this post was submitted on 04 Mar 2026
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Chapotraphouse
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so that's 1:4 odds on a nuke not going off in 2026? am I interpreting this correctly?
cause if so that seems like easy money. nothing ever happens, after all
A YouTube comment said nuclear tests count. I didn't actually check, though.
I'm not sure how often those happen, maybe it's still easy money
If a nuke does go off, there is a high chance that I'm not gonna care about my polymarket account.
Other way around i assume, 22% odds a nuke does go off
That still does seem awfully high
Sure, but everything Pete Hegseth is saying is very nuke coded
that would be 4:1, not 1:4