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These Apps Let You Bet on Deportations and Famine. Mainstream Media Is Eating It Up. (theintercept.com)

submitted 3 months ago by HellsBelle@sh.itjust.works to c/news@lemmy.world

4 comments fedilink hide all child comments

HOW MANY PEOPLE will the Trump administration deport this year? Will Gaza suffer from mass famine? These are serious questions with lives at stake.

They’re also betting propositions that two buzzy startups will let you gamble on.

The 2018 legalization of sports betting gave rise to a host of apps making it ever easier to gamble on games. Kalshi and Polymarket offer that service, but also much more. They’ll take your bets, for instance, on the presidential and midterm elections, the next Israeli bombing campaign, or whether Jeff Bezos or Mark Zuckerberg will get divorced.

Tarek Mansour, the CEO of Kalshi, laid it out simply at a conference held by Citadel Securities in October. “The long-term vision,” Mansour said, “is to financialize everything and create a tradable asset out of any difference in opinion.” It’s as dystopian as it sounds.

If you believe the hype, the promise of these companies isn’t in the money they take in as bookkeepers. They argue that the bets they collect offer a more accurate forecast of the future than traditional institutions. (In fact, they’ll tell you that you’re not betting at all but trading on futures contracts — a distinction that feels so tenuous it’s hard to justify with a full-throated explanation.)

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[–] pigup@lemmy.world 17 points 3 months ago (1 children)

When you see citadel securities on something, you know it is pure evil

[–] wide_eyed_stupid@lemmy.world 8 points 3 months ago

The only thing it makes me think of is Mass Effect.