I am very happy to be incorrect if there is firm evidence, but I think this was an actual strike. There isn't really evidence of anything though, the entire discussion is driven by a twitter thread under an IOF video clip.

[–] Soot@hexbear.net 6 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

I find that very unconvincing. In the above video, there's soil getting blasted up, way into the air, in every direction, followed by a cartoonishly circular crater with low heat/IR output (ie a crater of cold, revealed soil). There's absolutely zero measureable wobble on the 'target'.

Whereas the video in your link shows what you'd actually expect from hitting a target: Metal fragments scattering unequally and a few paving stones on a very low arc/skimming the ground. Plus the rotors do noticeably wobble.