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Hot take maybe but I think all china has to do with Taiwan is wait
I don't think that's a hot take at all. I'm pretty sure that's exactly what they're doing.
"When your enemy is shooting himself in the head repeatedly, just wait."
Missing chapter from The Art of War
The opinion polls are moving in the opposite direction from my admittedly brief and cursory research
I don't know shit about Taiwan
But eventually the Chinese value proposition will be overwhelmingly superior and I think they'll just rejoin willingly
I'm always suspicious of those types of polls, BUT even if I accept at face value that the majority of Taiwanese would like to keep the status quo (which was the majority last I checked) that's still not the way the US government always tries to sell it. Or the article writers at least. My understanding is the majority on the island don't want either direct Chinese nor direct US control over them at this time. They benefit most from being in the middle of the feuding large countries with both trying to sway them. Of course given propaganda, the right wing history of the governments the island has had since Kai-Shek fled there in defeat, and like 70 solid years or US influence in various degrees on the island I don't find it all that surprising that they prefer things remaining as they are.
I was mostly referring to the US military and government falling into shambles though, btw. China can simply stand back and wait until the US has collapsed more, as it seems all recent admins are trying to do. Once the US can no longer project power across the pacific to Taiwan, Papa China will be right there to step in. No military takeover necessary. I highly doubt Xi would want to do a military takeover anyway. It's not really a wise move, imo, by any government to ever go in with a military and hold some place. That's an absolute guarantee for insurgency to breed, and if their goal is to hold indefinitely and fully reintegrate the island into China as a whole, then willing assimilation is absolutely the correct path