of International Politics and Director of the Center for Strategic Studies at The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy.

On the material axis, Ukraine may be able to temporarily degrade Russia’s ability to launch missile attacks against Ukrainian targets, the most sensitive of which involve the deliberate and systematic harm of Ukraine’s noncombatants. But in material terms, not much can be expected in terms of lasting impact. Ukraine will be forced to retreat from Russia, and its surviving troops and equipment will be redistributed, after rest and refit, to other critical areas of Ukraine’s front with Russia.

Ivan Eland, Director of the Independent Institute’s Center on Peace & Liberty.

Although Ukraine has insisted that its intent is not to hold captured land in Russia, one might then ask what purpose the incursion serves.

Mark Episkopos, Eurasia Research Fellow at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft and Adjunct Professor of History at Marymount University

Russia appears to have thwarted the AFU’s attempts to significantly expand its initial beachhead, and Ukraine lacks the long-term capacity to hold even the modest territory that it is currently contesting.

Lyle Goldstein, Director of Asia Development, Defense Priorities, and visiting Professor at the Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs at Brown University

No doubt the operation has served its primary end to embarrass the Kremlin and so dramatically alter the conventional narrative on the war. Still, legitimate questions can be asked regarding the wisdom of the new offensive.

John Mearsheimer, R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor at the University of Chicago, and non-resident fellow at the Quincy Institute

Ukraine’s invasion (of Kursk) was a major strategic blunder, which will accelerate its defeat.

Sumantra Maitra, Director of research and outreach, the American Ideas Institute, author of “Sources of Russian Aggression”

If Ukraine taking the war to Russia was to bring Russia to negotiate from a position of weakness, it will fail, simply because Ukrainians don't have the manpower to sustain this push and subsequent occupation.

Rajan Menon, non-resident senior fellow at Defense Priorities and the Anne and Bernard Spitzer Chair Emeritus in International Relations at the Powell School, City College of New York/City University of New York.

Once Russia mounts a persistent counterattack, will Ukraine muster the logistical capabilities, troop numbers, firepower, and air defenses required to sustain its soldiers in Kursk? Will Russia be forced to redeploy forces from Donetsk (so far it has used reserves and troops from the Kharkiv and Kupiansk fronts)? Or will Russia foil Ukraine’s Kursk offensive, transforming the current euphoria into a blame-game in which Ukraine’s leaders are attacked for dispatching to Kursk troops that were badly needed elsewhere? It’s too early to tell.

Peter Rutland, professor of government and the Colin and Nancy Campbell Chair for Global Issues and Democratic Thought at Wesleyan University

Irrespective of the military costs and benefits of the raid, there is no doubt that it has been a political coup for Kyiv.

Stephen Walt, Robert and Renee Belfer Professor of International Affairs, Yale University

The Ukrainian incursion into Russia is a sideshow intended to bolster Ukrainian morale and give the West confidence to keep backing Kyiv, but it will not affect the outcome of the war.

The expert consensus is in. This is a Tik Tok offensive.

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 53 points 4 months ago

NBC News confirms: George Santos is expected to plead guilty on Monday to multiple charges related to campaign finance fraud.

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[-] WilsonWilson@hexbear.net 53 points 4 months ago

new technical just dropped (kadyrov is driving it)

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[-] roux@hexbear.net 53 points 4 months ago

I got banned from /r/latestagecapitalism for clearing up confusion about the US not having any leftist parties by saying the DSA is a leftist org. Mods at /r/lsc are apparently deeply, deeply serious. I apologized for assuming people progressively move to the left from liberal thought and am now fully aware that everyone only wakes up as revolutionaries. My bad.

Going forward I shall never assume the best out of baby leftist and spit in their faces if they aren't throwing molotovs at police cars.

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[-] FakeNewsForDogs@hexbear.net 53 points 4 months ago

Ceasefire talks continuing tomorrow apparently. Suppose that means Iran continues to sit tight, unfortunately.

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[-] EllenKelly@hexbear.net 53 points 4 months ago

Pigs out in force in Narrm / 'melbourne' today, protecting terfs and their openly neo-nazi supporters, be safe comrades

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[-] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 52 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

I wonder what Fitch is actually basing their Israel debt downgrade on (besides arbitrary ratios).

Maybe they think Shekel would depreciate but in that case they could go ask their sugar daddy for Dollars. So long as Israeli state exists, Israeli shekels will too, sadly.

Maybe Fitch does think Hezbollah and Iran will destroy the Zionist entity.

Or the Israeli state implodes from internal conflict.

Or they think US will cut them off and force them to default on their foreign currency debt (lol) like they did with Russia and Iran.

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[-] flan@hexbear.net 52 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

N/T remains less than 1. Another week where days happen.

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[-] Sulvor@hexbear.net 52 points 4 months ago

Iran strike betting pool when?

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 52 points 4 months ago

Imaginary Venezuelan Goverment 2.0 Update guaido

Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado said she is convinced that Edmundo González will be sworn in as the new head of state on January 10, 2025, when the new period of government begins, despite the official proclamation of Nicolás Maduro as the winner of the July 28 presidential elections

Huge Article

In an interview with Agencia EFE, the former Liberal MP reiterated that the candidate of the Democratic Unity Platform (PUD) won the elections "overwhelmingly"

"Edmundo González will be the new head of state and the new commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces, and that depends on what we all do, all Venezuelans inside and outside the country. I trust the Venezuelan people and that's why I know that on January 10th we will have a new president," Machado said.

Machado said that the "whole world knows" that Maduro, in power since 2013, lost the elections and is trying to carry out "the biggest fraud in history" by insisting on his victory, with the help of the institutions and the military leadership.

"Maduro today has zero legitimacy, no legitimacy at all, and therefore it is a moment in which the international community has to leave a very clear red line linked to respect for popular sovereignty," she continued. She also said she hoped that foreign governments would "firmly and unequivocally make Maduro understand that what he is doing, using repressive forces against innocent citizens, which is unacceptable".

The former deputy also predicts that in the coming days, voices critical of Chavismo will continue to grow, because, according to her, the aim is to apply "all the pressure necessary to make Maduro understand that his best option is to accept the terms of a negotiation", something that the dictator has already publicly rejected, as he insists that he won the elections.

Regarding the role that the military should play in this eventual transition, she believes that their most important task is to make Maduro understand "that they are not going to repress the people" and that "they will fulfill the constitutional mandate to enforce popular sovereignty". "It is precisely Nicolás Maduro who is using military force to prevent the transition, [it is he] who has entrenched himself - surrounded by members of the military high command - to ignore the will expressed by the people," she reiterated about the Armed Forces, whose leadership has expressed its unrestricted support for the Chavista leader.

The opposition leader explained that, although the specific points of a transition "are the subject of such negotiations", it is important to highlight "the willingness" of the opposition "to move forward along this path", both with Maduro and with senior military or civilian officials. "It's the best option Maduro has today, and it may be the only one, because trying to maintain himself by force, based exclusively on the use of violence, is unsustainable in Venezuela today," he said.

While maintaining "permanent contact" with González, who is also in hiding, Machado said that it is up to both of them to "continue to increase the pressure", a task they hope to accomplish with the support of Venezuelans and the international community so that "this civic and peaceful protest stays alive".

Asked about the decision to keep her whereabouts hidden, despite the fact that the Attorney General's Office has stated that there is no arrest warrant against her, she recalled that Maduro himself labeled her a terrorist and asked to have her sent to prison, while "hundreds of other leaders are also in hiding" due to these threats, just when the dictator called for extreme police and military control. "We are all working towards the same goal. We will win, we will not leave the streets, we will continue to take this message to the whole world. Edmundo González Urrutia is the elected president, what matters is that the sovereign will of the people is upheld," he concluded.

"We will not leave the streets", but she is hiding?

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[-] GenderIsOpSec@hexbear.net 52 points 4 months ago

Anti white racism:

Waltz: These are white guy tacos.

Kamala: So what's in them? Mayonnaise and tuna?

Waltz: No uhh. ground beef and cheese.

Kamala: Oh. Do you put any flavor on them?

Waltz: ....no.

ahhh god that shit was funny as fuck actually goddamn data-laughing still worthless genocider abetting scum.

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[-] Dessa@hexbear.net 52 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

I keep having this nightmare where Iran finally bombs Israel, but it happens 5 minutes before the new megas are posted and theres not enough time for the News Mega to win the posting wars

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 52 points 4 months ago

Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado said the opposition is not in favor of repeating the presidential elections in the country, following a suggestion from Brazil and support from the United States. "The will of the people is respected."

He also said that many risked their lives in this electoral process, and that many were murdered by the regime, and that it would be "disrespectful" to talk about repeating elections. "If Maduro doesn't like the result again, will they repeat the elections a third time?"

I guess Gonzalez literally vanished from the world? Last I heard Machado and Gonzalez were hiding in someplace. Probably not even in Venezuela anymore.

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[-] bbnh69420@hexbear.net 51 points 4 months ago

Settlers are going off today huh

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[-] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 51 points 4 months ago

I don't suppose anyone is still playing for Sy Hersh's substack? I'm interested to see what his Israeli and US sources have told him about why Iran hasn't retaliated, given how wrong some of his earlier reporting on this conflict was lol.

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[-] SoyViking@hexbear.net 51 points 4 months ago

While people here are posting about how the Ukrainian raid into the Kursk oblast is having tremendous casualties while simultaneously failing to achieve anything of military importance, Danish government broadcaster DR is publishing articles like this (machine translation):

Ukraine Has Become an Occupying Power with its Incursion into Russia: 'They Have Several Obligations'

With its incursion into Russia, Ukraine has become an occupying power: 'They have several obligations'

Each day, Ukrainians seem to be capturing more and more territory in Russia.

It appears that Ukrainians are maintaining momentum in their advance into the Russian region of Kursk.

Full article

According to Oleksandr Syrskyi, head of Ukraine's armed forces, the country's soldiers have managed to capture more territory over the past 24 hours, and Ukraine now controls an area of about 1,150 square kilometers.

This is reported by The Guardian.

Earlier today, the same Oleksandr Syrskyi informed President Zelenskyy that the city of Sudzha in Kursk "has been successfully liberated from Russian forces." The president announced this on X.

Read also: Russians are being evacuated on a large scale: 'The house shook, and all the windows rattled'

A Ukrainian military office is now being established, which according to the army, is meant to ensure order and meet the needs of the local population. Ukraine now bears a moral responsibility.

Ukraine as an Occupying Power

With Ukraine's military incursion into Russia, the country is de facto an occupying power. With this title comes a certain responsibility, which is likely why the military office is being set up.

This is according to Anders Puck Nielsen, a military analyst at the Defense Academy.

"They have several obligations to take care of society and governance, and they have set up an office for this purpose."

Read also: Ukrainian military reports fewer rocket attacks on the eastern front: 'There used to be 30 to 60 a day. Now it's at most 10'

According to the military analyst, the new office gives the impression that "this is more or less a permanent institution."

"This has become a very big headache for the Russians."

  • Anders Puck Nielsen, military analyst, Defense Academy

"In other words, they intend to stay there for a long time," says Puck Nielsen.

And it is not at all unlikely that the Ukrainian presence in Russia could last much longer, he points out. Russia has yet to mount "a proper response."

"If the Ukrainians focus on digging in and entrenching themselves in the area, it could become quite difficult for the Russians to dislodge them," says Anders Puck Nielsen.

Headache in the Kremlin

Since the incursion into Russia, there has been speculation about how long the offensive might continue. Perhaps it was only a matter of days before Russian forces would push the enemy back and recapture the area.

But the offensive is now on its tenth day, and if Russia is to succeed in pushing the Ukrainians back, the manpower will likely need to come from the front line in southeastern Ukraine, estimates Anders Puck Nielsen.

"They probably don't have reserves ready to do it, so it could take some time."

Moreover, the Russians have another problem. While fighting has been ongoing along the front line, the border between Russia and Ukraine has become "full of holes," giving Ukraine the potential to perform the same maneuver elsewhere along the border.

"This has become a very big headache for the Russians. It's both because they now have a challenge in evicting the Ukrainians, which could be difficult. But they also have a future challenge in ensuring this doesn't happen again," says Anders Puck Nielsen.

Read also: While drones swarm over border regions, tens of thousands of Russians are being evacuated

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[-] jackmarxist@hexbear.net 51 points 4 months ago

Lol Ukraine is now destroying civilian infrastructure in Kursk Oblast.

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 51 points 4 months ago

Independent candidate Cornel West has been disqualified from the Michigan presidential election and will not be on the state's ballot.

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[-] companero@hexbear.net 51 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are planning to use charges with warheads containing radioactive substances to attack the Kursk and Zaporizhzhya NPPs — RIA Novosti, citing the Russian security agency

...

A large number of Western journalists gathered in Sumy and Zaporozhye amid Kiev’s preparations for an attack on the Kursk and Zaporozhye nuclear power plants, Lebedev, coordinator of the pro-Russian underground, told RIA Novosti

rust-darkness

They (Russian state media) are posting a lot about this: https://t.me/s/rian_ru

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 50 points 4 months ago

Chavismo held a massive demonstration in Caracas as well as in other cities and towns, expressing support for President Maduro. The PSUV and allies called for marches to defend peace and reject fascism.

Maduro gave a speech at Miraflores Presidential Palace at the end of the afternoon. Among other topics, he called for a major congress in October to debate discuss the so-called "Seven Transformations" proposed for the country.

The hardline, US-backed opposition also called for "global" mobilizations. Whereas abroad there was decent attendance, María Corina Machado's rally in east Caracas had a meager turnout, a shadow of the pre-election crowds. Actual (former) candidate Edmundo González was absent.

Gonzalez is missing

[-] Dirt_Owl@hexbear.net 50 points 4 months ago

Sounds like the US is looking for more countries to dupe into buying nuclear submarines

[-] shipwreck@hexbear.net 50 points 4 months ago

Putin - at talks with Palestinian President Abbas: Everyone knows very well that today Russia, unfortunately, must defend its interests, protect its people with weapons in hand, but what is happening in the Middle East, what is happening in Palestine, certainly does not go unnoticed on our part. Esteemed Mr. President, dear friends, allow me, first of all, to warmly welcome you to Moscow, we have not seen each other for two years, although we are constantly in contact, and I am very glad to see you - you and your delegation.

PLO good or bad?

[-] JohnBrownsBussy2@hexbear.net 50 points 4 months ago

Abbas and the Palestinian Authority are Israeli puppets used by the zionist entity to help police and discipline the West Bank. There are wings of Fatah, including its armed wing, that aren't in line with Abbas/the PA, but overall the organization is mostly compradors at this point.

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this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2024
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