this post was submitted on 13 May 2026
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TLDR: Since Tesla’s June 2025 robotaxi launch, Tesla has built a 39-vehicle unsupervised fleet, while Waymo has a newly disclosed 3,791-vehicle U.S. fleet. So Tesla appears to be on pace to catch up with Waymo’s autonomous fleet size by the year 2111.

LOL!

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[–] locuester@lemmy.zip 1 points 6 days ago (1 children)

I’m currently renting a Model Y with the latest FSD and I’m very impressed. I’ve had it for about 3 weeks and put about 1,200 miles on it. I’d say 99% or more FSD.

Truly mind blowing at times. Drove for 90 mins or so through rush hour leaving Miami Beach perfectly. End to end parking everywhere I go.

I don’t know about the whole cab thing working out, but it’s damn good while supervised.

[–] KayLeadfoot@fedia.io 0 points 6 days ago (1 children)

I'm glad for you!

Personally, I tried it. Wasn't my cup of tea, bad safety margins (it doesn't drive how I drive, and I am particular). There's a consumer for that product, though. So long as you watch it closely, I certainly don't mind, glad it suits you.

[–] locuester@lemmy.zip 1 points 6 days ago

Weird. What safety margin didn’t you like specifically? I have a short list of gripes but they’re not related to safety. Damn thing is a bit too safe and civil at times.

[–] Ulrich@feddit.org 9 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I mean, they're going to accelerate the pace, obviously...

[–] The_Che_Banana@beehaw.org 1 points 1 week ago

They're just on fire!

[–] masterspace@lemmy.ca 9 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Honestly, this just exposes how bad the author is at math.

Like congratulations, you've heard of a linear trend line, surely all systems can be modelled with nothing more than an unchanging straight line right?

I hope nothing but the worst for Tesla, but this kind of guffawing at the most basic possible extrapolation just makes the author look dumb.

[–] KayLeadfoot@fedia.io 5 points 1 week ago

It's me. And yes, I'm bad at math, guilty as charged. I tend to make pretty simple points.

But, yes, when a publicly traded company promises exponential growth on their earnings calls, and then delivers double-digit unit delivery a year later, I do tend to point and laugh. All of that is accurate.

[–] Jiral@lemmy.org 4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

"unsupervised" means that AI (Actually Indian) is driving those things, most of the time, right?

[–] Powderhorn@beehaw.org 3 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I'm fine with that timeline. The rollout in Austin hasn't been the smoothest -- though in faiirness, we now have so many Waymos in town that they keep having issues like knowing what to do when encountering an emergency vehicle. They aren't going around killing people, but that's a pretty low bar.

[–] JohnEdwa@sopuli.xyz 2 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (1 children)

That is already a massive improvement, as the actual minimum for autonomous vehicles is just "kill fewer people than human drivers". Waymo has 200 million miles driven, which means they should have killed three people already.

[–] KayLeadfoot@fedia.io 3 points 6 days ago

Even on non-lethal accidents, Waymo generates something like 12x fewer.

I think that tech will be the automotive equivalent of the polio vaccine. Dying in road accidents will become akin to dying of rabies, a freak accident of extreme rarity. Probably, so will driving cars with no autonomous capabilities.

[–] angelmountain@lemy.nl 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Why do we need robot taxis?

[–] sanzky@beehaw.org 2 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

so that taxi drivers don't get payed and they get all the money, of course.