this post was submitted on 04 Mar 2026
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Chapotraphouse

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[–] XxFemboy_Stalin_420_69xX@hexbear.net 5 points 12 hours ago (3 children)

so that's 1:4 odds on a nuke not going off in 2026? am I interpreting this correctly?

cause if so that seems like easy money. nothing ever happens, after all

[–] LanyrdSkynrd@hexbear.net 8 points 10 hours ago

A YouTube comment said nuclear tests count. I didn't actually check, though.

I'm not sure how often those happen, maybe it's still easy money

[–] haxboar@hexbear.net 8 points 11 hours ago

If a nuke does go off, there is a high chance that I'm not gonna care about my polymarket account.

[–] OffSeasonPrincess@hexbear.net 5 points 11 hours ago (2 children)

Other way around i assume, 22% odds a nuke does go off

[–] 9to5@hexbear.net 8 points 11 hours ago (1 children)

That still does seem awfully high

[–] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 2 points 9 hours ago

Sure, but everything Pete Hegseth is saying is very nuke coded

that would be 4:1, not 1:4