this post was submitted on 01 Apr 2026
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Image is of a destroyed American AWACS plane in Saudi Arabia, of which there is a very limited supply and each of which is enormously expensive both monetarily and in terms of components. Iran hit this with a precision drone strike that likely cost ~$20,000.
I don't have much to add from the last megathread description. This isn't to say that nothing has happened or has changed since then - decades are still happening in weeks - but the general flow of the war is remaining the same. Trump sometimes threatens to open the Strait with troops and flatten Iran to rubble, and other times threatens that he's gonna back off and let other countries handle it if they really want little trifles like "fuel" and "energy" so much. Iran continues to strike across the Middle East. The West continues to bomb civilian infrastructure due to their relative inability to affect the missile cities. In all: things are generally getting worse for America and the Zionists.
April is the month where the last ships that left Hormuz before it was closed will arrive around the world, so the last month of economic turmoil has been a mere prelude to what's going to occur in the near-future. The silver lining is that Iran appears to be formalizing the new state of affairs in Hormuz, creating a rial-based toll to allow passage between a pair of Iranian-controlled islands where they can be monitored, meaning that, as long as the US doesn't do something exceptionally stupid, the global energy crisis may "only" last a couple years instead of simply being the new reality from now on. Some countries have already agreed to this arrangement, and others will inevitably follow despite their consternation as their economies increasingly suffer.
Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
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Statement by the Secretariat of Iran's Supreme National Security Council:
"The noble Iranian people must know that, thanks to the sacrifices of their sons and their historic presence on the battlefield, the enemy has, for over a month, been pleading for a halt to the intense fire launched by Iran and the Axis of Resistance. However, the country’s officials—based on a decision taken from the outset to continue the war until its objectives are achieved, including forcing the enemy into regret, incapacity, and the removal of long-term threats to the country—have rejected all such requests. The war has continued up to today, the fortieth day. Iran has also repeatedly rejected warnings issued by the President of the United States and continues to affirm that it gives no importance to such threats from the enemy.
Now, we bring good news to the great Iranian people: most of the war’s objectives have nearly been achieved, and your brave sons have brought the enemy to a historic incapacity and lasting defeat. Iran’s historic decision, backed by popular consensus, is to continue this battle—whatever the cost—until its major gains are secured and new security and political equations are imposed in the region based on recognition of the strength and sovereignty of Iran and the Axis of Resistance.
In this context, and in accordance with the directives of the Leader of the Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Sayyid Mojtaba Khamenei, and with the approval of the Supreme National Security Council, and in light of Iran and the Axis of Resistance’s superiority on the ground and the enemy’s inability to carry out its threats despite its claims—and its formal acceptance of all the Iranian people’s demands—it has been decided to hold negotiations in Islamabad to finalize the details. Within a maximum of 15 days, Iran’s battlefield victory is to be politically consolidated as well.
Accordingly, after rejecting all proposals submitted by the enemy, Iran has prepared a 10-point plan and presented it to the American side via Pakistan. The plan includes key points such as: regulated passage through the Strait of Hormuz in coordination with Iranian armed forces to enhance Iran’s economic and geopolitical standing; ending the war against all components of the Axis of Resistance; withdrawal of U.S. combat forces from all bases in the region; establishing a secure navigation protocol in the Strait of Hormuz ensuring Iran’s control under agreement; full payment of compensation to Iran; lifting all primary and secondary sanctions as well as UN and IAEA measures; release of all frozen Iranian assets abroad; and enshrining all of this in a binding UN Security Council resolution. The adoption of such a resolution would turn these understandings into binding international law and represent a major diplomatic victory for the Iranian people.
The Prime Minister of Pakistan has informed Iran that the American side, despite its public threats, has accepted these principles as a basis for negotiations and yielded to the will of the Iranian people. Accordingly, it has been decided at the highest level that Iran will enter negotiations for only two weeks, based on these principles, in Islamabad with the American side. It is emphasized that this does not mean the end of the war, as Iran will not accept its conclusion until the details of these principles are secured through negotiations.
These talks will begin, with complete distrust toward the American side, on Friday, 21 Farvardin, in Islamabad. They are set for two weeks, with the possibility of extension by mutual agreement. During this period, it is essential to maintain full national unity and continue celebrations of victory. The current negotiations are national negotiations and an extension of the battlefield, and all segments of society, elites, and political currents must support this path under the supervision of the leadership and avoid any divisive statements. If the enemy’s surrender on the battlefield is transformed into a decisive political achievement in negotiations, we will celebrate this great historic victory together. Otherwise, we will continue the fight side by side until all the demands of the Iranian people are achieved.
Our hands remain on the trigger, and any small mistake by the enemy will be met with full force."
I am not dooming. This is a strong statement. Trump said he accepted the 10 point plan. Iran was obviously in the position of strength here.
Where are you getting confirmation of his acceptance?
there is no fucking way the US will accept any of this
But as we've been saying all along, what other option does the US have? It's this or nukes.
True, but still... this is fucking huge if it actually happens!
There's no way both america and isntreal are accepting those terms or anything close without being soundly defeated, this is a delaying action. They're trying to lull Iran into a false sense of security. I won't be surprised if they use this to lure Iranian officials/officers into the open and end the ceasefire with another round of assassinations
Or think they can use this to try and launch an op to get the uranium or rush a bunch of shipping with oil through to shore up their reserves and the global economy before taunting Iran into closing it again once they feel confident they can sustain another month of this and hurt Iran more seriously in that time to get a better position next time.
First the 12 day war, now the 40 day war. Looking forward to next year's war. What's the over/under on number of days until Iran capitulates for the 3rd time?
Next year's war? I give it a week, tops. The West knows only perfidy when
I refuse to believe Iranian leadership is dumb enough to believe the US won't violate the ceasefire. My cope is that their plan is to demonstrate to the world they are continually abused and build sympathy for shutting down the Strait a second time despite the economic harm it causes.
That seems plausible to me. It's a tricky balance between establishing deterrence and not turning the world against you. The Iranian people also need to see that their government's actions are necessary, and not "stubbornness that is getting us killed." You could even see this as both sides rearming, not just the US/Israel — Iran is rearming its supply of political capital to control the Strait.
This is an absolute disaster waiting to happen and a complete failure to keep up the pressure in collapsing the U.S. economy.
Within two weeks the perfidious occidentals will gather up as many Iranian diplomats as possible in one spot and bomb them all at once, before resuming their barbarous bombings with all their planes reloaded and loading hubs restocked. The momentary relief in petroleum flow will also reverse progress made dismantling U.S. trade dominance and foreign relations, several countries were already making negotiations independently from the U.S. in regards to strait transit.
I do not know better than Iranian leadership, but what I know is that the moment you even entertain the notion of negotiating with the U.S. government you already lost. This decision might echo in history as one of the moments of divine providence that ensured the satanic U.S. regime will survive for another 50 years.
This and Iran's decision not to get nukes are both great historical levels of folly. Negotiate while at least keeping the strait closed. Say you'll re-open it only upon conclusion of successful negotiations. By all means withhold missile and drone strikes if they do the same but keep the strait closed.
please follow through on this mindset