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A through and rapid retreat of the empire from West Asia where the US leaves Israel out to dry is the absolute best case scenario.
But is such a thing possible with a dullard like this at the helm?
I am hoping every day for this. At least it should retract into itself and take a pause from fighting with absolutely everyone. But-- What would have to happen for attacks on israel which aren't defensive/retaliatory, but intending to retake stolen territory? Real incursions. Who would do it?
All this shaking up of the image of impenetrable israel is nice, and the idea that the citizenry face consequences at home is nice, but how does it get taken apart?
(Sorry for randomly attaching massive question to passing comment. It is just on my mind recently.)
I don't believe Trump capable of conceding anything, but then again his only opposition thus far had been the Democrats.
He has been forced to back down by reality before. The people's movement ended the ICE surge in Minneapolis and he hasn't attempted another. China slapped him firmly across the face in the tariff war and he walked almost all of it back with them. He gave up on controlling Yemen and accepted a ceasefire without achieving his goals. Even in Venezuela, he was helpless to achieve anything of substance within the country - only to impose a military blockade external to the country, utterly failing at regime change and having to act like he picked Rodriguez.
But in all those cases he could very easily frame defeat or retreat or stalemate as resounding victory, at least to his base but sometimes even more broadly. He always withdrew his hand from the trap before it snapped shut. This time, he's stuck. There's no option but gnawing off his own arm - the empire's arm.
god help whoever becomes the next target of the usa imperialism travelling circus. the amount of chaos required to shift attention from this will be massive.
I suspect it will be Cuba, but I'm hoping Russia, China, and Mexico can help Cuba enough while the US is distracted by Iran that Cuba will be able to take whatever the US dishes out.
Or that the US feels pressured enough by the losses in Iran that they'll feel they have to rush to China sooner and will have to bypass their planned Cuba plans to hit their China war time table.