this post was submitted on 15 Jun 2026
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I didn’t say this or anything like it. I suspect you didn’t read my comment at all.
The point you are making is that you are less likely to hit one 5 point ship than one of any among 17 points of ships. This, while true, has nothing to do with anything.
What the rest of us are talking about is whether stacking ships would help you win. The only factor in winning is if you sink all of your opponents ships before they sink all of yours. The % chance to hit the first shot is, frankly, irrelevant. Objectively, the more ships you have the longer you will last, and the higher your chance to win.
I guess you didn't read my last part, humans are deterministic by nature; they draw trends based on patterns. if you wanted to win with one ship just place that ship in a place that is completely counterintuitive to what they expect. Having one ship does have strategic implications, that it narrows the possibility of being hit. Combine that with counterintuitive placement of said ship and your opponent is as good a player as a fish.
so does probability play a role in battleship? yes, it removes the statistical likeliness of being hit (ignoring the premise of humans drawing generalizations by pattern recognition). It is drastically less likely to hit one ship than 5, all you need to do is place that one ship in a position that is counterintuitive to the trend to remove any biases of your opponent who has played several games already.