this post was submitted on 01 Apr 2026
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Image is of a destroyed American AWACS plane in Saudi Arabia, of which there is a very limited supply and each of which is enormously expensive both monetarily and in terms of components. Iran hit this with a precision drone strike that likely cost ~$20,000.
I don't have much to add from the last megathread description. This isn't to say that nothing has happened or has changed since then - decades are still happening in weeks - but the general flow of the war is remaining the same. Trump sometimes threatens to open the Strait with troops and flatten Iran to rubble, and other times threatens that he's gonna back off and let other countries handle it if they really want little trifles like "fuel" and "energy" so much. Iran continues to strike across the Middle East. The West continues to bomb civilian infrastructure due to their relative inability to affect the missile cities. In all: things are generally getting worse for America and the Zionists.
April is the month where the last ships that left Hormuz before it was closed will arrive around the world, so the last month of economic turmoil has been a mere prelude to what's going to occur in the near-future. The silver lining is that Iran appears to be formalizing the new state of affairs in Hormuz, creating a rial-based toll to allow passage between a pair of Iranian-controlled islands where they can be monitored, meaning that, as long as the US doesn't do something exceptionally stupid, the global energy crisis may "only" last a couple years instead of simply being the new reality from now on. Some countries have already agreed to this arrangement, and others will inevitably follow despite their consternation as their economies increasingly suffer.
Last week's thread is here.
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The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
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spitballing here from a layman understanding. If this is a two-week armistice, how is the U.S. going to "rearm" in this situation? From what I have been reading from other commenters and sources posted here:
Compared to the 12 Day War, which had a restrained exchange between the U.S. and Iran in order to wind it down, the U.S. has been much further committed to this iteration. I don't see how this is a repetition of that because I don't see how the U.S. has a two-week turnaround to a favorable position here.
if Iran comes out with temporary favorable terms and it becomes a two-week race to rearm, I would assume that Iran would also be playing the same game now rather than acting on an assumption that the situation is winding down. If the "ceasefire" is declared broken by the U.S… okay? They just resume operations? It’s not like it's primo casus belli for the world anyways, not going to galvanize their regional/geopolitical allies against them or make them hesitant, it's just an excuse to sucker punch them. They get a hit in during the armistice, the war resumes, and we're back here again.
Is this cope? I just think it's rash to assume this is the same exact situation as the prior instance without letting it play out first and seeing what both nations do in the interim
Weapons are being delivered to the ME 24/7. They are probably also delivering bunkers, something that even the big US military bases in the ME don't have. They probably need a ceasefire to set them up.
There are still some stocks being delivered. And Arrow 3 interceptor production is quite steady (obviously not high, but steady). I just saw someone show the remains of an Arrow 3 interceptor and it was dated 2026.
The US will probably do a backstab attack before the 14 days are over. I do hope that I'm wrong, but this is usually how things go with the US.
Alright, that makes sense, I guess I underestimated production capacity here.
To shift goalposts a little here, I guess I mainly don’t see how this top-up, like the THAAD redirections, won't similarly further entrench them into this quagmire. I assume Iran is also preparing for a backstab, because they were already backstabbed. I want to assume they are going to also top up their missile and drone capacity in the time they have?
I just have an immediate hunch that this is much more of a pyrrhic tactical retreat for the U.S. compared to the 12 Day War, and I would think Iran would be accounting for these terms being ultimately flimsy, unless it is a true unalloyed
There is not a lot of production capacity of interceptors, but two weeks of production + deliveries of remaining interceptors will help them a bit. A lot of interceptors being delivered might be PAC-2 tho - those count as delivered, but are old and not very effective.
There's also the possibility of Israel doing a false flag attack.
DMD stands for decentralized mosaic defense, right?