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So why did they win?
(lemmy.sdf.org)
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All good points but something that I don't see talked about more is how many Reps voted Early/Absentee this election. In 2020, early voting was 44% Dem with 30% Rep . In 2024, the percentages were almost dead even. I think Democrats saw the early voting results and wrongly assumed that they'd overwhelming go Dem because they did in the past. Because of this, Democrats were expecting a blue surge at the end to help balance out red votes early in the night. This did not materialize.
Other than that, it's a million small things that any competent campaign could've avoided. Don't alienate the Muslim community, hammer actual policy positions in your questions, have an actual primary instead of a rigged process, etc etc.