MarmiteLover123

joined 2 years ago
[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 35 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

The problem is that his own government disagrees with him. Every step Iran has made so far has been to move forward with negotiations for a nuclear deal 2.0. From the missile testing that made me start this account, to no Operation True Promise III, to the current military exercises and posturing. This all looks like a state positioning themselves in the best possible place for negotiations. One can blame the administration of Pezeshkian and Zarif, the death of Raisi, the death of Soleimani, but the reality is that they (Pezeshkian and Zarif) are in power and won the elections, and one of their key promises is negotiations with the West, and the Iranian people chose that at the time. I imagine some have deep regrets now.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 20 points 3 weeks ago

Yeah probably, a great way to flush out all the racists I imagine.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 18 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (2 children)

I have no idea, but I imagine there are still quite a few based off of what I can see on twitter and Reddit. On Wikipedia, the most racist Afrikaner political party I can find that currently has seats in government, VF+, got 414,864 votes, or 2.38% of the vote, in 2019 as their best ever result. So there definitely are still at least a couple hundred thousand adult extreme racists around. And remember, many of the less outwardly extreme racists but still racist/scratched liberals would still take a US offer. Is the USA prepared to deal with hundreds of thousands, if not a million new Elon Musks that are as racist as your average genocidal Zionist? In South Africa these people have no effective platform locally (2.3% of the electorate at best), in the USA these people can be streamlined straight into the GOP apparatus which has Trump hitting his highest approval ratings ever. Imagine a bunch of Elon Musks, Ben-Gvirs, etc, with seats throughout the Republican party.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 33 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (14 children)

Think about who will take such an offer and who will stay in South Africa amongst the white population. The people that would take up such a offer from the US will be the most virulent extreme racists, while those that will choose to stay will be those with more ties to their local community. Remember, racial segregation ended over 30 years ago over there. There are going to be fully grown white adults with jobs, with friends, family and spouses of different races, who enjoy freedom, who have no idea what full blown segregation looks like because they weren't even born yet. These people are not going to want to be some pawn in a Trump - Musk project to make the USA more racist.

What I'm saying is that this is a complete negative for the USA from a left wing perspective. The US imports more racists of a similar mindset as genocidal Israelis, while South Africa keeps those interested in building their young country. From a right wing USA perspective this is great, the US gets more racists and true believers in empire, who are in a unique position of being skilled workers (thanks to the legacy of apartheid) while being prepared to work for substantially less money than the US domestic workforce, as they've used to South African wages (1 US Dollar = 19 South African Rands). That's why Donald Trump and Musk want this in the first place, it's a great policy for the right wing in the USA! Trust me, based off of what I see on social media, you do not want these people to join your country. Do you want millions more Elon Musk clones running around?

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 32 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

dedicated radical captain or crew or saboteur (evidently) can shutdown both suez and panama

That appears to be exactly what the US is scared of. See their moaning about China building a bridge over the Panama canal. Which is why the US would want more control.

As for USAID and all the three letter organisations, I think the plan is to try combine some of them, and put them under the direct control of the State Department or even the presidency. In its current form, these organisations had too many fingers in too many different pies. We had CIA backed rebels fighting against Pentagon backed rebels in Syria. We had USAID funding both pro Trump and anti Trump media. While causing chaos can be a positive, I think they'll switch to a more unified structure to prevent such in future.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 77 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (18 children)

Some images of the removal and taping up of USAID signage at Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center in Washington D.C. Comrades, I don't think we'll get more poetic imagery than this of the death of contemporary globalised neoliberal capital:

Which brings me to the point of discussion, what comes afterwards? More barbarity? Isolation? Protectionism? The fall of empire? I encourage any analysis or reply, no matter how brief or detailed.

As for me, the enternal pessimist, I think we're entering a new phase of the US empire, not a fall or decline but a shift in tactics, and the current focus appears to be around shipping lanes and freedom of navigation. If we look at the current targets of the US administration's aggressive rhetoric, in Panama, Canada, México, Greenland, Egypt, Iran and China, and even South Africa, a picture emerges: that is drawn on the USA controlling the world's shipping. With Panama we have the Panama canal as an obvious flashpoint, México with the Gulf of México, then with Egypt we have the Suez, Iran is about the Strait of Hormuz and the oil trade with China, with China itself it's about the South China Sea, with Canada and Greenland there's the Arctic shipping lanes such as the North West Passage, and with South Africa there's the Cape of Good Hope and Durban. It really looks as if Trump and his advisors are playing the board game "Risk" here, and looking to exert influence or directly control key points in this regard. If manufacturing can't be brought back to the United States, the consolation prize is to control the flow of goods and the world's oceans.

What Iran and Yemen demonstrated over the past year and a half in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden is scary for whoever seeks to control the world's oceans. Which brings me to the topic of Yemen, Trump has been scarily quiet here, with regards to Ansarallah/the Houthis. Aside from designating them as a terrorist organisation, he hasn't said much. When the right hand is moving, you must watch what the left is doing. Trump's first call to a foreign leader after taking power was to Saudi Arabia's MBS. Yes, even before Netanyahu. There was been increased US and French reconnaissance flights around Yemen. And despite all the cuts to USAID and various other three letter organisations, rumours are that the US has increased contact with the opposition/internationally recognised government in Yemen. If I were in the position of Ansarallah, I'd be preparing for for engagements with the United States.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 28 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

Will the simple answer is that the Zionists caucus believe that they can kill all armed opposition groups (even at the expense of a full blown genocide against the civilian population), and/or effectively disenfranchise them from their allies to the point that they're forced into signing bad deals to avoid total destruction by the Zionists. This resistance and armed opposition is not a problem for the Zionists as long as this opposition does not acquire the ability to threaten the existence of the Zionist project (this is why Israel is so paranoid about Iran getting nuclear weapons), in fact it provides the perfect excuse for the next Israeli military action, which will have the full support of the United States as per usual. Yes, that is how evil the people in charge of this "unsinkable aircraft carrier in the Middle East" that gets called Israel, are.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 6 points 3 weeks ago

I think US is going to try order around the Mexican National Guard/Military to do most of the dirty work on the ground. Of the 10 000 National Guard troops deployed, I think over 5000 are just going to Sinaloa cartel strongholds. If that's not enough to satisfy the USA, I don't know what will happen in future.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 15 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

Renting video games and movies at the local version of Blockbuster, and then watching all those stores shut down as internet access became widespread. I still remember the store, crappy red carpet included. They even tried Blu Ray rentals, including a Blu Ray player or PS3 rental, as a last ditch effort to stay in business, but went bust anyways.

Also remember riding my bicycle up the steepest hill in history as a five year old. Went back to that hill as an adult decades later. It actually barely was a hill, I was just a weak and small five year old.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 21 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

Ukraine doing Kursk offensive 3.0 has to be some of the worst military strategy. But they were kind of forced into it now, if they want to keep their current land in Kursk, they have to attack to prevent Russia from overrunning their positions in Kursk. And retreat is not an option evidently...

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 57 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (4 children)

Just a small update (or large in geopolitical meaning) on US military action around México and El Salvador. The US Coast Guard and Military planes that flew to El Salvador over Mexican airspace were not deportation flights as previously thought (the exact same US Coast Guard plane was used in deportation flights previously and photographed doing so by the Coast Guard themselves at the time, which is why deportation flights were suspected), these planes were actually part of a rescue operation/mission to look for a missing member of the US Coast Guard that fell overboard while operating off of the coast of Guatemala.

Therefore, there is no current deal between El Salvador and the USA with regards to deportations and housing "violent gang members" in jails, despite hints at it by Rubio. Also, the use of Mexican airspace for this rescue operation was an exceptional case, and given that US military deportation flights to Guatemala still avoid México's airspace, I think it's safe to say that Mexico will not allow the US military to use their airspace in future, outside of this rescue mission.

However, US reconnaissance flights are continuing on the border, and with plans designate the Sinaloa Cartel as a foreign terrorist organisation, these flights near their strongholds, and Mexican National Guard deployments there, start to make more sense.

Coast Guard Searching Eastern Pacific for Missing Service Member, USNI News, 6 February 2025

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 13 points 4 weeks ago

Reminds me of this phrase:

How do you know a media outlet is Washington backed: they claim to be "independently funded".

How do you know a media outlet is Kremlin backed: they talk about "warm water ports" completely at random.

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