YEP

I typed up a electoralism brain(gross I know) rant about polling in reply to [@Parzivus@hexbear.net (https://hexbear.net/u/Parzivus) bc I'm poster brained.

I mean yea, it's bad bc Dems need to lead like 3ish% on national polls bc electoral college. Also people, I'm talking generally not saying this is you, wish cast polling errors oh it was wrong in favor of trump(2016) or it was wrong in favor of Dems(2022). When in reality there usually very specific errors in the polling. In 2016 people though Texas would flip bc bad polling practices in heavily Hispanic areas or in 22 putting too much weight in junk pollsters. Even with those errors if you actually look at polls say in 2016 the week of election polls had Clinton up on average around 3% and the margin of error on those polls were like +-1.7-3.5%. She won the popular vote by 2.1%, a result well with the margins of polling.

Like poor analysis in media is a given, the polling is for the most part very sound

Sorry I don't really have an outlet to talk politics shit. I typed all this out so I may as well post. I kinda rant some times on here, Im hating on you.

I'm just a chronic polling defender bc

The polls were not as far off as this chart is implying. Clinton and Biden campaigns did actually lose lot of steam and made a lot of mistakes in the final couple weeks.

I think people are coping. Most security failures are individuals not practicing correct infosec, can be just a single slip up. Like one guy in his entourage has a compromised phone and he is shit out of luck.

Anti missile missiles explode and create a shotgun like blast of shrapnel. I wouldn't want to be in the sky with them going off.

Sometimes I just wonder who is running these campaigns. Like they make the statement on an arms embargo but this is their, id assume, planned response to a situation like this. They are common enough for Dems they must have discussed it. Just shit

Shockingly(he is a right wing dem) he is one of the ones that has talked about an arms embargo. He should just say that if he is heckled. But yea

Honestly, does whining about this shit not turn off more voters than the usual no tv/media coverage ignoring. It really just feels like the petulant tantrum of the lanyard class. Like Kamala is gonna win because Trump and vance are prob the worst candidates you could possibly imagine. Take your win and shut up JFC. Unbearable cryGenocidaires

His bit about reproachement with nk and Iran is so fucking funny. A beautiful mind

The first half of Trump's Ukraine take I thought he might actually pull off the Nixon dove strat but he did fumble on the follow up. Also from the perspective of lib friends, when he went of about casualty numbers being higher in reality it was fine but as soon as he went into "millions and millions and maybe even more" territory it jolted people out.

Like Harris is really leaving the lane open for trump to paint himself as a dove but he cannot stay on message.

Surely the Dems will admit DC as a state

I always believed fascist would have to much ick factor aesthetically for liberals to fully embrace it. Seeing the baying crowd at the dnc and the way the delegates mocked protestors outside was one the most chilling thing I've seen.