this post was submitted on 16 Jun 2025
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Image is of destruction and damage inside Israel, sourced from this article.


Iran and Israel have struck each other many times over the last few days. There has been a general focus on military facilities and headquarters by both sides, though Israel has also struck oil facilities, civilian structures and hospitals, and in return for this, Iran has struck major scientific centers and the Haifa oil facilities.

Israel appears to have three main aims. First, to collapse the Iranian state, either through shock and breakdown by killing enough senior officials, or via some sort of internal military coup. Second, to try and destroy Iranian nuclear sites and underground missile cities, or at least to paralyze them long enough to achieve the first and third goals. And third, to bring the US into a direct conflict with Iran. This is because the US better equipped to fight them than Israel is (though victory would still not be guaranteed depending on what Iran chooses to do).

Iranian nuclear facilities are hidden deep underground (800 meters), far beyond the depth range of even the most powerful bunker busters (~70 meters or so), and built such that the visible ground entrances are horizontally far away in an unknown direction from the actual underground chambers. Only an extremely competent full-scale American bombing force all simultaneously using multiple of the most powerful conventional (perhaps even nuclear) bunker busters could even hypothetically hope to breach them (and we have seen how, in practice, American bunker busters have largely failed to impair or deter Ansarallah). There are several analysts on both sides who have concluded that it is entirely impossible to physically prevent Iran from building nukes.

I fully expect the US to join the war. I believe the current ambiguity is a deliberate invention of the US while they work to move their military assets into position, and as soon as they are ready, the US will start bombing Iran. After that, Iran's leadership must - if they haven't already - harden their hearts, and strike back with no fear, or risk following the path of Libya, Syria, and Iraq, either into either surrender, occupation, or annihilation. Every day where they do not possess a nuke is a day where lives are being lost and cities are being bombed.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

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Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
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English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
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Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 40 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Lula da Silva challenges the Right for 2026 elections in Brazil - Prensa Latina

Article

Brasilia, Jun 19 (Prensa Latina) Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, showed confidence today in winning the 2026 elections, seeking reelection, challenging right-wing governors and minimizing his strength, despite the decline in polls.

Although he has not yet confirmed his candidacy, Lula publicly questioned the strength of right-wing politicians who sound as potential presidential candidates for next year and expressed his willingness to face them at the polls if he decides to seek a new mandate.

At 79 years old, the founder of the ruling Workers' Party assured that he is in good health, willing and ready to face a new campaign.

“If I am in the condition I am today, with this health and this will, I will be a candidate to win”, he declared during an interview on the Mano a Mano podcast, hosted by rapper Mano Brown and journalist Semayat Oliveira.

Although he avoided officially confirming his candidacy, he sent a clear message to his opponents: "Let the extreme right look for their candidate. If I am a candidate, it is to win," he said.

Lula directly mentioned some of the names that the right wing is considering as options for 2026: governors Romeu Zema (Minas Gerais), Ronaldo Caiado (Goiás), Ratinho Júnior (Paraná) and Tarcísio de Freitas (Sao Paulo).

The latter, although he has not run, is seen as a strong card of Centrão (center tendency) and bolsonarismo (followers of former governor Jair Bolsonaro), given that the ultra-right politician is still judicially disqualified from running.

"Whoever wants to win me will have to walk more than me in the streets, talk more with the people and do more than me. And I doubt that among those who are now, there is anyone capable," Lula expressed firmly.

Notwithstanding the recent polls showing a drop in the evaluation of his government, he relativized the numbers: "The poll is only a snapshot of the moment. This is the year of the harvest. I am convinced that we will deliver more benefits than people imagine", he said.

He also admitted failures in the communication of his administration, acknowledging that many actions were not adequately disclosed: “People do not know what we did, that is why they do not approve of the government”, he lamented.

The electoral scenario for 2026 remains uncertain. Bolsonaro's disqualification, ratified by the Electoral Justice, leaves a vacuum on the right, which has not yet consolidated a figure capable of uniting the conservative electorate.

In this context, São Paulo Governor De Freitas is being watched with growing interest, but has not yet given definitive signals.

On the other hand, Lula seems to be betting on his connection with the people and his experience as a differential against younger pretenders to power, although with less national experience.

[–] BynarsAreOk@hexbear.net 6 points 1 day ago

"Whoever wants to win me will have to walk more than me in the streets, talk more with the people and do more than me. And I doubt that among those who are now, there is anyone capable," Lula expressed firmly.

They could do that or you know, just point out you try to cut the already meager social welfare for literally poor and disabled people in the most unequal country in the world. Maybe point out you dance and squirm like a worm trying to justify your neoliberal appointed ghoul keeps raising the interest rate which literally now sits at 15% which is the historical high. Maybe point out there have been severe scandals in your government including the latest social security pension scandal that is making your shit government incredibly unpopular. How you literaly promised to reverse the privatization of Eletrobras but after 3 years you cowardly piece of shit refused to even take the issue to congress.

I'm sorry this is worse than slop, who cares about what this ghoul is saying?