Credible Defense

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An unofficial counterpart to the subreddit r/CredibleDefense, intended to be a supplementary resource and potential fallback point. If you are an active moderator over there, please don't hesitate to contact me to be given a moderation position.

Wiki Glossary of Common Terms and Abbreviations. (Request an addition)

General Rules

Strive to be informative, professional, gracious, and encouraging in your communications with other members here. Imagine writing to a superior in the Armed Forces, or a colleague in a think tank or major investigative journal.

This is not at all intended to be US-centric; posts relating to other countries are highly encouraged.

No blind partisanship. We aim to study defense, not wage wars behind keyboards. Defense views from or about all countries are welcome so long as they are credible.

If you have experience in relevant fields, understand your limitations. Just because you work in the defense arena does not mean you are always correct.

Please refrain from linking the sub outside of here and a small number of other subs (LCD, NCD, War College, IR_Studies, NCDiplomacy, AskHistorians). This helps control site growth (especially limiting surges) and filters people toward those with a stronger interest.

No denial of war crimes or genocide.

Comments

Should be substantive and contribute to discussion.

No image macros, GIFs, emojis or memes.

No AI-generated content.

Don’t be abrasive/insulting.

No one-liners, jokes, insults, shorthand, etc. Avoid excessive sarcasm or snark.

Sources are highly encouraged, but please do not link to low-quality sources such as RT, New York Post, The National Interest, CGTN, etc. unless they serve a useful purpose.

Be polite and informative to others here, and remember that we should be able to disagree without being disagreeable.

Do not accuse or personally challenge others, rather ask them for sources and why they have their opinions.

Do not ask others about their background as it is rude and not encouraging of others to have an open discussion.

Please do no not make irrelevant jokes, offtopic pun threads, use sarcasm, respond to a title of a piece without reading it, or in general make comments that add nothing to the discussion. Please refrain from top-level jokes. Humor is appreciated, but it should be infrequent and safe for a professional environment.

Please do not blindly advocate for a side in a conflict or a country in general. Surely there are many patriots here, but this is not the arena to fight those battles.

Asking questions in the comment section of a submission, or in a megathread, is a great way to start a conversation and learn.

Submissions

Posts should include a substantial text component. This does not mean links are banned, instead, they should be submitted as part of the text post. Posts should not be quick updates or short-term. They should hold up and be readable over time, so you will be glad that you read them months or years from now.

Links should go to credible, high-quality sources (academia, government, think tanks), and the body should be a brief summary plus some comments on what makes it good or insightful.

Essays/Effortposts are encouraged. Essays/Effortposts are text posts you make that have an underlying thesis or attempt to synthesize information. They should cite sources, be well-written, and be relatively long. An example of an excellent effort post is this.

Please use the original title of the work (or a descriptive title; de-editorializing/de-clickbaiting is acceptable), and possibly a sub-headline.

Refrain from submissions that are quick updates in title form, troop movements, ship deployments, terrorist attacks, announcements, or the crisis du jour.

Discussions of opinion pieces by distinguished authors, historical research, and research on warfare relating to national security issues are encouraged.

We are primarily a reading forum, so please no image macros, gifs, emojis, or memes.

~~Moderators will manually approve all posts.~~ Posting is unrestricted for the moment, but posts without a submission statement or that do not meet the standards above will be removed.

No Leaked Material

Please do not submit or otherwise link to classified material. And please take discussions of classified material to a more secure location.

In general, avoid any information that will endanger anyone.

#Please report items that violate these rules. We don’t know about it unless you point it out.

We maintain lists of sources so that anyone can help to find interesting open-source material to share. As outlets wax and wane in quality, please help us keep the list updated:

https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/credibleoutlets

founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
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Well, its been two weeks, which I think is a decent amount of time for a quick check-in for feedback. Is this space helping people? Is there anything I could do to make it more useful or engaging? I was considering migrating this thread to a second subreddit with lower posting standards, a la r/lesscredibledefense. That way, maybe people who feel intimidated/uncomfortable with the submission standards can still share content. Would love to hear your thoughts.

I’m trying this out on a purely experimental basis. Please strive to keep your discussions focused, courteous, and credible. Links to combat footage without significant further analysis will be removed. That sort of footage should be posted to !combatfootage@lemmy.world.

Also, please report things which break the rules! It’s unlikely I’ll see everything that happens in a thread, so reporting is the best way to remove content that doesn’t fit our standards.

The megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments. Comment guidelines: ​ Please do: ​

  • Be curious not judgmental,
  • Be polite and civil,
  • Use the original title of the work you are linking to,
  • Use capitalization,
  • Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,
  • Make it clear what is your opinion and from what the source actually says. Please minimize editorializing, please make your opinions clearly distinct from the content of the article or source, please do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,
  • Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,
  • Post only credible information
  • Contribute to the forum by finding and submitting your own credible articles, ​ Please do not: ​
  • Use memes, emojis or swears excessively,
  • Use foul imagery,
  • Use acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF, /s, etc. excessively,
  • Start fights with other commenters,
  • Make it personal,
  • Try to out someone,
  • Try to push narratives, or fight for a cause in the comment section, or try to 'win the war,'
  • Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility. ​ Please read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules. Also please use the report feature if you want a comment to be reviewed faster. Don't abuse it though! If something is not obviously against the rules but you still feel that it should be reviewed, leave a short but descriptive comment while filing the report.
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Annoying headline, but this seems like a very effective type of design especially for disaster and emergency response.

Edit older but arguably better article >

https://aviationweek.com/defense/aircraft-propulsion/pyka-unveils-dropship-military-focused-long-range-uav

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“One of the things that we’ve noticed over the last couple years is our accident trends are moving in the wrong direction. When Army senior leaders go out and talk to experienced aviators, they say, ‘What’s going on out here?’ They say, ‘We have a very talented population that’s coming out. They’re inexperienced. They’re very good at systems operations. They’re not very good at flying fundamentals,’’’ Gill said. “So some of that we attribute back to the fact that we have a very advanced trainer.”

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In the current draft CSO, the Army is requesting that the aircraft for Flight School Next meet a slew of requirements, but the three most prominent are that the aircraft have a turbine single-engine, counterclockwise rotating rotor system and Instrument Flight Rules (IFR) certification. The certification, awarded by the Federal Aviation Administration, takes around 12 months to complete; it requires certain equipment to be installed for various situations such as low visibility environments, equipment for anti-icing or de-icing, appropriate warning systems, enforcements for dual generators or back up batteries and more.

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“Current repair arrangements are through a series of clubs, essentially geographic clubs, of private operators who band together and then hire a repair vessel to be on standby to repair cables. Now the prioritization of repairs is a matter for private operators, not for countries. So we don’t have a say,” Brewster said.

And those measures are only designed to deal with relatively shallow, periodic and accidental cable breaks, not breaks that occur in different places and are below 200 meters or more. India is considering building a ship to repair cable, but it will cost up to $150 million AUD ($95 million USD) to build, he said, and Australia lacks the human capabilities needed to sail and run such a ship, so that is not a likely solution here.

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The presence of eight F-35s together on the ground is notable. For forward deployments, fighter units generally rotate in smaller detachments unless preparing for sustained activity or joint operations. The combination of stealth fighters with heavy airlift and refueling capacity suggests preparation for either rapid-response missions or positioning of forces intended to remain in the region for an extended period.

The imagery does not show weapons loading, emergency posture or other indicators of imminent combat operations. The airport surface appears orderly, and there are no visible dispersal shelters, indicating a conventional staging configuration.

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The Royal Navy has trialed Infleqtion’s Tiqker quantum optical atomic clock aboard the testbed submarine XV Excalibur, demonstrating ultra-precise timing for navigation under GPS-denied conditions.

Unlike surface vessels, submarines rarely surface to access GPS signals and instead rely on internal systems such as inertial navigation and acoustic positioning.

Precise timing is essential for navigation systems, as minor sensor errors can gradually accumulate and cause the system’s position estimate to drift.

...

According to Infleqtion, the clock’s atomic transition frequency is 10,000 times higher than that of microwave clocks, resulting in superior precision and environmental stability.

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I link this because there is a definite trend in business jets being acquired by militaries for surveillance and electronic warfare, which is a major use case but it seems even bigger than just that.

The intensity and consistency of these acquisitions to me suggests something deep in the calculus has changed.

Speculatively I would suggest that given the rapidly increasing range, endurance and automated capacity of airplane launched weapons and unmanned systems, airforces around the world may consider the most useful platform no longer exclusively to be the fighter-bomber in quite the same way. Business jets, especially ones that can operate from a variety of airfields may be evolving into a surprisingly significant role in aerial warfare and deterrance.

In US military speak the capabilities we are talking about here are referred to as "launched effects" and while the US military has a long history of using aircraft in this role it seems like a general global trend at this point and no longer a doctrine peculiar to some militaries.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pilatus_PC-24

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The second age of sail?

Though these wouldn't be "ships of the line" more like "ships of the squiggle" given how they are deployed as persistent surveillance.

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