Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.
A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?
And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?
Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Carney ready to promise to double military spending to meet NATO's demands at the same time as the US embarks on a other foreign war of conquest. This would mean approximately doubling the Canadian military budget over 7 or so years
https://archive.is/CZuO6
I can't think of more cucked country than canada. All bark and no bite, they'll never escape being America's vassal even if they wanted to.
Pathetic
The same party that declared that Canada is a post-nation country has no tangible nationalism with a PM who is super dodgy with not revealing his financial investments
Surprising.
The fuck is a Post-Nation Country?
TLDR, we are high on immigration so we need massive immigration aka, rich people to put cash in our banks, poor people to refill our low wage manual jobs (either seasonal workers or permanent amazon warehouse peons)
Lmao of course it was true-doh who said it.
And kanadian values are identical to nazi germany lol, ask all the nazis kanada saved after the war
we have Montreux Fascist conference at home
Montreux Fascist conference at home:
I dont think that it is possible for Canada to escape the US. The border is too long, the population is too small, and the one river that actually makes its way into the interior is shared with the US. I think Canada has very little autonomy in this regard.
Oh 100%, barring a complete Balkanization of America (
) there's no hope of Canada uncoupling from America any time soon. And knowing Canada they'd follow suit with an even dumber version of Balkanization (
decolonization and land back now) after watching the states
They can't even win at hockey anymore. They lost to Florida. Again.
It was cute for a moment that Canadians somehow thought they were getting out of US umbrella with their "elbows up" talk with a fucking banker as their leader when expectedly and unsurprisingly, they all eventually fall in the lines of US just like rest of western Europe.
The Canadian lib is a pathetic creature. That elbows up shit was fucking candy for boomers here though, they love it
The worst kind of banker. A central banker.
That whole thing was surreal, looking in from the UK, where Carney was an extremely known quantity.
Carney was also the governor of Bank of Canada during 2008 financial crisis in which his policies have led to the obscene housing prices. It was wild during the election season with all the propaganda that his party is somehow going to solve the housing crisis for one.
This probably means buying the F-35s too.
Who will be the last NATO/western bloc country to get them, I'd bet France or Sweden.
Surely not France? That would be absolutely humiliating given their domestic military aviation industry has been established for a long time.
Yet France still don't have a fifth generation aircraft, and the UK and Japan appear to be bailing on the Global Combat Air Programme, leaving only Italy (UK want's F-35s for the airborne leg of the nuclear triad, Japan is looking into getting F-47 export models). France, Germany and Spain's Future Combat Air System is only set to fly in 2040. Can France wait out 15 years without a stealth aircraft? It would be a humiliation, but going 15 years without 5th generation capabilities is a national security nightmare.
God trump should have invaded Canada instead of bombing Iran
Canadians Nationalism died when Carney got elected, all the Canadians sexpats went back to Florida
It was a real flash in the pan nationalism too, you had a brief spike of "fuck america" now it's more or less back to normal
I'm calling Pollieve winning the next election. Carney is the guy who restructured the UK after Brexit and now reform is probably going to bulldoze Labour after demolishing the Tories
Same as it ever was
Kanada is attached to amerika by the hip. No kanadian politician is allowed to be antiamerikan, they wouldn't allow it.