this post was submitted on 16 Jun 2025
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Bulletins and News Discussion from June 16th to June 22nd, 2025 - Iran, Harden Your Heart
(hexbear.net)
Image is of destruction and damage inside Israel, sourced from this article.
Iran and Israel have struck each other many times over the last few days. There has been a general focus on military facilities and headquarters by both sides, though Israel has also struck oil facilities, civilian structures and hospitals, and in return for this, Iran has struck major scientific centers and the Haifa oil facilities.
Israel appears to have three main aims. First, to collapse the Iranian state, either through shock and breakdown by killing enough senior officials, or via some sort of internal military coup. Second, to try and destroy Iranian nuclear sites and underground missile cities, or at least to paralyze them long enough to achieve the first and third goals. And third, to bring the US into a direct conflict with Iran. This is because the US better equipped to fight them than Israel is (though victory would still not be guaranteed depending on what Iran chooses to do).
Iranian nuclear facilities are hidden deep underground (800 meters), far beyond the depth range of even the most powerful bunker busters (~70 meters or so), and built such that the visible ground entrances are horizontally far away in an unknown direction from the actual underground chambers. Only an extremely competent full-scale American bombing force all simultaneously using multiple of the most powerful conventional (perhaps even nuclear) bunker busters could even hypothetically hope to breach them (and we have seen how, in practice, American bunker busters have largely failed to impair or deter Ansarallah). There are several analysts on both sides who have concluded that it is entirely impossible to physically prevent Iran from building nukes.
I fully expect the US to join the war. I believe the current ambiguity is a deliberate invention of the US while they work to move their military assets into position, and as soon as they are ready, the US will start bombing Iran. After that, Iran's leadership must - if they haven't already - harden their hearts, and strike back with no fear, or risk following the path of Libya, Syria, and Iraq, either into either surrender, occupation, or annihilation. Every day where they do not possess a nuke is a day where lives are being lost and cities are being bombed.
Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
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Hey news heads, does anyone have any predictions about DPRK-ROK relations changing with Lee Jae-Myung as president? Seems to be very lib economically but pushing for less Japan/US reliance and more PRC/DPRK relations, though that's compared to Yoon. Are we predicting more of a sunshine policy kind of shift, or something further as the US Empire is clearly declining? What's the status on the ground in the ROK as the economy falters and the contradictions in class society sharpen?
Both sides have undertaken actions that appear to be an honest attempt at softening the heated buildup between one another we've seen in recent years. For example the south stopped blaring propaganda speakers over the border and the north reciprocated by doing the same. A small thing, but it indicates that there is a willingness to soften and that if the ROK stops doing something first the DPRK will reciprocate.
Will that lead to other talks? I have no idea. Maybe? Trust needs establishing first.
Call me a lib, but the US Empire's decay leading to the re-establishment of the PRK that the US Empire strangled in its crib without the necessity of all-out war seems like the best-case scenario for a return to one Korea, and Socialism in the south. The chaebol will have to be overthrown, but I genuinely think there's hope for a peaceful reunion in the long-run. I dunno, maybe that's me getting high on hopium, but the division of Korea is heartbreaking.
It is unfortunately an unfinished revolution and likely will require armed force to resolve 🥲 but who knows 反对本本主义
It's probably hopium on my part, I know. I just hope the way it's resolved is via internal ROK revolution, rather than armed conflict between the DPRK and ROK, as the latter would be far bloodier and far more devastating for countless innocents, especially if the US Empire is still in power at the time of conflict.
The more I read about the history of the Korean people the more heartbreaking it is.
PRK? I thought you may have typo'd but reading on I think you mean some kind of socialist government in the south?
The People's Republic of Korea was a quasi-Socialist government over the entirety of Korea that formed after liberation from Japan, before the establishment of the US dictatorship preceding the modern ROK and before the establishment of the DPRK. Korea is one nation with 2 governments, as we all know, and this is further cemented by the fact that collective people's councils formed a new government before the US made them illegal and formalized the 38th parallel as state lines.
Prolewiki seems to be down, but here is the article on the PRK. Without US intervention, there would be no DPRK or ROK, just one PRK.
Trump + ROK Democrat president was exactly what led to softening relationships last time, so it's not out of the question. And pretty much every country is taking what steps are available to them to build relationships that aren't dependent on or mediated by the US since it's obviously such a fucking mess. I could see China doing some meaningful mediation between Korea's legitimate government and its US-puppet occupation government.
Without the US Empire occupying the ROK, I can't see the extremely sharp class contradictions lasting much longer.
Well I don't think we're going to see an end to the occupation voluntarily. ROK is part of the trifecta of Asia-containment puppet regimes with Israel and Taiwan. The US might pull some minority of troops out, but I think there are only three things that could compel them to leave:
Anti-colonial revolution in occupied Korea
Military defeat in open warfare against the legitimate Korean government
Dramatic imperial collapse where the whole thing comes shuttering to a hault, which is probably only possible when losing a war against China or a leftist revolution in the US
I don't think any of those are coming in the next few years.
For now, 2 seems highly unlikely unless the US loses against Iran and tries to provoke something. 3 is probably at least a decade away. 1 is the option I'm most curious about, I know conditions are sharp in the ROK but I don't know much about labor organizing on the ground.
I agree, though, any impact will not be soon.