World News

I think they are more working with bots and trolls to raise anti-Ukrainian sentimente in Poland. Thry are succesful at that

Failing in Ukraine... so Russia will now also provoke a heavily armed NATO country.

Serious doubt this is real.

I'm not sure what to think about it - a risk certainly exists, but I can't put a probability on it currently.

I live in one of the countries which has been warned about a provocation - Estonia. Over here, we've been preparing for this at some kind of a pace (IMHO too slow) for quite some years. An admission must be made: both Ukraine and Russia are way ahead in mass production and use of drones. They both punch above their weight with drones (and both have considerable weight too) and have considerably more antidrone defense set up than neighbouring countries.

Russia manufactures an awful lots of drones per day. But as long as Ukraine fights it with an equally awful lot, Russia simply lacks resources for a big provocation, since Ukraine is tying down all their resources.

Russia has fuel shortages, manpower shortages, armor and artillery shortages, no surplus of drones either (they fly to Ukraine within days of leaving a factory). There could be a stockpile of 100 or 200 Iskander short range ballistic missiles, less of other types. On the background, of course, the Soviet-built strategic missile forces exist untouched. But they're not capable of being used with conventional warheads, since their precision is too low.

Meanwhile, Putin's popularity is finally dropping. Parliamentary elections are approaching. It's fairly obviouls that special services must be considering "creative" ways of taking back initiative. But I can't clearly see what they would hope to achieve with this kind of activity.

Hypothetic perspective from Russia: "let's f*ck around and see if NATO has resolve"

• Option A: NATO does not have resolve, but Ukraine used the day to blow up another series of important industries
• Option B: oopsie, NATO does have resolve and just joined Ukraine in blowing up stuff

I don't see a winning option.

NATOs resolve? Putin had better hope we can all hold Poland back from finally acting on what has been the burning national desire to turn Russians into a fine pink mist.

Kyiv Post tends to be a little less bombastic with their reporting:

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/79532

They word it differently, saying the US warned that Russia was "considering" an attack. This is probably true, and has probably been true every year for the past several decades. Simply because a nation's military planners "consider" pretty much everything they can think of.

"US Warns" is like, "ChatGPT said".

Now i'm no military expert but even I know out of all the possible ideas Russia could have, this is the worst.

Poland is quite literally chomping at the bit for the ruskies to try something. They've been prepping for it for god knows how long now. The Polish Military would absolutely kick the russians teeth in on their own without the need of NATO if it called for it.

russians are stupid but this is just posturing. empty threats. For the decades of russian lying they've never been able to get good at it. like someone who has been playing the piano for years but still can't play twinkle, twinkle, little star...at some point you just need to tell them "stop, you're not good at it, and you never will be."

seems like lockheed martin wants to sell more weapons

Then EU members should leak that they're considering taking Kaliningrad.

This mildly concerns me because I've had a paranoid thought that the orange turd has been planning to announce the official US withdrawal from NATO on July 4th.

Not to say Poland and the other NATO allies couldn't handle a deeply weakened Russian military but no idea what downstream effects this may have

Considering how badly they seem to be doing in Ukraine, this seems like a fairly large tactical error.

"The US government says" a lot of crazy shit. Russia doesnt have the oil or cash reserves, or troops or hardware to initiate an attack on NATO. I imagine its the US spreading fear for its own advantage before the NATO meeting.

Doubt it. Even Putin knows not to check for electricity by pissing on the fuse box.

Shouldn't trust the word of Russian sympathizers but it wouldn't hurt to be on guard just in case.

Poland will mop up the floor with what's left of his troops. He'd be fucking stupid to even try. Makes me wonder if he's spreading this rumor via his puppets for some other reason-- and it most definitely has something to do with Ukraine.

1. Provoke NATO into conflict
2. Blame NATO joining conflict for having to end conflict

Sure, create a new front when you're getting the shit kicked out of you at the current front. At least you've got plenty of air defense to defend you from two attackers instead of one. Oh wait... You don't even have the air defenses to stay safe from Ukraine.

I'd also imagine they're almost out of drug addicted convicts to send to the front lines as well

Not again this warmongering crap...these days Russia is supposedly attacking western countries left and right.

russia desperately needs to be conquered so it can get aid.