this post was submitted on 01 Apr 2026
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Image is of a destroyed American AWACS plane in Saudi Arabia, of which there is a very limited supply and each of which is enormously expensive both monetarily and in terms of components. Iran hit this with a precision drone strike that likely cost ~$20,000.
I don't have much to add from the last megathread description. This isn't to say that nothing has happened or has changed since then - decades are still happening in weeks - but the general flow of the war is remaining the same. Trump sometimes threatens to open the Strait with troops and flatten Iran to rubble, and other times threatens that he's gonna back off and let other countries handle it if they really want little trifles like "fuel" and "energy" so much. Iran continues to strike across the Middle East. The West continues to bomb civilian infrastructure due to their relative inability to affect the missile cities. In all: things are generally getting worse for America and the Zionists.
April is the month where the last ships that left Hormuz before it was closed will arrive around the world, so the last month of economic turmoil has been a mere prelude to what's going to occur in the near-future. The silver lining is that Iran appears to be formalizing the new state of affairs in Hormuz, creating a rial-based toll to allow passage between a pair of Iranian-controlled islands where they can be monitored, meaning that, as long as the US doesn't do something exceptionally stupid, the global energy crisis may "only" last a couple years instead of simply being the new reality from now on. Some countries have already agreed to this arrangement, and others will inevitably follow despite their consternation as their economies increasingly suffer.
Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
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Trump seeks exit from war on Iran after setback: Source to Al Mayadeen
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A through and rapid retreat of the empire from West Asia where the US leaves Israel out to dry is the absolute best case scenario.
But is such a thing possible with a dullard like this at the helm?
I sort of disagree about that being the absolute best case scenario… I think best case would be that Trump is bogged down in Iran for months (or even years) and loses so catastrophically that the US petrodollar system completely breaks and exacerbates a major economic meltdown in the US. Something like that could leave the US incapable of helping Israel if it even wanted to, while also changing the domestic political dynamic radically. A prolonged conflict- followed by economic crisis would also have the potential of shielding Cuba, and the rest of the world, from whatever bullshit they are planning next. It isn’t even that hard to see… if the demand for dollars begins to evaporate and the treasury bond market begins to collapse, the US would lose its infinite money glitch- and much of its expansive military budget with it… if they retreat too rapidly I could easily see them turning to cuba next to score another “easy” victory
I am hoping every day for this. At least it should retract into itself and take a pause from fighting with absolutely everyone. But-- What would have to happen for attacks on israel which aren't defensive/retaliatory, but intending to retake stolen territory? Real incursions. Who would do it?
All this shaking up of the image of impenetrable israel is nice, and the idea that the citizenry face consequences at home is nice, but how does it get taken apart?
(Sorry for randomly attaching massive question to passing comment. It is just on my mind recently.)
I don't believe Trump capable of conceding anything, but then again his only opposition thus far had been the Democrats.
He has been forced to back down by reality before. The people's movement ended the ICE surge in Minneapolis and he hasn't attempted another. China slapped him firmly across the face in the tariff war and he walked almost all of it back with them. He gave up on controlling Yemen and accepted a ceasefire without achieving his goals. Even in Venezuela, he was helpless to achieve anything of substance within the country - only to impose a military blockade external to the country, utterly failing at regime change and having to act like he picked Rodriguez.
But in all those cases he could very easily frame defeat or retreat or stalemate as resounding victory, at least to his base but sometimes even more broadly. He always withdrew his hand from the trap before it snapped shut. This time, he's stuck. There's no option but gnawing off his own arm - the empire's arm.
god help whoever becomes the next target of the usa imperialism travelling circus. the amount of chaos required to shift attention from this will be massive.
I suspect it will be Cuba, but I'm hoping Russia, China, and Mexico can help Cuba enough while the US is distracted by Iran that Cuba will be able to take whatever the US dishes out.
Or that the US feels pressured enough by the losses in Iran that they'll feel they have to rush to China sooner and will have to bypass their planned Cuba plans to hit their China war time table.
Honestly a conflict with China near the end of this year or start of 2027 would just be the cherry on top. Watch at least one aircraft carrier be immediately super sonic'd to oblivion or swarmed by China's new drone systems
On a gut level, I kinda doubt that a single month is enough to establish a lasting deterrent with these people. The US is a clear loser and I think they realize it, but their leaders are idiots, whereas the Israelis might not be stupid but they are a fascist death cult with a tenuous grip on reality, and they are pursuing some kind of elaborate scheme to build Greater Israel, so I have no idea whether, in their convoluted calculations, this war is intolerable or even undesirable.