this post was submitted on 27 Jan 2025
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Image is of Colombian President Gustavo Petro giving a speech at the UN in 2022.


Trump has arrived in office with the force of an avalanche; ~~ending~~ slowing a genocide on the one hand, while simultaneously promising a total nightmare for minorities and the poor throughout and outside the United States on the other hand. [edited for clarity; I do not actually think Trump has ended the Palestinian genocide obviously, I was making a joke - but the ceasefire is a genuine improvement in conditions for millions of people right now who are on the edge of death, so it cannot be dismissed]

It's still far too early to truly compare and contrast his imperial strategy with Biden's, but initial signs show that there does appear to be somewhat of a reorientation. Biden was famous for being two-faced; ostensibly offering aid and stability, while also blowing up your pipeline to ensure you did not actually have an alternative to his idea. Trump, meanwhile, seems only really capable of aggression, threatening several "allied" nations with what may as well be sanctions because of the economic harm they'd do. I suspect we'll be debating for a long time how much of this can be attributed to the specific characteristics of Trump, or whether he merely embodies the zeitgeist of imperial decline - a wounded empire lashing out with extreme violence to try and convince everybody, including themselves, that they can still be the world imperialist hegemon.

I'll admit it: I did not believe that Trump would actually try and go ahead with putting tariffs on basically anybody who annoys him. And while the threat could still be empty in regards to countries like China and Canada, Colombia is the first indication of the potential of his strategy. Despite some fiery words from President Petro, after Trump's administration revealed the punishment if Colombia did not agree, it appears that Colombia will in fact be accepting deported migrants after all. It's funny how that works.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 47 points 4 days ago (1 children)

A small plane crashed near the Roosevelt shopping center in Philadelphia. The aircraft was a Learjet 55, used for medical transportation, and had taken off from Philadelphia bound for Missouri. About 30 seconds after take-off, it lost lift and crashed.

Witnesses reported that the plane was already on fire before the collision, resulting in a large explosion. Mayor Cherelle Parker confirmed that emergency crews were immediately called to contain the fire and search for possible survivors. The exact number of victims has not yet been officially confirmed. The US Federal Aviation Administration reported that there were two people on board, while other sources indicate that there were six occupants: four crew members, a pediatric patient and a companion.

  • Telegram
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[–] companero@hexbear.net 46 points 4 days ago

Apparently there was a small "earthquake" in Poltava, Ukraine today. That's where the Russian missiles struck yesterday, which reportedly targeted a gas processing plant.

The delay between the missile strike and the "earthquake" is odd. Maybe there was a fire which eventually blew up the gas?

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

US President Donald Trump has authorized a series of strikes on ISIS terrorist group assets in Somalia.

  • Telegram
[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 89 points 4 days ago (2 children)

The University of Michigan has suspended a pro-Palestinian group for 2 years

Boycott University of Michigan. They have a Huge college football presense. Blue and Gold.

Let it be known the University of Michgan is a ZIONAZI fascist organization that atands with genocide, aparthied, racism and bigotry. They used false anti semitism to shield their own fascist involvement and behavior.

Do not enroll. Do not watch their games. Do not buy their merch or themed merch.

Idk how to get a recall going but perhaps we can recall the board members and regents who are highly paid gifting zionazis. They are a public institution. They should be held accountable.

[–] RobnHood@hexbear.net 46 points 4 days ago (6 children)

Their football team is under investigation for the worst cheating scandal in collegiate sports in the last 50 years. A rotten university to the core.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 43 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

President Nicolas Maduro receives Donald Trump's special envoy, Richard Grenell, and raises “zero agenda” with the U.S. Trump envoy Ric Grenell is returning to the US with six US nationals who were in prison in Venezuela. More details on their identities as we find out government.

First reactions are out. The Venezuelan government issued a statement reporting on today's meeting with Trump envoy Ric Grenell. Caracas reports that the topics included migration, sanctions, US citizens currently detained in Venezuela and the need to revamp relations

It's Edmundover ALREADY?

[–] Kaputnik@hexbear.net 24 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Ric Grenell is returning to the US with six US nationals who were in prison in Venezuela.

Are the mercs who pissed themselves during a coup attempt being freed?

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[–] Torenico@hexbear.net 59 points 4 days ago (6 children)

So I "get" that Trump wants tariffs on Mexico and China for "productive" reasons (even though they'll do more harm than good), but why Canada though? Apart from a stupid ass poltical struggle between Trump and Canada and the evil Trudeauite Communists, is Canada invading the US market with cheap products or something?

Death to "israel" btw

[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 37 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

This is not the first time Trump has used tariff against an “enemy” country. He had started a trade war with China back in 2018, with three rounds of tariffs: July 6th (25% on $34 bil), August 23rd (25% on 16 bil) and September 24th (10% on $200 bil).

By September 24th, China could no longer retaliate and both sides reached an agreement by December 1st.

So, no way Trump doesn’t know how tariff works and doesn’t know that the importer has to bear the cost.

Most likely, it was to probe the red line of an opponent nation, how much pain they could tolerate, and what would they do under such restrictions.

We know that by 2021, the US strategy had shifted to taking Europe out of the equation, which suggests that the US had anticipated an eventual full blown trade war with China would lead to increasing ties between Europe and China, and pre-emptively severed that link to position itself at an advantageous ground before the next cycle of conflict.

We don’t know what Trump (or the US establishment) is thinking, but it’s likely that the tariffs against Mexico, Canada and BRICS are just to probe how they would act under such pressure, and the US adjusts its strategy accordingly.

[–] BigBoyKarlLiebknecht@hexbear.net 32 points 4 days ago (2 children)

So, no way Trump doesn’t know how tariff works and doesn’t know that the importer has to bear the cost.

I commented this on another post - my hypothesis is that he simply thinks tariffs are a form of direct taxation (eg income tax or capital gains) that is applied to a country, as that’s his lived experience of taxation. This is why he keeps on threatening “100% tariffs”, which would make sense as the ultimate form of punitive direct taxation. It also explains why he wants an “External Revenue Service”, as from his perspective - all these tariffs are going to need the tax man to harass the countries, much like the IRS does to him

[–] Dolores@hexbear.net 31 points 4 days ago

This is why he keeps on threatening “100% tariffs”,

everything else could be theater but this being repeatedly asserted clinches him just fundamentally not grasping it

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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 35 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

does Trump think Canada pays the tariffs?

or it could be that he wants to show he could do things and hogs will clap regardless of the effects. "shock and awe" "America stronk" macho bs.

i've seen articles about why Trump wants to do such tariffs because he has some big-brain plans, but it is just as likely that he has none.

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[–] newmou@hexbear.net 43 points 4 days ago (1 children)

JPMorgan’s $4bn delivery of gold bullion adds to fears Trump’s tariffs will reshape global trade

Not sure what to make of this. JP Morgan offloading a lot of gold = they predict a strengthening dollar?

[–] Parzivus@hexbear.net 33 points 4 days ago

Hasn't China been buying a lot of gold lately? Could be them betting that now is their only time to sell in the next five years or so

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 36 points 4 days ago

President Nicolas Maduro receives President Donald Trump's special envoy and presents Agenda Zero, which allows for the opening of a new chapter in the bilateral relations and the defense of the inalienable rights and interests of Venezuela.

  • Kawsachuan News
[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 47 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Are tariffs now in effect? I haven't seen any real official confirmation, just lots of articles saying they will go into effect and a couple ones saying they won't (that were later denied by Trump).

If yes, I wonder how quickly the tariffs will spiral down the chain, I'd imagine that would happen fairly quickly for food stuff. I hope that Canada or Mexico don't fold, that will just make it more likely that other countries fold as well.

[–] bbnh69420@hexbear.net 36 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (3 children)

"Mr. Trump is spending the weekend at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida and had no public events listed on his schedule on Saturday.

The president is expected to eventually sign an executive order putting the tariffs into effect and could do so retroactively. But the lack of clarity surrounding what, exactly, Mr. Trump planned to impose created even more uncertainty for global businesses on Saturday morning."

Technically yes but nobody knows

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/02/01/us/trump-tariffs-news

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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 61 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Attoney who helped exonerate Michigan prisoners killed with his wife.

They were visiting their daughter and was shot by thier son in law. Motive not yet known.

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[–] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 59 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (6 children)

What do they want the US to do, send Juan Guaido in?

[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 53 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (3 children)

There's a group of republicans that have been trying to get the US to invade mexico with "fighting the drug gangs" as the excuse for doing it. They've been at it for a couple years now.

Trump entertained this idea, saying there's a need for a "soft invasion" of mexico. Could happen.

The US military will get its shit rocked by the gangs there though if it ever does fight them, I suspect it won't. These gangs are as heavily equipped as US special forces and well trained.

[–] egg1918@hexbear.net 53 points 4 days ago (2 children)

These gangs are as heavily equipped as US special forces and well trained.

Really makes you think, doesn't it? soviet-hmm

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[–] Lemmygradwontallowme@hexbear.net 94 points 5 days ago (4 children)
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[–] newmou@hexbear.net 65 points 4 days ago (3 children)

Is there a version of our immediate future where these tariffs are actually imposed tomorrow (today now I guess) and prices of the majority of goods do not really increase all that much for most Americans? And if that happens, Trump’s political mandate actually grows and he gets more belligerent?

I just see this idea of a “25% tariff resulting in a 25% price hike” as one of those things that makes sense economically when you put it on paper, that domestic companies importing products who will be paying these tariffs at customs will increase the cost they sell them for to recuperate the tariff, resulting in that cost being passed to the consumer. But I just cannot shake that it also feels like one of those nothing-ever-happens hype situations where we are all looking at a US car racing towards a wall, predicting the US car will crash, and by the grace of the US-backed Anti-God, the car goes straight through the wall unscathed

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[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 73 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Interesting counter tarriff tactic I have been thinking about: threaten to ban X from Canada, Mexico, etc.

[–] HonestMistake_@lemmy.ml 61 points 4 days ago (1 children)

100% tariffs on Teslas, US social media must sell their operations to continue operating

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