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RFK Jr. can't win. But he and Cornel West could put Trump back in the White House.
(www.usatoday.com)
this post was submitted on 06 Apr 2024
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Well, there were a certain number of disaffected Sanders primary voters that switched to Trump when Clinton "won" the primary in 2016. It's hard to believe, given how diametrically opposed Sanders and Trump are, but there it is. Why would they go from a moderate candidate to a far right one? I don't know, and it's really hard to pin down in the data.
That's kind of the problem we have now. Why would someone that was a Biden supporter flip to RFK, when RFK is very clearly significantly to the right, and way off in crazy-land compared to Biden? I don't know. But given how likely Trump supporters are to show up, Biden really can't afford to lose too many to RFK. Or West, for that matter, who is closer to what I'd prefer politically.
Except they're talking about Vermont, where there are open primaries, meaning they could have been Republicans trying to spoil the democratic nomination. I find that far more believable than a Bernie bro voting for Trump.
I don't. I was--am--a Sanders supporter, and I'm still pissed that twice the Democratic party has done everything it could to sink Sanders. I voted for Stein in 2016--in a state that easily went blue--because I honestly didn't think Trump could be as awful as he was. I figured he'd be run-of-the-mill Republican, rather than trying to go straight fascist. I figured, correctly that my vote would make very little difference in a state that is as reliably blue, albeit NIMBY, as it is.
I was, of course, entirely wrong about how awful Trump could be, and was.
In 2020 I voted for Biden, although I'm still pissed that yet again the DNC threw all their weight behind him, instead of the more principled candidate.
And I'll vote for him again, because any other vote is going to be hurting people that I care about. Even though Cornell West has, IMO, better principles than Biden, voting for West in a state that only went blue because the 'vote was rigged' last time would not be a good idea if I don't want to support a decent into fascism.
Why don't you believe it that it's more about the open primary in this one state than Bernie voters voting for Trump?
You voted for Bernie and still voted for Clinton after all the bullshit that happened within the party and so did I. I would need to see equivalent data from a closed primary state to even begin to believe in this possibility. From their side, it'd be the equivalent of one of us voting for Trump in an open primary back in 2016 when nobody thought he'd win the general in order to spoil the Republican race for the general election.
No, I voted for Stein. I said that; literally the second sentence there. The state I lived in at the time went strongly for Clinton.
Okay well I added that as an edit and wasn't able to reread your comment while writing it. Either way the point still stands that you didn't jump to Trump after Bernie lost the primary and I don't believe this analysis as it was done in a single state with an open primary. Occam's Razor states that the simplest solution is the most likely and Republicans trying to spoil the Democratic ticket makes a lot more sense than Bernie bros voting for Trump.