this post was submitted on 30 Dec 2025
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Asklemmy
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On top of the myriad of things others have mentioned here, it hasn't gotten bad enough/inconvenient enough for the average redditor to switch platforms en masse.
The API fiasco moved the needle a little bit, but not by enough. The multiple ban waves moved it even less. Theres still millions of people on reddit and that disincentivizes anyone to make the first move.
My hope is that when they get rid of old.reddit, it will cause another mass migration that could tip the scales a bit more, but I'm not holding my breath. Because now, reddit has hundreds of thousands of bots creating fake engagement that simulates human activity to those unaware of LLM-pattern speech. So that's another unknown unknown.
Here's to hoping, though.
I think that those who would tolerate the additional "effort" of solving the puzzle of joining Lemmy have already done so. Reddit may drive more people away but unless Lemmy becomes somehow more accessible there won't be an influx, IMO.
That said, I think it is a good thing. I know I don't want Lemmy to be a clone of Reddit. I like the smaller communities and the higher quality interactions I get with Lemmy users. The Reddit "circle jerk" meta was fun but got tiresome and felt like it was spiraling to a lowest common denominator.