this post was submitted on 20 Oct 2025
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Those who were around in the early days of the news megathread may remember Pedro Castillo, the left-leaning leader of Peru who was deposed in December 2022. He was replaced by Dina Boluarte, the first woman to be President of Peru, who described herself as a progressive but afterwards routinely sided with Peruvian conservatives and American interests. To say she was unpopular is an understatement of titanic proportions - she descended to such lows that she was, at one point, the single most unpopular leader on the planet. As with most deeply unpopular leaders that side with the West, she kept power for a bafflingly long time.

However, on October 10th, after a period of protests against the government, she was impeached and removed by Peru's Congress in a unanimous vote. José Jerí was sworn in as the new President, who was previously the President of the Congress and is a member of a centrist Peruvian party. The government is trying the classic strategy: keep doing the same thing as before, and sacrifice an unpopular figure - here, Boluarte - in the hopes that this appeases the crowd.

Is this strategy working? It doesn't really seem to be - protests are not only continuing, but strengthening, as it is clear that neoliberalism will not reformed and the brutality by police will not stop (there was very recently a high-profile case in which a musician, Mauricio Ruiz, was murdered). Controversies surrounding Jerí, including allegations of SA, are already being reported. If Jerí is deposed, the next person in line to try their hand at ruling will be the former army general Roberto Chiabra, who would be the ninth President in less than a decade.


Last week's thread is here.
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The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
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English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] 420lenin69@hexbear.net 88 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (5 children)

RAND REPORT - Accept China has won. Best case scenario is avoiding a century of humiliation

clarify U.S. objectives in the rivalry with language that explicitly rejects absolute versions of victory and accepts the legitimacy of the Chinese Communist Party.

each side must accept, in ways that are deeply ingrained and broadly shared among decision-making officials, that some degree of modus vivendi must necessarily be part of the relationship

each side must accept the essential political legitimacy of the other.

state that it does not support Taiwan independence, seek a permanent separation across the Straits, or oppose peaceful unification

creating the maximum incentive for Beijing to pursue gradual approaches to realizing its ultimate goal

Reunification. Taiwan surrendered its stranglehold on chips and became a chip itself to be traded accordingly.

[The US should] balance its commitments to Taiwan with leveraging its influence to ensure Taiwan's actions do not escalate tensions with China… use its potential leverage over Taiwan to limit its activities that upset the status quo.

This would have been a great strategy for the US to adopt 10 years ago.

[–] companero@hexbear.net 57 points 3 weeks ago

Remember when Biden called Xi a dictator and Blinken visibly winced blinken-pain

[–] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 54 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

Sigh On the one hand, the US might actually be trying to concede defeat over global hegemony to China, but on the other, they will turn inward and try to drive an imperialistic neo-Monroe Doctrine in Latinoamerica.

[–] redchert@lemmygrad.ml 43 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

I speculated that the century plan for america would be a white-only empire stretching from greenland to mexico, after sucking europe dry of its "valuable genetic material", while the rest of LATAM would be giant slave camps where cheap labour is repeatedly cycled in and out and drones kill troublemakers like the ritualistic sanctioned mass-murder of the helots of ancient sparta.

Well let's not forget that even Messenia's shackles were broken one day.

[–] TheSovietOnion@hexbear.net 29 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

Eastern Europe and Gaza were the blueprint

[–] redchert@lemmygrad.ml 28 points 3 weeks ago

And people denied it with every fibre of the being. Gamergate, Covid, BLM, Tradwives, Clean Girls, Kid in Cages, Metoo, the Palestinian genocides, russiagate, 9/11, the syrian civil war, everything has built up to this moment, every "nonsensical" "unimportant" culture war a step in the grand ascendancy of mask-off fascism.

[–] jack@hexbear.net 38 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

Yup, the question is what China will do to support Latin American sovereignty. They'll do a great deal of trade and infrastructure development, which which is very important, but some military aid will probably be needed to prevent the US from knocking down one at a time.

Unless the empire just totally collapses, which isn't impossible, but will probably take a big push.

[–] 420lenin69@hexbear.net 29 points 3 weeks ago

Over the time span of a century, I think China would have a very positive impact on Latin American sovereignty.

But over the time span of 20 years at least, I see China accepting a hemispherical division.

[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 26 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

some military aid will probably be needed to prevent the US from knocking down one at a time

There's this article I posted a little bit ago, about the US pulling out all the stops to get Argentina to buy F-16s instead of Chinese planes. Now, that's not military aid proper but just a regular old arms procurement deal, but still, it clearly indicates that the US is very concerned about Chinese military equipment ending up in Latin America to the point of being willing to screw over the Ukrainians who were originally supposed to be getting those planes.

But given how well Western rearmament is going, and all the equipment/munitions that were eaten up by Ukraine and Israel, the West might not be able to pull this trick many more times - eventually, countries are just going to just start buying Chinese since that's all that's going to be actually available at a reasonable price (or at all, for some types of equipment), and at some later point Russian will too become an option again (exports have taken a big hit because of re-prioritization on actually arming the Russian military for the war, but after that's over, with all the scaling up of arms manufacture, Russia will be well-positioned to export tons of gear as well).

Unfortunately, we probably won't see China doing military aid the way the Soviets did, but in a way, I feel like infrastructure and economic development might actually be more valuable than arms (and a lot of Soviet foreign aid was actually infrastructure-related!) - a prosperous society with a popular government that's actually improving people's lives is going to be a lot less vulnerable to the more espionage-driven ways for the US to exert its influence, and somehow, I don't see the US actually doing Iraq '03 invasions all over the continent - the capacity for that just isn't there anymore, and it isn't the Banana Wars era anymore, you can't do shit with a few hundred marines. This isn't to say that the empire still can't murder a bunch of innocent people, but I'm envisioning more-so targeted strikes like the one on Iran where they just declare victory without it being particularly clear if anything was actually accomplished. I guess we'll see what happens with Venezuela.

[–] jack@hexbear.net 18 points 3 weeks ago

Unfortunately, we probably won't see China doing military aid the way the Soviets did, but in a way, I feel like infrastructure and economic development might actually be more valuable than arms

I totally agree with that. China has fostered the development of a global south economy that is less connected to the imperialist powers than at any point in the last few centuries. That will ultimately be what brings down capitalism.

[–] SupFBI@hexbear.net 29 points 3 weeks ago

Dominate this hemisphere while bleeding Europe dry. Can see this as a possibility.

[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 24 points 3 weeks ago

more monroe doctrine is at least a lot less likely to lead to global annihilation via nuclear war

[–] darkcalling@hexbear.net 21 points 3 weeks ago

I love how even in academic papers that propose cooperation and recognizing the legitimacy of the communist party that they still use "CCP" instead of the party's preferred "CPC". So this author proposes accepting their legitimacy but can't be bothered to learn what their preferred order of wording in their name is? Laughable.

[–] BynarsAreOk@hexbear.net 3 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

I'm sorry but cherry picking quotes to make the report say something vastly different than it implies.

Not that anybody cares beyond the traditional hexbear vibes based analysis. This shit gets upvoted because as usual nobody cares to read anything, at the very outset this is what they say, emphasis mine:

We began this project with a very different assumption: that stabilizing an ongoing rivalry is not only possible but can serve the interests of both sides—indeed, it is essential if conflict is to be avoided in a bitter global rivalry. The RAND project staff and other U.S. participants are deeply aware of China’s hostile, predatory, and sometimes aggressive actions, and that it is imperative for the United States to stand up to specific forms of bullying and manipulation. Our focus is not on ways to transcend or overcome the essential geopolitical disagreement at the core of the rivalry. Even short of transformation, we did not assume that a comprehensive agenda for coexistence—shifting the rivalry to a much less intense form of competition—was plausible at this stage. We sought in this analysis to assess a much more limited proposition: that even in the context of intense competition, it might be possible to find limited mechanisms of stabilization across several specific issue areas.

As noted above, we began this analysis from the proposition that the U.S.-China rivalry is not the product of misunderstanding or misperceptions: It is driven by conflicting interests, deep mistrust, and a mutual perception by both the United States and China that the other has the goal of disrupting and undermining their power. From the U.S. side, the contest is fueled by concerns about China’s authoritarian governing system and clear evidence of predatory and aggressive behavior across many domains of competition. An effort to stabilize this rivalry does not imply that the United States should downplay the effort to compete and defend its interests or make dangerous concessions in the name of easing the rivalry.

The specific proposals are exactly the type of liberal bait and switch the CPC loves. Who cares about what the US has to say about Taiwan or whatever?

The point you missed about this paper is that it is a thin veiled strategy to appease the Chinese with limited useless gestures while simultaniously openly admitting they have no intentions, basicaly admitting it is not even possible, to back down geopoliticaly and ideologicaly.

This is the epitome of reading shit and seeing exactly what you want to see and its no surprise e.g the CPC goes to the western world and pat themselves on the back when the Europeans applaud them. Yeah good fucking job on that "recognition of legitimacy" so anyway let me bomb every single one of your allies while your you open up your economy to our billionaire capitalists lol.