this post was submitted on 17 Aug 2025
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Fuck AI
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The filled space for the bubble can be large, but the bubble itself many times larger.
The problem is that AI as a field has gone through summer/winter cycles before. The winter tends to kill a lot of progress. There aren't a lot of new people entering the field, and you almost have to start from scratch when the next summer comes around.
This time, in particular, will be really bad because of economic implications. The US economy almost certainly would have contracted hard in the last few months without the money being dumped into AI. It's going to hurt when that pops, and the sooner it happens, the better.
The surface is showing some nice, deep scratches as is. I'll be glad to see how the market reacts when it realizes that we hit the plateau with GPT5, I don't think big tech can live off of wishful thinking much longer.