Image is of the Herðubreið tuya in northeast Iceland, formed when ice sheets covered Iceland thousands of years ago. It's not really relevant to the Grindavik situation but I think they look neat. The title also doesn't make much sense but I saw the pun and took it.
Off in Iceland, different kinds of tunnels are causing problems. Underneath the town of Grindavik in southwestern Iceland, not far from the capital of Reykjavik, tens of thousands of earthquakes are portending the movement of magma in tunnels underneath the peninsula, which could breach the surface and cause an eruption. The 4000 residents of the town have been evacuated as the magma has risen to less than a kilometer below the surface.^TRG^
Icelandic volcanism is pretty fascinating, with the country sitting on the mid-Atlantic ridge, the birthing line of new oceanic crustal rock running right down the Atlantic ocean for many thousands of kilometers, as well as a hotspot, an upwelling of mantle material of debated origin which also feeds otherwise-inexplicable volcanism in the middle of tectonic plates, like Yellowstone and Hawaii.
An additional factor here is the presence of glaciers. When a volcano erupts underneath a glacier, the melting water cools the lava rapidly, causing features usually seen in volcanoes that erupt under the sea like pillow basalts, but also unique features like tuyas, which are steep-sided but flat-topped volcanoes. The rapid melting of water can also cause glacial floods called jökulhlaups.
Icelandic volcanoes have had significant regional and even global impacts in the past. In 2010, the volcano Eyjafjallajökull, which was a volcano covered by an ice cap, erupted and the ash cloud spread across Europe, causing airline disruption for about a month which caused nearly $2 billion in total losses for airline companies - though this seems pretty quaint compared to the pandemic's impact on airlines in retrospect. Back in the 1780s, the Laki volcano killed a quarter of the Icelandic population due to sulphur dioxide causing massive crop failure and cattle death. This eruption's impacts spread to Europe and beyond, causing notable worldwide temperature drops and thus crop failures and may well have been a contributing factor to the outbreak of the French Revolution, which obviously heralded the death of the feudal order and the eventual primacy of capitalism in its place. That being said, any eruption at Grindavik is very probably not going to have any significant worldwide impacts - there are over a hundred volcanoes already in Iceland, and regular climate change is doing a great job at causing mayhem right now anyway. It's also still possible that there won't be an eruption at all, at least not in the short to medium term.
Friendly reminder: when commenting about a news event, especially something that just happened, please provide a source of some kind. While ideally this would be on nitter or archived, any source is preferable to none at all given.
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.
The Country of the Week is Iceland! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.
This week's update is here!
Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.
Links and Stuff
The bulletins site is down.
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can.
Resources For Understanding The War
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
Not to get too doomer but with Iran stating they're not going to intervene the most likely outcome to the whole conflict with Israel is the genocide of the Palestianian people.
Please someone tell me I'm wrong and there's some hope for the future.
Wasn't this proven false and they never said that? Didn't this come from the same people who were like "Actually Hamas is disappointed with Hezbollah for doing more" in a bizarre attempt to sow division or demoralization?
Once somebody points out a single Israeli military victory then I might shift my position but I am still confident that the Palestinians will ultimately win, though the exact form that "winning" takes is still very undetermined. The imperialists have proven to be paper tigers, The Gazans are destroying like a hundred vehicles per week. The West Bank is escalating in conflict. Hezbollah is successfully knocking out Israeli border infrastructure, drawing a substantial part of the Israeli army away from Gaza, and has the ability to completely cripple Israel. Yemen has struck at southern Israel numerous times and fired a drone at a US warship a few days ago and is working on hunting down Israeli ships. The Resistance forces in Iraq and Syria are hitting US military bases basically every single day.
On the other hand, what has Israel actually achieved? They've bombed civilian housing and infrastructure, and are occupying a civilian hospital with no Hamas tunnels or bases underneath. What military purpose does this fulfil? They've killed Hamas and Hezbollah fighters, certainly, but the religion and ideology of the Resistance makes them much better able to absorb losses without demoralization, and their tunnel networks give them an even more substantial edge; Israel seems to be in "oh shit" mode after they found nothing under al-Shifa. Guerilla wars are never about holding territory, it's about attrition, and making the territory they take too difficult to hold for the medium to long term. If you still had mapbrain before October 7th, then now is the time to purge that part of your brain.
The civilian and military sides of this conflict must be analyzed separately if you want to have good analysis of either. Ultimately, though, it doesn't really matter what any of us particularly think about the Resistance and their methods and aims (unless you happen to be a very important figure in an organization which could be shifted by your ideology). You can be bloomer, you can be doomer, you can not care at all - history marches onwards all the same. If thinking about this conflict is impacting anybody here's ability to function or is making them too miserable then that's obviously an understandable reaction given that there's a holocaust ongoing that nobody is stopping, but I would genuinely recommend paying a little less attention to it. Checking in a few times a day is fine, but if you're already convinced that Israel is a modern settler-colonist fascist state oppressing millions of people in ways that would make the inbred European monarchs overseeing the violent imperialist takeover of Africa blush, then there's no point in doomscrolling to another video on Twitter of a refugee camp being bombed or innocent people slowly dying of disease. I keep vaguely up to date with the zeitgeist of Israeli claims but past the first few weeks, I stopped making myself upset and angry for no reason watching children die in their parents' arms - I needed no more convincing.
Iranian national TV had several experts on and they said "Israel wants to drag Iran to the war and we should not let it happen."